Skip to main content

ETHNOS_APP

Home • Search • Journals • List 0

Barry J Gaines

Biographic Data

ID1509130
NAMEBarry J Gaines
GIVEN NAMESBarry J
FAMILY NAMEGaines
SIGNATUREGAINES B J
AFFILIATIONSUniversity of Illinois Urbana-Champaign
ORCID0000-0003-3549-7611
VERIFIEDYes
TOTAL WORKS30
TOTAL CITATIONS899
AUTHOR COUNT30
EDITOR COUNT0
FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR1991
LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR2025
H-INDEX12
  • Life-or-Death Framing of Public-Health Policy in a Pandemic

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines•ARTICLE•Journal of Experimental Political…•2025•References: 4

    The justifiably famous “Asian disease” experiment (ADE) by Tversky and Kahneman established that choices involving uncertainty can be dependent on framing. Description emphasizing gains induced much higher preference for choices in which outcomes were described as certain rather than probabilistic, as compared to description emphasizing losses. The vignette for the ADE involved disease mitigation, and the COVID pandemic gave it much-enhanced real…

  • Survey Design, Order Effects, and Causal Mediation Analysis

    Stephen Chaudoin, Barry J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•The Journal of Politics•2021•Cited by: 11•References: 9

    Causal mediation analysis requires measurement of an outcome variable (O) with and without treatment, plus a set of mediator variables (M) that constitute possible pathways for the treatment effect. There is no consensus on whether surveys should measure potentially mediating variables before or after the outcome variables—MO or OM. We use a replication exercise to demonstrate how the order of mediator and outcome items can be consequential for t…

  • The Myth of the Bipartisan National Popular Vote Plan

    Open Access•J G Evans, Barry J Gaines•ARTICLE•The Forum•2019•References: 4

    Advocates of the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact (NPVIC) promise that it can deliver plurality electoral rule (“first past the post”) for presidential elections, at the national level, without amending the Constitution or abolishing the Electoral College. They also contend that the plan has seen bipartisan support and will pass on the strength of such cross-party attraction. In fact, the NPVIC remains a polarizing scheme, strongly appeal…

  • The study of legislative committees

    Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Legislative Studies•2019•Cited by: 10•References: 35

    Proving that legislative committees really matter is not simple. The assembled papers aim to demonstrate fruitful paths to analysing when committees influence policy, what they can and should do, and how to detect their importance to the political process

  • A bouncy house? UK select committee newsworthiness, 2005–18

    Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Legislative Studies•2019•Cited by: 4•References: 20

    Traditionally, legislative committees have been regarded as quite unimportant in the UK. Some scholars contend that recent reforms have substantially increased the powers of select committees, rendering them genuinely important to policy and the scrutiny of government; others see little sign of change. We examine House of Commons select committees in regard to exactly one indicator of significance, their newspaper coverage. We detect significant …

  • Conclusion: Prospects for Analysing Committees in Comparative Perspective

    Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Legislative Studies•2019•Cited by: 5•References: 30

    While theories of committees in the U.S. Congress can continue to play a central role in the still-growing comparative study of committees, they require careful, frequent modification. Moreover, more fruitful study of committees may require a wider framework, recognising more fully that committees are institutions embedded in wider social structures

  • Hahn-Sigelman Prize

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines•ARTICLE•American Politics Research•2016

  • Hahn-Sigelman Prize

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines•ARTICLE•American Politics Research•2015

  • Hahn-Sigelman Prize

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines•ARTICLE•American Politics Research•2014

  • Is Four Twice as Nice as Two? A Natural Experiment on Electoral Effects of Term Length

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•State Politics & Policy Quarterly•2012•Cited by: 2•References: 10

    In Illinois and Texas, senate elections return members to serve terms of different length. Because term length schedules are randomized, these states provide a natural experiment. Cross-sectional comparison of chambers requires statistical controls for myriad factors that distinguish cases (chambers or periods). These two chambers, by contrast, produce direct evidence of term length's impact on electoral behavior. We test hypotheses about term le…

  • Experimental Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects Related to Self-Selection: Heterogeneous Treatment Effects

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•American Journal of Political…•2011•Cited by: 40•References: 30

    Social scientists widely regard the random-assignment experiment as the gold standard for making causal inferences about the world. We argue that it can be improved. For situations in which self-selection and heterogeneity of treatment effects exist, an alternative experimental design that retains random assignment to treatment or control and supplements it with some self-selection of condition offers a clear advantage. It reveals the average tre…

  • Typing Together? Clustering of Ideological Types in Online Social Networks

    Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Information Technology…•2009•Cited by: 9•References: 15

    In the brief span of only a few years, the Facebook social networking site has emerged as a central forum for social interaction and communication. The fact that Facebook members may well be rich in “virtual social capital” could be important news from the standpoint of political engagement and mobilization, and, more broadly, in terms of the content and patterns of social interaction. In this article, we discuss the significance of the Facebook …

  • Apportionment Matters: Fair Representation in the US House and Electoral College

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•Perspectives on Politics•2009•Cited by: 5•References: 3

    The 2000 presidential election made various electoral institutions—from ballot format to voting mechanisms—suddenly prominent in public debate. One institution that garnered little attention, but nonetheless affected the outcome, was apportionment. A few commentators, looking ahead to 2004, noticed that Bush would have won more comfortably had the apportionment based on the 2000 census already been in place for the 2000 election. Little attention…

  • The Effect of Local Political Context on How Americans Vote

    Open Access•Joshua J Dyck, Barry J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•American Politics Research•2009•Cited by: 6•References: 26

    Neighborhood context could condition voting decisions, but systematic investigation of whether (how) the traits of a given locale shape individual voting decisions is sparse. We explore the possibility that local partisan balance affects turnout and the use of convenience voting in particular. Using comprehensive registered-voter lists from four swing states in the 2002 and 2006 elections, we find an intriguing asymmetry: Republican registrants a…

  • Same Facts, Different Interpretations: Partisan Motivation and Opinion on Iraq

    Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•The Journal of Politics•2007•Cited by: 271•References: 12

    Scholars assume that citizens perform better when they know pertinent facts. Factual beliefs, however, become relevant for political judgments only when people interpret them. Interpretations provide opportunities for partisans to rationalize their existing opinions. Using panel studies, we examine whether and how partisans updated factual beliefs, interpretations of beliefs, and opinions about the handling of the Iraq war as real-world condition…

  • The Logic of the Survey Experiment Reexamined

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•Political Analysis•2006•Cited by: 263•References: 26

    Scholars of political behavior increasingly embed experimental designs in opinion surveys by randomly assigning respondents alternative versions of questionnaire items. Such experiments have major advantages: they are simple to implement and they dodge some of the difficulties of making inferences from conventional survey data. But survey experiments are no panacea. We identify problems of inference associated with typical uses of survey experime…

  • On California's 1920 Alien Land Law: The Psychology and Economics of Racial Discrimination

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•State Politics & Policy Quarterly•2004•Cited by: 3•References: 19

    Scholars have recently highlighted a critical, but previously neglected, facet of racially discriminatory public policies—such policies may be motivated by either economic or psychological forces. That is, racially discriminatory policy may be the result of self-interest and competition in the face of scarcity or prejudices and affects based on group identities. We test if these motivations were behind the passage of an important, openly discrimi…

  • Another Look at Connections Across German Elections

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Theoretical Politics•2004•Cited by: 17•References: 12

    By examining connections between recent federal and state elections in Germany, we evaluate whether German elections seem to be maintaining some interesting preunification patterns broadly reminiscent of American elections, even as the re-absorption of the East has made the German party system more chaotic. Regional partisan stability does persist and there is continuity by way of a robust ‘moderating elections’ phenomenon: all parties suffer in …

  • The Limits of Ecological Inference: The Case of Split‐Ticket Voting

    Open Access•Wendy K Tam Cho, Barry J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•American Journal of Political…•2004•Cited by: 27•References: 30

    We examine the limits of ecological inference methods by focusing on the case of split‐ticket voting.Burden and Kimball (1998)report that, by using the King estimation procedure for inferring individual‐level behavior from aggregate data, they are the first to produce accurate estimates of split‐ticket voting rates in congressional districts. However, a closer examination of their data reveals that a satisfactory analysis of this problem is more …

  • The Limits of Ecological Inference: The Case of Split-Ticket Voting

    Wendy K Tam Cho, Barry J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•American Journal of Political…•2004•Cited by: 14

  • Where's the Rally? Approval and Trust of the President, Cabinet, Congress, and Government Since September 11

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines•ARTICLE•PS Political Science & Politics•2002•Cited by: 14

    There has been much debate over whether the United States has changed in any lasting and fundamental manners since September 11, 2001. Immediately following the carnage, editorialists and pundits proclaimed a national loss of innocence, the end of American exceptionalism, the new globalization of terror, and other cataclysmic shifts. One year later, it is still too early to be certain which claims will stand the test of time, and which will event…

  • Popular Myths About Popular Vote-Electoral College Splits

    Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines•ARTICLE•PS Political Science & Politics•2001•Cited by: 4

    An official recount was required to determine the winner of a knifeedged election. A Senate candidate's untimely death resulted, surprisingly and circuitously, in the Democrats picking up an extra Senate seat. Amidst widespread allegations of fraud and irregularities, the winner of the popular vote in the presidential election failed for the first time since 1888 to win the decisive electoral-college vote. And thus was foiled the vice president's…

  • A Further Look at Universalism and Partisanship in Congressional Roll Call Voting

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•Political Analysis•2000•Cited by: 1•References: 1

    This note extends Melissa P. Collie's “Universalism and the Parties in the U.S. House of Representatives, 1921–80,” American Journal of Political Science 32, 4 (November 1988): 865–883. Detecting a strongly negative correlation between the time series of universalism and partisanship in roll call votes for the 67th through 96th U.S. Houses, Collie concluded that consensus and partisanship are alternative, rival means of organizing legislative act…

  • From Duverger to Cox, and beyond: The State-of-the-Art in Electoral Law Studies

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines•ARTICLE•Japanese Journal of Political…•2000•Cited by: 3

    Prior to its publication, Gary Cox's Making Votes Count was widely and eagerly anticipated. (Indeed, some years ago, I received a referee report dismissing my submission as unnecessary because superior analysis would eventually appear in Cox's then forthcoming manuscript.) Upon its release in 1998, the book was instantly lauded: it collected multiple awards, including the prestigious Woodrow Wilson prize for best book published on government, pol…

  • Duverger's Law and the Meaning of Canadian Exceptionalism

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines•ARTICLE•Comparative Political Studies•1999•Cited by: 52•References: 24

    Duverger's law is an unusually simple and specific elaboration on exactly how political institutions “matter”: It proposes that plurality rule elections result in two-party competition. Canada is commonly thought to violate the law at the national level, but to match its predictions at the district level, and thus not to constitute a genuine counterexample. In fact, analysis of a vast data set of Canadian election returns reveals that these elect…

Next
  • Same Facts, Different Interpretations: Partisan Motivation and Opinion on Iraq

    Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•The Journal of Politics•2007•Cited by: 271•References: 12

    Scholars assume that citizens perform better when they know pertinent facts. Factual beliefs, however, become relevant for political judgments only when people interpret them. Interpretations provide opportunities for partisans to rationalize their existing opinions. Using panel studies, we examine whether and how partisans updated factual beliefs, interpretations of beliefs, and opinions about the handling of the Iraq war as real-world condition…

  • The Logic of the Survey Experiment Reexamined

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•Political Analysis•2006•Cited by: 263•References: 26

    Scholars of political behavior increasingly embed experimental designs in opinion surveys by randomly assigning respondents alternative versions of questionnaire items. Such experiments have major advantages: they are simple to implement and they dodge some of the difficulties of making inferences from conventional survey data. But survey experiments are no panacea. We identify problems of inference associated with typical uses of survey experime…

  • The Impersonal Vote? Constituency Service and Incumbency Advantage in British Elections, 1950-92

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines•ARTICLE•Legislative Studies Quarterly•1998•Cited by: 55•References: 22

    British elections are traditionally understood to be dominated by parties and leaders. Local candidates are taken to be mere ciphers, whose impact on the outcome is negligible. Recently, however, several works have documented a change in MP behavior. Today's members do more constituency service than did their predecessors, in the belief that this will create a personal vote. If the MPs are succeeding, incumbency advantage should now be evident, a…

  • Duverger's Law and the Meaning of Canadian Exceptionalism

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines•ARTICLE•Comparative Political Studies•1999•Cited by: 52•References: 24

    Duverger's law is an unusually simple and specific elaboration on exactly how political institutions “matter”: It proposes that plurality rule elections result in two-party competition. Canada is commonly thought to violate the law at the national level, but to match its predictions at the district level, and thus not to constitute a genuine counterexample. In fact, analysis of a vast data set of Canadian election returns reveals that these elect…

  • Experimental Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects Related to Self-Selection: Heterogeneous Treatment Effects

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•American Journal of Political…•2011•Cited by: 40•References: 30

    Social scientists widely regard the random-assignment experiment as the gold standard for making causal inferences about the world. We argue that it can be improved. For situations in which self-selection and heterogeneity of treatment effects exist, an alternative experimental design that retains random assignment to treatment or control and supplements it with some self-selection of condition offers a clear advantage. It reveals the average tre…

  • The Fallacy of Democratic Elitism: Elite Competition and Commitment to Civil Liberties

    Open Access•Paul M Sniderman, Joseph Fletcher et al.•ARTICLE•British Journal of Political…•1991•Cited by: 34•References: 13

    Since the seminal studies of Stouffer and McClosky it has become accepted that political elites are markedly more committed to civil liberties and democratic values than is the public at large; so much so that political elites should be recognized, in McClosky's words, as ‘the major repositories of the public conscience and as carriers of the Creed’. The argument of this article is that previous analyses have erred by focusing on the contrast bet…

  • The Limits of Ecological Inference: The Case of Split‐Ticket Voting

    Open Access•Wendy K Tam Cho, Barry J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•American Journal of Political…•2004•Cited by: 27•References: 30

    We examine the limits of ecological inference methods by focusing on the case of split‐ticket voting.Burden and Kimball (1998)report that, by using the King estimation procedure for inferring individual‐level behavior from aggregate data, they are the first to produce accurate estimates of split‐ticket voting rates in congressional districts. However, a closer examination of their data reveals that a satisfactory analysis of this problem is more …

  • The perils of presidential support: How the Republicans took the House in the 1994 midterm elections

    Open Access•D Brady, David W Brady et al.•ARTICLE•Political Behavior•1996•Cited by: 25•References: 13

  • Another Look at Connections Across German Elections

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Theoretical Politics•2004•Cited by: 17•References: 12

    By examining connections between recent federal and state elections in Germany, we evaluate whether German elections seem to be maintaining some interesting preunification patterns broadly reminiscent of American elections, even as the re-absorption of the East has made the German party system more chaotic. Regional partisan stability does persist and there is continuity by way of a robust ‘moderating elections’ phenomenon: all parties suffer in …

  • The Limits of Ecological Inference: The Case of Split-Ticket Voting

    Wendy K Tam Cho, Barry J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•American Journal of Political…•2004•Cited by: 14

  • Where's the Rally? Approval and Trust of the President, Cabinet, Congress, and Government Since September 11

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines•ARTICLE•PS Political Science & Politics•2002•Cited by: 14

    There has been much debate over whether the United States has changed in any lasting and fundamental manners since September 11, 2001. Immediately following the carnage, editorialists and pundits proclaimed a national loss of innocence, the end of American exceptionalism, the new globalization of terror, and other cataclysmic shifts. One year later, it is still too early to be certain which claims will stand the test of time, and which will event…

  • The calculus of dissent: Party discipline in the British Labour government, 1974?1979

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•Political Behavior•1993•Cited by: 13•References: 24

  • Survey Design, Order Effects, and Causal Mediation Analysis

    Stephen Chaudoin, Barry J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•The Journal of Politics•2021•Cited by: 11•References: 9

    Causal mediation analysis requires measurement of an outcome variable (O) with and without treatment, plus a set of mediator variables (M) that constitute possible pathways for the treatment effect. There is no consensus on whether surveys should measure potentially mediating variables before or after the outcome variables—MO or OM. We use a replication exercise to demonstrate how the order of mediator and outcome items can be consequential for t…

  • Where to count parties

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines•ARTICLE•Electoral Studies•1997•Cited by: 11•References: 10

  • The study of legislative committees

    Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Legislative Studies•2019•Cited by: 10•References: 35

    Proving that legislative committees really matter is not simple. The assembled papers aim to demonstrate fruitful paths to analysing when committees influence policy, what they can and should do, and how to detect their importance to the political process

  • Typing Together? Clustering of Ideological Types in Online Social Networks

    Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Information Technology…•2009•Cited by: 9•References: 15

    In the brief span of only a few years, the Facebook social networking site has emerged as a central forum for social interaction and communication. The fact that Facebook members may well be rich in “virtual social capital” could be important news from the standpoint of political engagement and mobilization, and, more broadly, in terms of the content and patterns of social interaction. In this article, we discuss the significance of the Facebook …

  • The Effect of Local Political Context on How Americans Vote

    Open Access•Joshua J Dyck, Barry J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•American Politics Research•2009•Cited by: 6•References: 26

    Neighborhood context could condition voting decisions, but systematic investigation of whether (how) the traits of a given locale shape individual voting decisions is sparse. We explore the possibility that local partisan balance affects turnout and the use of convenience voting in particular. Using comprehensive registered-voter lists from four swing states in the 2002 and 2006 elections, we find an intriguing asymmetry: Republican registrants a…

  • Conclusion: Prospects for Analysing Committees in Comparative Perspective

    Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Legislative Studies•2019•Cited by: 5•References: 30

    While theories of committees in the U.S. Congress can continue to play a central role in the still-growing comparative study of committees, they require careful, frequent modification. Moreover, more fruitful study of committees may require a wider framework, recognising more fully that committees are institutions embedded in wider social structures

  • Apportionment Matters: Fair Representation in the US House and Electoral College

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•Perspectives on Politics•2009•Cited by: 5•References: 3

    The 2000 presidential election made various electoral institutions—from ballot format to voting mechanisms—suddenly prominent in public debate. One institution that garnered little attention, but nonetheless affected the outcome, was apportionment. A few commentators, looking ahead to 2004, noticed that Bush would have won more comfortably had the apportionment based on the 2000 census already been in place for the 2000 election. Little attention…

  • A bouncy house? UK select committee newsworthiness, 2005–18

    Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Legislative Studies•2019•Cited by: 4•References: 20

    Traditionally, legislative committees have been regarded as quite unimportant in the UK. Some scholars contend that recent reforms have substantially increased the powers of select committees, rendering them genuinely important to policy and the scrutiny of government; others see little sign of change. We examine House of Commons select committees in regard to exactly one indicator of significance, their newspaper coverage. We detect significant …

  • Popular Myths About Popular Vote-Electoral College Splits

    Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines•ARTICLE•PS Political Science & Politics•2001•Cited by: 4

    An official recount was required to determine the winner of a knifeedged election. A Senate candidate's untimely death resulted, surprisingly and circuitously, in the Democrats picking up an extra Senate seat. Amidst widespread allegations of fraud and irregularities, the winner of the popular vote in the presidential election failed for the first time since 1888 to win the decisive electoral-college vote. And thus was foiled the vice president's…

  • On California's 1920 Alien Land Law: The Psychology and Economics of Racial Discrimination

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•State Politics & Policy Quarterly•2004•Cited by: 3•References: 19

    Scholars have recently highlighted a critical, but previously neglected, facet of racially discriminatory public policies—such policies may be motivated by either economic or psychological forces. That is, racially discriminatory policy may be the result of self-interest and competition in the face of scarcity or prejudices and affects based on group identities. We test if these motivations were behind the passage of an important, openly discrimi…

  • From Duverger to Cox, and beyond: The State-of-the-Art in Electoral Law Studies

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines•ARTICLE•Japanese Journal of Political…•2000•Cited by: 3

    Prior to its publication, Gary Cox's Making Votes Count was widely and eagerly anticipated. (Indeed, some years ago, I received a referee report dismissing my submission as unnecessary because superior analysis would eventually appear in Cox's then forthcoming manuscript.) Upon its release in 1998, the book was instantly lauded: it collected multiple awards, including the prestigious Woodrow Wilson prize for best book published on government, pol…

  • Is Four Twice as Nice as Two? A Natural Experiment on Electoral Effects of Term Length

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•State Politics & Policy Quarterly•2012•Cited by: 2•References: 10

    In Illinois and Texas, senate elections return members to serve terms of different length. Because term length schedules are randomized, these states provide a natural experiment. Cross-sectional comparison of chambers requires statistical controls for myriad factors that distinguish cases (chambers or periods). These two chambers, by contrast, produce direct evidence of term length's impact on electoral behavior. We test hypotheses about term le…

  • A Further Look at Universalism and Partisanship in Congressional Roll Call Voting

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•Political Analysis•2000•Cited by: 1•References: 1

    This note extends Melissa P. Collie's “Universalism and the Parties in the U.S. House of Representatives, 1921–80,” American Journal of Political Science 32, 4 (November 1988): 865–883. Detecting a strongly negative correlation between the time series of universalism and partisanship in roll call votes for the 67th through 96th U.S. Houses, Collie concluded that consensus and partisanship are alternative, rival means of organizing legislative act…

  • The Fallacy of Democratic Elitism: Elite Competition and Commitment to Civil Liberties

    Open Access•Paul M Sniderman, Joseph Fletcher et al.•ARTICLE•British Journal of Political…•1991•Cited by: 34•References: 13

    Since the seminal studies of Stouffer and McClosky it has become accepted that political elites are markedly more committed to civil liberties and democratic values than is the public at large; so much so that political elites should be recognized, in McClosky's words, as ‘the major repositories of the public conscience and as carriers of the Creed’. The argument of this article is that previous analyses have erred by focusing on the contrast bet…

  • The calculus of dissent: Party discipline in the British Labour government, 1974?1979

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•Political Behavior•1993•Cited by: 13•References: 24

  • The perils of presidential support: How the Republicans took the House in the 1994 midterm elections

    Open Access•D Brady, David W Brady et al.•ARTICLE•Political Behavior•1996•Cited by: 25•References: 13

  • Where to count parties

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines•ARTICLE•Electoral Studies•1997•Cited by: 11•References: 10

  • The Impersonal Vote? Constituency Service and Incumbency Advantage in British Elections, 1950-92

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines•ARTICLE•Legislative Studies Quarterly•1998•Cited by: 55•References: 22

    British elections are traditionally understood to be dominated by parties and leaders. Local candidates are taken to be mere ciphers, whose impact on the outcome is negligible. Recently, however, several works have documented a change in MP behavior. Today's members do more constituency service than did their predecessors, in the belief that this will create a personal vote. If the MPs are succeeding, incumbency advantage should now be evident, a…

  • Duverger's Law and the Meaning of Canadian Exceptionalism

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines•ARTICLE•Comparative Political Studies•1999•Cited by: 52•References: 24

    Duverger's law is an unusually simple and specific elaboration on exactly how political institutions “matter”: It proposes that plurality rule elections result in two-party competition. Canada is commonly thought to violate the law at the national level, but to match its predictions at the district level, and thus not to constitute a genuine counterexample. In fact, analysis of a vast data set of Canadian election returns reveals that these elect…

  • A Further Look at Universalism and Partisanship in Congressional Roll Call Voting

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•Political Analysis•2000•Cited by: 1•References: 1

    This note extends Melissa P. Collie's “Universalism and the Parties in the U.S. House of Representatives, 1921–80,” American Journal of Political Science 32, 4 (November 1988): 865–883. Detecting a strongly negative correlation between the time series of universalism and partisanship in roll call votes for the 67th through 96th U.S. Houses, Collie concluded that consensus and partisanship are alternative, rival means of organizing legislative act…

  • From Duverger to Cox, and beyond: The State-of-the-Art in Electoral Law Studies

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines•ARTICLE•Japanese Journal of Political…•2000•Cited by: 3

    Prior to its publication, Gary Cox's Making Votes Count was widely and eagerly anticipated. (Indeed, some years ago, I received a referee report dismissing my submission as unnecessary because superior analysis would eventually appear in Cox's then forthcoming manuscript.) Upon its release in 1998, the book was instantly lauded: it collected multiple awards, including the prestigious Woodrow Wilson prize for best book published on government, pol…

  • Popular Myths About Popular Vote-Electoral College Splits

    Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines•ARTICLE•PS Political Science & Politics•2001•Cited by: 4

    An official recount was required to determine the winner of a knifeedged election. A Senate candidate's untimely death resulted, surprisingly and circuitously, in the Democrats picking up an extra Senate seat. Amidst widespread allegations of fraud and irregularities, the winner of the popular vote in the presidential election failed for the first time since 1888 to win the decisive electoral-college vote. And thus was foiled the vice president's…

  • Where's the Rally? Approval and Trust of the President, Cabinet, Congress, and Government Since September 11

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines•ARTICLE•PS Political Science & Politics•2002•Cited by: 14

    There has been much debate over whether the United States has changed in any lasting and fundamental manners since September 11, 2001. Immediately following the carnage, editorialists and pundits proclaimed a national loss of innocence, the end of American exceptionalism, the new globalization of terror, and other cataclysmic shifts. One year later, it is still too early to be certain which claims will stand the test of time, and which will event…

  • On California's 1920 Alien Land Law: The Psychology and Economics of Racial Discrimination

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•State Politics & Policy Quarterly•2004•Cited by: 3•References: 19

    Scholars have recently highlighted a critical, but previously neglected, facet of racially discriminatory public policies—such policies may be motivated by either economic or psychological forces. That is, racially discriminatory policy may be the result of self-interest and competition in the face of scarcity or prejudices and affects based on group identities. We test if these motivations were behind the passage of an important, openly discrimi…

  • Another Look at Connections Across German Elections

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Theoretical Politics•2004•Cited by: 17•References: 12

    By examining connections between recent federal and state elections in Germany, we evaluate whether German elections seem to be maintaining some interesting preunification patterns broadly reminiscent of American elections, even as the re-absorption of the East has made the German party system more chaotic. Regional partisan stability does persist and there is continuity by way of a robust ‘moderating elections’ phenomenon: all parties suffer in …

  • The Limits of Ecological Inference: The Case of Split‐Ticket Voting

    Open Access•Wendy K Tam Cho, Barry J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•American Journal of Political…•2004•Cited by: 27•References: 30

    We examine the limits of ecological inference methods by focusing on the case of split‐ticket voting.Burden and Kimball (1998)report that, by using the King estimation procedure for inferring individual‐level behavior from aggregate data, they are the first to produce accurate estimates of split‐ticket voting rates in congressional districts. However, a closer examination of their data reveals that a satisfactory analysis of this problem is more …

  • The Limits of Ecological Inference: The Case of Split-Ticket Voting

    Wendy K Tam Cho, Barry J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•American Journal of Political…•2004•Cited by: 14

  • The Logic of the Survey Experiment Reexamined

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•Political Analysis•2006•Cited by: 263•References: 26

    Scholars of political behavior increasingly embed experimental designs in opinion surveys by randomly assigning respondents alternative versions of questionnaire items. Such experiments have major advantages: they are simple to implement and they dodge some of the difficulties of making inferences from conventional survey data. But survey experiments are no panacea. We identify problems of inference associated with typical uses of survey experime…

  • Same Facts, Different Interpretations: Partisan Motivation and Opinion on Iraq

    Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•The Journal of Politics•2007•Cited by: 271•References: 12

    Scholars assume that citizens perform better when they know pertinent facts. Factual beliefs, however, become relevant for political judgments only when people interpret them. Interpretations provide opportunities for partisans to rationalize their existing opinions. Using panel studies, we examine whether and how partisans updated factual beliefs, interpretations of beliefs, and opinions about the handling of the Iraq war as real-world condition…

  • Typing Together? Clustering of Ideological Types in Online Social Networks

    Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Information Technology…•2009•Cited by: 9•References: 15

    In the brief span of only a few years, the Facebook social networking site has emerged as a central forum for social interaction and communication. The fact that Facebook members may well be rich in “virtual social capital” could be important news from the standpoint of political engagement and mobilization, and, more broadly, in terms of the content and patterns of social interaction. In this article, we discuss the significance of the Facebook …

  • Apportionment Matters: Fair Representation in the US House and Electoral College

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•Perspectives on Politics•2009•Cited by: 5•References: 3

    The 2000 presidential election made various electoral institutions—from ballot format to voting mechanisms—suddenly prominent in public debate. One institution that garnered little attention, but nonetheless affected the outcome, was apportionment. A few commentators, looking ahead to 2004, noticed that Bush would have won more comfortably had the apportionment based on the 2000 census already been in place for the 2000 election. Little attention…

  • The Effect of Local Political Context on How Americans Vote

    Open Access•Joshua J Dyck, Barry J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•American Politics Research•2009•Cited by: 6•References: 26

    Neighborhood context could condition voting decisions, but systematic investigation of whether (how) the traits of a given locale shape individual voting decisions is sparse. We explore the possibility that local partisan balance affects turnout and the use of convenience voting in particular. Using comprehensive registered-voter lists from four swing states in the 2002 and 2006 elections, we find an intriguing asymmetry: Republican registrants a…

  • Experimental Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects Related to Self-Selection: Heterogeneous Treatment Effects

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•American Journal of Political…•2011•Cited by: 40•References: 30

    Social scientists widely regard the random-assignment experiment as the gold standard for making causal inferences about the world. We argue that it can be improved. For situations in which self-selection and heterogeneity of treatment effects exist, an alternative experimental design that retains random assignment to treatment or control and supplements it with some self-selection of condition offers a clear advantage. It reveals the average tre…

  • Is Four Twice as Nice as Two? A Natural Experiment on Electoral Effects of Term Length

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines, Brian J Gaines et al.•ARTICLE•State Politics & Policy Quarterly•2012•Cited by: 2•References: 10

    In Illinois and Texas, senate elections return members to serve terms of different length. Because term length schedules are randomized, these states provide a natural experiment. Cross-sectional comparison of chambers requires statistical controls for myriad factors that distinguish cases (chambers or periods). These two chambers, by contrast, produce direct evidence of term length's impact on electoral behavior. We test hypotheses about term le…

  • Hahn-Sigelman Prize

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines•ARTICLE•American Politics Research•2014

  • Hahn-Sigelman Prize

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines•ARTICLE•American Politics Research•2015

  • Hahn-Sigelman Prize

    Open Access•Barry J Gaines•ARTICLE•American Politics Research•2016

  • The Myth of the Bipartisan National Popular Vote Plan

    Open Access•J G Evans, Barry J Gaines•ARTICLE•The Forum•2019•References: 4

    Advocates of the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact (NPVIC) promise that it can deliver plurality electoral rule (“first past the post”) for presidential elections, at the national level, without amending the Constitution or abolishing the Electoral College. They also contend that the plan has seen bipartisan support and will pass on the strength of such cross-party attraction. In fact, the NPVIC remains a polarizing scheme, strongly appeal…

Political science (28 works) · Electoral Systems and Political Participation (19 works) · Politics (19 works) · Law (18 works) · Law (15 works) · Economics (11 works) · Public Administration (11 works) · Sociology (11 works) · Public Administration (10 works) · Computer Science (8 works)

Ethnos_APP • Open Source Project • MIT License • Frontend v2.0.0 • Privacy and Cookies • API Documentation: api.ethnos.app/docs • API Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17049435 • Frontend Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17050053 • cruz.rio.br • Expectantes Misericordiae