David J Brulé
Biographic Data
| ID | 1418554 |
|---|---|
| NAME | David J Brulé |
| GIVEN NAMES | David J |
| FAMILY NAME | Brulé |
| SIGNATURE | BRULÉ D J |
| AFFILIATIONS | University of Tennessee at Knoxville |
| VERIFIED | No |
| TOTAL WORKS | 8 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 70 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 8 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2005 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2014 |
| H-INDEX | 5 |
Predictably Unpredictable: The Effects of Conflict Involvement on the Error Variance of Vote Models
International conflict has profoundly influenced election outcomes in some cases, and in other cases has had a minimal impact. This article develops a theory that the increased salience of foreign policy issues following periods of international hostilities increases the variance of government parties’ vote shares. In elections following conflict, the ability to accurately predict election outcomes using traditional economic voting models is redu…
Opportunities and Presidential Uses of Force: A Selection Model of Crisis Decision-Making
Political vulnerability is thought to influence the opportunities available to the US president to engage in uses of force abroad. Conventional theories linking economic misfortune and partisan opposition to presidential uses of force detail the incentives and constraints facing the president in decisions to use force. In contrast, these theories’ strategic counterparts focus on the ability of US adversaries to respond to the president’s vulnerab…
War Voting: Interstate Disputes, the Economy, and Electoral Outcomes
This article explores the interactive effects of the economy and the use of force on incumbent parties’ electoral performance. Research on the diversionary use of force assumes that leaders (especially democratic leaders) use force abroad to bolster their domestic political fortunes during hard economic times. But other research suggests that crises either lead to removal from office or have no effect on incumbents’ political fortunes. Although a…
Diverting the Legislature: Executive-Legislative Relations, the Economy, and US Uses of Force1
Given distinct partisan macroeconomic preferences, the partisanship of the president or majority in Congress should influence presidential decisions to use force in the face of poor economic conditions—the diversionary use of force. But previous research posits contradictory accounts of the influence of partisanship. We seek to resolve this debate by developing a game theory model, which predicts that leaders divert when government is divided and…
Democracy and Diversion: Government Arrangements, the Economy, and Dispute Initiation
Do legislative constraints constrain or compel democratic executives' conflict behavior during periods of economic decline? Although institutional constraints are thought to reduce democratic executives' propensity to engage in interstate conflict, other research suggests that such constraints may provide incentives to engage in diversionary uses of force. Incorporating work from the comparative study of economic voting and cross-national researc…
Congress, Presidential Approval, and U.S. Dispute Initiation
Journal Article Congress, Presidential Approval, and U.S. Dispute Initiation Get access David J. Brulé David J. Brulé University of Tennessee Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Foreign Policy Analysis, Volume 4, Issue 4, October 2008, Pages 349–370, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1743-8594.2008.00075.x Published: 17 September 2008
The Poliheuristic Research Program: An Assessment and Suggestions for Further Progress
Journal Article The Poliheuristic Research Program: An Assessment and Suggestions for Further Progress Get access David J. Brulé David J. Brulé Department of Political Science, University of Tennessee Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar International Studies Review, Volume 10, Issue 2, June 2008, Pages 266–293, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2486.2008.00773.x Published: 13 May 2008
Explaining and Forecasting Leaders' Decisions: A Poliheuristic Analysis of the Iran Hostage Rescue Decision
In an increasingly dangerous world, forecasting national leaders’ decisions during crises is a central concern of policy analysts. But with a wide range of specific military responses available to leaders, pinpointing a likely decision can be difficult. This essay argues that the poliheuristic theory of foreign policy decision making is a useful tool for aiding policy analysts in forecasting the decisions of national leaders. The theory’s emphasi…
War Voting: Interstate Disputes, the Economy, and Electoral Outcomes
This article explores the interactive effects of the economy and the use of force on incumbent parties’ electoral performance. Research on the diversionary use of force assumes that leaders (especially democratic leaders) use force abroad to bolster their domestic political fortunes during hard economic times. But other research suggests that crises either lead to removal from office or have no effect on incumbents’ political fortunes. Although a…
Explaining and Forecasting Leaders' Decisions: A Poliheuristic Analysis of the Iran Hostage Rescue Decision
In an increasingly dangerous world, forecasting national leaders’ decisions during crises is a central concern of policy analysts. But with a wide range of specific military responses available to leaders, pinpointing a likely decision can be difficult. This essay argues that the poliheuristic theory of foreign policy decision making is a useful tool for aiding policy analysts in forecasting the decisions of national leaders. The theory’s emphasi…
Diverting the Legislature: Executive-Legislative Relations, the Economy, and US Uses of Force1
Given distinct partisan macroeconomic preferences, the partisanship of the president or majority in Congress should influence presidential decisions to use force in the face of poor economic conditions—the diversionary use of force. But previous research posits contradictory accounts of the influence of partisanship. We seek to resolve this debate by developing a game theory model, which predicts that leaders divert when government is divided and…
The Poliheuristic Research Program: An Assessment and Suggestions for Further Progress
Journal Article The Poliheuristic Research Program: An Assessment and Suggestions for Further Progress Get access David J. Brulé David J. Brulé Department of Political Science, University of Tennessee Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar International Studies Review, Volume 10, Issue 2, June 2008, Pages 266–293, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2486.2008.00773.x Published: 13 May 2008
Opportunities and Presidential Uses of Force: A Selection Model of Crisis Decision-Making
Political vulnerability is thought to influence the opportunities available to the US president to engage in uses of force abroad. Conventional theories linking economic misfortune and partisan opposition to presidential uses of force detail the incentives and constraints facing the president in decisions to use force. In contrast, these theories’ strategic counterparts focus on the ability of US adversaries to respond to the president’s vulnerab…
Predictably Unpredictable: The Effects of Conflict Involvement on the Error Variance of Vote Models
International conflict has profoundly influenced election outcomes in some cases, and in other cases has had a minimal impact. This article develops a theory that the increased salience of foreign policy issues following periods of international hostilities increases the variance of government parties’ vote shares. In elections following conflict, the ability to accurately predict election outcomes using traditional economic voting models is redu…
Democracy and Diversion: Government Arrangements, the Economy, and Dispute Initiation
Do legislative constraints constrain or compel democratic executives' conflict behavior during periods of economic decline? Although institutional constraints are thought to reduce democratic executives' propensity to engage in interstate conflict, other research suggests that such constraints may provide incentives to engage in diversionary uses of force. Incorporating work from the comparative study of economic voting and cross-national researc…
Explaining and Forecasting Leaders' Decisions: A Poliheuristic Analysis of the Iran Hostage Rescue Decision
In an increasingly dangerous world, forecasting national leaders’ decisions during crises is a central concern of policy analysts. But with a wide range of specific military responses available to leaders, pinpointing a likely decision can be difficult. This essay argues that the poliheuristic theory of foreign policy decision making is a useful tool for aiding policy analysts in forecasting the decisions of national leaders. The theory’s emphasi…
Congress, Presidential Approval, and U.S. Dispute Initiation
Journal Article Congress, Presidential Approval, and U.S. Dispute Initiation Get access David J. Brulé David J. Brulé University of Tennessee Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Foreign Policy Analysis, Volume 4, Issue 4, October 2008, Pages 349–370, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1743-8594.2008.00075.x Published: 17 September 2008
The Poliheuristic Research Program: An Assessment and Suggestions for Further Progress
Journal Article The Poliheuristic Research Program: An Assessment and Suggestions for Further Progress Get access David J. Brulé David J. Brulé Department of Political Science, University of Tennessee Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar International Studies Review, Volume 10, Issue 2, June 2008, Pages 266–293, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2486.2008.00773.x Published: 13 May 2008
Democracy and Diversion: Government Arrangements, the Economy, and Dispute Initiation
Do legislative constraints constrain or compel democratic executives' conflict behavior during periods of economic decline? Although institutional constraints are thought to reduce democratic executives' propensity to engage in interstate conflict, other research suggests that such constraints may provide incentives to engage in diversionary uses of force. Incorporating work from the comparative study of economic voting and cross-national researc…
Opportunities and Presidential Uses of Force: A Selection Model of Crisis Decision-Making
Political vulnerability is thought to influence the opportunities available to the US president to engage in uses of force abroad. Conventional theories linking economic misfortune and partisan opposition to presidential uses of force detail the incentives and constraints facing the president in decisions to use force. In contrast, these theories’ strategic counterparts focus on the ability of US adversaries to respond to the president’s vulnerab…
War Voting: Interstate Disputes, the Economy, and Electoral Outcomes
This article explores the interactive effects of the economy and the use of force on incumbent parties’ electoral performance. Research on the diversionary use of force assumes that leaders (especially democratic leaders) use force abroad to bolster their domestic political fortunes during hard economic times. But other research suggests that crises either lead to removal from office or have no effect on incumbents’ political fortunes. Although a…
Diverting the Legislature: Executive-Legislative Relations, the Economy, and US Uses of Force1
Given distinct partisan macroeconomic preferences, the partisanship of the president or majority in Congress should influence presidential decisions to use force in the face of poor economic conditions—the diversionary use of force. But previous research posits contradictory accounts of the influence of partisanship. We seek to resolve this debate by developing a game theory model, which predicts that leaders divert when government is divided and…
Predictably Unpredictable: The Effects of Conflict Involvement on the Error Variance of Vote Models
International conflict has profoundly influenced election outcomes in some cases, and in other cases has had a minimal impact. This article develops a theory that the increased salience of foreign policy issues following periods of international hostilities increases the variance of government parties’ vote shares. In elections following conflict, the ability to accurately predict election outcomes using traditional economic voting models is redu…
Political science (7 works) · Economics (6 works) · Electoral Systems and Political Participation (6 works) · Law (6 works) · Politics (6 works) · Political Conflict and Governance (5 works) · Political Influence and Corporate Strategies (5 works) · International Relations and Foreign Policy (4 works) · Law (4 works) · Political economy (4 works)