Kasper Kok
Biographic Data
| ID | 1569907 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Kasper Kok |
| GIVEN NAMES | Kasper |
| FAMILY NAME | Kok |
| SIGNATURE | KOK K |
| AFFILIATIONS | Wageningen University & Research |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-6319-9227 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 48 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 664 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 48 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2006 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2024 |
| H-INDEX | 13 |
Diversity in global environmental scenario sets
Scenario development and analysis is an important methodological approach in the assessment of global environmental change. Scenarios are used to assess climate change and its impacts on societies, economies, and ecosystems, and identify, test, and improve policy responses to manage the negative consequences of a changing environment. Evaluation of scenarios, especially global scenarios widely used in the climate research and policy community, is…
What shapes silvopastoralism in Mediterranean mid-mountain areas? Understanding factors, drivers, and dynamics using fuzzy cognitive mapping
Silvopastoral systems, integrating woody vegetation and livestock farming, are increasingly recognized as a sustainable land-use supporting biodiversity and ecosystem services provision in the Mediterranean. However, this traditional practice has declined in recent decades, mainly because of land abandonment and intensification processes. We investigated the relationships between the factors involved in the dynamics of silvopastoralism in two con…
Identifying system archetypes in Nigeria's rice agri-food system using fuzzy cognitive mapping
Nigeria is a major rice-producing and rice-importing country in Africa, challenged with ensuring rice-food security for its growing population. Successive governments have implemented several strategies to increase local rice production such as rice import restriction policies and agricultural investments. These strategies have yielded results but achieving long-term sustainable growth in Nigeria’s rice agri-food system has remained elusive. Addr…
A shared socio-economic pathway based framework for characterising future emissions of chemicals to the natural environment
Chemicals are used in all aspects of our lives and are either intentionally or unintentionally released into the natural environment, leading to chemical pollution which negatively effects biodiversity and ecosystem and human health. The world is going through socio-economic, climate and technological changes that will affect chemical emissions to the natural environment but the extent of these affects is unknown. Scenarios of future chemical emi…
Extending the shared socioeconomic pathways for adaptation planning of blue tourism
This paper offers an approach to long-term planning for an industrial sector that is sensitive to climate change, the state of adjacent natural environments and the associated socioeconomic developments. The paper combines exploratory and target-seeking scenarios to understand the future challenges of nature-based blue tourism under alternative global futures, and to develop sequences of actions to accomplish the best achievable future outcome fo…
Emotionally augmented mental models, connectivity and beaver reintroduction in Southwest England
Understanding the psychology of human-wildlife interactions has grown beyond cognitive frameworks to include appreciation of roles played by emotion in human responses to wildlife. From its beginnings as an essentially cognitively framed proposition, mental modeling has been shown readily applicable to representing and interpreting stakeholder perspectives on combined social and natural systems, but lacks an integrated approach to emotion. This i…
Climate change scenario services: From science to facilitating action
The goal of limiting global warming to well below 2°C as set out in the Paris Agreement calls for a strategic assessment of societal pathways and policy strategies. Besides policy makers, new powerful actors from the private sector, including finance, have stepped up to engage in forward-looking assessments of a Paris-compliant and climate-resilient future. Climate change scenarios have addressed this demand by providing scientific insights on th…
Shared Socio-economic Pathways for European agriculture and food systems: The Eur-Agri-SSPs
Scenarios describe plausible and internally consistent views of the future. They can be used by scientists, policymakers and entrepreneurs to explore the challenges of global environmental change given an appropriate level of spatial and sectoral detail and systematic development. We followed a nine-step protocol to extend and enrich a set of global scenarios - the Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs) - providing regional and sectoral detail for…
Advancing the use of scenarios to understand society’s capacity to achieve the 1.5 degree target
Drivers of European landscape change: Stakeholders’ perspectives through Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping
Understanding complex processes of landscape change is crucial to guide the development of future landscapes and land resources. Through Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping, we studied the processes of landscape change of six different environmental zones in Europe. Results show that landscapes are complex systems, with many interactions. Except for one, all regions show a strong decline in landscape quality. Dominant drivers are EU policy and the global eco…
Archetyping shared socioeconomic pathways across scales: An application to central Asia and European case studies
Pedde, S., K. Kok, K. Hölscher, C. Oberlack, P. A. Harrison, and R. Leemans. 2019. Archetyping shared socioeconomic pathways across scales: an application to central Asia and European case studies. Ecology and Society 24(4):30. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-11241-240430
Synthesizing plausible futures for biodiversity and ecosystem services in Europe and Central Asia using scenario archetypes
Harrison, P. A., Z. V. Harmáčková, A. Aloe Karabulut, L. Brotons, M. Cantele, J. Claudet, R. W. Dunford, A. Guisan, I. P. Holman, S. Jacobs, K. Kok, A. Lobanova, A. Morán-Ordóñez, S. Pedde, C. Rixen, F. Santos-Martín, M. A. Schlaepfer, C. Solidoro, A. Sonrel, and J. Hauck. 2019. Synthesizing plausible futures for biodiversity and ecosystem services in Europe and Central Asia using scenario archetypes. Ecology and Society 24(2):27. https://doi.org…
Exploring the usefulness of scenario archetypes in science-policy processes: Experience across Ipbes assessments
Sitas, N., Z. V. Harmáčková, J. A. Anticamara, A. Arneth, R. Badola, R. Biggs, R. Blanchard, L. Brotons, M. Cantele, K. Coetzer, R. DasGupta, E. Den Belder, S. Ghosh, A. Guisan, H. Gundimeda, M. Hamann, P. A. Harrison, S. Hashimoto, J. Hauck, B. Klatt, K. Kok, R. M. Krug, A. Niamir, P. J. O'Farrell, S. Okayasu, I. Palomo, L. M. Pereira, P. Riordan, F. Santos-Martín, O. Selomane, Y. Shin, and M. Valle Tobar. 2019. Exploring the usefulness of scena…
Positive tipping points in a rapidly warming world
The challenge of meeting the UNFCCC CoP21 goal of keeping global warming ‘well below 2 °C and to pursue efforts towards 1.5 °C’ (‘the 2–1.5 °C target’) calls for research efforts to better understand the opportunities and constraints for fundamental transformations in global systems dynamics which currently drive the unsustainable and inequitable use of the Earth's resources. To this end, this research reviews and introduces the notion of positiv…
Exploring the potential of combining participative backcasting and exploratory scenarios for robust strategies: Insights from the Dutch forest sector
Functional and temporal relations between spoken and gestured components of language: A corpus-based inquiry
Based on the Bielefeld Speech and Gesture Alignment Corpus ( Lücking et al. 2013 ), this paper presents a systematic comparison of the linguistic characteristics of unimodal (speech only) and multimodal (gesture-accompanied) forms of language use. The results suggest that each of these two modes of expression is characterized by statistical preferences for certain types of words and grammatical categories. The words that are most frequently accom…
The grammatical potential of co-speech gesture: A Functional Discourse Grammar perspective
In recent years, consensus has been growing that certain co-speech gestures must be incorporated in grammatical theory. Contrary to traditional beliefs, gestural expression has been found to be systematic in various ways, to exhibit some degree of compositional structure and to be to a certain extent language-specific. Most current work on the gesture-grammar interface is, nonetheless, rather programmatic in character or lacks an appropriate theo…
Biodiversity and ecosystem services require Ipbes to take novel approach to scenarios
What does the future hold for the world's ecosystems and benefits that people obtain from them? While the Intergovernmental Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) has identified the development of scenarios as a key to helping decision makers identify potential impacts of different policy options, it currently lacks a long-term scenario strategy. IPBES will decide how it will approach scenarios at its plenary meeting on 22-28 Feb…
Mapping out the multifunctionality of speakers’ gestures
Although it is widely acknowledged that gestures are complex functional elements of human communication, many current functional classification systems are rather rigid, implicitly assuming gestures to perform only one function at any given time. In this paper, we present a theoretical view on the inherent multifunctionality of speakers’ gestures, inspired by frameworks in structural-functional linguistics (Halliday’s Systemic Functional Grammar …
Cognitive Grammar and gesture: Points of convergence, advances and challenges
Given its usage-oriented character, Cognitive Grammar (CG) can be expected to be consonant with a multimodal, rather than text-only, perspective on language. Whereas several scholars have acknowledged this potential, the question as to how speakers’ gestures can be incorporated in CG-based grammatical analysis has not been conclusively addressed. In this paper, we aim to advance the CG-gesture relationship. We first elaborate on three important p…
The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century
Mapping future changes in livelihood security and environmental sustainability based on perceptions of small farmers in the Brazilian Amazon
Diniz, F. H., K. Kok, M. A. Hoogstra-Klein, and B. Arts. 2015. Mapping future changes in livelihood security and environmental sustainability based on perceptions of small farmers in the Brazilian Amazon. Ecology and Society 20(2): 26. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-07286-200226
Visualizing Stakeholder Perspectives for Reflection and Dialogue on Scale Dynamics in Social–Ecological Systems
An understanding among societal actors of how social-ecological systems interact across multiple levels and scales contributes to better governance of those systems. This paper introduces a tool, Scale Perspectives, developed to help societal actors share their perspectives on issues of social-ecological systems governance in a multilevel framework. A first version showed that participants in a local and European case study associated a diverse r…
Multimodal alignment during collaborative remembering
This article investigates the roles that interactive alignment of manual gesture, postural sway, and eye-gaze play in small groups engaged in collaborative remembering. Qualitative analyses of a video corpus demonstrate that the coordination of these behaviors may contribute to joint remembering in various ways, depending upon the cognitive and communicative affordances of these behaviors. The observation that these behaviors are different in the…
Challenges to scenario-guided adaptive action on food security under climate change
This paper examines the development and use of scenarios as an approach to guide action in multi-level, multi-actor adaptation contexts such as food security under climate change. Three challenges are highlighted: (1) ensuring the appropriate scope for action; (2) moving beyond intervention-based decision guidance; and (3) developing long-term shared capacity for strategic planning. To overcome these challenges we have applied explorative scenari…
The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century
Participatory scenario construction in land use analysis: An insight into the experiences created by stakeholder involvement in the Northern Mediterranean
Multi-scale narratives from an IA perspective: Part I. European and Mediterranean scenario development
Challenges to scenario-guided adaptive action on food security under climate change
This paper examines the development and use of scenarios as an approach to guide action in multi-level, multi-actor adaptation contexts such as food security under climate change. Three challenges are highlighted: (1) ensuring the appropriate scope for action; (2) moving beyond intervention-based decision guidance; and (3) developing long-term shared capacity for strategic planning. To overcome these challenges we have applied explorative scenari…
Linking stakeholders and modellers in scenario studies: The use of Fuzzy Cognitive Maps as a communication and learning tool
Multi-scale narratives from an IA perspective: Part II. Participatory local scenario development
Biodiversity and ecosystem services require Ipbes to take novel approach to scenarios
What does the future hold for the world's ecosystems and benefits that people obtain from them? While the Intergovernmental Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) has identified the development of scenarios as a key to helping decision makers identify potential impacts of different policy options, it currently lacks a long-term scenario strategy. IPBES will decide how it will approach scenarios at its plenary meeting on 22-28 Feb…
The potential of Fuzzy Cognitive Maps for semi-quantitative scenario development, with an example from Brazil
Stepping into futures: Exploring the potential of interactive media for participatory scenarios on social-ecological systems
Linking Futures across Scales: A Dialog on Multiscale Scenarios
Biggs, R., C. Raudsepp-Hearne, C. Atkinson-Palombo, E. Bohensky, E. Boyd, G. Cundill, H. Fox, S. Ingram, K. Kok, S. Spehar, M. Tengö, D. Timmer, and M. Zurek 2007. Linking futures across scales: a dialog on multiscale scenarios. Ecology and Society 12(1): 17. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-02051-120117
Fuzzy Cognitive Maps for futures studies—A methodological assessment of concepts and methods
Methods for Developing Multiscale Participatory Scenarios: Insights from Southern Africa and Europe
Kok, K., R. Biggs, and M. Zurek. 2007. Methods for developing multiscale participatory scenarios: insights from southern Africa and Europe. Ecology and Society 13(1): 8. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-01971-120108
Shared Socio-economic Pathways for European agriculture and food systems: The Eur-Agri-SSPs
Scenarios describe plausible and internally consistent views of the future. They can be used by scientists, policymakers and entrepreneurs to explore the challenges of global environmental change given an appropriate level of spatial and sectoral detail and systematic development. We followed a nine-step protocol to extend and enrich a set of global scenarios - the Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs) - providing regional and sectoral detail for…
Positive tipping points in a rapidly warming world
The challenge of meeting the UNFCCC CoP21 goal of keeping global warming ‘well below 2 °C and to pursue efforts towards 1.5 °C’ (‘the 2–1.5 °C target’) calls for research efforts to better understand the opportunities and constraints for fundamental transformations in global systems dynamics which currently drive the unsustainable and inequitable use of the Earth's resources. To this end, this research reviews and introduces the notion of positiv…
Cognitive Grammar and gesture: Points of convergence, advances and challenges
Given its usage-oriented character, Cognitive Grammar (CG) can be expected to be consonant with a multimodal, rather than text-only, perspective on language. Whereas several scholars have acknowledged this potential, the question as to how speakers’ gestures can be incorporated in CG-based grammatical analysis has not been conclusively addressed. In this paper, we aim to advance the CG-gesture relationship. We first elaborate on three important p…
Livelihood strategies in settlement projects in the Brazilian Amazon: Determining drivers and factors within the Agrarian Reform Program
Exploring the potential of combining participative backcasting and exploratory scenarios for robust strategies: Insights from the Dutch forest sector
Advancing the use of scenarios to understand society’s capacity to achieve the 1.5 degree target
Future sustainability and images
Exploring the usefulness of scenario archetypes in science-policy processes: Experience across Ipbes assessments
Sitas, N., Z. V. Harmáčková, J. A. Anticamara, A. Arneth, R. Badola, R. Biggs, R. Blanchard, L. Brotons, M. Cantele, K. Coetzer, R. DasGupta, E. Den Belder, S. Ghosh, A. Guisan, H. Gundimeda, M. Hamann, P. A. Harrison, S. Hashimoto, J. Hauck, B. Klatt, K. Kok, R. M. Krug, A. Niamir, P. J. O'Farrell, S. Okayasu, I. Palomo, L. M. Pereira, P. Riordan, F. Santos-Martín, O. Selomane, Y. Shin, and M. Valle Tobar. 2019. Exploring the usefulness of scena…
Structure in creativity: An exploratory study to analyse the effects of structuring tools on scenario workshop results
Governance, Scale and the Environment: The Importance of Recognizing Knowledge Claims in Transdisciplinary Arenas
Buizer, M., B. Arts, and K. Kok 2011. Governance, scale, and the environment: the importance of recognizing knowledge claims in transdisciplinary arenas. Ecology and Society 16(1): 21. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-03908-160121
Integrated Assessment of the land system: The future of land use
Extending the shared socioeconomic pathways for adaptation planning of blue tourism
This paper offers an approach to long-term planning for an industrial sector that is sensitive to climate change, the state of adjacent natural environments and the associated socioeconomic developments. The paper combines exploratory and target-seeking scenarios to understand the future challenges of nature-based blue tourism under alternative global futures, and to develop sequences of actions to accomplish the best achievable future outcome fo…
Multimodal alignment during collaborative remembering
This article investigates the roles that interactive alignment of manual gesture, postural sway, and eye-gaze play in small groups engaged in collaborative remembering. Qualitative analyses of a video corpus demonstrate that the coordination of these behaviors may contribute to joint remembering in various ways, depending upon the cognitive and communicative affordances of these behaviors. The observation that these behaviors are different in the…
Multi-scale narratives from an IA perspective: Part I. European and Mediterranean scenario development
Multi-scale narratives from an IA perspective: Part II. Participatory local scenario development
Participatory scenario construction in land use analysis: An insight into the experiences created by stakeholder involvement in the Northern Mediterranean
Integrated Assessment of the land system: The future of land use
Methods for Developing Multiscale Participatory Scenarios: Insights from Southern Africa and Europe
Kok, K., R. Biggs, and M. Zurek. 2007. Methods for developing multiscale participatory scenarios: insights from southern Africa and Europe. Ecology and Society 13(1): 8. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-01971-120108
Linking Futures across Scales: A Dialog on Multiscale Scenarios
Biggs, R., C. Raudsepp-Hearne, C. Atkinson-Palombo, E. Bohensky, E. Boyd, G. Cundill, H. Fox, S. Ingram, K. Kok, S. Spehar, M. Tengö, D. Timmer, and M. Zurek 2007. Linking futures across scales: a dialog on multiscale scenarios. Ecology and Society 12(1): 17. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-02051-120117
Comparing the input, output, and validation maps for several models of land change
The potential of Fuzzy Cognitive Maps for semi-quantitative scenario development, with an example from Brazil
Future sustainability and images
Stepping into futures: Exploring the potential of interactive media for participatory scenarios on social-ecological systems
Linking stakeholders and modellers in scenario studies: The use of Fuzzy Cognitive Maps as a communication and learning tool
Combining participative backcasting and exploratory scenario development: Experiences from the SCENES project
Mixed methods in land change research: Towards integration
Peer Reviewed
Panarchy Rules: Rethinking Resilience of Agroecosystems, Evidence from Dutch Dairy-Farming
Van Apeldoorn, D. F., K. Kok, M. P.W. Sonneveld, and T. (A.) Veldkamp. 2011. Panarchy rules: rethinking resilience of agroecosystems, evidence from Dutch dairy-farming. Ecology and Society 16(1): 39. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-03949-160139
Governance, Scale and the Environment: The Importance of Recognizing Knowledge Claims in Transdisciplinary Arenas
Buizer, M., B. Arts, and K. Kok 2011. Governance, scale, and the environment: the importance of recognizing knowledge claims in transdisciplinary arenas. Ecology and Society 16(1): 21. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-03908-160121
Scale and Governance: Conceptual Considerations and Practical Implications
Policies have many unforeseen impacts on social-ecological systems at different levels of spatial and temporal scales. Partly because of this, both scale and governance have been and continue to be hotly debated and studied topics within many scientific disciplines. Although there are two distinct vocabularies, both communities seem to be struggling to come to terms with a shift that has common elements. This special feature has two types of cont…
Structure in creativity: An exploratory study to analyse the effects of structuring tools on scenario workshop results
Assessing Sustainability Perspectives in Rural Innovation Projects Using Q-Methodology
In this article we investigate the different perspectives of sustainable agriculture held by participants of a Dutch innovation programme called TransForum. Using Q-methodology we have systematically elicited individual perspectives on agricultural innovation and extracted their common elements. We have compared these perspectives with existing discourses of rural and sustainable development. Our results show that the use of technology and the ag…
Exploring Dimensions, Scales, and Cross-scale Dynamics from the Perspectives of Change Agents in Social-ecological Systems
Vervoort, J. M., L. Rutting, K. Kok, F. L. P. Hermans, T. Veldkamp, A. K. Bregt, and R. van Lammeren. 2012. Exploring dimensions, scales, and cross-scale dynamics from the perspectives of change agents in social–ecological systems. Ecology and Society 17(4): 24. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-05098-170424
Livelihood strategies in settlement projects in the Brazilian Amazon: Determining drivers and factors within the Agrarian Reform Program
Visualizing Stakeholder Perspectives for Reflection and Dialogue on Scale Dynamics in Social–Ecological Systems
An understanding among societal actors of how social-ecological systems interact across multiple levels and scales contributes to better governance of those systems. This paper introduces a tool, Scale Perspectives, developed to help societal actors share their perspectives on issues of social-ecological systems governance in a multilevel framework. A first version showed that participants in a local and European case study associated a diverse r…
Multimodal alignment during collaborative remembering
This article investigates the roles that interactive alignment of manual gesture, postural sway, and eye-gaze play in small groups engaged in collaborative remembering. Qualitative analyses of a video corpus demonstrate that the coordination of these behaviors may contribute to joint remembering in various ways, depending upon the cognitive and communicative affordances of these behaviors. The observation that these behaviors are different in the…
Challenges to scenario-guided adaptive action on food security under climate change
This paper examines the development and use of scenarios as an approach to guide action in multi-level, multi-actor adaptation contexts such as food security under climate change. Three challenges are highlighted: (1) ensuring the appropriate scope for action; (2) moving beyond intervention-based decision guidance; and (3) developing long-term shared capacity for strategic planning. To overcome these challenges we have applied explorative scenari…
From coping to adaptation to economic and institutional change – Trajectories of change in land-use management and social organization in a Biosphere Reserve community, Mexico
Fuzzy Cognitive Maps for futures studies—A methodological assessment of concepts and methods
Computer Science (32 works) · Geography (26 works) · Ecology (24 works) · Business (23 works) · Environmental resource management (23 works) · Political science (22 works) · Sociology (19 works) · Economics (17 works) · Sustainability and Climate Change Governance (17 works) · Environmental Science (15 works)