Ibrahim Elbadawi
Biographic Data
| ID | 232818 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Ibrahim Elbadawi |
| GIVEN NAMES | Ibrahim |
| FAMILY NAME | Elbadawi |
| SIGNATURE | ELBADAWI I |
| AFFILIATIONS | Economic Research Forum |
| VERIFIED | No |
| TOTAL WORKS | 18 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 169 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 16 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 2 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1990 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2021 |
| H-INDEX | 4 |
Growth in Syria: Losses from the war and potential recovery in the aftermath
This paper addresses three questions: (1) what would have been the growth and income trajectory of Syria in the absence of war; (2) given the war, what explains the reduction in economic growth; and (3) what potential growth scenarios for Syria there could be in the aftermath of war. Conflict impact estimates point to negative GDP growth of −12% on average over 2011–2018, with output contracting to about one-third of the 2010 level. In post-confl…
Sovereign wealth funds and cross-border investment bias: The case of Arab countries
Assets managed by sovereign wealth funds (SWF) have grown nine-fold since 2002, reaching USD 8 trillion in 2018. Around 80% of these investments correspond to cross-border investments. SWFs of Arab countries, mainly oil-rich GCC economies, hold a sizable fraction of these funds (40%). Asset allocation, nevertheless, presents a significant anomaly: despite the presence of highly endowed Arab-owned SWFs, cross-border investment in Arab economies is…
Do Civil Wars, Coups and Riots Have the Same Structural Determinants
The literature on political instability focuses on institutional and leader survival or outcomes like civil wars and coups. We suggest that this approach overlooks lower levels of instability and that isolating outcomes understates the likelihood that they are manifestations of similar structural determinants. We extend the notion of instability to encompass jointly but distinctly civil wars, coups, and riots. Our explanation focuses on the role …
Natural Resources in Africa: Precious Boon or Precious Bane?
Aid, Real Exchange Rate Misalignment, and Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa
Democracy in the Arab World: Explaining the Deficit
Introduction Part 1: Democracy and Development: Conceptual and Cross Country Perspectives 1. Political Culture and the Crisis of Democracy in the Arab World Abdelwahab El Affendi 2. Explaining the Arab Democracy Deficit: The Role of Oil and Conflicts Ibrahim Elbadawi, Samir Makdisi and Gary Milante Part 2: Case studies - Oil, Conflict and Beyond. Mashreq Countries 3. Jordan: Propellers of Autocracy, the Arab Israeli Conflict and Foreign Power Int…
The Aftermath of Civil War
This article introduces the special issue on `The Aftermath of Civil War' and presents the research project from which the articles in this issue originate. The article presents a few empirical observations that demonstrate the increasing importance of the post-conflict situation for actors that engage to reduce the global incidence of armed conflict. The global incidence of conflict was reduced from 1992 to 2002, since there were more terminatio…
Riots, Coups And Civil War: Revisiting The Greed And Grievance Debate
The most influential recent work on the determinants of civil wars found the factors associated with the grievance motivation to be largely irrelevant. Our paper subjects the results of this empirical work to further scrutiny by embedding the study of civil war in a more general analysis of varieties of violent contestation of political power within the borders of the state. Such an approach, we argue, will have important implications for how we …
Reviving Growth in the Arab World
Why has growth in the Arab world been so disappointing? Stagnating since 1985, the little growth that does exist is volatile and unstable, and the region has lagged behind both the gains of other developing countries and the region’s own pre‐1985 performance. This article attempts to encourage the revitalization of growth in the Arab world by addressing the following two questions: why has growth been so low, specifically in comparison to the hig…
Commentary on Helleiner
Introduction Marginalization and/or Participation: Africa in Today's Global Economy (published in this edition of the Canadian Journal of African Studies) is an insightful and compelling articulation of knowledge of and passion for Africa that have characterized Gerry Helleiner's rich and dynamic professional career over the last four decades. Professor Helleiner argues very persuasively that to break free from its current development crisis Afri…
How Much War Will we see: Explaining the Prevalence of Civil War
Quantitative studies of civil war have focused on war initiation (onset) or war duration and termination and produced important insights into these processes. An empirical analysis of civil war prevalence is used to show that the prevalence or amount of war observed at any given time is important. Civil war prevalence is defined as the probability of observing either a new war onset or the continuation of an ongoing war or both. Two economic theo…
How Much War Will We See? Estimating the Incidence of Civil War in 161 Countries
Quantitative studies of civil war have focused either on war's onset, or its termination, producing important insights into these end points of the process. The authors complement these studies by studying how much war we are likely to observe in any given period. To answer this question, they combine recent advances in the theory of civil war initiation, and duration, and, develop the concept of war incidence, denoting th probability of observin…
Development Issues in South Africa
Foreword Preface Notes on the Contributors Introduction and Overview: I.Elbadawi & T.Hartzenberg Understanding South Africa's Inequality H.Bhorat, M.Leibbrandt & I.Woolard Fiscal Policy in Post-apartheid South Africa N.Kusi & L.Fusile Public Policy and Private Investment in South Africa: An Empirical Investigation K.Mlambo & K.Nell Industrial and Energy Policy: A Partial Review B.Fine Land Reform as a Strategy for Development: The Relevance of th…
The Costs and Benefits of Economic Integration
Can Africa Claim the 21st Century
"Can Africa Claim the 21st Century? is a product of the growing collaboration among some of the main institutions involved in African development: the African Development Bank, African Economic Research Consortium, Global Coalition for Africa, United Nations Economic Commission for Africa, and World Bank. More than 50 scholars, policymakers, and development practitioners - predominantly African - appraised the regions' development at the start of…
Regional Integration and Trade Liberalization in Subsaharan Africa
Adjustment and economic performance under a fixed exchange rate: A comparative analysis of the CFA zone
The Sudan Demand for International Reserve: A Case of a Labour-Exporting Country
An empirical analysis of the demand for international reserves in the Sudan is presented, based on the error-correction model. This model is parametrically rich enough to allow the division of the effects into long-run influences, short-term adjustments, and proportional equilibrium impacts. Beside addressing conventional issues in reserve demand literature, the model explicitly incorporates the impact on reserve demand of remittances transferred…
How Much War Will we see: Explaining the Prevalence of Civil War
Quantitative studies of civil war have focused on war initiation (onset) or war duration and termination and produced important insights into these processes. An empirical analysis of civil war prevalence is used to show that the prevalence or amount of war observed at any given time is important. Civil war prevalence is defined as the probability of observing either a new war onset or the continuation of an ongoing war or both. Two economic theo…
Do Civil Wars, Coups and Riots Have the Same Structural Determinants
The literature on political instability focuses on institutional and leader survival or outcomes like civil wars and coups. We suggest that this approach overlooks lower levels of instability and that isolating outcomes understates the likelihood that they are manifestations of similar structural determinants. We extend the notion of instability to encompass jointly but distinctly civil wars, coups, and riots. Our explanation focuses on the role …
The Aftermath of Civil War
This article introduces the special issue on `The Aftermath of Civil War' and presents the research project from which the articles in this issue originate. The article presents a few empirical observations that demonstrate the increasing importance of the post-conflict situation for actors that engage to reduce the global incidence of armed conflict. The global incidence of conflict was reduced from 1992 to 2002, since there were more terminatio…
Adjustment and economic performance under a fixed exchange rate: A comparative analysis of the CFA zone
Aid, Real Exchange Rate Misalignment, and Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa
The Sudan Demand for International Reserve: A Case of a Labour-Exporting Country
An empirical analysis of the demand for international reserves in the Sudan is presented, based on the error-correction model. This model is parametrically rich enough to allow the division of the effects into long-run influences, short-term adjustments, and proportional equilibrium impacts. Beside addressing conventional issues in reserve demand literature, the model explicitly incorporates the impact on reserve demand of remittances transferred…
The Sudan Demand for International Reserve: A Case of a Labour-Exporting Country
An empirical analysis of the demand for international reserves in the Sudan is presented, based on the error-correction model. This model is parametrically rich enough to allow the division of the effects into long-run influences, short-term adjustments, and proportional equilibrium impacts. Beside addressing conventional issues in reserve demand literature, the model explicitly incorporates the impact on reserve demand of remittances transferred…
Adjustment and economic performance under a fixed exchange rate: A comparative analysis of the CFA zone
Regional Integration and Trade Liberalization in Subsaharan Africa
Can Africa Claim the 21st Century
"Can Africa Claim the 21st Century? is a product of the growing collaboration among some of the main institutions involved in African development: the African Development Bank, African Economic Research Consortium, Global Coalition for Africa, United Nations Economic Commission for Africa, and World Bank. More than 50 scholars, policymakers, and development practitioners - predominantly African - appraised the regions' development at the start of…
How Much War Will We See? Estimating the Incidence of Civil War in 161 Countries
Quantitative studies of civil war have focused either on war's onset, or its termination, producing important insights into these end points of the process. The authors complement these studies by studying how much war we are likely to observe in any given period. To answer this question, they combine recent advances in the theory of civil war initiation, and duration, and, develop the concept of war incidence, denoting th probability of observin…
Development Issues in South Africa
Foreword Preface Notes on the Contributors Introduction and Overview: I.Elbadawi & T.Hartzenberg Understanding South Africa's Inequality H.Bhorat, M.Leibbrandt & I.Woolard Fiscal Policy in Post-apartheid South Africa N.Kusi & L.Fusile Public Policy and Private Investment in South Africa: An Empirical Investigation K.Mlambo & K.Nell Industrial and Energy Policy: A Partial Review B.Fine Land Reform as a Strategy for Development: The Relevance of th…
The Costs and Benefits of Economic Integration
Commentary on Helleiner
Introduction Marginalization and/or Participation: Africa in Today's Global Economy (published in this edition of the Canadian Journal of African Studies) is an insightful and compelling articulation of knowledge of and passion for Africa that have characterized Gerry Helleiner's rich and dynamic professional career over the last four decades. Professor Helleiner argues very persuasively that to break free from its current development crisis Afri…
How Much War Will we see: Explaining the Prevalence of Civil War
Quantitative studies of civil war have focused on war initiation (onset) or war duration and termination and produced important insights into these processes. An empirical analysis of civil war prevalence is used to show that the prevalence or amount of war observed at any given time is important. Civil war prevalence is defined as the probability of observing either a new war onset or the continuation of an ongoing war or both. Two economic theo…
Reviving Growth in the Arab World
Why has growth in the Arab world been so disappointing? Stagnating since 1985, the little growth that does exist is volatile and unstable, and the region has lagged behind both the gains of other developing countries and the region’s own pre‐1985 performance. This article attempts to encourage the revitalization of growth in the Arab world by addressing the following two questions: why has growth been so low, specifically in comparison to the hig…
Riots, Coups And Civil War: Revisiting The Greed And Grievance Debate
The most influential recent work on the determinants of civil wars found the factors associated with the grievance motivation to be largely irrelevant. Our paper subjects the results of this empirical work to further scrutiny by embedding the study of civil war in a more general analysis of varieties of violent contestation of political power within the borders of the state. Such an approach, we argue, will have important implications for how we …
The Aftermath of Civil War
This article introduces the special issue on `The Aftermath of Civil War' and presents the research project from which the articles in this issue originate. The article presents a few empirical observations that demonstrate the increasing importance of the post-conflict situation for actors that engage to reduce the global incidence of armed conflict. The global incidence of conflict was reduced from 1992 to 2002, since there were more terminatio…
Democracy in the Arab World: Explaining the Deficit
Introduction Part 1: Democracy and Development: Conceptual and Cross Country Perspectives 1. Political Culture and the Crisis of Democracy in the Arab World Abdelwahab El Affendi 2. Explaining the Arab Democracy Deficit: The Role of Oil and Conflicts Ibrahim Elbadawi, Samir Makdisi and Gary Milante Part 2: Case studies - Oil, Conflict and Beyond. Mashreq Countries 3. Jordan: Propellers of Autocracy, the Arab Israeli Conflict and Foreign Power Int…
Aid, Real Exchange Rate Misalignment, and Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa
Natural Resources in Africa: Precious Boon or Precious Bane?
Do Civil Wars, Coups and Riots Have the Same Structural Determinants
The literature on political instability focuses on institutional and leader survival or outcomes like civil wars and coups. We suggest that this approach overlooks lower levels of instability and that isolating outcomes understates the likelihood that they are manifestations of similar structural determinants. We extend the notion of instability to encompass jointly but distinctly civil wars, coups, and riots. Our explanation focuses on the role …
Sovereign wealth funds and cross-border investment bias: The case of Arab countries
Assets managed by sovereign wealth funds (SWF) have grown nine-fold since 2002, reaching USD 8 trillion in 2018. Around 80% of these investments correspond to cross-border investments. SWFs of Arab countries, mainly oil-rich GCC economies, hold a sizable fraction of these funds (40%). Asset allocation, nevertheless, presents a significant anomaly: despite the presence of highly endowed Arab-owned SWFs, cross-border investment in Arab economies is…
Growth in Syria: Losses from the war and potential recovery in the aftermath
This paper addresses three questions: (1) what would have been the growth and income trajectory of Syria in the absence of war; (2) given the war, what explains the reduction in economic growth; and (3) what potential growth scenarios for Syria there could be in the aftermath of war. Conflict impact estimates point to negative GDP growth of −12% on average over 2011–2018, with output contracting to about one-third of the 2010 level. In post-confl…
Economics (14 works) · Political science (12 works) · Development economics (9 works) · Law (7 works) · Political economy (7 works) · Sociology (7 works) · Political Conflict and Governance (6 works) · Politics (5 works) · Spanish Civil War (4 works) · Democracy (3 works)