Economic Uncertainty and Divisive Politics
Evidence from the dos Españas
Datos Bibliográficos
| ID | 5753441 |
|---|---|
| Autores | Sandra García-Uribe (Bank of Spain), Hannes Mueller (0000-0001-7667-3971, Barcelona School of Economics, autor de correspondencia), Carlos Sanz (0000-0002-4679-581X, Bank of Spain) |
| Año | 2024 |
| Volumen | 84 |
| Número | 1 |
| Páginas | 40-73 |
| Fecha de publicación | 2024-03-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Sí |
| Open Access | Sí |
| Tipo | ARTICLE |
| Revista | The Journal of Economic History (JOURNAL) |
| Identificadores de la revista | ISSN: 0022-0507 • E-ISSN: 1471-6372 |
| Editorial | Cambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1017/s0022050724000044 |
| OpenAlex | W3125159112 |
| Idioma | EN |
| Citas recibidas | 3 |
| Referencias citadas | 20 |
This article exploits two newspaper archives to track economic policy uncertainty in Spain from 1905-1945. We find that the outbreak of the Civil War in 1936 was anticipated by a striking upward level shift of uncertainty in both newspapers. We study the reasons for this shift through a natural language processing method, which allows us to leverage expert opinion to track specific issues in our newspaper archives. We find a strong empirical link between increasing uncertainty and the rise of divisive political issues like socio-economic conflict. This holds even when exploiting content differences between the two newspapers in our corpus
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| Obras citantes distintas | 3 |
|---|---|
| Citas por año | 1,5 |
| Intervalo de citas | 2024 - 2025 (2) |
| Velocidad de citación | recent |
| Altamente citado | No |
| Tipos de cita | Neutras: 3 |