A Halpern-Manners
Biographic Data
| ID | 20841 |
|---|---|
| NAME | A Halpern-Manners |
| GIVEN NAMES | A |
| FAMILY NAME | Halpern-Manners |
| SIGNATURE | HALPERN-MANNERS A |
| AFFILIATIONS | Indiana University |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-7336-5065 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 24 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 162 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 24 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2007 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2024 |
| H-INDEX | 8 |
Panel Conditioning Biases in the Current Population Survey’s Food Security Supplement
We estimate the extent to which the methodological problem called panel conditioning biases the federal government’s estimates of the prevalence of food insecurity in the United States. To do so, we use 2002 through 2020 data from the Current Population Survey’s Food Security Supplement—the same data used to produce the federal government’s annual statistics about food insecurity. We take advantage of the CPS’s rotating panel design feature to es…
Invisible disabilities and college academic success
If Residential Segregation Persists, What Explains Widespread Increases in Residential Diversity
Recent studies have identified increasing residential diversity as a near-universal trend across the United States. At the same time, a wide range of scholarship notes the persistence of White flight and other mechanisms that reproduce residential segregation. In this article, we attempt to reconcile these findings by arguing that current trends toward increased residential diversity may sometimes mask population changes that are more consistent …
Covid-19 and changes in college student educational expectations and health by disability status
This study examines the implications of the coronavirus pandemic for college students' health and education, with special attention to variation by disability status. Disaster research supports the hypothesis that students with disabilities will experience higher-than-usual levels of pandemic-related stress, which could lead to re-evaluations of their educational expectations and declines in health. We evaluate this hypothesis by modeling changes…
Does participating in a long-term cohort study impact research subjects’ longevity? Experimental evidence from the Wisconsin Longitudinal Study
There is considerable evidence that the act of participating in a survey can alter participants' attitudes, behaviors, and other outcomes in meaningful ways. Considering findings that this form of panel conditioning also impacts health behaviors and outcomes, we investigated the effect of participating in an intensive half-century-long cohort study on participants' longevity. To do so, we used data from a 1957 survey of more than 33,000 Wisconsin…
Detecting 'White Flight' in the Contemporary United States
Measuring the existence and patterning of white flight (WF) using aggregate data has a long history in the social sciences. In this article, we assess past measurement approaches and identify several technical and conceptual limitations. To address these shortcomings, we propose a new multicomponent approach to detecting WF that requires tracts to exceed a minimum level of loss across four distinct dimensions of population change. Using both simu…
Crossover Effects of Education on Health within Married Couples
Although empirical work has shown that personal and spousal education are both related to health, the nature of these associations has been harder to establish. People select into marriages on the basis of observed and hard-to-observe characteristics, complicating the job of the researcher who wishes to make causal inferences. In this article, we implement a within-sibling-pair design that exploits variation within pairs in spousal education to g…
Measuring the predictability of life outcomes with a scientific mass collaboration
How predictable are life trajectories? We investigated this question with a scientific mass collaboration using the common task method; 160 teams built predictive models for six life outcomes using data from the Fragile Families and Child Wellbeing Study, a high-quality birth cohort study. Despite using a rich dataset and applying machine-learning methods optimized for prediction, the best predictions were not very accurate and were only slightly…
The intergenerational transmission of early educational advantages
The Effects of Education on Mortality
Does education change people’s lives in a way that delays mortality? Or is education primarily a proxy for unobserved endowments that promote longevity? Most scholars conclude that the former is true, but recent evidence based on Danish twin data calls this conclusion into question. Unfortunately, these potentially field-changing findings—that obtaining additional schooling has no independent effect on survival net of other hard-to-observe charac…
Panel Conditioning in the General Social Survey
Does participation in one wave of a survey have an effect on respondents' answers to questions in subsequent waves? In this article, we investigate the presence and magnitude of 'panel conditioning' effects in one of the most frequently used data sets in the social sciences: the General Social Survey (GSS). Using longitudinal records from the 2006, 2008, and 2010 surveys, we find convincing evidence that at least some GSS items suffer from this f…
The Relationship between Education and Mental Health
Prior research has documented a strong and positive correlation between completed education and adults’ mental health. Researchers often describe this relationship using causal language: higher levels of education are thought to enhance people’s skills, afford important structural advantages, and empower better coping mechanisms, all of which lead to better mental health. An alternative explanation—the social selection hypothesis—suggests that sc…
Measuring students' school context exposures
The Impact of Work and Family Life Histories on Economic Well-Being at Older Ages
Motivated by theoretical and empirical research in life course sociology, we examine relationships between trajectories of work and family roles across the life course and four measures of economic well-being in later adulthood. Using data from the Wisconsin Longitudinal Study (WLS), and multiple trajectory-generating methods, we first identify latent trajectories of work and family roles between late adolescence and age 65. We then model economi…
Do Different Methods for Modeling Age-Graded Trajectories Yield Consistent and Valid Results
Data on age-sequenced trajectories of individuals’ attributes are used for a growing number of research purposes. However, there is no consensus about which method to use to identify the number of discrete trajectories in a population or to assign individuals to a specific trajectory group. The authors modeled real and simulated trajectory data using “naïve” methods, optimal matching, grade of membership models, and three types of finite-mixture …
Panel Conditioning in a Longitudinal Study of Illicit Behaviors
Journal Article Panel Conditioning in a Longitudinal Study of Illicit Behaviors Get access Andrew Halpern-Manners, Andrew Halpern-Manners * Andrew Halpern-Manners is an assistant professor in the Department of Sociology at Indiana University, Bloomington, IN, USA. John Robert Warren is a professor of sociology at the University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA, and training director at the Minnesota Population Center. Florencia Torche is an ass…
Panel Conditioning in a Longitudinal Study of Adolescents' Substance Use
Panel surveys are widely used in sociology to examine life-course trajectories and to assess causal effects. However, when using panel data researchers usually assume that the act of measuring respondents' attitudes and behaviors has no effect on the attributes being measured or on the accuracy of reports about those attributes. Evidence from cognitive psychology, marketing research, political science and other fields suggests that this assumptio…
Panel Conditioning in Longitudinal Studies
Does participating in a longitudinal survey affect respondents’ answers to subsequent questions about their labor force characteristics? In this article, we investigate the magnitude of panel conditioning or time-in-survey biases for key labor force questions in the monthly Current Population Survey (CPS). Using linked CPS records for household heads first interviewed between January 2007 and June 2010, our analyses are based on strategic within-…
Panel Conditioning in Longitudinal Social Science Surveys
Social scientists usually assume that the attitudes, behaviors, and statuses of respondents to longitudinal surveys are not altered by the act of measuring them. If this assumption is false-or even if the quality of survey participants' responses change because of measurement-then social scientists risk mischaracterizing the existence, magnitude, and correlates of changes across survey waves in respondents' characteristics. In this article, we ma…
The Effect of Family Member Migration on Education and Work Among Nonmigrant Youth in Mexico
While academic and policy circles have given much attention to the assimilatory experiences of Mexican immigrants in the United States, less is known about those who stay behind—an especially unfortunate oversight given the increasing number of Mexican youth with migrant family members. Of the studies on this topic, most have sought to identify the effect that migration has on youths’ migratory and educational aspirations, often using qualitative…
Measuring High School Graduation Rates at the State Level
Recent evidence makes clear that states public high school graduation rates are well measured using information from the Common Core of Data (CCD). This article investigates the substantive consequences for the results of empirical analyses of using different CCD-based measures of states' public high school graduation rates. The authors show that substantive conclusions about the levels, correlates, and predictors of states' public high school gr…
Dynamic measures of primary and secondary school characteristics
A practical approach to using Multiple-Race response data
Revised federal policies require that multiple-race responses be allowed in all federal data collection efforts, but many researchers find the multitude of race categories and variables very difficult to use. Important comparability issues also interfere with using multiple-race data in analyses of multiple data sets and/or several points in time. These difficulties have, in effect, discouraged the use of the new data on race. We present a practi…
Is the Glass Emptying or Filling Up? Reconciling Divergent Trends in High School Completion and Dropout
Conclusions about levels and trends in high school dropout differ dramatically depending on whether dropout is measured using data from the Current Population Survey (CPS) or from the Common Core of Data (CCD). Using CPS- and CCD-based drop-out measures for 16- to 19-year-olds—which differ solely in their estimates of the number of 16- to 19-year-olds holding high school credentials—the authors show that half of the differences in estimated drop-…
Do Different Methods for Modeling Age-Graded Trajectories Yield Consistent and Valid Results
Data on age-sequenced trajectories of individuals’ attributes are used for a growing number of research purposes. However, there is no consensus about which method to use to identify the number of discrete trajectories in a population or to assign individuals to a specific trajectory group. The authors modeled real and simulated trajectory data using “naïve” methods, optimal matching, grade of membership models, and three types of finite-mixture …
Panel Conditioning in Longitudinal Social Science Surveys
Social scientists usually assume that the attitudes, behaviors, and statuses of respondents to longitudinal surveys are not altered by the act of measuring them. If this assumption is false-or even if the quality of survey participants' responses change because of measurement-then social scientists risk mischaracterizing the existence, magnitude, and correlates of changes across survey waves in respondents' characteristics. In this article, we ma…
A practical approach to using Multiple-Race response data
Revised federal policies require that multiple-race responses be allowed in all federal data collection efforts, but many researchers find the multitude of race categories and variables very difficult to use. Important comparability issues also interfere with using multiple-race data in analyses of multiple data sets and/or several points in time. These difficulties have, in effect, discouraged the use of the new data on race. We present a practi…
The Effects of Education on Mortality
Does education change people’s lives in a way that delays mortality? Or is education primarily a proxy for unobserved endowments that promote longevity? Most scholars conclude that the former is true, but recent evidence based on Danish twin data calls this conclusion into question. Unfortunately, these potentially field-changing findings—that obtaining additional schooling has no independent effect on survival net of other hard-to-observe charac…
The Effect of Family Member Migration on Education and Work Among Nonmigrant Youth in Mexico
While academic and policy circles have given much attention to the assimilatory experiences of Mexican immigrants in the United States, less is known about those who stay behind—an especially unfortunate oversight given the increasing number of Mexican youth with migrant family members. Of the studies on this topic, most have sought to identify the effect that migration has on youths’ migratory and educational aspirations, often using qualitative…
Panel Conditioning in Longitudinal Studies
Does participating in a longitudinal survey affect respondents’ answers to subsequent questions about their labor force characteristics? In this article, we investigate the magnitude of panel conditioning or time-in-survey biases for key labor force questions in the monthly Current Population Survey (CPS). Using linked CPS records for household heads first interviewed between January 2007 and June 2010, our analyses are based on strategic within-…
Panel Conditioning in a Longitudinal Study of Illicit Behaviors
Journal Article Panel Conditioning in a Longitudinal Study of Illicit Behaviors Get access Andrew Halpern-Manners, Andrew Halpern-Manners * Andrew Halpern-Manners is an assistant professor in the Department of Sociology at Indiana University, Bloomington, IN, USA. John Robert Warren is a professor of sociology at the University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA, and training director at the Minnesota Population Center. Florencia Torche is an ass…
Is the Glass Emptying or Filling Up? Reconciling Divergent Trends in High School Completion and Dropout
Conclusions about levels and trends in high school dropout differ dramatically depending on whether dropout is measured using data from the Current Population Survey (CPS) or from the Common Core of Data (CCD). Using CPS- and CCD-based drop-out measures for 16- to 19-year-olds—which differ solely in their estimates of the number of 16- to 19-year-olds holding high school credentials—the authors show that half of the differences in estimated drop-…
Dynamic measures of primary and secondary school characteristics
Panel Conditioning in the General Social Survey
Does participation in one wave of a survey have an effect on respondents' answers to questions in subsequent waves? In this article, we investigate the presence and magnitude of 'panel conditioning' effects in one of the most frequently used data sets in the social sciences: the General Social Survey (GSS). Using longitudinal records from the 2006, 2008, and 2010 surveys, we find convincing evidence that at least some GSS items suffer from this f…
Crossover Effects of Education on Health within Married Couples
Although empirical work has shown that personal and spousal education are both related to health, the nature of these associations has been harder to establish. People select into marriages on the basis of observed and hard-to-observe characteristics, complicating the job of the researcher who wishes to make causal inferences. In this article, we implement a within-sibling-pair design that exploits variation within pairs in spousal education to g…
Measuring students' school context exposures
Detecting 'White Flight' in the Contemporary United States
Measuring the existence and patterning of white flight (WF) using aggregate data has a long history in the social sciences. In this article, we assess past measurement approaches and identify several technical and conceptual limitations. To address these shortcomings, we propose a new multicomponent approach to detecting WF that requires tracts to exceed a minimum level of loss across four distinct dimensions of population change. Using both simu…
The intergenerational transmission of early educational advantages
Measuring High School Graduation Rates at the State Level
Recent evidence makes clear that states public high school graduation rates are well measured using information from the Common Core of Data (CCD). This article investigates the substantive consequences for the results of empirical analyses of using different CCD-based measures of states' public high school graduation rates. The authors show that substantive conclusions about the levels, correlates, and predictors of states' public high school gr…
If Residential Segregation Persists, What Explains Widespread Increases in Residential Diversity
Recent studies have identified increasing residential diversity as a near-universal trend across the United States. At the same time, a wide range of scholarship notes the persistence of White flight and other mechanisms that reproduce residential segregation. In this article, we attempt to reconcile these findings by arguing that current trends toward increased residential diversity may sometimes mask population changes that are more consistent …
Is the Glass Emptying or Filling Up? Reconciling Divergent Trends in High School Completion and Dropout
Conclusions about levels and trends in high school dropout differ dramatically depending on whether dropout is measured using data from the Current Population Survey (CPS) or from the Common Core of Data (CCD). Using CPS- and CCD-based drop-out measures for 16- to 19-year-olds—which differ solely in their estimates of the number of 16- to 19-year-olds holding high school credentials—the authors show that half of the differences in estimated drop-…
A practical approach to using Multiple-Race response data
Revised federal policies require that multiple-race responses be allowed in all federal data collection efforts, but many researchers find the multitude of race categories and variables very difficult to use. Important comparability issues also interfere with using multiple-race data in analyses of multiple data sets and/or several points in time. These difficulties have, in effect, discouraged the use of the new data on race. We present a practi…
Measuring High School Graduation Rates at the State Level
Recent evidence makes clear that states public high school graduation rates are well measured using information from the Common Core of Data (CCD). This article investigates the substantive consequences for the results of empirical analyses of using different CCD-based measures of states' public high school graduation rates. The authors show that substantive conclusions about the levels, correlates, and predictors of states' public high school gr…
Dynamic measures of primary and secondary school characteristics
The Effect of Family Member Migration on Education and Work Among Nonmigrant Youth in Mexico
While academic and policy circles have given much attention to the assimilatory experiences of Mexican immigrants in the United States, less is known about those who stay behind—an especially unfortunate oversight given the increasing number of Mexican youth with migrant family members. Of the studies on this topic, most have sought to identify the effect that migration has on youths’ migratory and educational aspirations, often using qualitative…
Panel Conditioning in a Longitudinal Study of Adolescents' Substance Use
Panel surveys are widely used in sociology to examine life-course trajectories and to assess causal effects. However, when using panel data researchers usually assume that the act of measuring respondents' attitudes and behaviors has no effect on the attributes being measured or on the accuracy of reports about those attributes. Evidence from cognitive psychology, marketing research, political science and other fields suggests that this assumptio…
Panel Conditioning in Longitudinal Studies
Does participating in a longitudinal survey affect respondents’ answers to subsequent questions about their labor force characteristics? In this article, we investigate the magnitude of panel conditioning or time-in-survey biases for key labor force questions in the monthly Current Population Survey (CPS). Using linked CPS records for household heads first interviewed between January 2007 and June 2010, our analyses are based on strategic within-…
Panel Conditioning in Longitudinal Social Science Surveys
Social scientists usually assume that the attitudes, behaviors, and statuses of respondents to longitudinal surveys are not altered by the act of measuring them. If this assumption is false-or even if the quality of survey participants' responses change because of measurement-then social scientists risk mischaracterizing the existence, magnitude, and correlates of changes across survey waves in respondents' characteristics. In this article, we ma…
Panel Conditioning in a Longitudinal Study of Illicit Behaviors
Journal Article Panel Conditioning in a Longitudinal Study of Illicit Behaviors Get access Andrew Halpern-Manners, Andrew Halpern-Manners * Andrew Halpern-Manners is an assistant professor in the Department of Sociology at Indiana University, Bloomington, IN, USA. John Robert Warren is a professor of sociology at the University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA, and training director at the Minnesota Population Center. Florencia Torche is an ass…
The Impact of Work and Family Life Histories on Economic Well-Being at Older Ages
Motivated by theoretical and empirical research in life course sociology, we examine relationships between trajectories of work and family roles across the life course and four measures of economic well-being in later adulthood. Using data from the Wisconsin Longitudinal Study (WLS), and multiple trajectory-generating methods, we first identify latent trajectories of work and family roles between late adolescence and age 65. We then model economi…
Do Different Methods for Modeling Age-Graded Trajectories Yield Consistent and Valid Results
Data on age-sequenced trajectories of individuals’ attributes are used for a growing number of research purposes. However, there is no consensus about which method to use to identify the number of discrete trajectories in a population or to assign individuals to a specific trajectory group. The authors modeled real and simulated trajectory data using “naïve” methods, optimal matching, grade of membership models, and three types of finite-mixture …
The Relationship between Education and Mental Health
Prior research has documented a strong and positive correlation between completed education and adults’ mental health. Researchers often describe this relationship using causal language: higher levels of education are thought to enhance people’s skills, afford important structural advantages, and empower better coping mechanisms, all of which lead to better mental health. An alternative explanation—the social selection hypothesis—suggests that sc…
Measuring students' school context exposures
Panel Conditioning in the General Social Survey
Does participation in one wave of a survey have an effect on respondents' answers to questions in subsequent waves? In this article, we investigate the presence and magnitude of 'panel conditioning' effects in one of the most frequently used data sets in the social sciences: the General Social Survey (GSS). Using longitudinal records from the 2006, 2008, and 2010 surveys, we find convincing evidence that at least some GSS items suffer from this f…
Measuring the predictability of life outcomes with a scientific mass collaboration
How predictable are life trajectories? We investigated this question with a scientific mass collaboration using the common task method; 160 teams built predictive models for six life outcomes using data from the Fragile Families and Child Wellbeing Study, a high-quality birth cohort study. Despite using a rich dataset and applying machine-learning methods optimized for prediction, the best predictions were not very accurate and were only slightly…
The intergenerational transmission of early educational advantages
The Effects of Education on Mortality
Does education change people’s lives in a way that delays mortality? Or is education primarily a proxy for unobserved endowments that promote longevity? Most scholars conclude that the former is true, but recent evidence based on Danish twin data calls this conclusion into question. Unfortunately, these potentially field-changing findings—that obtaining additional schooling has no independent effect on survival net of other hard-to-observe charac…
Covid-19 and changes in college student educational expectations and health by disability status
This study examines the implications of the coronavirus pandemic for college students' health and education, with special attention to variation by disability status. Disaster research supports the hypothesis that students with disabilities will experience higher-than-usual levels of pandemic-related stress, which could lead to re-evaluations of their educational expectations and declines in health. We evaluate this hypothesis by modeling changes…
Does participating in a long-term cohort study impact research subjects’ longevity? Experimental evidence from the Wisconsin Longitudinal Study
There is considerable evidence that the act of participating in a survey can alter participants' attitudes, behaviors, and other outcomes in meaningful ways. Considering findings that this form of panel conditioning also impacts health behaviors and outcomes, we investigated the effect of participating in an intensive half-century-long cohort study on participants' longevity. To do so, we used data from a 1957 survey of more than 33,000 Wisconsin…
Detecting 'White Flight' in the Contemporary United States
Measuring the existence and patterning of white flight (WF) using aggregate data has a long history in the social sciences. In this article, we assess past measurement approaches and identify several technical and conceptual limitations. To address these shortcomings, we propose a new multicomponent approach to detecting WF that requires tracts to exceed a minimum level of loss across four distinct dimensions of population change. Using both simu…
Crossover Effects of Education on Health within Married Couples
Although empirical work has shown that personal and spousal education are both related to health, the nature of these associations has been harder to establish. People select into marriages on the basis of observed and hard-to-observe characteristics, complicating the job of the researcher who wishes to make causal inferences. In this article, we implement a within-sibling-pair design that exploits variation within pairs in spousal education to g…
If Residential Segregation Persists, What Explains Widespread Increases in Residential Diversity
Recent studies have identified increasing residential diversity as a near-universal trend across the United States. At the same time, a wide range of scholarship notes the persistence of White flight and other mechanisms that reproduce residential segregation. In this article, we attempt to reconcile these findings by arguing that current trends toward increased residential diversity may sometimes mask population changes that are more consistent …
Panel Conditioning Biases in the Current Population Survey’s Food Security Supplement
We estimate the extent to which the methodological problem called panel conditioning biases the federal government’s estimates of the prevalence of food insecurity in the United States. To do so, we use 2002 through 2020 data from the Current Population Survey’s Food Security Supplement—the same data used to produce the federal government’s annual statistics about food insecurity. We take advantage of the CPS’s rotating panel design feature to es…
Invisible disabilities and college academic success
Psychology (16 works) · Sociology (15 works) · Population (13 works) · Demography (12 works) · Mathematics (12 works) · Statistics (12 works) · Health disparities and outcomes (11 works) · Medicine (11 works) · Urban, Neighborhood, and Segregation Studies (10 works) · Computer Science (9 works)