John O’loughlin
Biographic Data
| ID | 3759754 |
|---|---|
| NAME | John O’loughlin |
| GIVEN NAMES | John |
| FAMILY NAME | O’loughlin |
| SIGNATURE | O’LOUGHLIN J |
| AFFILIATIONS | University of Colorado Boulder |
| VERIFIED | No |
| TOTAL WORKS | 16 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 150 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 16 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2004 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2025 |
| H-INDEX | 7 |
The challenges of surveying in war zones: Lessons from Ukraine
Conflict scholars commonly employ public opinion surveys to understand the causes and consequences of violence. However, surveying in wartime presents a distinctive set of challenges. We examine two challenges facing polling in countries at war: under-coverage of national samples and response bias. Although these issues are acknowledged in the literature on surveying methods, they become significantly more pronounced in war zones due to the geogr…
Politicizing Memory: Evidence from Ukraine
Research shows that people's perceptions of historical violence shape many present-day outcomes.Yet it is also plausible that people emphasize or downplay certain events of the past based on how these resonate with their beliefs and identities today.With a population of diverse orientations involving Russia and Europe, Ukraine in 2019 was an important case for exploring how people's present geopolitical orientations shaped perceptions of victimiz…
What Political Status Did the Donbas Want? Survey Evidence on the Eve of Russia's Full-Scale Invasion of Ukraine in February 2022
This article reports original survey data collected in both parts of the divided Donbas region of Ukraine on the eve of Russia’s full-scale invasion in February 2022. The research employs a methodological innovation by having the same telephone survey implemented by three different survey agencies: one based in Ukraine, one based in Russia, and one based in the UK. Comparing similarities and differences in results identify key effects induced by …
Drought, Local Institutional Contexts, and Support for Violence in Kenya
We address two questions on the effects of climate change for social instability. First, do droughts and their associated environmental impacts affect support for the use of violence? Second, do local-level formal and informal institutions moderate support for violence when and where droughts worsen? To answer these questions, we conducted a national survey of 1,400 Kenyans in 2014. Respondents were asked about patterns of rainfall and the presen…
Why Did MH17 Crash: Blame Attribution, Television News and Public Opinion in Southeastern Ukraine, Crimea and the De Facto States of Abkhazia, South Ossetia and Transnistria
Shock events are often pivotal moments in geopolitics and objects of intense disagreement among conflicting parties. This paper examines the downing of a Malaysia Airlines passenger jet over eastern Ukraine in July 2014 and the divergent blame storylines produced on Russian and Ukrainian television about the event. It then examines results of a question asking why MH17 crashed in a simultaneous survey conducted in December 2014 in six oblasts in …
The Diffusion of Democracy, 1946–1994
We examine the relationship between the temporal and spatial aspects of democratic diffusion in the world system since 1946. We find strong and consistent evidence of temporal clustering of democratic and autocratic trends, as well as strong spatial association (or autocorrelation) of democratization. The analysis uses an exploratory data approach in a longitudinal framework to understand global and regional trends in changes in authority structu…
Subnational violent conflict forecasts for sub-Saharan Africa, 2015-65, using climate-sensitive models
How will local violent conflict patterns in sub-Saharan Africa evolve until the middle of the 21st century? Africa is recognized as a particularly vulnerable continent to environmental and climate change since a large portion of its population is poor and reliant on rain-fed agriculture. We use a climate-sensitive approach to model sub-Saharan African violence in the past (geolocated to the nearest settlements) and then forecast future violence u…
Rainfall variability and violence in rural Kenya: Investigating the effects of drought and the role of local institutions with survey data
Climate variability and conflict risk in East Africa, 1990–2009
Recent studies concerning the possible relationship between climate trends and the risks of violent conflict have yielded contradictory results, partly because of choices of conflict measures and modeling design. In this study, we examine climate–conflict relationships using a geographically disaggregated approach. We consider the effects of climate change to be both local and national in character, and we use a conflict database that contains 16…
Celebrating thirty years of Political Geography
The Localized Geographies of Violence in the North Caucasus of Russia, 1999–2007
The second Chechen war, starting in the North Caucasus in August 1999, shows few signs of a ceasefire after eleven years, although the level of violence has declined from the peaks of the war's first two years. Initially framed by both sides as a war of separatists versus the federal center, the situation is now complicated by the installation of a Moscow ally into power in Chechnya and by the splintering of the opposition into groups with divers…
Academic re-territorializations: Gate-keeping, power and responsibility
Ethnic competition, radical Islam, and challenges to stability in the Republic of Dagestan
Previous academic work on stability in Dagestan has focused on two potential cleavages, the republic’s ethnic diversity and the challenge from radical Islamist groups. Using results from a December 2005 survey, and focusing on Dagestan’s six main ethnic groups, this paper investigates attitudes towards the dual topics of the politicization of ethnicity and the relationship between terrorism and Islamism. We find that Dagestanis maintain layered c…
Belonging to the world: Cosmopolitanism in geographic contexts
Russian geopolitical storylines and public opinion in the wake of 9–11: A Critical Geopolitical Analysis and National Survey
Examination of the speeches, writings and editorials by the Putin Administration in the aftermath of the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks showed a consistent storyline that equated Russia’s war against Chechen terrorists with the subsequent US attack on the Taliban and Al Qaeda. The storyline made a strong case for a Russian alliance with the US and the West against those who were attacking the ‘civilized world’. Two alternative storylines al…
Academic openness, boycotts and journal policy
Belonging to the world: Cosmopolitanism in geographic contexts
Drought, Local Institutional Contexts, and Support for Violence in Kenya
We address two questions on the effects of climate change for social instability. First, do droughts and their associated environmental impacts affect support for the use of violence? Second, do local-level formal and informal institutions moderate support for violence when and where droughts worsen? To answer these questions, we conducted a national survey of 1,400 Kenyans in 2014. Respondents were asked about patterns of rainfall and the presen…
Rainfall variability and violence in rural Kenya: Investigating the effects of drought and the role of local institutions with survey data
The Localized Geographies of Violence in the North Caucasus of Russia, 1999–2007
The second Chechen war, starting in the North Caucasus in August 1999, shows few signs of a ceasefire after eleven years, although the level of violence has declined from the peaks of the war's first two years. Initially framed by both sides as a war of separatists versus the federal center, the situation is now complicated by the installation of a Moscow ally into power in Chechnya and by the splintering of the opposition into groups with divers…
Subnational violent conflict forecasts for sub-Saharan Africa, 2015-65, using climate-sensitive models
How will local violent conflict patterns in sub-Saharan Africa evolve until the middle of the 21st century? Africa is recognized as a particularly vulnerable continent to environmental and climate change since a large portion of its population is poor and reliant on rain-fed agriculture. We use a climate-sensitive approach to model sub-Saharan African violence in the past (geolocated to the nearest settlements) and then forecast future violence u…
Academic re-territorializations: Gate-keeping, power and responsibility
Russian geopolitical storylines and public opinion in the wake of 9–11: A Critical Geopolitical Analysis and National Survey
Examination of the speeches, writings and editorials by the Putin Administration in the aftermath of the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks showed a consistent storyline that equated Russia’s war against Chechen terrorists with the subsequent US attack on the Taliban and Al Qaeda. The storyline made a strong case for a Russian alliance with the US and the West against those who were attacking the ‘civilized world’. Two alternative storylines al…
Why Did MH17 Crash: Blame Attribution, Television News and Public Opinion in Southeastern Ukraine, Crimea and the De Facto States of Abkhazia, South Ossetia and Transnistria
Shock events are often pivotal moments in geopolitics and objects of intense disagreement among conflicting parties. This paper examines the downing of a Malaysia Airlines passenger jet over eastern Ukraine in July 2014 and the divergent blame storylines produced on Russian and Ukrainian television about the event. It then examines results of a question asking why MH17 crashed in a simultaneous survey conducted in December 2014 in six oblasts in …
Academic openness, boycotts and journal policy
The challenges of surveying in war zones: Lessons from Ukraine
Conflict scholars commonly employ public opinion surveys to understand the causes and consequences of violence. However, surveying in wartime presents a distinctive set of challenges. We examine two challenges facing polling in countries at war: under-coverage of national samples and response bias. Although these issues are acknowledged in the literature on surveying methods, they become significantly more pronounced in war zones due to the geogr…
Ethnic competition, radical Islam, and challenges to stability in the Republic of Dagestan
Previous academic work on stability in Dagestan has focused on two potential cleavages, the republic’s ethnic diversity and the challenge from radical Islamist groups. Using results from a December 2005 survey, and focusing on Dagestan’s six main ethnic groups, this paper investigates attitudes towards the dual topics of the politicization of ethnicity and the relationship between terrorism and Islamism. We find that Dagestanis maintain layered c…
Celebrating thirty years of Political Geography
Russian geopolitical storylines and public opinion in the wake of 9–11: A Critical Geopolitical Analysis and National Survey
Examination of the speeches, writings and editorials by the Putin Administration in the aftermath of the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks showed a consistent storyline that equated Russia’s war against Chechen terrorists with the subsequent US attack on the Taliban and Al Qaeda. The storyline made a strong case for a Russian alliance with the US and the West against those who were attacking the ‘civilized world’. Two alternative storylines al…
Academic openness, boycotts and journal policy
Belonging to the world: Cosmopolitanism in geographic contexts
Ethnic competition, radical Islam, and challenges to stability in the Republic of Dagestan
Previous academic work on stability in Dagestan has focused on two potential cleavages, the republic’s ethnic diversity and the challenge from radical Islamist groups. Using results from a December 2005 survey, and focusing on Dagestan’s six main ethnic groups, this paper investigates attitudes towards the dual topics of the politicization of ethnicity and the relationship between terrorism and Islamism. We find that Dagestanis maintain layered c…
The Localized Geographies of Violence in the North Caucasus of Russia, 1999–2007
The second Chechen war, starting in the North Caucasus in August 1999, shows few signs of a ceasefire after eleven years, although the level of violence has declined from the peaks of the war's first two years. Initially framed by both sides as a war of separatists versus the federal center, the situation is now complicated by the installation of a Moscow ally into power in Chechnya and by the splintering of the opposition into groups with divers…
Academic re-territorializations: Gate-keeping, power and responsibility
Climate variability and conflict risk in East Africa, 1990–2009
Recent studies concerning the possible relationship between climate trends and the risks of violent conflict have yielded contradictory results, partly because of choices of conflict measures and modeling design. In this study, we examine climate–conflict relationships using a geographically disaggregated approach. We consider the effects of climate change to be both local and national in character, and we use a conflict database that contains 16…
Celebrating thirty years of Political Geography
Rainfall variability and violence in rural Kenya: Investigating the effects of drought and the role of local institutions with survey data
The Diffusion of Democracy, 1946–1994
We examine the relationship between the temporal and spatial aspects of democratic diffusion in the world system since 1946. We find strong and consistent evidence of temporal clustering of democratic and autocratic trends, as well as strong spatial association (or autocorrelation) of democratization. The analysis uses an exploratory data approach in a longitudinal framework to understand global and regional trends in changes in authority structu…
Subnational violent conflict forecasts for sub-Saharan Africa, 2015-65, using climate-sensitive models
How will local violent conflict patterns in sub-Saharan Africa evolve until the middle of the 21st century? Africa is recognized as a particularly vulnerable continent to environmental and climate change since a large portion of its population is poor and reliant on rain-fed agriculture. We use a climate-sensitive approach to model sub-Saharan African violence in the past (geolocated to the nearest settlements) and then forecast future violence u…
Drought, Local Institutional Contexts, and Support for Violence in Kenya
We address two questions on the effects of climate change for social instability. First, do droughts and their associated environmental impacts affect support for the use of violence? Second, do local-level formal and informal institutions moderate support for violence when and where droughts worsen? To answer these questions, we conducted a national survey of 1,400 Kenyans in 2014. Respondents were asked about patterns of rainfall and the presen…
Why Did MH17 Crash: Blame Attribution, Television News and Public Opinion in Southeastern Ukraine, Crimea and the De Facto States of Abkhazia, South Ossetia and Transnistria
Shock events are often pivotal moments in geopolitics and objects of intense disagreement among conflicting parties. This paper examines the downing of a Malaysia Airlines passenger jet over eastern Ukraine in July 2014 and the divergent blame storylines produced on Russian and Ukrainian television about the event. It then examines results of a question asking why MH17 crashed in a simultaneous survey conducted in December 2014 in six oblasts in …
Politicizing Memory: Evidence from Ukraine
Research shows that people's perceptions of historical violence shape many present-day outcomes.Yet it is also plausible that people emphasize or downplay certain events of the past based on how these resonate with their beliefs and identities today.With a population of diverse orientations involving Russia and Europe, Ukraine in 2019 was an important case for exploring how people's present geopolitical orientations shaped perceptions of victimiz…
What Political Status Did the Donbas Want? Survey Evidence on the Eve of Russia's Full-Scale Invasion of Ukraine in February 2022
This article reports original survey data collected in both parts of the divided Donbas region of Ukraine on the eve of Russia’s full-scale invasion in February 2022. The research employs a methodological innovation by having the same telephone survey implemented by three different survey agencies: one based in Ukraine, one based in Russia, and one based in the UK. Comparing similarities and differences in results identify key effects induced by …
The challenges of surveying in war zones: Lessons from Ukraine
Conflict scholars commonly employ public opinion surveys to understand the causes and consequences of violence. However, surveying in wartime presents a distinctive set of challenges. We examine two challenges facing polling in countries at war: under-coverage of national samples and response bias. Although these issues are acknowledged in the literature on surveying methods, they become significantly more pronounced in war zones due to the geogr…
Political science (13 works) · Politics (9 works) · Geography (7 works) · Law (7 works) · Sociology (6 works) · Psychology (4 works) · Transboundary Water Resource Management (4 works) · Climate change (3 works) · Ecology (3 works) · European and Russian Geopolitical Military Strategies (3 works)