Rainer Winkelmann

Biographic Data

ID314095
NAMERainer Winkelmann
GIVEN NAMESRainer
FAMILY NAMEWinkelmann
SIGNATUREWINKELMANN R
AFFILIATIONSUniversity of Potsdam
ORCID0000-0003-1248-3217
VERIFIEDYes
TOTAL WORKS38
TOTAL CITATIONS245
AUTHOR COUNT37
EDITOR COUNT1
FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR1984
LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR2025
H-INDEX7

  • ‘Wildland–Urban Interfaces’ from an Archaeological Perspective

    Patrick Roberts, Sebastian Los et al.ARTICLEJournal of Urban Archaeology2025

    The ‘wildland-urban interface’ (WUI) has emerged as a critical focal point of wildfire threats, human-environmental conflicts, habitat loss and fragmentation, and zoonotic disease spread in the twenty-first century. Urban interfaces with their environments are not a novel phenomenon, however. From the Middle to Late Holocene, diverse urban configurations and networks interacted with ecosystem dynamics, land cover, fire regimes, biodiversity, and …

  • Tropical deforestation and Indigenous resistance over the longue durée in South America

    Open AccessFreg Stokes, Sandra Benítez et al.ARTICLEJournal of Global History2025

    The destruction of tropical forests is an environmental issue of global significance. This process has deep historical roots, with recent scholarship exploring the role of European colonisation and capitalist expansion in driving tropical deforestation from the sixteenth century onwards. Less attention, however, has been given to how Indigenous resistance has impeded deforestation over this time period. Here we analyse how non-state Indigenous gr…

  • Misspecified Exponential Regressions: Estimation, Interpretation, and Average Marginal Effects

    João Santos Silva, J M C Santos Silva et al.ARTICLEThe Review of Economics and…2024

    Exponential regressions are frequently used when outcomes are non-negative. They are attractive because they are easy to interpret and to estimate, using pseudo maximum likelihood (PML). However, the validity of these methods depends on the correct specification of the conditional expectation, and little is known regarding their properties when the conditional expectation is misspecified. We show that PML estimators of misspecified exponential mo…

  • Uncovering the Multibiome Environmental and Earth System Legacies of Past Human Societies

    Open AccessPatrick Roberts, Victor Lery Caetano Andrade et al.ARTICLEAnnual Review of Environment and…2024Cited by: 3References: 27

    It has been argued that we have now entered the Anthropocene, a proposed epoch in which humans are having a dominant impact on the Earth system. While some geologists have sought to formalize the Anthropocene as beginning in the mid-twentieth century, its social, geophysical, and environmental roots undoubtedly lie deeper in the past. In this review, we highlight the ways in which human activities across the major biomes of our planet significant…

  • Safe and just Earth system boundaries

    Open AccessJohan Rockström, Jagdish Gupta et al.ARTICLENature2023

    The stability and resilience of the Earth system and human well-being are inseparably linked 1–3 , yet their interdependencies are generally under-recognized; consequently, they are often treated independently 4,5 . Here, we use modelling and literature assessment to quantify safe and just Earth system boundaries (ESBs) for climate, the biosphere, water and nutrient cycles, and aerosols at global and subglobal scales. We propose ESBs for maintain…

  • Global warming overshoots increase risks of climate tipping cascades in a network model

    Open AccessNico Wunderling, Rainer Winkelmann et al.ARTICLENature Climate Change2023

  • Reducing uncertainty of high-latitude ecosystem models through identification of key parameters

    Open AccessHannah Mevenkamp, Nico Wunderling et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2023

    Climate change is having significant impacts on Earth’s ecosystems and carbon budgets, and in the Arctic may drive a shift from an historic carbon sink to a source. Large uncertainties in terrestrial biosphere models (TBMs) used to forecast Arctic changes demonstrate the challenges of determining the timing and extent of this possible switch. This spread in model predictions can limit the ability of TBMs to guide management and policy decisions. …

  • Exploring risks and benefits of overshooting a 1.5 °C carbon budget over space and time

    Open AccessNico Bauer, David Keller et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2023

    Temperature targets of the Paris Agreement limit global net cumulative emissions to very tight carbon budgets. The possibility to overshoot the budget and offset near-term excess emissions by net-negative emissions is considered economically attractive as it eases near-term mitigation pressure. While potential side effects of carbon removal deployment are discussed extensively, the additional climate risks and the impacts and damages have attract…

  • Exceeding 1.5°C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points

    Open AccessDavid I Armstrong Mckay, Arie Staal et al.ARTICLEScience2022

    Climate tipping points occur when change in a part of the climate system becomes self-perpetuating beyond a warming threshold, leading to substantial Earth system impacts. Synthesizing paleoclimate, observational, and model-based studies, we provide a revised shortlist of global “core” tipping elements and regional “impact” tipping elements and their temperature thresholds. Current global warming of ~1.1°C above preindustrial temperatures already…

  • Testing the binomial fixed effects logit model, with an application to female labour supply

    Open AccessRainer Winkelmann, Lin Xu et al.ARTICLEEmpirical Economics2022

    Regression models for proportions are frequently encountered in applied work. The conditional expectation function is bounded between 0 and 1 and therefore must be nonlinear, requiring nonstandard panel data extensions. One possible approach is the binomial panel logit model with fixed effects (Machado in J Econom 119:73–98, 2004). We propose a new and simple implementation of this conditional maximum likelihood estimator for standard software. W…

  • Achieving a nature- and people-positive future

    Open AccessDavid Obura, Fabrice Declerck et al.ARTICLEOne Earth2022

    Despite decades of increasing investment in conservation, we have not succeeded in ''bending the curve'' of biodiversity decline. Efforts to meet new targets and goals for the next three decades risk repeating this outcome due to three factors: neglect of increasing drivers of decline; unrealistic expectations and time frames of biodiversity recovery; and insufficient attention to justice within and between generations and across countries. Our E…

  • Identifying a Safe and Just Corridor for People and the Planet

    Open AccessJohan Rockström, Jagdish Gupta et al.ARTICLEEarth's Future2021

    Keeping the Earth system in a stable and resilient state, to safeguard Earth's life support systems while ensuring that Earth's benefits, risks, and related responsibilities are equitably shared, constitutes the grand challenge for human development in the Anthropocene. Here, we describe a framework that the recently formed Earth Commission will use to define and quantify target ranges for a “safe and just corridor” that meets these goals. Althou…

  • What do we mean, ‘tipping cascade’

    Open AccessAnn Kristin Klose, Nico Wunderling et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2021

    Based on suggested interactions of potential tipping elements in the Earth’s climate and in ecological systems, tipping cascades as possible dynamics are increasingly discussed and studied. The activation of such tipping cascades would impose a considerable risk for human societies and biosphere integrity. However, there are ambiguities in the description of tipping cascades within the literature so far. Here we illustrate how different patterns …

  • Social tipping processes towards climate action: A conceptual framework

    Open AccessRainer Winkelmann, Jonathan F Donges et al.ARTICLEEcological Economics2021Cited by: 24References: 31

  • An early-warning indicator for Amazon droughts exclusively based on tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures

    Open AccessCatrin Ciemer, Lars Rehm et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2020

    Droughts in tropical South America have an imminent and severe impact on the Amazon rainforest and affect the livelihoods of millions of people. Extremely dry conditions in Amazonia have been previously linked to sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the adjacent tropical oceans. Although the sources and impacts of such droughts have been widely studied, establishing reliable multi-year lead statistical forecasts of their occurrence is still…

  • Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene

    Open AccessWill Steffen, Johan Rockström et al.ARTICLEProceedings of the National…2018

    We explore the risk that self-reinforcing feedbacks could push the Earth System toward a planetary threshold that, if crossed, could prevent stabilization of the climate at intermediate temperature rises and cause continued warming on a “Hothouse Earth” pathway even as human emissions are reduced. Crossing the threshold would lead to a much higher global average temperature than any interglacial in the past 1.2 million years and to sea levels sig…

  • Closing the loop: Reconnecting human dynamics to Earth System science

    Open AccessJonathan F Donges, Rainer Winkelmann et al.ARTICLEThe Anthropocene Review2017Cited by: 12References: 17

    International commitment to the appropriately ambitious Paris climate agreement and the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals in 2015 has pulled into the limelight the urgent need for major scientific progress in understanding and modelling the Anthropocene, the tightly intertwined social-environmental planetary system that humanity now inhabits. The Anthropocene qualitatively differs from previous eras in Earth's history in three key char…

  • Consistent Estimation of the Fixed Effects Ordered Logit Model

    Open AccessGregori Baetschmann, Kevin E Staub et al.ARTICLEJournal of the Royal Statistical…2015

    The paper considers panel data methods for estimating ordered logit models with individual-specific correlated unobserved heterogeneity. We show that a popular approach is inconsistent, whereas some consistent and efficient estimators are available, including minimum distance and generalized method-of-moment estimators. A Monte Carlo study reveals the good properties of an alternative estimator that has not been considered in econometric applicat…

  • Reported Happiness, Fast and Slow

    Open AccessRaphael Studer, Rainer WinkelmannARTICLESocial Indicators Research2014Cited by: 1References: 4

  • Conspicuous consumption and satisfaction

    Open AccessRainer WinkelmannARTICLEJournal of Economic Psychology2012Cited by: 8References: 24

  • Happiness and altruism within the extended family

    Open AccessJohannes Schwarze, Rainer WinkelmannARTICLEJournal of Population Economics2010Cited by: 7References: 9

  • The Effect of Income on General Life Satisfaction and Dissatisfaction

    Open AccessStefan Boe, Stefan Boes et al.ARTICLESocial Indicators Research2010Cited by: 17References: 25

  • Unemployment, Social Capital, and Subjective Well-Being

    Open AccessRainer WinkelmannARTICLEJournal of Happiness Studies2009

  • Happiness functions with preference interdependence and heterogeneity: The case of altruism within the family

    Open AccessAdrian Bruhin, Rainer WinkelmannARTICLEJournal of Population Economics2008Cited by: 4References: 6

  • The Effects of Globalization on National Labor Markets: Diagnosis and Therapy.

    Dennis J Snower, Rainer Winkelmann et al.BOOKApplied Economics Quarterly…2006

    Main description: Die Auswirkungen der Globalisierung werden vielfach als Bedrohung für die nationalen (Arbeits)Märkte angesehen. Die 69. Wissenschaftliche Konferenz widmete sich deshalb dem aktuellen Thema "Auswirkungen der Globalisierung auf nationale Arbeitsmärkte: Diagnose und Therapie". Vor dem Hintergrund hoher Arbeitslosenzahlen wurde mit dieser Konferenz ein Beitrag zur wirtschaftspolitischen Beratung der Bundesregierung geleistet. In den…