Daron R Shaw
Biographic Data
| ID | 1108932 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Daron R Shaw |
| GIVEN NAMES | Daron R |
| FAMILY NAME | Shaw |
| SIGNATURE | SHAW D R |
| AFFILIATIONS | The University of Texas at Austin |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-6804-7097 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 40 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 872 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 40 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1982 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2026 |
| H-INDEX | 13 |
Why are surveys struggling to estimate vote shares
Polling in the 2020 US presidential elections significantly underestimated Trump support, calling into question the accuracy of all political surveys. Although many have speculated that this bias is due to Trump supporters refusing to respond to surveys, we have previously lacked the data to directly evaluate this theory. This paper leverages the rich and unique set of data collected alongside the 2020 American National Election Studies (ANES) to…
The surge of the small donorate in U.S. elections: A view from Texas statewide campaigns
Understanding the effect of abortion attitudes on elections after Dobbs: Evidence from cross‐sectional and panel surveys in Texas
Objective We investigate the nature of abortion opinion after the Dobbs decision's reversal of Roe v. Wade with attention to the evaluation of incumbents and vote preference. Method We relied on pre‐ and post‐election cross‐sectional and panel survey data from Texas. Texas is an important case because (1) the ruling placed abortion policy squarely on the shoulders of the states and (2) each state has different laws regarding abortion (including s…
Who's That Knocking? A Study of the Strategic Choices Facing Large-Scale Grassroots Canvassing Efforts
Although recent political science research has established that face-to-face contacting mobilizes eligible citizens to vote, the emphasis on field experiments to facilitate causal inference has occasionally come at the expense of a deeper knowledge of how campaigns develop and implement canvassing and get-out-the-vote (GOTV) programs. We rely on a case study from a major statewide campaign in Texas to identify and explore the strategic considerat…
Campaign ads and the differences between soliciting donations and mobilizing volunteers
Research on political participation has long emphasized differences between Americans who donate money to political campaigns and Americans who perform other kinds of political activity. It's unclear, however, if there are distinctions in how campaigns use advertisements to solicit donations and mobilize grassroots voters. Analyzing Facebook ad data from thousands of ads, donations, and e-mail sign-ups from a recent statewide gubernatorial campai…
Validating the “Genuine Pipeline” to Limit Social Desirability Bias in Survey Estimates of Voter Turnout
It is well documented that survey overreporting of voter turnout due to social desirability bias threatens inference about political behavior. This paper reports four studies that contained question wording experiments to test questions designed to minimize that bias using a “pipeline” approach. The “pipeline” informs survey participants that researchers can perform vote validation to verify turnout self-reports. This approach reduced self-report…
Long Distance Migration as a Two-Step Sorting Process: The Resettlement of Californians in Texas
Mobilizing Peripheral Partisan Voters: A Field Experimental Analysis From Three California Congressional Election Campaigns
Since the early 2000s, an array of experimental research has demonstrated that face-to-face canvassing is the most effective form of get-out-the-vote campaigning. Recent scholarship, however, suggests that text messaging can also have powerful mobilization effects. Can the effects of text messaging match those of canvassing? We present a field experiment gauging the effects of text messaging, canvassing, mail, and phone calls among medium propens…
The Appearance of Corruption: Testing the Supreme Court's Assumptions about Campaign Finance Reform
The sanctity of political speech is a key element of the U.S. Constitution and a cornerstone of the American republic. When the Supreme Court linked political speech to campaign finance in its landmark Buckley v. Valeo (1976) decision, the modern era of campaign finance regulation was born. In practical terms, this decision meant that in order to pass constitutional muster, any laws limiting money in politics must be narrowly tailored and serve a…
Politics as Unusual? Exploring Issues and the 2016 Presidential Vote
Objective In this article, we examine the correlation between voters' opinions on relevant issues and vote choice, as well as where they located Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton in the competitive issue space. We are particularly interested in the extent to which anti‐politics attitudes, nativist attitudes, and social issue attitudes structured the way voters perceived the candidates. Methods Using principal components analysis of feeling thermom…
Testing Overall and Synergistic Campaign Effects in a Partisan Statewide Election
Although studies based on field experiments and large- N surveys have enhanced our understanding of how campaigns affect U.S. elections, few of these projects have (1) considered the synergistic effects of distinct aspects of the campaign, (2) focused on statewide, partisan elections, or (3) considered the durability of any estimated campaign effects. We rely on a massive field experiment from the 2014 Texas gubernatorial campaign to assess the i…
Density, race, and vote choice in the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections
Voting is a complex dynamic driven by the sociopolitical attributes of individuals and how they are spatially located in proximity to similar or different populations. In this research note we examine how presidential vote choice is influenced by the interaction between the population density and racial composition of the ZIP code of respondents in the 2008 and 2012 Cooperative Congressional Election Studies. Our findings reveal interesting patte…
Assessing (and fixing?) Election Day lines: Evidence from a survey of local election officials
An Interview with Daron Shaw
An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. Please use the Get access link above for information on how to access this content
Does Partisanship Shape Attitudes toward Science and Public Policy? The Case for Ideology and Religion
Despite the apparent partisan divide over issues such as global warming and hydraulic fracturing, little is known about what shapes citizens' willingness to accept scientific recommendations on political issues. We examine the extent to which Democrats, Republicans, and independents are likely to defer to scientific expertise in matters of policy. Our study draws on an October 2013 U.S. national survey of 2,000 respondents. We find that partisan …
The Tea Party Movement and the Geography of Collective Action
We examine the geography of the Tea Party movement by drawing upon a unique data source that harvested thousands of events from the Meetup.org and Tea Party Patriots websites during the latter half of 2010. The spatial distribution of events strongly suggests that Tea Party activism was borne out of economic grievance, as it corresponds quite closely to the incidence of home foreclosures. The findings more generally reinforce the impression that …
Do Robotic Calls From Credible Sources Influence Voter Turnout or Vote Choice? Evidence From a Randomized Field Experiment
The effectiveness of prerecorded phone calls was assessed in the context of a Texas Republican primary election that featured a contest for state Supreme Court. Automated calls endorsing one of the judicial candidates were recorded by the sitting Republican governor and directed at more than a quarter million people identified as likely voters and probable supporters of the governor. Two experimental designs were used to evaluate the calls’ effec…
What if We Randomize the Governor's Schedule? Evidence on Campaign Appearance Effects From a Texas Field Experiment
Candidate appearances have long been a staple of American campaigns, yet we don't know much about what happens when elites meet the masses. In 2006, we conducted a statewide field experiment assessing the effectiveness of personal appearances by the incumbent governor. Republican Rick Perry's campaign appearances were randomly assigned to specific media markets for 3 days in January 2006, while we simultaneously collected public opinion, media co…
How Large and Long-lasting Are the Persuasive Effects of Televised Campaign Ads? Results from a Randomized Field Experiment
We report the results of the first large-scale experiment involving paid political advertising. During the opening months of a 2006 gubernatorial campaign, approximately $2 million of television and radio advertising on behalf of the incumbent candidate was deployed experimentally. In each experimental media market, the launch date and volume of television advertising were randomly assigned. In order to gauge movement in public opinion, a trackin…
Beyond the Battlegrounds? Electoral College Strategies in the 2008 Presidential Election
A great deal of popular commentary during the 2008 presidential election focused on the expansiveness of Barack Obama's campaign. He seemed to be not simply competing in the battleground states that defined the Bush elections but also aggressively contesting traditional Republican strongholds. We examine the particulars of both the Obama and McCain strategies for amassing Electoral College majorities, comparing them with those of other recent cam…
The Effect of Local Political Context on How Americans Vote
Neighborhood context could condition voting decisions, but systematic investigation of whether (how) the traits of a given locale shape individual voting decisions is sparse. We explore the possibility that local partisan balance affects turnout and the use of convenience voting in particular. Using comprehensive registered-voter lists from four swing states in the 2002 and 2006 elections, we find an intriguing asymmetry: Republican registrants a…
Election-Year Stimuli and the Timing of Voter Registration
Despite less stringent requirements and more convenient access, 24 percent of the age-eligible United States population remained unregistered in 2000. While this proportion dropped in 2004, a large share of registrants still failed to cast ballots in the Bush—Kerry contest. With the outcome of national elections hinging on a percentage point or two in recent years, attention has once again been focused on registration and mobilization activity. B…
The Race to 270: The Electoral College and the Campaign Strategies of 2000 and 2004
Location, knowledge and time pressures in the spatial structure of convenience voting
Strategic Voting in the California Recall Election
Given people’s interest in all things California, the novelty of the recall mechanism, and the presence of a bona fide action hero in the race, it is not surprising that the 2003 California recall election attracted an inordinate amount of national attention. The circus-like atmosphere should not, however, obscure the interesting implications of the recall election for our understanding of the broader phenomenon of strategic voting. We argue that…
How Large and Long-lasting Are the Persuasive Effects of Televised Campaign Ads? Results from a Randomized Field Experiment
We report the results of the first large-scale experiment involving paid political advertising. During the opening months of a 2006 gubernatorial campaign, approximately $2 million of television and radio advertising on behalf of the incumbent candidate was deployed experimentally. In each experimental media market, the launch date and volume of television advertising were randomly assigned. In order to gauge movement in public opinion, a trackin…
The Effect of TV Ads and Candidate Appearances on Statewide Presidential Votes, 1988-96
Although presidential campaigns have been mythologized in literature and cinema, most theories of elections relegate them to a secondary role, presuming they have little effect on outcomes. Direct tests of campaigning's influence on electoral college votes are rare, mostly because statewide data on the allocation of resources and voters' preferences have been hard to obtain. Many studies suggest a minimal effect, but it is possible that a more si…
Examining Latino Turnout in 1996: A Three-State, Validated Survey Approach
As Latino populations in the United States increase, accurately characterizing their turnout is central to understanding how the post-New Deal party system will evolve. Yet we presently have little data on either their turnout or the dynamic by which such participation occurs. We estimate Latino voting rates in the 1996 presidential election by validating selfreported turnout from a post-election survey of Latinos in California, Florida, and Texa…
A Study of Presidential Campaign Event Effects from 1952 to 1992
A persistent argument in political science is that presidential campaign events do not have strong effects because most people (1) are uninformed about issues and candidates, (2) tend to vote based on cues from reliable (partisan) sources about the state of the economy and condition of the country, and (3) face balanced information environments. This study argues that presidential campaign events are multifaceted and their effects are occasionall…
The Methods behind the Madness: Presidential Electoral College Strategies, 1988-1996
The prevailing conventional wisdom in political science is that presidential candidates behave strategically and systematically. This study posits that we have not had adequate empirical information to judge how much strategic planning goes on, how these plans are derived, or how systematically they are realized. The analysis examines actual electoral college strategies from the 1988, 1992, and 1996 presidential elections and judges them against …
Registrants, Voters, and Turnout Variability Across Neighborhoods
Does Partisanship Shape Attitudes toward Science and Public Policy? The Case for Ideology and Religion
Despite the apparent partisan divide over issues such as global warming and hydraulic fracturing, little is known about what shapes citizens' willingness to accept scientific recommendations on political issues. We examine the extent to which Democrats, Republicans, and independents are likely to defer to scientific expertise in matters of policy. Our study draws on an October 2013 U.S. national survey of 2,000 respondents. We find that partisan …
From the Inner Ring Out: News Congruence, Cue-Taking, and Campaign Coverage
Studies of the organizational and behavioral characteristics of the American news media, as well as studies of media effects, often presume a basic institutional unity among news organizations. These studies typically analyze a small set of prestige media, and then make or infer conclusions with respect to the non-prestige media or the news media in general. The intention here is to verify empirically the extent to which the non-prestige ”outer r…
Campaign Events, the Media and the Prospects of Victory: The 1992 and 1996 US Presidential Elections
Presidential campaigns are the most obvious means by which American voters receive information about candidates and issues, yet there is strong resistance to the notion that they influence presidential elections. We conduct an examination of presidential campaign effects in the 1992 and 1996 elections that features three departures from previous studies: (1) a stronger definition of campaigning and campaign events, facilitating a clearer idea of …
Candidate Appearances in Presidential Elections, 1972-2000
Although many recent studies have examined presidential campaigns, most have concentrated on television advertising or news media coverage as the key variables of interest. Few empirical analyses have focused on the pattern of candidate appearances, and almost none have considered changes in these patterns over time. This gap is intriguing because some places should tend to receive more attention than others, and yet we know very little about the…
The Impact of News Media Favorability and Candidate Events in Presidential Campaigns
Although campaigns are the most obvious means by which American voters receive information about candidates and issues, there is strong resistance to the notion that they influence presidential elections. Recent analyses, however, argue that campaign events can produce statistically significant alterations in the aggregate distribution of voters' preferences. This study examines presidential campaign effects in the 1992 and 1996 U.S. elections an…
Location, knowledge and time pressures in the spatial structure of convenience voting
What if We Randomize the Governor's Schedule? Evidence on Campaign Appearance Effects From a Texas Field Experiment
Candidate appearances have long been a staple of American campaigns, yet we don't know much about what happens when elites meet the masses. In 2006, we conducted a statewide field experiment assessing the effectiveness of personal appearances by the incumbent governor. Republican Rick Perry's campaign appearances were randomly assigned to specific media markets for 3 days in January 2006, while we simultaneously collected public opinion, media co…
Beyond the Battlegrounds? Electoral College Strategies in the 2008 Presidential Election
A great deal of popular commentary during the 2008 presidential election focused on the expansiveness of Barack Obama's campaign. He seemed to be not simply competing in the battleground states that defined the Bush elections but also aggressively contesting traditional Republican strongholds. We examine the particulars of both the Obama and McCain strategies for amassing Electoral College majorities, comparing them with those of other recent cam…
The Tea Party Movement and the Geography of Collective Action
We examine the geography of the Tea Party movement by drawing upon a unique data source that harvested thousands of events from the Meetup.org and Tea Party Patriots websites during the latter half of 2010. The spatial distribution of events strongly suggests that Tea Party activism was borne out of economic grievance, as it corresponds quite closely to the incidence of home foreclosures. The findings more generally reinforce the impression that …
Do Robotic Calls From Credible Sources Influence Voter Turnout or Vote Choice? Evidence From a Randomized Field Experiment
The effectiveness of prerecorded phone calls was assessed in the context of a Texas Republican primary election that featured a contest for state Supreme Court. Automated calls endorsing one of the judicial candidates were recorded by the sitting Republican governor and directed at more than a quarter million people identified as likely voters and probable supporters of the governor. Two experimental designs were used to evaluate the calls’ effec…
Estimating Racially Polarized Voting: A View From the States
In the aftermath of the 1990 United States Census, much attention is being paid to the drawing of electoral districts. Leaders of the black and Latino communities are among the most interested in these enterprises because they see districting as a way for white majorities to minimize the prospects for electing minority representatives. Decidedly less attention is being paid to the use of ecological regression in evaluating districting ar rangemen…
Election-Year Stimuli and the Timing of Voter Registration
Despite less stringent requirements and more convenient access, 24 percent of the age-eligible United States population remained unregistered in 2000. While this proportion dropped in 2004, a large share of registrants still failed to cast ballots in the Bush—Kerry contest. With the outcome of national elections hinging on a percentage point or two in recent years, attention has once again been focused on registration and mobilization activity. B…
The Effect of Local Political Context on How Americans Vote
Neighborhood context could condition voting decisions, but systematic investigation of whether (how) the traits of a given locale shape individual voting decisions is sparse. We explore the possibility that local partisan balance affects turnout and the use of convenience voting in particular. Using comprehensive registered-voter lists from four swing states in the 2002 and 2006 elections, we find an intriguing asymmetry: Republican registrants a…
Testing Overall and Synergistic Campaign Effects in a Partisan Statewide Election
Although studies based on field experiments and large- N surveys have enhanced our understanding of how campaigns affect U.S. elections, few of these projects have (1) considered the synergistic effects of distinct aspects of the campaign, (2) focused on statewide, partisan elections, or (3) considered the durability of any estimated campaign effects. We rely on a massive field experiment from the 2014 Texas gubernatorial campaign to assess the i…
Strategic Voting in the California Recall Election
Given people’s interest in all things California, the novelty of the recall mechanism, and the presence of a bona fide action hero in the race, it is not surprising that the 2003 California recall election attracted an inordinate amount of national attention. The circus-like atmosphere should not, however, obscure the interesting implications of the recall election for our understanding of the broader phenomenon of strategic voting. We argue that…
Can the Internet Help Outsider Candidates Win the Presidential Nomination
An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. Please use the Get access link above for information on how to access this content
Validating the “Genuine Pipeline” to Limit Social Desirability Bias in Survey Estimates of Voter Turnout
It is well documented that survey overreporting of voter turnout due to social desirability bias threatens inference about political behavior. This paper reports four studies that contained question wording experiments to test questions designed to minimize that bias using a “pipeline” approach. The “pipeline” informs survey participants that researchers can perform vote validation to verify turnout self-reports. This approach reduced self-report…
Assessing (and fixing?) Election Day lines: Evidence from a survey of local election officials
Long Distance Migration as a Two-Step Sorting Process: The Resettlement of Californians in Texas
The use of diary survey techniques: The rural studies case
Estimating Racially Polarized Voting: A View From the States
In the aftermath of the 1990 United States Census, much attention is being paid to the drawing of electoral districts. Leaders of the black and Latino communities are among the most interested in these enterprises because they see districting as a way for white majorities to minimize the prospects for electing minority representatives. Decidedly less attention is being paid to the use of ecological regression in evaluating districting ar rangemen…
From the Inner Ring Out: News Congruence, Cue-Taking, and Campaign Coverage
Studies of the organizational and behavioral characteristics of the American news media, as well as studies of media effects, often presume a basic institutional unity among news organizations. These studies typically analyze a small set of prestige media, and then make or infer conclusions with respect to the non-prestige media or the news media in general. The intention here is to verify empirically the extent to which the non-prestige ”outer r…
The Methods behind the Madness: Presidential Electoral College Strategies, 1988-1996
The prevailing conventional wisdom in political science is that presidential candidates behave strategically and systematically. This study posits that we have not had adequate empirical information to judge how much strategic planning goes on, how these plans are derived, or how systematically they are realized. The analysis examines actual electoral college strategies from the 1988, 1992, and 1996 presidential elections and judges them against …
A Study of Presidential Campaign Event Effects from 1952 to 1992
A persistent argument in political science is that presidential campaign events do not have strong effects because most people (1) are uninformed about issues and candidates, (2) tend to vote based on cues from reliable (partisan) sources about the state of the economy and condition of the country, and (3) face balanced information environments. This study argues that presidential campaign events are multifaceted and their effects are occasionall…
The Impact of News Media Favorability and Candidate Events in Presidential Campaigns
Although campaigns are the most obvious means by which American voters receive information about candidates and issues, there is strong resistance to the notion that they influence presidential elections. Recent analyses, however, argue that campaign events can produce statistically significant alterations in the aggregate distribution of voters' preferences. This study examines presidential campaign effects in the 1992 and 1996 U.S. elections an…
The Effect of TV Ads and Candidate Appearances on Statewide Presidential Votes, 1988-96
Although presidential campaigns have been mythologized in literature and cinema, most theories of elections relegate them to a secondary role, presuming they have little effect on outcomes. Direct tests of campaigning's influence on electoral college votes are rare, mostly because statewide data on the allocation of resources and voters' preferences have been hard to obtain. Many studies suggest a minimal effect, but it is possible that a more si…
Examining Latino Turnout in 1996: A Three-State, Validated Survey Approach
As Latino populations in the United States increase, accurately characterizing their turnout is central to understanding how the post-New Deal party system will evolve. Yet we presently have little data on either their turnout or the dynamic by which such participation occurs. We estimate Latino voting rates in the 1996 presidential election by validating selfreported turnout from a post-election survey of Latinos in California, Florida, and Texa…
Campaign Events, the Media and the Prospects of Victory: The 1992 and 1996 US Presidential Elections
Presidential campaigns are the most obvious means by which American voters receive information about candidates and issues, yet there is strong resistance to the notion that they influence presidential elections. We conduct an examination of presidential campaign effects in the 1992 and 1996 elections that features three departures from previous studies: (1) a stronger definition of campaigning and campaign events, facilitating a clearer idea of …
Lifting the Hood on the Straight-talk Express: Examining the McCain Phenomenon
As Arizona Senator John McCain emerged to win the New Hampshire and Michigan Republican primaries, much was made of his distinctive campaign tactics. Most notably, the press pointed to his willingness to open himself up to the media and voters. The authors argue that McCain's success was less tactical and idiosyncratic than has been suggested. McCain's rise was fueled by a confluence of circumstances. First, there was a latent pool of support for…
How the Bush and Gore Campaigns Conceptualized and Used the Internet in 2000
Political scientists and campaign professionals have been intrigued by the potential of the Internet as a tool for accessing and conveying political information since the mass marketing of the first Web browser in 1993. Optimists have pointed to the possibility for more expansive participation and more substantive, in-depth issue discussions. Pessimists have countered that universal access to the Internet is still years down the road, pointing ou…
Candidate Appearances in Presidential Elections, 1972-2000
Although many recent studies have examined presidential campaigns, most have concentrated on television advertising or news media coverage as the key variables of interest. Few empirical analyses have focused on the pattern of candidate appearances, and almost none have considered changes in these patterns over time. This gap is intriguing because some places should tend to receive more attention than others, and yet we know very little about the…
Suburban Voting in Presidential Elections
Two observations have gained widespread acceptance in the wake of the 2000 presidential election. First, America has become a “49 percent nation,” in which it will be difficult for either the Republicans or the Democrats to wrest much of an advantage, either in congressional or presidential elections. Second, in this ultracompetitive environment, national elections will be decided in the sub urbs. This article examines the dynamics of suburban vo…
Can the Internet Help Outsider Candidates Win the Presidential Nomination
An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. Please use the Get access link above for information on how to access this content
Registrants, Voters, and Turnout Variability Across Neighborhoods
Strategic Voting in the California Recall Election
Given people’s interest in all things California, the novelty of the recall mechanism, and the presence of a bona fide action hero in the race, it is not surprising that the 2003 California recall election attracted an inordinate amount of national attention. The circus-like atmosphere should not, however, obscure the interesting implications of the recall election for our understanding of the broader phenomenon of strategic voting. We argue that…
The Race to 270: The Electoral College and the Campaign Strategies of 2000 and 2004
Location, knowledge and time pressures in the spatial structure of convenience voting
Election-Year Stimuli and the Timing of Voter Registration
Despite less stringent requirements and more convenient access, 24 percent of the age-eligible United States population remained unregistered in 2000. While this proportion dropped in 2004, a large share of registrants still failed to cast ballots in the Bush—Kerry contest. With the outcome of national elections hinging on a percentage point or two in recent years, attention has once again been focused on registration and mobilization activity. B…
Beyond the Battlegrounds? Electoral College Strategies in the 2008 Presidential Election
A great deal of popular commentary during the 2008 presidential election focused on the expansiveness of Barack Obama's campaign. He seemed to be not simply competing in the battleground states that defined the Bush elections but also aggressively contesting traditional Republican strongholds. We examine the particulars of both the Obama and McCain strategies for amassing Electoral College majorities, comparing them with those of other recent cam…
The Effect of Local Political Context on How Americans Vote
Neighborhood context could condition voting decisions, but systematic investigation of whether (how) the traits of a given locale shape individual voting decisions is sparse. We explore the possibility that local partisan balance affects turnout and the use of convenience voting in particular. Using comprehensive registered-voter lists from four swing states in the 2002 and 2006 elections, we find an intriguing asymmetry: Republican registrants a…
How Large and Long-lasting Are the Persuasive Effects of Televised Campaign Ads? Results from a Randomized Field Experiment
We report the results of the first large-scale experiment involving paid political advertising. During the opening months of a 2006 gubernatorial campaign, approximately $2 million of television and radio advertising on behalf of the incumbent candidate was deployed experimentally. In each experimental media market, the launch date and volume of television advertising were randomly assigned. In order to gauge movement in public opinion, a trackin…
The Tea Party Movement and the Geography of Collective Action
We examine the geography of the Tea Party movement by drawing upon a unique data source that harvested thousands of events from the Meetup.org and Tea Party Patriots websites during the latter half of 2010. The spatial distribution of events strongly suggests that Tea Party activism was borne out of economic grievance, as it corresponds quite closely to the incidence of home foreclosures. The findings more generally reinforce the impression that …
Do Robotic Calls From Credible Sources Influence Voter Turnout or Vote Choice? Evidence From a Randomized Field Experiment
The effectiveness of prerecorded phone calls was assessed in the context of a Texas Republican primary election that featured a contest for state Supreme Court. Automated calls endorsing one of the judicial candidates were recorded by the sitting Republican governor and directed at more than a quarter million people identified as likely voters and probable supporters of the governor. Two experimental designs were used to evaluate the calls’ effec…
What if We Randomize the Governor's Schedule? Evidence on Campaign Appearance Effects From a Texas Field Experiment
Candidate appearances have long been a staple of American campaigns, yet we don't know much about what happens when elites meet the masses. In 2006, we conducted a statewide field experiment assessing the effectiveness of personal appearances by the incumbent governor. Republican Rick Perry's campaign appearances were randomly assigned to specific media markets for 3 days in January 2006, while we simultaneously collected public opinion, media co…
Political science (35 works) · Electoral Systems and Political Participation (33 works) · Politics (33 works) · Law (29 works) · Law (24 works) · Sociology (24 works) · Social Media and Politics (18 works) · Economics (15 works) · Presidential system (15 works) · Voting (15 works)