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Randall P Ellis

Biographic Data

ID1732535
NAMERandall P Ellis
GIVEN NAMESRandall P
FAMILY NAMEEllis
SIGNATUREELLIS R P
AFFILIATIONSBoston University
ORCID0000-0003-2176-5347
VERIFIEDYes
TOTAL WORKS14
TOTAL CITATIONS14
WORKS AS AUTHOR14
WORKS AS EDITOR0
FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR1983
LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR2024
H-INDEX2
  • A Novel Machine Learning Algorithm for Creating Risk-Adjusted Payment Formulas

    Open Access•Corinne Andriola, Randall P Ellis et al.•ARTICLE•JAMA Health Forum•2024

    In this study, by automating DXI clustering within clinically specified hierarchies, this algorithm built clinically interpretable risk models in large datasets while addressing diagnostic vagueness and gameability concerns

  • Development and Assessment of a New Framework for Disease Surveillance, Prediction, and Risk Adjustment

    Open Access•Randall P Ellis, Heather Hsu et al.•ARTICLE•JAMA Health Forum•2022

    In this diagnostic modeling study, the new DXI classification system showed improved predictions over existing diagnostic classification systems for all spending and utilization outcomes considered

  • Primary healthcare effects of a well-designed anti-corruption program

    Open Access•Marislei Nishijima, Randall P Ellis et al.•ARTICLE•World Development Perspectives•2022•References: 3

  • Mispricing in the Medicare Advantage Risk Adjustment Model

    Open Access•Jing Chen, Chen Jing et al.•ARTICLE•INQUIRY The Journal of Health…•2015

    The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) implemented hierarchical condition category (HCC) models in 2004 to adjust payments to Medicare Advantage (MA) plans to reflect enrollees' expected health care costs. We use Verisk Health's diagnostic cost group (DxCG) Medicare models, refined "descendants" of the same HCC framework with 189 comprehensive clinical categories available to CMS in 2004, to reveal 2 mispricing errors resulting from…

  • Risk Selection, Risk Adjustment and Choice

    Open Access•Randall P Ellis, Randall Ellis et al.•ARTICLE•International Journal of…•2013

    Interest has grown worldwide in risk adjustment and risk sharing due to their potential to contain costs, improve fairness, and reduce selection problems in health care markets. Significant steps have been made in the empirical development of risk adjustment models, and in the theoretical foundations of risk adjustment and risk sharing. This literature has often modeled the effects of risk adjustment without highlighting the institutional setting…

  • Bending the Cost Curve? Results From a Comprehensive Primary Care Payment Pilot

    Sonal Vats, Arlene S Ash et al.•ARTICLE•Medical Care•2013•References: 5

    BACKGROUND: There is much interest in understanding how using bundled primary care payments to support a patient-centered medical home (PCMH) affects total medical costs. RESEARCH DESIGN AND SUBJECTS: We compare 2008-2010 claims and eligibility records on about 10,000 patients in practices transforming to a PCMH and receiving risk-adjusted base payments and bonuses, with similar data on approximately 200,000 patients of nontransformed practices r…

  • Risk-adjusted Payment and Performance Assessment for Primary Care

    Arlene S Ash, Randall P Ellis•ARTICLE•Medical Care•2012•References: 17

    BACKGROUND: Many wish to change incentives for primary care practices through bundled population-based payments and substantial performance feedback and bonus payments. Recognizing patient differences in costs and outcomes is crucial, but customized risk adjustment for such purposes is underdeveloped. RESEARCH DESIGN: Using MarketScan's claims-based data on 17.4 million commercially insured lives, we modeled bundled payment to support expected pr…

  • Formal Risk Adjustment by Private Employers

    Open Access•Randall P Ellis•ARTICLE•INQUIRY The Journal of Health…•2001

    This paper explores explanations for why few private employers have adopted formal risk adjustment. The lack of data, challenges of using highly imperfect signals, and absence of market power are not compelling explanations. Alternative strategies that reduce selection problems are clearly important. The central argument is that U.S. health markets are not in equilibrium, but rather are changing rapidly. Since many agents-consumers, employers, he…

  • Supply-Side and Demand-Side Cost Sharing in Health Care

    Open Access•Randall P Ellis, Thomas G Mcguire•ARTICLE•The Journal of Economic…•1993•Cited by: 10•References: 11

    In health markets, the price paid by insured consumers when health care services are demanded can be set separately from the price paid to providers when services are supplied. This fact suggests two alternate strategies for controlling the costs of health care: demand-side cost sharing, where patients must pay more in co-payments or deductibles, and supply-side cost sharing, which seeks to alter the incentives of health care workers to provide c…

  • Employee Choice of Health Insurance

    Randall P Ellis•ARTICLE•The Review of Economics and…•1989

    A new specification of health-insurance-plan choice is developed that uses a nonparametric functional form for the loss function used to evaluate insurance premiums and uncertain out-of-pocket expenditure. The approach is implemented on data resulting from one firm's implementation of a new health plan with three distinct health insurance options. Health expenditure differences greater than 500 percent are observed, indicating extremely strong bi…

  • The revenue generating potential of user fees in Kenyan government health facilities

    Open Access•Randall P Ellis•ARTICLE•Social Science & Medicine•1987•Cited by: 4•References: 3

  • Cost sharing and the demand for ambulatory mental health services

    Randall P Ellis, Thomas G Mcguire•ARTICLE•American Psychologist•1984

  • Cost sharing and the demand for ambulatory mental health services

    Randall P Ellis, Thomas G Mcguire•ARTICLE•American Psychologist•1984

  • What Happened to Nuclear Power

    Randall P Ellis, Martin B Zimmerman•ARTICLE•The Review of Economics and…•1983

  • Supply-Side and Demand-Side Cost Sharing in Health Care

    Open Access•Randall P Ellis, Thomas G Mcguire•ARTICLE•The Journal of Economic…•1993•Cited by: 10•References: 11

    In health markets, the price paid by insured consumers when health care services are demanded can be set separately from the price paid to providers when services are supplied. This fact suggests two alternate strategies for controlling the costs of health care: demand-side cost sharing, where patients must pay more in co-payments or deductibles, and supply-side cost sharing, which seeks to alter the incentives of health care workers to provide c…

  • The revenue generating potential of user fees in Kenyan government health facilities

    Open Access•Randall P Ellis•ARTICLE•Social Science & Medicine•1987•Cited by: 4•References: 3

  • What Happened to Nuclear Power

    Randall P Ellis, Martin B Zimmerman•ARTICLE•The Review of Economics and…•1983

  • Cost sharing and the demand for ambulatory mental health services

    Randall P Ellis, Thomas G Mcguire•ARTICLE•American Psychologist•1984

  • Cost sharing and the demand for ambulatory mental health services

    Randall P Ellis, Thomas G Mcguire•ARTICLE•American Psychologist•1984

  • The revenue generating potential of user fees in Kenyan government health facilities

    Open Access•Randall P Ellis•ARTICLE•Social Science & Medicine•1987•Cited by: 4•References: 3

  • Employee Choice of Health Insurance

    Randall P Ellis•ARTICLE•The Review of Economics and…•1989

    A new specification of health-insurance-plan choice is developed that uses a nonparametric functional form for the loss function used to evaluate insurance premiums and uncertain out-of-pocket expenditure. The approach is implemented on data resulting from one firm's implementation of a new health plan with three distinct health insurance options. Health expenditure differences greater than 500 percent are observed, indicating extremely strong bi…

  • Supply-Side and Demand-Side Cost Sharing in Health Care

    Open Access•Randall P Ellis, Thomas G Mcguire•ARTICLE•The Journal of Economic…•1993•Cited by: 10•References: 11

    In health markets, the price paid by insured consumers when health care services are demanded can be set separately from the price paid to providers when services are supplied. This fact suggests two alternate strategies for controlling the costs of health care: demand-side cost sharing, where patients must pay more in co-payments or deductibles, and supply-side cost sharing, which seeks to alter the incentives of health care workers to provide c…

  • Formal Risk Adjustment by Private Employers

    Open Access•Randall P Ellis•ARTICLE•INQUIRY The Journal of Health…•2001

    This paper explores explanations for why few private employers have adopted formal risk adjustment. The lack of data, challenges of using highly imperfect signals, and absence of market power are not compelling explanations. Alternative strategies that reduce selection problems are clearly important. The central argument is that U.S. health markets are not in equilibrium, but rather are changing rapidly. Since many agents-consumers, employers, he…

  • Risk-adjusted Payment and Performance Assessment for Primary Care

    Arlene S Ash, Randall P Ellis•ARTICLE•Medical Care•2012•References: 17

    BACKGROUND: Many wish to change incentives for primary care practices through bundled population-based payments and substantial performance feedback and bonus payments. Recognizing patient differences in costs and outcomes is crucial, but customized risk adjustment for such purposes is underdeveloped. RESEARCH DESIGN: Using MarketScan's claims-based data on 17.4 million commercially insured lives, we modeled bundled payment to support expected pr…

  • Risk Selection, Risk Adjustment and Choice

    Open Access•Randall P Ellis, Randall Ellis et al.•ARTICLE•International Journal of…•2013

    Interest has grown worldwide in risk adjustment and risk sharing due to their potential to contain costs, improve fairness, and reduce selection problems in health care markets. Significant steps have been made in the empirical development of risk adjustment models, and in the theoretical foundations of risk adjustment and risk sharing. This literature has often modeled the effects of risk adjustment without highlighting the institutional setting…

  • Bending the Cost Curve? Results From a Comprehensive Primary Care Payment Pilot

    Sonal Vats, Arlene S Ash et al.•ARTICLE•Medical Care•2013•References: 5

    BACKGROUND: There is much interest in understanding how using bundled primary care payments to support a patient-centered medical home (PCMH) affects total medical costs. RESEARCH DESIGN AND SUBJECTS: We compare 2008-2010 claims and eligibility records on about 10,000 patients in practices transforming to a PCMH and receiving risk-adjusted base payments and bonuses, with similar data on approximately 200,000 patients of nontransformed practices r…

  • Mispricing in the Medicare Advantage Risk Adjustment Model

    Open Access•Jing Chen, Chen Jing et al.•ARTICLE•INQUIRY The Journal of Health…•2015

    The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) implemented hierarchical condition category (HCC) models in 2004 to adjust payments to Medicare Advantage (MA) plans to reflect enrollees' expected health care costs. We use Verisk Health's diagnostic cost group (DxCG) Medicare models, refined "descendants" of the same HCC framework with 189 comprehensive clinical categories available to CMS in 2004, to reveal 2 mispricing errors resulting from…

  • Development and Assessment of a New Framework for Disease Surveillance, Prediction, and Risk Adjustment

    Open Access•Randall P Ellis, Heather Hsu et al.•ARTICLE•JAMA Health Forum•2022

    In this diagnostic modeling study, the new DXI classification system showed improved predictions over existing diagnostic classification systems for all spending and utilization outcomes considered

  • Primary healthcare effects of a well-designed anti-corruption program

    Open Access•Marislei Nishijima, Randall P Ellis et al.•ARTICLE•World Development Perspectives•2022•References: 3

  • A Novel Machine Learning Algorithm for Creating Risk-Adjusted Payment Formulas

    Open Access•Corinne Andriola, Randall P Ellis et al.•ARTICLE•JAMA Health Forum•2024

    In this study, by automating DXI clustering within clinically specified hierarchies, this algorithm built clinically interpretable risk models in large datasets while addressing diagnostic vagueness and gameability concerns

Business (12 works) · Healthcare Policy and Management (12 works) · Economics (10 works) · Actuarial science (8 works) · Health care (8 works) · Medicine (7 works) · Finance (5 works) · Payment (5 works) · Public economics (5 works) · Primary Care and Health Outcomes (4 works)

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