Mark Rounsevell

Biographic Data

ID	200578
NAME	Mark Rounsevell
GIVEN NAMES	Mark
FAMILY NAME	Rounsevell
SIGNATURE	ROUNSEVELL M
AFFILIATIONS	University of Edinburgh
ORCID	0000-0001-7476-9398
VERIFIED	Yes
TOTAL WORKS	54
TOTAL CITATIONS	300
AUTHOR COUNT	54
EDITOR COUNT	0
FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR	2005
LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR	2026
H-INDEX	11

Advancing the renewable energy transition through land prioritisation and advanced photovoltaic technologies: A case study of Germany
Open AccessAnkita Saxena, Elham Fakharizadehshirazi et al.ARTICLESustainable Futures2026
Gridded estimates of photovoltaic (PV) potential for Germany at 1 km resolution. • Evaluating PV land requirements to meet electricity demand in Germany. • Role of land-based restrictions and technology in large-scale PV energy production. • PV could generate 759 TWh, but stricter policies curtail it to 97 TWh. • Advanced PV technology could double energy output on the same land area. Achieving national climate targets while balancing land-use an…
The biodiversity-climate-food nexus: Illustrating challenges and solutions using the Green Shoots framework
Open AccessAlmut Arneth, Peter Alexander et al.ARTICLEOne Earth2025
16 pages, 3 figures, supplemental information https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2025.101455
Pathway narratives towards a nature-positive European Union land system: Operationalising the Nature Futures Framework for policy objectives
Open AccessJoanna Raymond, Thomas M Schmitt et al.ARTICLESustainability Science2025References: 7
The Nature Futures Framework (NFF) aims to open up space for plural perspectives on human–nature relationships and to identify visions for people to navigate towards desirable nature-positive futures. Operationalising the NFF offers a way to explore alternative pathways to reach these futures, but such applications are currently underdeveloped. Normative narratives can describe pathways towards nature-positive futures based on environmental polic…
Thirty years of drivers and patterns of land-use change across the Amazon biome
Open AccessDiego Brizuela-Torres, Yves Zinngrebe et al.ARTICLEAMBIO2025References: 52
The Amazon biome is crucial for achieving global biodiversity and climate targets but is severely threatened by deforestation and land-use change. While direct deforestation drivers have been analysed, their interactions with socio-economic and land-use dynamics, and the effects of policy interventions remain poorly understood, partly due to limited long-term data. To address this, we present and provide a pan-Amazonian dataset of potential defor…
Power dynamics shape sustainability transitions in a modeled food system
Open AccessTim G Williams, Calum Brown et al.ARTICLEOne Earth2024
The EU’s new anti-deforestation law has severe loopholes that could be exploited by the forthcoming EU-Mercosur trade agreement
Open AccessRichard Fuchs, Joanna Raymond et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2024
The EU deforestation regulation promises global green leadership, however, loopholes may lead to an increase in the trade of deforestation-implicit agricultural products. Ratification of the EU-MERCOSUR free trade agreement could exploit this situation
Bioenergy in Europe is unlikely to make a timely contribution to climate change targets
Open AccessBumsuk Seo, Calum Brown et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2024
Increasing bioenergy production is a significant component of European efforts to mitigate climate change, but has contested potential for reducing emissions. We use an integrated land system model to explore the effects of large-scale bioenergy production within the European Union on carbon balances. We find that increased bioenergy crop production is likely to cause substantial deforestation and a commensurate loss of associated carbon stocks l…
The drivers and impacts of Amazon forest degradation
Open AccessDavid M Lapola, Patricia Pinho et al.ARTICLEScience2023
Approximately 2.5 × 10 6 square kilometers of the Amazon forest are currently degraded by fire, edge effects, timber extraction, and/or extreme drought, representing 38% of all remaining forests in the region. Carbon emissions from this degradation total up to 0.2 petagrams of carbon per year (Pg C year −1 ), which is equivalent to, if not greater than, the emissions from Amazon deforestation (0.06 to 0.21 Pg C year −1 ). Amazon forest degradatio…
Toward quantification of the feasible potential of land-based carbon dioxide removal
Open AccessOliver Perkins, Peter Alexander et al.ARTICLEOne Earth2023
Global climate-change overshoot scenarios, where warming exceeds Paris Agreement limits before being brought back down, are highly dependent on land-based carbon dioxide removal (CDR). In the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6), such scenarios are supported by optimistic global assessments of the technical and economic potential for land-based CDR. However, a further type of potential-the ''feasible'' po…
Modelling the global photovoltaic potential on land and its sensitivity to climate change
Open AccessAnkita Saxena, Calum Brown et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2023
Solar photovoltaic (PV) energy is fundamental for decarbonizing the global economy and supporting the renewable energy transitions that are needed to combat climate change. Potential solar power production at a given location is a function of climatic variables that will change over time and so climate change needs to be accounted for in PV potential estimation. The future potential of PV in response to climate change has not previously been asse…
Three billion new trees in the EU’s biodiversity strategy: Low ambition, but better environmental outcomes
Open AccessHeera Lee, Thomas A M Pugh et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2023
The EU Biodiversity strategy aims to plant 3 billion trees by 2030, in order to improve ecosystem restoration and biodiversity. Here, we compute the land area that would be required to support this number of newly planted trees by taking account of different tree species and planting regimes across the EU member states. We find that 3 billion trees would require a total land area of between 0.81 and 1.37 Mha (avg. 1.02 Mha). The historic forest e…
Mapping the shared socio-economic pathways onto the Nature Futures Framework at the global scale
Open AccessPeter Alexander, Roslyn Henry et al.ARTICLESustainability Science2023Cited by: 2References: 7
The Nature Futures Framework (NFF) was developed for the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) to explore scenarios that represent a diversity of positive relationships between humans and nature. Widely used in global environmental assessments, the shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs) in combination with the representative concentration pathways (RCPs) were developed for climate change assessmen…
Global and regional health and food security under strict conservation scenarios
Open AccessRoslyn Henry, Almut Arneth et al.ARTICLENature Sustainability2022Cited by: 1References: 10
The elephant in the room is really a cow: Using consumption corridors to define sustainable meat consumption in the European Union
Open AccessMiriam Cué Rio, Bernice Bovenkerk et al.ARTICLESustainability Science2022Cited by: 1References: 22
Implementing the European Green Deal requires a consistent food systems’ policy that involves not only targeting the supply side but also conducting extensive changes in diets at the consumer level. Reducing meat consumption is an obvious strategy to put the European food system on track to meet the Green Deal’s goals. This cannot be achieved by focusing solely on consumer choice and individual responsibility. Stronger governance is required to r…
Global land use changes are four times greater than previously estimated
Open AccessKarina Winkler, Richard Fuchs et al.ARTICLENature Communications2021
Quantifying the dynamics of land use change is critical in tackling global societal challenges such as food security, climate change, and biodiversity loss. Here we analyse the dynamics of global land use change at an unprecedented spatial resolution by combining multiple open data streams (remote sensing, reconstructions and statistics) to create the HIstoric Land Dynamics Assessment + (HILDA +). We estimate that land use change has affected alm…
How can social–ecological system models simulate the emergence of social–ecological crises
Open AccessCalum Brown, Mark Rounsevell et al.ARTICLEPeople and Nature2021
The idea that human impacts on natural systems might trigger large‐scale, social–ecological ‘crises’ or ‘breakdowns’ is attracting increasing scientific, societal and political attention, but the risks of such crises remain hard to assess or ameliorate. Social–ecological systems have complex dynamics, with bifurcations, nonlinearities and tipping points all emerging from the interaction of multiple human and natural processes. Computational model…
Identifying uncertainties in scenarios and models of socio-ecological systems in support of decision-making
Open AccessMark Rounsevell, Mark D A Rounsevell et al.ARTICLEOne Earth2021
The global environmental paw print of pet food
Open AccessPeter Alexander, Aiden Berri et al.ARTICLEGlobal Environmental Change2020Cited by: 2References: 3
Exploring global food system shocks, scenarios and outcomes
Open AccessHannah Hamilton, Roslyn Henry et al.ARTICLEFutures2020Cited by: 9References: 54
Implementing land-based mitigation to achieve the Paris Agreement in Europe requires food system transformation
Open AccessHeera Lee, Calum Brown et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2019
Land-based mitigation, particularly through afforestation, reforestation and avoided deforestation, is an important component of the Paris Agreement to limit average global temperature increases to between 1.5 °C and 2 °C. However, the specific actions that would ensure sufficient carbon sequestration in forests remain unclear, as do their trade-offs against other land-based objectives. We use a regional integrated assessment model to identify th…
Beyond land cover change: Towards a new generation of land use models
Open AccessPeter H Verburg, Peter Alexander et al.ARTICLECurrent Opinion in Environmental…2019Cited by: 15References: 16
Transforming agricultural land use through marginal gains in the food system
Open AccessPeter Alexander, A Raja Gopala Reddy et al.ARTICLEGlobal Environmental Change2019Cited by: 5References: 5
The role of global dietary transitions for safeguarding biodiversity
Open AccessRoslyn Henry, Roslyn C Henry et al.ARTICLEGlobal Environmental Change2019Cited by: 5References: 4
Behavioral models of climate change adaptation and mitigation in land‐based sectors
Open AccessCalum Brown, Peter Alexander et al.ARTICLEWiley Interdisciplinary Reviews…2017Cited by: 5References: 31
Models of the land system are essential to our understanding of the magnitude and impacts of climate change. These models are required to represent a large number of processes in different sectors, but face particular challenges in describing the individual and social behaviors that underpin climate change mitigation and adaptation. We assess descriptions of these behaviors in existing models, their commonalities and differences, and the uses to …
Population and age structure in Hungary: A residential preference and age dependency approach to disaggregate census data
Open AccessSen Li, Linda Juhász-Horváth et al.ARTICLEJournal of Maps2016
We present a simple model to disaggregate age structured population census data to a 1-km grid for Hungary. A dasymetric approach was used to predict the spatial distribution of population in different age groups by distinguishing residential preferences (in relation to accessible social, economic and green amenities) for working age groups (15–29, 30–49 and 50–64) and population dependencies for children and the elderly (aged 0–14 and 65+). By u…