I Colin Prentice

Biographic Data

ID3476858
NAMEI Colin Prentice
GIVEN NAMESI Colin
FAMILY NAMEPrentice
SIGNATUREPRENTICE I C
AFFILIATIONSImperial College London
ORCID0000-0002-1296-6764
VERIFIEDYes
TOTAL WORKS31
TOTAL CITATIONS0
WORKS AS AUTHOR31
WORKS AS EDITOR0
FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR1980
LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR2024
H-INDEX0

  • Modelling the daily probability of wildfire occurrence in the contiguous United States

    Open AccessTheodore Keeping, Sandy P Harrison et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2024

    The development of a high-quality wildfire occurrence model is an essential component in mapping present wildfire risk, and in projecting future wildfire dynamics with climate and land-use change. Here, we develop a new model for predicting the daily probability of wildfire occurrence at 0.1° (∼10 km) spatial resolution by adapting a generalised linear modelling (GLM) approach to include improvements to the variable selection procedure, identific…

  • Global environmental controls on wildfire burnt area, size, and intensity

    Open AccessOlivia Haas, I Colin Prentice et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2022

    Fire is an important influence on the global patterns of vegetation structure and composition. Wildfire is included as a distinct process in many dynamic global vegetation models but limited current understanding of fire regimes restricts these models’ ability to reproduce more than the broadest geographic patterns. Here we present a statistical analysis of the global controls of remotely sensed burnt area (BA), fire size (FS), and a derived metr…

  • The impact of methodological decisions on climate reconstructions using WA-PLS

    Open AccessMark G Turner, Dongyang Wei et al.ARTICLEQuaternary Research2021

    Most techniques for pollen-based quantitative climate reconstruction use modern assemblages as a reference data set. We examine the implication of methodological choices in the selection and treatment of the reference data set for climate reconstructions using Weighted Averaging Partial Least Squares (WA-PLS) regression and records of the last glacial period from Europe. We show that the training data set used is important because it determines t…

  • Seasonal temperature and moisture changes in interior semi‐arid Spain from the last interglacial to the Late Holocene

    Open AccessDongyang Wei, Penélope González‐Sampériz et al.ARTICLEQuaternary Research2021

    The El Cañizar de Villarquemado pollen record covers the last part of MIS 6 to the Late Holocene. We use Tolerance-Weighted Averaging Partial Least Squares (TWA-PLS) to reconstruct mean temperature of the coldest month (MTCO) and growing degree days above 0°C (GDD 0 ) and the ratio of annual precipitation to annual potential evapotranspiration (MI), accounting for the ecophysiological effect of changing CO 2 on water-use efficiency. Rapid summer …

  • Land-surface evapotranspiration derived from a first-principles primary production model

    Open AccessShen Tan, Han Wang et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2021

    Evapotranspiration (ET) links the water and carbon cycles in the atmosphere, hydrosphere, and biosphere. In this study, we develop an ET modelling framework based on the idea that the transpiration and carbon uptake are closely coupled, as predicted by the ‘least-cost hypothesis’ that canopy conductance acclimates to environmental variations. According to eco-evolutionary optimality theory, which has been previously applied in monitoring and mode…

  • Understanding and modelling wildfire regimes

    Open AccessSandy P Harrison, I Colin Prentice et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2021

    Recent extreme wildfire seasons in several regions have been associated with exceptionally hot, dry conditions, made more probable by climate change. Much research has focused on extreme fire weather and its drivers, but natural wildfire regimes—and their interactions with human activities—are far from being comprehensively understood. There is a lack of clarity about the ‘causes’ of wildfire, and about how ecosystems could be managed for the co-…

  • Optimality-based modelling of climate impacts on global potential wheat yield

    Open AccessShengchao Qiao, Han Wang et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2021

    Evaluation of potential crop yields is important for global food security assessment because it represents the biophysical ‘ceiling’ determined by variety, climate and ambient CO 2 . Statistical approaches have limitations when assessing future potential yields, while large differences between results obtained using process-based models reflect uncertainties in model parameterisations. Here we simulate the potential yield of wheat across the pres…

  • Recent trends in gross primary production and their drivers

    Open AccessWenjia Cai, I Colin PrenticeARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2020

    Gross primary production (GPP) by terrestrial ecosystems is the largest flux in the global carbon cycle, and its continuing increase in response to environmental changes is key to land ecosystems’ capacity to offset anthropogenic CO 2 emissions. However, the CO 2 - and climate-sensitivities of GPP vary among models. We applied the ‘P model’—a parameter-sparse and extensively tested light use efficiency (LUE) model, driven by CO 2 , climate and re…

  • Vegetation plays an important role in mediating future water resources

    Open AccessAnna Ukkola, Trevor F Keenan et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2016

    Future environmental change is expected to modify the global hydrological cycle, with consequences for the regional distribution of freshwater supplies. Regional precipitation projections, however, differ largely between models, making future water resource projections highly uncertain. Using two representative concentration pathways and nine climate models, we estimate 21st century water resources across Australia, employing both a process-based…

  • Beyond Predictions

    Open AccessTerence P Dawson, Stephen T Jackson et al.ARTICLEScience2011

    Climate change is predicted to become a major threat to biodiversity in the 21st century, but accurate predictions and effective solutions have proved difficult to formulate. Alarming predictions have come from a rather narrow methodological base, but a new, integrated science of climate-change biodiversity assessment is emerging, based on multiple sources and approaches. Drawing on evidence from paleoecological observations, recent phenological …

  • Carbon–climate feedbacks

    Open AccessPierre Friedlingstein, I Colin Prentice et al.ARTICLECurrent Opinion in Environmental…2010

  • Trends in the sources and sinks of carbon dioxide

    Open AccessCorinne Le Quéré, Michael Raupach et al.ARTICLENature Geoscience2009

  • Fire in the Earth System

    Open AccessDavid M J S Bowman, Jennifer K Balch et al.ARTICLEScience2009

    Burn, Baby, Burn Wildfires can have dramatic and devastating effects on landscapes and human structures and are important agents in environmental transformation. Their impacts on nonanthropocentric aspects of the environment, such as ecosystems, biodiversity, carbon reserves, and climate, are often overlooked. Bowman et al. (p. 481 ) review what is known and what is needed to develop a holistic understanding of the role of fire in the Earth syste…

  • Mid- to Late Holocene climate change

    Open AccessHeinz Wanner, Jürg Beer et al.ARTICLEQuaternary Science Reviews2008

  • Climate and human influences on global biomass burning over the past two millennia

    Open AccessJennifer R Marlon, Patrick J Bartlein et al.ARTICLENature Geoscience2008

  • What do recent advances in quantifying climate and carbon cycle uncertainties mean for climate policy

    Open AccessJoanna I House, Chris Huntingford et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2008

    Global policy targets for greenhouse gas emissions reductions are being negotiated. The amount of emitted carbon dioxide remaining in the atmosphere is controlled by carbon cycle processes in the ocean and on land. These processes are themselves affected by climate. The resulting 'climate-carbon cycle feedback' has recently been quantified, but the policy implications have not. Using a scheme to emulate the range of state-of-the-art model results…

  • A dynamic global vegetation model for studies of the coupled atmosphere‐biosphere system

    Open AccessGerhard Krinner, Nicolas Viovy et al.ARTICLEGlobal Biogeochemical Cycles2005

    This work presents a new dynamic global vegetation model designed as an extension of an existing surface‐vegetation‐atmosphere transfer scheme which is included in a coupled ocean‐atmosphere general circulation model. The new dynamic global vegetation model simulates the principal processes of the continental biosphere influencing the global carbon cycle (photosynthesis, autotrophic and heterotrophic respiration of plants and in soils, fire, etc.…

  • Climate change threats to plant diversity in Europe

    Open AccessWilfried Thuiller, Sandra Lavorel et al.ARTICLEProceedings of the National…2005

    Climate change has already triggered species distribution shifts in many parts of the world. Increasing impacts are expected for the future, yet few studies have aimed for a general understanding of the regional basis for species vulnerability. We projected late 21st century distributions for 1,350 European plants species under seven climate change scenarios. Application of the International Union for Conservation of Nature and Natural Resources …

  • Ecosystem Service Supply and Vulnerability to Global Change in Europe

    Open AccessDagmar Schröter, Wolfgang Cramer et al.ARTICLEScience2005

    Global change will alter the supply of ecosystem services that are vital for human well-being. To investigate ecosystem service supply during the 21st century, we used a range of ecosystem models and scenarios of climate and land-use change to conduct a Europe-wide assessment. Large changes in climate and land use typically resulted in large changes in ecosystem service supply. Some of these trends may be positive (for example, increases in fores…

  • Global Consequences of Land Use

    Open AccessJonathan A Foley, Ruth Defries et al.ARTICLEScience2005

    Land use has generally been considered a local environmental issue, but it is becoming a force of global importance. Worldwide changes to forests, farmlands, waterways, and air are being driven by the need to provide food, fiber, water, and shelter to more than six billion people. Global croplands, pastures, plantations, and urban areas have expanded in recent decades, accompanied by large increases in energy, water, and fertilizer consumption, a…

  • Evaluation of ecosystem dynamics, plant geography and terrestrial carbon cycling in the LPJ dynamic global vegetation model

    Open AccessS Sitch, Benjamin Smith et al.ARTICLEGlobal Change Biology2003

    The Lund–Potsdam–Jena Dynamic Global Vegetation Model (LPJ) combines process‐based, large‐scale representations of terrestrial vegetation dynamics and land‐atmosphere carbon and water exchanges in a modular framework. Features include feedback through canopy conductance between photosynthesis and transpiration and interactive coupling between these ‘fast’ processes and other ecosystem processes including resource competition, tissue turnover, pop…

  • Global response of terrestrial ecosystem structure and function to CO 2 and climate change

    Open AccessWolfgang Cramer, Alberte Bondeau et al.ARTICLEGlobal Change Biology2001

    The possible responses of ecosystem processes to rising atmospheric CO 2 concentration and climate change are illustrated using six dynamic global vegetation models that explicitly represent the interactions of ecosystem carbon and water exchanges with vegetation dynamics. The models are driven by the IPCC IS92a scenario of rising CO 2 ( Wigley et al . 1991 ), and by climate changes resulting from effective CO 2 concentrations corresponding to IS…

  • Present‐day and mid‐Holocene biomes reconstructed from pollen and plant macrofossil data from the former Soviet Union and Mongolia

    Open AccessPavel E Tarasov, Thompson Webb Iii et al.ARTICLEJournal of Biogeography1998

    Fossil pollen data supplemented by tree macrofossil records were used to reconstruct the vegetation of the Former Soviet Union and Mongolia at 6000 years. Pollen spectra were assigned to biomes using the plant‐functional‐type method developed by Prentice et al . (1996). Surface pollen data and a modern vegetation map provided a test of the method. This is the first time such a broad‐scale vegetation reconstruction for the greater part of northern…

  • The Response of Northern Hemisphere Extratropical Climate and Vegetation to Orbitally Induced Changes in Insolation during the Last Interglaciation

    Open AccessSandy P Harrison, John E Kutzbach et al.ARTICLEQuaternary Research1995

    The last interglaciation (substage 5e) provides an opportunity to examine the effects of extreme orbital changes on regional climates. We have made two atmospheric general circulation model experiments: P+T+ approximated the northern hemisphere seasonality maximum near the beginning of 5e; P-T- approximated the minimum near the end of 5e. Simulated regional climate changes have been translated into biome changes using a physiologically based mode…

  • Reconstruction of Holocene Precipitation Patterns in Europe Using Pollen and Lake-Level Data

    Open AccessJoël Guiot, Sandy P Harrison et al.ARTICLEQuaternary Research1993

    Lake-level data can be used to refine palaeoclimate reconstructions based on pollen data. This approach is illustrated for the European Holocene. Estimates of P-PET (precipitation minus potential evapotranspiration) were first inferred from modern pollen analogues. The pollen-based estimates were then compared with the status of lakes within a 5° radius. Analogues with P-PET anomalies inconsistent with the lake-level changes were rejected. The "c…