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Nina Von Uexkull

Biographic Data

ID1417367
NAMENina Von Uexkull
GIVEN NAMESNina
FAMILY NAMEVon Uexkull
SIGNATUREVON UEXKULL N
AFFILIATIONSUppsala University
ORCID0000-0001-9492-1596
VERIFIEDYes
TOTAL WORKS19
TOTAL CITATIONS170
AUTHOR COUNT19
EDITOR COUNT0
FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR2012
LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR2025
H-INDEX7
  • Strong rationale, weak evidence: Why integrating research on sustainability and peacebuilding is needed

    Open Access•Halvard Buhaug, Nina Von Uexkull•ARTICLE•One Earth•2025

  • The impacts of armed conflict on human development: A review of the literature

    Open Access•Paola Vesco, Ghassan Baliki et al.•ARTICLE•World Development•2025

    The detrimental impacts of wars on human development are well documented across research domains, from public health to micro-economics. However, these impacts are studied in compartmentalized silos, which limits a comprehensive understanding of the consequences of conflicts, hampering our ability to effectively sustain human development. This article takes a first step in addressing this gap by reviewing the literature on conflict impacts throug…

  • UN peacekeeping presence and local food security outcomes

    Open Access•Sara Lindberg Bromley, Nina Von Uexkull•ARTICLE•Conflict Management and Peace…•2024•Cited by: 1•References: 21

    A now extensive literature examines effects of international peacekeeping on conflict-affected countries’ war-to-peace transitions. Still, we know little about how impactful peacekeeping is in stemming a wider set of hardships affecting host communities, such as hunger. Addressing this gap, we theorize and empirically examine the relationship between local UN peacekeeping deployment and food security in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Mali,…

  • Fueling protest? Climate change mitigation, fuel prices and protest onset

    Open Access•Nina Von Uexkull, Espen Geelmuyden Rød et al.•ARTICLE•World Development•2024•Cited by: 3•References: 22

    Mitigating global warming requires a rapid reduction in the use of fossil fuels which form the foundation of modern economies. Fossil fuel reduction is crucial for minimizing future loss and damage associated with a changing climate, but a challenging task. In diverse contexts, climate-friendly policies that increased fuel prices have sparked massive, at times violent, protests, ultimately leading to a reversal of those policies. However, to what…

  • Pathways from research to sustainable development: Insights from ten research projects in sustainability and resilience

    Open Access•Anna Scaini, Joe Mulligan et al.•ARTICLE•AMBIO•2024•Cited by: 2•References: 106

    Drawing on collective experience from ten collaborative research projects focused on the Global South, we identify three major challenges that impede the translation of research on sustainability and resilience into better-informed choices by individuals and policy-makers that in turn can support transformation to a sustainable future. The three challenges comprise: (i) converting knowledge produced during research projects into successful knowle…

  • The Future of Environmental Peace and Conflict Research

    Open Access•Tobias Ide, Mckenzie F Johnson et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Politics•2023•Cited by: 5•References: 42

    Interest in the intersections of environmental issues, peace and conflict has surged in recent years. Research on the topic has developed along separate research streams, which broadened the knowledge base considerably, but hardly interact across disciplinary, methodological, epistemological and ontological silos. Our forum addresses this gap by bringing into conversation six research streams on the environment, peace and conflict: environmental …

  • Disaster risk reduction and the limits of truisms: Improving the knowledge and practice interface

    Open Access•Daniel Nohrstedt, Charles F Parker et al.•ARTICLE•International Journal of Disaster…•2022

    Action toward strengthened disaster risk reduction (DRR) ideally builds from evidence-based policymaking to inform decisions and priorities. This is a guiding principle for the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction (SFDRR), which outlines priorities for action to reduce disaster risk. However, some of these practical guidelines conceal oversimplified or unsubstantiated claims and assumptions, what we refer to as ‘truisms’, which, if not pr…

  • Vicious Circles: Violence, Vulnerability, and Climate Change

    Open Access•Halvard Buhaug, Nina Von Uexkull•ARTICLE•Annual Review of Environment and…•2021

    Climate change threatens core dimensions of human security, including economic prosperity, food availability, and societal stability. In recent years, war-torn regions such as Afghanistan and Yemen have harbored severe humanitarian crises, compounded by climate-related hazards. These cases epitomize the powerful but presently incompletely appreciated links between vulnerability, conflict, and climate-related impacts. In this article, we develop a…

  • Projecting armed conflict risk in Africa towards 2050 along the SSP-RCP scenarios: A machine learning approach

    Open Access•Jeffrey Hoch, Sophie de Bruin et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Research Letters•2021

    In the past decade, several efforts have been made to project armed conflict risk into the future. This study broadens current approaches by presenting a first-of-its-kind application of machine learning (ML) methods to project sub-national armed conflict risk over the African continent along three Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios and three Representative Concentration Pathways towards 2050. Results of the open-source ML framework CoP…

  • Projecting long-term armed conflict risk: An underappreciated field of inquiry

    Open Access•Sophie de Bruin, Sophie P de Bruin et al.•ARTICLE•Global Environmental Change•2021•References: 15

    Little research has been done on projecting long-term conflict risks. Such projections are currently neither included in the development of socioeconomic scenarios or climate change impact assessments nor part of global agenda-setting policy processes. In contrast, in other fields of inquiry, long-term projections and scenario studies are established and relevant for both strategical agenda-setting and applied policies. Although making projection…

  • A Conditional Model of Local Income Shock and Civil Conflict

    Open Access•Halvard Buhaug, Mihai Croicu et al.•ARTICLE•The Journal of Politics•2021•Cited by: 14•References: 76

    Common political economy models point to rationalist motives for engaging in conflict but say little about how income shocks translate into collective violence in some cases but not in others. Grievance models, in contrast, focus on structural origins of shared frustration but offer less insight into when the deprived decide to challenge the status quo. Addressing these lacunae, we develop a theoretical model of civil conflict that predicts incom…

  • Security implications of climate change: A decade of scientific progress

    Open Access•Nina Von Uexkull, Halvard Buhaug•ARTICLE•Journal of Peace Research•2021•Cited by: 19•References: 119

    The study of security implications of climate change has developed rapidly from a nascent area of academic inquiry into an important and thriving research field that traverses epistemological and disciplinary boundaries. Here, we take stock of scientific progress by benchmarking the latest decade of empirical research against seven core research priorities collectively emphasized in 35 recent literature reviews. On the basis of this evaluation, w…

  • Why do some poor countries see armed conflict while others do not? A dual sector approach

    Open Access•Jonas Vestby, Halvard Buhaug et al.•ARTICLE•World Development•2020•Cited by: 2•References: 24

    Low level of GDP per capita is a robust and widely applied predictor of civil war. Yet, GDP is a crude macro-level indicator that masks considerable heterogeneity in economic structures, and it is less well able to explain variation in conflict risk among low-income countries. Here, we consider the merit of classic dual sector theory in improving common economic models of civil war. Two basic expectations are derived: the relative size of the tra…

  • Drought, Resilience, and Support for Violence: Household Survey Evidence from DR Congo

    Open Access•Nina Von Uexkull, Marco D’errico et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2020•Cited by: 13•References: 43

    The effects of climate variability and change on security are debated. While this topic has received considerable attention in both policy circles and academia, the microlevel pathways and conditions under which climatic shocks increase conflict risks are poorly understood. We suggest that household resilience provides one key to understanding these relationships. Using novel household survey data from two conflict-affected regions in Eastern Dem…

  • ViEWS: A political violence early-warning system

    Open Access•Håvard Hegre, Marie Allansson et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Peace Research•2019•Cited by: 14•References: 57

    This article presents ViEWS - a political violence early-warning system that seeks to be maximally transparent, publicly available, and have uniform coverage, and sketches the methodological innovations required to achieve these objectives. ViEWS produces monthly forecasts at the country and subnational level for 36 months into the future and all three UCDP types of organized violence: state-based conflict, non-state conflict, and one-sided viole…

  • Issues and Actors in African Nonstate Conflicts: A New Data Set

    Open Access•Nina Von Uexkull, Tove Pettersson et al.•ARTICLE•International Interactions•2018•Cited by: 18•References: 10

    Armed nonstate conflict without the direct involvement of the state government is a common phenomenon. Violence between armed gangs, rebel groups, or communal militias is an important source of instability and has gained increasing scholarly attention. In this article, we introduce a data collection on conflict issues and key actor characteristics in armed nonstate conflicts that provides new opportunities for investigating the causes, dynamics, …

  • One effect to rule them all? A comment on climate and conflict

    Open Access•Halvard Buhaug, Jonas Nordkvelle et al.•ARTICLE•Climatic Change•2014

    A recent Climatic Change review article reports a remarkable convergence of scientific evidence for a link between climatic events and violent intergroup conflict, thus departing markedly from other contemporary assessments of the empirical literature. This commentary revisits the review in order to understand the discrepancy. We believe the origins of the disagreement can be traced back to the review article’s underlying quantitative meta-analys…

  • Sustained drought, vulnerability and civil conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa

    Open Access•Nina Von Uexkull•ARTICLE•Political Geography•2014•Cited by: 19•References: 47

  • Climate triggers: Rainfall anomalies, vulnerability and communal conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa

    Open Access•Hanne Fjelde, Nina Von Uexkull•ARTICLE•Political Geography•2012•Cited by: 60•References: 43

  • Climate triggers: Rainfall anomalies, vulnerability and communal conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa

    Open Access•Hanne Fjelde, Nina Von Uexkull•ARTICLE•Political Geography•2012•Cited by: 60•References: 43

  • Security implications of climate change: A decade of scientific progress

    Open Access•Nina Von Uexkull, Halvard Buhaug•ARTICLE•Journal of Peace Research•2021•Cited by: 19•References: 119

    The study of security implications of climate change has developed rapidly from a nascent area of academic inquiry into an important and thriving research field that traverses epistemological and disciplinary boundaries. Here, we take stock of scientific progress by benchmarking the latest decade of empirical research against seven core research priorities collectively emphasized in 35 recent literature reviews. On the basis of this evaluation, w…

  • Sustained drought, vulnerability and civil conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa

    Open Access•Nina Von Uexkull•ARTICLE•Political Geography•2014•Cited by: 19•References: 47

  • Issues and Actors in African Nonstate Conflicts: A New Data Set

    Open Access•Nina Von Uexkull, Tove Pettersson et al.•ARTICLE•International Interactions•2018•Cited by: 18•References: 10

    Armed nonstate conflict without the direct involvement of the state government is a common phenomenon. Violence between armed gangs, rebel groups, or communal militias is an important source of instability and has gained increasing scholarly attention. In this article, we introduce a data collection on conflict issues and key actor characteristics in armed nonstate conflicts that provides new opportunities for investigating the causes, dynamics, …

  • A Conditional Model of Local Income Shock and Civil Conflict

    Open Access•Halvard Buhaug, Mihai Croicu et al.•ARTICLE•The Journal of Politics•2021•Cited by: 14•References: 76

    Common political economy models point to rationalist motives for engaging in conflict but say little about how income shocks translate into collective violence in some cases but not in others. Grievance models, in contrast, focus on structural origins of shared frustration but offer less insight into when the deprived decide to challenge the status quo. Addressing these lacunae, we develop a theoretical model of civil conflict that predicts incom…

  • ViEWS: A political violence early-warning system

    Open Access•Håvard Hegre, Marie Allansson et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Peace Research•2019•Cited by: 14•References: 57

    This article presents ViEWS - a political violence early-warning system that seeks to be maximally transparent, publicly available, and have uniform coverage, and sketches the methodological innovations required to achieve these objectives. ViEWS produces monthly forecasts at the country and subnational level for 36 months into the future and all three UCDP types of organized violence: state-based conflict, non-state conflict, and one-sided viole…

  • Drought, Resilience, and Support for Violence: Household Survey Evidence from DR Congo

    Open Access•Nina Von Uexkull, Marco D’errico et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2020•Cited by: 13•References: 43

    The effects of climate variability and change on security are debated. While this topic has received considerable attention in both policy circles and academia, the microlevel pathways and conditions under which climatic shocks increase conflict risks are poorly understood. We suggest that household resilience provides one key to understanding these relationships. Using novel household survey data from two conflict-affected regions in Eastern Dem…

  • The Future of Environmental Peace and Conflict Research

    Open Access•Tobias Ide, Mckenzie F Johnson et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Politics•2023•Cited by: 5•References: 42

    Interest in the intersections of environmental issues, peace and conflict has surged in recent years. Research on the topic has developed along separate research streams, which broadened the knowledge base considerably, but hardly interact across disciplinary, methodological, epistemological and ontological silos. Our forum addresses this gap by bringing into conversation six research streams on the environment, peace and conflict: environmental …

  • Fueling protest? Climate change mitigation, fuel prices and protest onset

    Open Access•Nina Von Uexkull, Espen Geelmuyden Rød et al.•ARTICLE•World Development•2024•Cited by: 3•References: 22

    Mitigating global warming requires a rapid reduction in the use of fossil fuels which form the foundation of modern economies. Fossil fuel reduction is crucial for minimizing future loss and damage associated with a changing climate, but a challenging task. In diverse contexts, climate-friendly policies that increased fuel prices have sparked massive, at times violent, protests, ultimately leading to a reversal of those policies. However, to what…

  • Pathways from research to sustainable development: Insights from ten research projects in sustainability and resilience

    Open Access•Anna Scaini, Joe Mulligan et al.•ARTICLE•AMBIO•2024•Cited by: 2•References: 106

    Drawing on collective experience from ten collaborative research projects focused on the Global South, we identify three major challenges that impede the translation of research on sustainability and resilience into better-informed choices by individuals and policy-makers that in turn can support transformation to a sustainable future. The three challenges comprise: (i) converting knowledge produced during research projects into successful knowle…

  • Why do some poor countries see armed conflict while others do not? A dual sector approach

    Open Access•Jonas Vestby, Halvard Buhaug et al.•ARTICLE•World Development•2020•Cited by: 2•References: 24

    Low level of GDP per capita is a robust and widely applied predictor of civil war. Yet, GDP is a crude macro-level indicator that masks considerable heterogeneity in economic structures, and it is less well able to explain variation in conflict risk among low-income countries. Here, we consider the merit of classic dual sector theory in improving common economic models of civil war. Two basic expectations are derived: the relative size of the tra…

  • UN peacekeeping presence and local food security outcomes

    Open Access•Sara Lindberg Bromley, Nina Von Uexkull•ARTICLE•Conflict Management and Peace…•2024•Cited by: 1•References: 21

    A now extensive literature examines effects of international peacekeeping on conflict-affected countries’ war-to-peace transitions. Still, we know little about how impactful peacekeeping is in stemming a wider set of hardships affecting host communities, such as hunger. Addressing this gap, we theorize and empirically examine the relationship between local UN peacekeeping deployment and food security in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Mali,…

  • Climate triggers: Rainfall anomalies, vulnerability and communal conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa

    Open Access•Hanne Fjelde, Nina Von Uexkull•ARTICLE•Political Geography•2012•Cited by: 60•References: 43

  • One effect to rule them all? A comment on climate and conflict

    Open Access•Halvard Buhaug, Jonas Nordkvelle et al.•ARTICLE•Climatic Change•2014

    A recent Climatic Change review article reports a remarkable convergence of scientific evidence for a link between climatic events and violent intergroup conflict, thus departing markedly from other contemporary assessments of the empirical literature. This commentary revisits the review in order to understand the discrepancy. We believe the origins of the disagreement can be traced back to the review article’s underlying quantitative meta-analys…

  • Sustained drought, vulnerability and civil conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa

    Open Access•Nina Von Uexkull•ARTICLE•Political Geography•2014•Cited by: 19•References: 47

  • Issues and Actors in African Nonstate Conflicts: A New Data Set

    Open Access•Nina Von Uexkull, Tove Pettersson et al.•ARTICLE•International Interactions•2018•Cited by: 18•References: 10

    Armed nonstate conflict without the direct involvement of the state government is a common phenomenon. Violence between armed gangs, rebel groups, or communal militias is an important source of instability and has gained increasing scholarly attention. In this article, we introduce a data collection on conflict issues and key actor characteristics in armed nonstate conflicts that provides new opportunities for investigating the causes, dynamics, …

  • ViEWS: A political violence early-warning system

    Open Access•Håvard Hegre, Marie Allansson et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Peace Research•2019•Cited by: 14•References: 57

    This article presents ViEWS - a political violence early-warning system that seeks to be maximally transparent, publicly available, and have uniform coverage, and sketches the methodological innovations required to achieve these objectives. ViEWS produces monthly forecasts at the country and subnational level for 36 months into the future and all three UCDP types of organized violence: state-based conflict, non-state conflict, and one-sided viole…

  • Why do some poor countries see armed conflict while others do not? A dual sector approach

    Open Access•Jonas Vestby, Halvard Buhaug et al.•ARTICLE•World Development•2020•Cited by: 2•References: 24

    Low level of GDP per capita is a robust and widely applied predictor of civil war. Yet, GDP is a crude macro-level indicator that masks considerable heterogeneity in economic structures, and it is less well able to explain variation in conflict risk among low-income countries. Here, we consider the merit of classic dual sector theory in improving common economic models of civil war. Two basic expectations are derived: the relative size of the tra…

  • Drought, Resilience, and Support for Violence: Household Survey Evidence from DR Congo

    Open Access•Nina Von Uexkull, Marco D’errico et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2020•Cited by: 13•References: 43

    The effects of climate variability and change on security are debated. While this topic has received considerable attention in both policy circles and academia, the microlevel pathways and conditions under which climatic shocks increase conflict risks are poorly understood. We suggest that household resilience provides one key to understanding these relationships. Using novel household survey data from two conflict-affected regions in Eastern Dem…

  • Vicious Circles: Violence, Vulnerability, and Climate Change

    Open Access•Halvard Buhaug, Nina Von Uexkull•ARTICLE•Annual Review of Environment and…•2021

    Climate change threatens core dimensions of human security, including economic prosperity, food availability, and societal stability. In recent years, war-torn regions such as Afghanistan and Yemen have harbored severe humanitarian crises, compounded by climate-related hazards. These cases epitomize the powerful but presently incompletely appreciated links between vulnerability, conflict, and climate-related impacts. In this article, we develop a…

  • Projecting armed conflict risk in Africa towards 2050 along the SSP-RCP scenarios: A machine learning approach

    Open Access•Jeffrey Hoch, Sophie de Bruin et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Research Letters•2021

    In the past decade, several efforts have been made to project armed conflict risk into the future. This study broadens current approaches by presenting a first-of-its-kind application of machine learning (ML) methods to project sub-national armed conflict risk over the African continent along three Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios and three Representative Concentration Pathways towards 2050. Results of the open-source ML framework CoP…

  • Projecting long-term armed conflict risk: An underappreciated field of inquiry

    Open Access•Sophie de Bruin, Sophie P de Bruin et al.•ARTICLE•Global Environmental Change•2021•References: 15

    Little research has been done on projecting long-term conflict risks. Such projections are currently neither included in the development of socioeconomic scenarios or climate change impact assessments nor part of global agenda-setting policy processes. In contrast, in other fields of inquiry, long-term projections and scenario studies are established and relevant for both strategical agenda-setting and applied policies. Although making projection…

  • A Conditional Model of Local Income Shock and Civil Conflict

    Open Access•Halvard Buhaug, Mihai Croicu et al.•ARTICLE•The Journal of Politics•2021•Cited by: 14•References: 76

    Common political economy models point to rationalist motives for engaging in conflict but say little about how income shocks translate into collective violence in some cases but not in others. Grievance models, in contrast, focus on structural origins of shared frustration but offer less insight into when the deprived decide to challenge the status quo. Addressing these lacunae, we develop a theoretical model of civil conflict that predicts incom…

  • Security implications of climate change: A decade of scientific progress

    Open Access•Nina Von Uexkull, Halvard Buhaug•ARTICLE•Journal of Peace Research•2021•Cited by: 19•References: 119

    The study of security implications of climate change has developed rapidly from a nascent area of academic inquiry into an important and thriving research field that traverses epistemological and disciplinary boundaries. Here, we take stock of scientific progress by benchmarking the latest decade of empirical research against seven core research priorities collectively emphasized in 35 recent literature reviews. On the basis of this evaluation, w…

  • Disaster risk reduction and the limits of truisms: Improving the knowledge and practice interface

    Open Access•Daniel Nohrstedt, Charles F Parker et al.•ARTICLE•International Journal of Disaster…•2022

    Action toward strengthened disaster risk reduction (DRR) ideally builds from evidence-based policymaking to inform decisions and priorities. This is a guiding principle for the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction (SFDRR), which outlines priorities for action to reduce disaster risk. However, some of these practical guidelines conceal oversimplified or unsubstantiated claims and assumptions, what we refer to as ‘truisms’, which, if not pr…

  • The Future of Environmental Peace and Conflict Research

    Open Access•Tobias Ide, Mckenzie F Johnson et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Politics•2023•Cited by: 5•References: 42

    Interest in the intersections of environmental issues, peace and conflict has surged in recent years. Research on the topic has developed along separate research streams, which broadened the knowledge base considerably, but hardly interact across disciplinary, methodological, epistemological and ontological silos. Our forum addresses this gap by bringing into conversation six research streams on the environment, peace and conflict: environmental …

  • UN peacekeeping presence and local food security outcomes

    Open Access•Sara Lindberg Bromley, Nina Von Uexkull•ARTICLE•Conflict Management and Peace…•2024•Cited by: 1•References: 21

    A now extensive literature examines effects of international peacekeeping on conflict-affected countries’ war-to-peace transitions. Still, we know little about how impactful peacekeeping is in stemming a wider set of hardships affecting host communities, such as hunger. Addressing this gap, we theorize and empirically examine the relationship between local UN peacekeeping deployment and food security in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Mali,…

  • Fueling protest? Climate change mitigation, fuel prices and protest onset

    Open Access•Nina Von Uexkull, Espen Geelmuyden Rød et al.•ARTICLE•World Development•2024•Cited by: 3•References: 22

    Mitigating global warming requires a rapid reduction in the use of fossil fuels which form the foundation of modern economies. Fossil fuel reduction is crucial for minimizing future loss and damage associated with a changing climate, but a challenging task. In diverse contexts, climate-friendly policies that increased fuel prices have sparked massive, at times violent, protests, ultimately leading to a reversal of those policies. However, to what…

  • Pathways from research to sustainable development: Insights from ten research projects in sustainability and resilience

    Open Access•Anna Scaini, Joe Mulligan et al.•ARTICLE•AMBIO•2024•Cited by: 2•References: 106

    Drawing on collective experience from ten collaborative research projects focused on the Global South, we identify three major challenges that impede the translation of research on sustainability and resilience into better-informed choices by individuals and policy-makers that in turn can support transformation to a sustainable future. The three challenges comprise: (i) converting knowledge produced during research projects into successful knowle…

  • Strong rationale, weak evidence: Why integrating research on sustainability and peacebuilding is needed

    Open Access•Halvard Buhaug, Nina Von Uexkull•ARTICLE•One Earth•2025

  • The impacts of armed conflict on human development: A review of the literature

    Open Access•Paola Vesco, Ghassan Baliki et al.•ARTICLE•World Development•2025

    The detrimental impacts of wars on human development are well documented across research domains, from public health to micro-economics. However, these impacts are studied in compartmentalized silos, which limits a comprehensive understanding of the consequences of conflicts, hampering our ability to effectively sustain human development. This article takes a first step in addressing this gap by reviewing the literature on conflict impacts throug…

Political science (17 works) · Economics (12 works) · Geography (10 works) · Transboundary Water Resource Management (10 works) · Climate change (9 works) · Development economics (7 works) · Sociology (7 works) · Agricultural risk and resilience (6 works) · Ecology (6 works) · Health and Conflict Studies (6 works)

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