Extending the shared socioeconomic pathways for adaptation planning of blue tourism
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 9846445 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Kari Hyytiäinen (0000-0002-4366-0186, University of Helsinki, corresponding author), Liisa Kolehmainen (Demos Helsinki), Bas Amelung (0000-0001-8501-9787, Wageningen University & Research), Kasper Kok (0000-0002-6319-9227, Wageningen University & Research), Kirsi-Marja Lonkila (Demos Helsinki), Olli Malve (Finnish Environment Institute), Jukka Similä (0000-0002-9722-5200, University of Lapland), Mikael Sokero (Demos Helsinki), Marianne Zandersen (0000-0002-3827-3990, Aarhus University) |
| Year | 2022 |
| Volume | 137 |
| Pages | 102917 |
| Publication date | 2022-03-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Futures (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0016-3287 • E-ISSN: 1873-6378 |
| Publisher | Elsevier BV (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.futures.2022.102917 |
| OpenAlex | W4212811857 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 6 |
| References cited | 26 |
This paper offers an approach to long-term planning for an industrial sector that is sensitive to climate change, the state of adjacent natural environments and the associated socioeconomic developments. The paper combines exploratory and target-seeking scenarios to understand the future challenges of nature-based blue tourism under alternative global futures, and to develop sequences of actions to accomplish the best achievable future outcome for blue tourism at a local scale. We detail a bottom-up approach to scenario development for tourism, with local stakeholders developing local scenarios within the boundaries provided by the locally extended Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), widely used in climate research. As a demonstration of the approach, a group of invited stakeholders developed locally extended scenario narratives and the adaptation plans for blue tourism for coastal areas surrounding the Helsinki metropolitan area in Finland. The co-creation process yielded several recommendations for immediate action concerning protection of the coastal environments, land use planning, internal communication with the sector and coordinated monitoring of economic, ecological, social and cultural sustainability indicators. The approach offers a way forward for systematically assessing the future risks and opportunities that a changing environment and society create for blue tourism
Adaptation (eye · Business · Climate change · Economics · Environmental planning · Environmental resource management · Geography · Metropolitan area · Political science · Public relations · Small Island Developing States · Socioeconomic status · Sociology · Stakeholder · Sustainability · Tourism · Coastal and Marine Management · Land Use and Ecosystem Services · Sustainability and Climate Change Governance
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Future subjunctive
| Unique citing works | 6 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 3 |
| Citation span | 2024 - 2025 (2) |
| Citation velocity | recent |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 6 |