James Garand
Biographic Data
| ID | 180625 |
|---|---|
| NAME | James Garand |
| GIVEN NAMES | James |
| FAMILY NAME | Garand |
| SIGNATURE | GARAND J |
| AFFILIATIONS | Louisiana State University |
| ORCID | 0000-0001-5754-8673 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 83 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 1025 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 83 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1984 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2026 |
| H-INDEX | 18 |
Complicated Loyalties: Latino Attitudes About Immigration in an Era of Changing Identities and Demographics
As evidenced by its prominence in the 2024 presidential election, and subsequent Trump administration policies, immigration remains a polarizing and controversial topic in U.S. politics. While Latinos have historically been perceived as largely supportive of liberal immigration policy, recent events and the shifting identities and demographics of the Latino population call this perception into question. Given changes among the Latino electorate, …
Perceptions of Political Corruption in State Government
This study examines public perceptions of state level political corruption in the United States using original data from two national public opinion surveys conducted in 2014 and 2022. Our analyses reveal several important insights about the underpinnings of state corruption perceptions. First, we find that perceptions of state corruption are modestly related to the actual state corruption context—people are able to connect their perceptions to r…
Partisanship, Trump Favorability, and Americans’ Evaluations of the FBI
Background While Republicans have traditionally been seen as supportive of US law enforcement, after 2016, many Republicans came to view the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) as politically biased due to its investigation of possible collusion with the Russian government by the Trump campaign. Aims We explore how partisanship and evaluations of Donald Trump affect evaluations of the FBI. We hypothesize that the relationship between partisansh…
Americans’ Attitudes Towards Asians in the Trump Covid Era
In this paper we explore the relationship between the COVID pandemic and Americans’ attitudes toward Asians. We suggest that if (1) COVID originated in China, (2) the source of COVID was regularly discussed in the news media and by political figures such as President Donald Trump, and (3) there was considerable criticism levelled at China for its handling of the COVID pandemic, it is plausible that how Americans think about Asians would be relate…
The Politics of (Mis)perception: Understanding Americans’ Beliefs About Immigrant Welfare Usage
Background Public concerns about immigrants' use of welfare programs have long influenced U.S. immigration and social policy. During the Trump administration, claims that immigrants exploit the American welfare system became central to the political agenda, amplifying perceptions that immigrants are economic burdens. These perceptions, whether grounded in reality or not, can shape public support for both immigration and the welfare state. Aims Fe…
"Immigrationalization" of the Welfare State: Contextual influences on Welfare Politics in the United States
While prior studies have consistently linked immigration attitudes with public support for the welfare state, it is not yet clear how individuals process immigrant-related information in their home contexts and combine that with their existing immigration attitudes to update their attitudes toward the welfare state. In this paper, we consider how context (i.e., immigrant welfare participation rates in individuals' home states) works in tandem wit…
Covid, elite rhetoric, and Americans’ attitudes toward U.S. trade practices with China
Objectives In this article, we consider how the COVID‐19 pandemic and evaluations of Donald Trump combined to influence Americans' attitudes toward U.S. trade practices with China. We suggest that psychological factors—such as confirmation bias and transfer of grievances—influence how individuals evaluate the costs and benefits of trade. Specifically, we argue that the severity of the pandemic (reflected by both cumulative deaths and news coverag…
Examining the Validity of Financial Knowledge Measures in a Context of Racialized Financial Market
Voting in the Mall: Ideology, Grievance, and Political Consumerism
In this paper we consider how political ideology, attitudes toward historically-marginalized groups, and identification with grievance groups shape Americans’ self-reported participation in political consumerism (i.e., political boycotts and buycotts). Using data from the 2016 and 2020 American National Election Studies (ANES) surveys, we find that ideological intensity has an asymmetrical effect on boycott behavior in 2016, with strong liberals …
Perceptions of Threat, American National Identity, and Americans’ Attitudes Toward Documented and Undocumented Immigrants
In this paper, we explore how the effects of perceived immigrant threat, American national identity, and attitudes toward immigration-dominated racial/ethnic groups on perceptions of immigrant contributions differ for documented and undocumented immigrants. We contend that different levels of perceived risk associated with undocumented and documented immigrants activate the effects of immigrant threat and American identity in different ways. We c…
Department Research Productivity in 19 Scholarly Political Science Journals (1990–2018)
This article reports new rankings of journal research productivity for PhD-granting political science departments during the past three decades. Using data on all authors and articles published in 19 leading general and subfield political science journals from 1990 to 2018, we compiled a count of department publications in these journals, weighted by the number of authors, department faculty size, and journal impact measures reported by Garand et…
Partisanship, Trump favorability, and changes in support for trade
Why has the relationship between partisan identification and Americans' trade attitudes shifted in recent years? We suggest that recent shifts in trade attitudes among partisans are driven by Donald Trump, who staked out a position on trade that is at odds with the position on trade traditionally held by Republicans. Using panel data from the Voter Study Group (VSG) surveys from 2011, 2016, and 2017, we conduct cross‐sectional analyses showing th…
Race, linked fate, and attitudes toward the police
Objectives In this article, we explore the effects of race linked fate and racial self‐identification on Americans’ attitudes toward the police. We suggest that the strength of the connection between race linked fate and police attitudes depends on whether a given racial group experiences or perceives a pattern of marginalization and discrimination by the police that targets their racial group. We expect that the negative relationship between rac…
Examining academic entitlement through the lens of field education
Scant literature exists on the topic of academic entitlement in the social work discipline, especially within the context of social work experiential learning, also known as field education. This dearth of literature prompted the present exploratory study examining the prevalence and identifying predictors of academic entitlement through the lens of field education. This study collected data via online surveys completed by master of social work (…
Perceptions of Immigrant Threat, American Identity, and Vote Choice in the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election
Guest Editor’s Introduction: Symposium on Desk Rejections
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Journal Desk-Rejection Practices in Political Science: Bringing Data to Bear on What Journals Do
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The Effect of Children's Gender on Parents’ Attitudes Toward Women
Scholars have found that the gender of children—particularly, having daughters—has a discernible effect on parents’ attitudinal and behavioral support for the empowerment of women. In this article, we explore how the gender of children affects the gender attitudes of parents. Using data from the 2016 American National Election Study (ANES) survey, we estimate the effects of children's gender on parents’ feminist self‐identification, support for m…
The “Trump” Effect: Political Elite and Support for Free Trade in America
While previous literature has offered two broad categories of explanation for individual trade preferences: economic self-interest and non-economic factors, we contend that during times of intensified elite discourse on trade, individuals may follow elite opinions to form their opinions on trade. Utilizing data from the 2016 American National Election Survey, we examine the effect of Trump’s protectionist views and rhetoric on public trade opinio…
Trade‐Induced Job Loss and Support for Free Trade
Objective In this paper we consider the possible effects of contextual economic conditions (i.e., job losses attributed to trade, general unemployment) and subjective economic evaluations on how Americans think about international trade. Methods We use data from the 2016 Voter Study Group survey and from the 2016 American National Election Study, and we supplement these survey data with data on state contextual variables from the Bureau of Labor …
Religious Right, Religious Left, Both, or Neither? Understanding Religio-Political Identification
In this article we analyze the effects of religious, political, socioeconomic, and demographic variables on religious Americans' propensity to identify with religio-political movements. Using data from the 2013 Economic Values Survey collected by the Public Religion Research Institute (PRRI), we sort nonsecular Americans into four categories: religious right, religious left,bothreligious rightandreligious left, orneitherreligious rightnorthe reli…
The Clash of Rights: Explaining Attitudes toward a Religious Exemption to the HHS Contraception Mandate
In recent years, the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) contraception mandate associated with the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA) has been a contentious issue that has created clash-of-rights claims between advocates of reproductive freedom and advocates of religious freedom. Americans differ considerably in their views toward whether religiously affiliated institutions that object to the use of contraceptives should b…
Kept Together by Faith: Confession and Forgiveness among American Catholic and Orthodox Christian Families
This study examines how religious beliefs, practices, and faith communities influence marriage and family life strengths in American Catholic and Orthodox Christian families. Qualitative, in-depth, semi-structured interviews were conducted with 21 families (N = 47 individuals). Qualitative data analysis revealed themes categorized under the domains of general life strengths, marital strengths, and parenting strengths. Findings suggest that for th…
On the Gender Gap in Financial Knowledge: Decomposing the Effects of Don't Know and Incorrect Responses
Objectives Past studies have consistently shown that women have lower levels of financial knowledge than men, and hence there is a noticeable gender gap in financial knowledge. We reconsider the conventional measures of financial knowledge by disentangling don't know (DK) responses and incorrect answers and comparing the effect of these two disparate responses’ on the gender gap in financial knowledge. Methods Using data from the 2012 National Fi…
Immigration Attitudes and Support for the Welfare State in the American Mass Public
In this article, we explore the relationship between Americans’ attitudes toward immigrants and immigration and their attitudes toward welfare. Using data from the Cumulative American National Election Study from 1992 to 2012, we find ample evidence of the influence of immigration attitudes on both individuals’ attitudes toward welfare recipients and their attitudes toward increased welfare spending. These immigration effects persist even in the …
Explaining Voter Turnout in Latin America, 1980 to 2000
Previous cross-national research on voter turnout has focused attention primarily on Western industrial democracies, with relatively little attention paid to turnout in developing countries. In this article, the authors extend the research program on comparative voter turnout to presidential and legislative elections held in Latin American countries from 1980 to 2000. Building on previous research, the authors estimate a series of models that rep…
Immigration Attitudes and Support for the Welfare State in the American Mass Public
In this article, we explore the relationship between Americans’ attitudes toward immigrants and immigration and their attitudes toward welfare. Using data from the Cumulative American National Election Study from 1992 to 2012, we find ample evidence of the influence of immigration attitudes on both individuals’ attitudes toward welfare recipients and their attitudes toward increased welfare spending. These immigration effects persist even in the …
Determinants of invalid voting in Latin America
Explaining Government Growth in the U.S. States
Despite the explosive increase in the research program on government growth in recent years, little work has been done on government growth disaggregated to the subnational level. I examine the empirical validity of five competing models of government growth for the fifty U.S. states from 1945 to 1984: Wagner's Law, fiscal illusion, party control, bureau voting, and intergovernmental grant. Government size is defined in terms of state government …
Homo Economus? Economic Information and Economic Voting
Although retrospective economic voting does not require voters to have precise information about recent economic conditions, it is arguably the case that the quality of retrospective voting as a democratic accountability mechanism hinges on the degree to which citizens have reasonably accu rate perceptions of the state of the economy In this paper we test a model of the accuracy of individuals' perceptions of national economic condi tions. Utiliz…
Changes in the Vote Margins for Congressional Candidates: A Specification of Historical Trends
Recent research on House elections has focused on the decline in congressional competition since the mid-1960s. However, this body of research suffers from three major problems: 1) an imprecise specification of the nature of change in the degree of congressional competition, 2) its exclusive reliance on a limited time frame, which calls into question the generalizability and adequacy of its explanations, and 3) its overemphasis on incumbency-orie…
Horizontal Diffusion, Vertical Diffusion, and Internal Pressure in State Environmental Policymaking, 1989-1998
Throughout the 1980s, states developed policies to address the growing problem of abandoned and uncontrolled hazardouswaste sites. Not surprisingly, some states have adopted stringent policies that are similar to the federal Superfund program, whereas others have developed different approaches. In this article, we develop and test empirically a model of the strength of state hazardouswaste programs, which we depict as a function of both internal …
Bureaucrats, Policy Attitudes, and Political Behavior: Extension of the Bureau Voting Model of Government Growth
The bureau voting model of government growth is built on three hypotheses: (1) bureaucrats hold attitudes that are more supportive of government spending than are those of nonbureaucrats; (2) government employees are more likely than other citizens to cast votes in elections; and (3) the voting behavior of bureaucrats is more supportive of candidates who advocate increased government spending. Hence, the bureau voting model suggests that, proport…
Morality, Equality, or Locality: Analyzing the Determinants of Support for Same-sex Marriage
In this article, the authors develop a model in which they depict individuals’ support for same-sex marriage as a function of several clusters of independent variables, including symbolic politics, moral and religious attitudes and attachments, feelings toward gays and lesbians, women’s rights and gender roles, concern for minority and civil rights, demographic attributes, and the local context. Using data from the 2004 American National Election…
Economic Context and Americans' Perceptions of Income Inequality
Objectives. The increase in income inequality in the United States over the past three decades has been well documented, though Americans differ in their perceptions of rising inequality. In this article we investigate the degree to which context shapes individuals' perceptions of rising income inequality in the United States. Methods. Using objective data on state‐level income inequality and survey data from the 2004 American National Election S…
Electoral Marginality in State Legislative Elections, 1968-86
Divided Loyalties? Understanding Variation in Latino Attitudes Toward Immigration: Understanding Variation in Latino Attitudes Toward Immigration
Objective. In this article, we develop and test a model of competing theoretical explanations of Latino attitudes toward immigration; specifically examining their policy preferences on legal immigration, illegal immigration, and a proposed policy for dealing with illegal immigrants. We also consider whether Latino attitudes toward legal and illegal immigration are related and comprise a single coherent structure. Method. Using data from a 2004 na…
Legislative Activity and the 1994 Republican Takeover: Exploring Changing Patterns of Sponsorship and Cosponsorship in the U.S. House
Is sponsorship and cosponsorship behavior by U.S. House members responsive to which party controls the chamber? The Republican takeover of the U.S. House in 1995 provides an ideal natural experiment to test whether House members are more or less likely to sponsor and cosponsor legislation as a function of their majority or minority party status. We suggest that changes in control of the House created a set of institutional incentives that shifted…
Localism and Regionalism in Presidential Elections: Is There a Home State or Regional Advantage
NE major tenet of folk wisdom in American national politics suggests the importance of geographic considerations in the determination of presidential nominations and final election outcomes. According to the conventional wisdom, presidential and vice-presidential nominees of the two major political parties must be selected with great attention paid to potential home state and regional advantages that might be brought to the party presidential tic…
Comparative Journal Ratings: A Survey Report
The expert survey and bibliometric methods of assessing the quality of work in political science are complementary. This project builds on previous surveys of academic political science journals conducted among US political scientists. The current wave extends the survey to political scientists in Canada and the UK. Preliminary results suggest both similarities and differences across the three countries. These results matter for policy debate in …
Measuring Constituency Ideology in U.S. House Districts: A Top-Down Simulation Approach
One of the most intractable problems associated with studying representation in the U.S. House of Representatives involves the measurement of district-level constituency opinion. In measuring constituency opinion in House districts, scholars have relied on a number of alternative approaches, including the use of demographic variables, small-sample estimates of public opinion, presidential election results, referenda data, and “bottom-up” simulate…
Journals in the Discipline: A Report on a New Survey of American Political Scientists
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Are Government Employees more Likely to Vote: An Analysis of Turnout in the 1996 U.S. National Election
Religion and Attitudes toward Redistributive Policies among Americans
Scholars have devoted considerable attention to understanding how individuals’ political and economic attitudes shape their views toward government policies designed to alleviate growing income inequality in the United States. However, much less attention has been paid to the question of how religion shapes Americans’ attitudes toward income inequality and redistributive policies. Using data drawn from the 2013 Economic Values Survey conducted by…
Integration and Fragmentation in Political Science: Exploring Patterns of Scholarly Communication in a Divided Discipline
Political science is generally thought of as a discipline with strong divisions and often intense patterns of disagreement, most of which are driven by political scientists’ subfield and methodological orientations. In this address I explore subfield and methodological cleavages in political science as they relate to patterns of scholarly communication—in particular, in how political scientists differ in the value that they give to various politi…
Race, Roll Calls, and Redistricting: The Impact of Race-Based Redistricting on Congressional Roll-Call
The congressional redistricting following the 1990 Census resulted in the creation of a number of majority-minority congressional districts. While the descriptive representation of various minority groups in the U.S. House was increased as a result, there is some question about how these changes affected the roll-call behavior of incumbent House members whose districts underwent a change in racial composition following redistricting. We explore t…
Dispositions, Constituencies, and Cross-Pressures: Modeling Roll-Call Voting on the North American Free Trade Agreement in the U.S. House
The vote on the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) created significant cross-pressures for members of the U.S. House of Representa tives. African-Americans and Latinos, two groups that are often in agree ment, staked out different positions on this legislation, and President Clinton joined Republicans in supporting NAFTA over the opposition of organized labor, liberals, and the Democratic leadership. We explore the degree to which consti…
Imported Inequality? Immigration and Income Inequality in the American States
In this article, we use data from the American states from 1996 to 2008 to explore the effects of immigration on income inequality. Empirical evidence from both static and dynamic models shows that the foreign-born population has a strong positive effect on state-level income inequality, even when we control for a range of federal and state political and economic contextual variables. We also find that the positive relationship between immigratio…
The Vanishing Marginals, 1824-1980
Recent research on House elections has focused on the decline in marginal districts since the mid-1960s. However, this body of research suffers from two major problems: (1) its exclusive reliance on a limited time frame which calls into question the generalizability and adequacy of its explanations; and (2) its overemphasis on incumbency-oriented explanations. Using aggregate electoral data to examine trends in electoral safety from 1824 to 1980,…
Expenditure Tradeoffs in the American States: A Longitudinal Test, 1948-1984
Over the years, numerous scholars have explored the degree to which there are tradeoffs between defense and domestic (mostly welfare) spending in the United States and other Western democracies (Russett 1970, 1982; Perroff and Podalak-Warren 1979; Domke, Eichenberg, and Kelleher 1983; Fischer and Kamlet 1984; Kamlet and Mowery 1987; Mintz 1989). While there is substantial scholarly disagreement about how tradeoffs among expenditure categories are…
The Vanishing Marginals, 1824-1980
Recent research on House elections has focused on the decline in marginal districts since the mid-1960s. However, this body of research suffers from two major problems: (1) its exclusive reliance on a limited time frame which calls into question the generalizability and adequacy of its explanations; and (2) its overemphasis on incumbency-oriented explanations. Using aggregate electoral data to examine trends in electoral safety from 1824 to 1980,…
Changes in the Vote Margins for Congressional Candidates: A Specification of Historical Trends
Recent research on House elections has focused on the decline in congressional competition since the mid-1960s. However, this body of research suffers from three major problems: 1) an imprecise specification of the nature of change in the degree of congressional competition, 2) its exclusive reliance on a limited time frame, which calls into question the generalizability and adequacy of its explanations, and 3) its overemphasis on incumbency-orie…
Spending in the States: A Test of Six Models
T HE STATE spending policy process has been examined from a number of alternative theoretical perspectives in recent years. Several analysts have attempted to apply the incrementalist model of Davis, Dempster, and Wildavsky (1966) to expenditure decisionmaking in the states (e.g., Sharkansky and Turnbull 1969; Sharkansky 1968; Stutzman 1981). Others, working in the comparative state policy tradition, have examined the impact of state resources, c…
Socialization to Partisanship in the U. S. House: The Speaker's Task Force
In recent years, Democratic leaders in the House have adopted a strategy of inclusion-including rank-and-file members as active participants in the legislative process. In this paper we examine whether one such mechanism, the Speaker's task force, socialized House Democrats to the norm of support for their party's positions between 1977 and 1979. As is consistent with a socialization explanation, our findings suggest that (1) task force members h…
Handbook of Legislative Research. Gerhard Loewenberg , Samuel C. Patterson , Malcolm E. Jewell
Explaining Government Growth in the U.S. States
Despite the explosive increase in the research program on government growth in recent years, little work has been done on government growth disaggregated to the subnational level. I examine the empirical validity of five competing models of government growth for the fifty U.S. states from 1945 to 1984: Wagner's Law, fiscal illusion, party control, bureau voting, and intergovernmental grant. Government size is defined in terms of state government …
The Socialization to Partisan Legislative Behavior: An Extension of Sinclair's Task Force Socialization Thesis
James C. Garand, The Socialization to Partisan Legislative Behavior: An Extension of Sinclair's Task Force Socialization Thesis, The Western Political Quarterly, Vol. 41, No. 2 (Jun., 1988), pp. 391-400
Localism and Regionalism in Presidential Elections: Is There a Home State or Regional Advantage
NE major tenet of folk wisdom in American national politics suggests the importance of geographic considerations in the determination of presidential nominations and final election outcomes. According to the conventional wisdom, presidential and vice-presidential nominees of the two major political parties must be selected with great attention paid to potential home state and regional advantages that might be brought to the party presidential tic…
An Alternative Interpretation of Recent Political Science Journal Evaluations
In their recent article in PS, Giles, Mizell, and Patterson (1989) provide a long-awaited update of an earlier article (Giles and Wright, 1975) on subjective evaluations by political scientists of a wide range of social science journals. In both articles, Giles and his collaborators sent questionnaires to a random sample of political scientists, asking them to rate each of the journals with which they were familiar on a scale from 0 to 10 with 0 …
Representation, Swing, and Bias in U.S. Presidential Elections, 1872-1988
In this paper we extend the research program on the seats-votes relationship to the U.S. electoral college. Borrowing liberally from the work of King and Browning (1987), we develop measures of representational form and partisan bias in the relationship between popular vote proportions and electoral vote proportions for each presidential election from 1872 to 1988. Two major findings emerge from our analysis: (1) the electoral college is dominate…
Variation in State Economic Growth: Decomposing State, Regional, and National Effects
Previous research on the impact of the political system on economic conditions in the American states has assumed the dominance of endogenous factors (i.e., those unique to the states) in determining levels of economic growth. However, because state economies are interdependent and responsive to national and regional economic trends, such an assumption is unrealistic. In this paper we employ the variance components approach utilized in research o…
Testing the Bureau Voting Model: A Research Note on Federal and State-Local Employees
Journal Article Testing the Bureau Voting Model: A Research Note on Federal and State-Local Employees Get access James C. Garand, James C. Garand Louisiana State University Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Catherine T. Parkhurst, Catherine T. Parkhurst Harvard University Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Rusanne Jourdan Seoud Rusanne Jourdan Seoud Melbourne, Australia …
Electoral Marginality in State Legislative Elections, 1968-86
Expenditure Tradeoffs in the US States: A Pooled Analysis
Journal Article Expenditure Tradeoffs in the US States: A Pooled Analysis Get access Rebecca M. Hendrick, Rebecca M. Hendrick University of Wisconsin—Milwaukee Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar James C. Garand James C. Garand Louisiana State University Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory, Volume 1, Issue 3, July 1991, P…
Bureaucrats, Policy Attitudes, and Political Behavior: Extension of the Bureau Voting Model of Government Growth
The bureau voting model of government growth is built on three hypotheses: (1) bureaucrats hold attitudes that are more supportive of government spending than are those of nonbureaucrats; (2) government employees are more likely than other citizens to cast votes in elections; and (3) the voting behavior of bureaucrats is more supportive of candidates who advocate increased government spending. Hence, the bureau voting model suggests that, proport…
Expenditure Tradeoffs in the American States: A Longitudinal Test, 1948-1984
Over the years, numerous scholars have explored the degree to which there are tradeoffs between defense and domestic (mostly welfare) spending in the United States and other Western democracies (Russett 1970, 1982; Perroff and Podalak-Warren 1979; Domke, Eichenberg, and Kelleher 1983; Fischer and Kamlet 1984; Kamlet and Mowery 1987; Mintz 1989). While there is substantial scholarly disagreement about how tradeoffs among expenditure categories are…
Changing Patterns of Relative State Economic Growth over Time: Limitations on Cross-Sectional Tests of Olson's Thesis
James C. Garand, Changing Patterns of Relative State Economic Growth over Time: Limitations on Cross-Sectional Tests of Olson's Thesis, The Western Political Quarterly, Vol. 45, No. 2 (Jun., 1992), pp. 469-483
Similar Details, Different Interpretations: A Response to Professor Jacobson
Similar Details, Different Interpretations: A Response to Professor Jacobson
Changing Meanings of Electoral Marginality in U. S. House Elections, 1824-1978
Changing Meanings of Electoral Marginality in U.S. House Elections, 1824-1978
Gary Jacobson (1987a, 1987b) has suggested that increased vote proportions for incumbent House candidates during the 1960s and 1970s have not resulted in greater electoral safety, primarily because of greater observed volatility in interelection vote swings occurring during the same era. Using data on House elections from 1824 to 1978, we find that both "marginal" and "safe" incumbents are much more vulnerable to electoral defeat during the 19th …
Activities and Appointments
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Dispositions, Constituencies, and Cross-Pressures: Modeling Roll-Call Voting on the North American Free Trade Agreement in the U. S. House
Dispositions, Constituencies, and Cross-Pressures: Modeling Roll-Call Voting on the North American Free Trade Agreement in the U.S. House
The vote on the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) created significant cross-pressures for members of the U.S. House of Representa tives. African-Americans and Latinos, two groups that are often in agree ment, staked out different positions on this legislation, and President Clinton joined Republicans in supporting NAFTA over the opposition of organized labor, liberals, and the Democratic leadership. We explore the degree to which consti…
Homo Economus? Economic Information and Economic Voting
Although retrospective economic voting does not require voters to have precise information about recent economic conditions, it is arguably the case that the quality of retrospective voting as a democratic accountability mechanism hinges on the degree to which citizens have reasonably accu rate perceptions of the state of the economy In this paper we test a model of the accuracy of individuals' perceptions of national economic condi tions. Utiliz…
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