Kristian Gustafson
Biographic Data
| ID | 3782323 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Kristian Gustafson |
| GIVEN NAMES | Kristian |
| FAMILY NAME | Gustafson |
| SIGNATURE | GUSTAFSON K |
| AFFILIATIONS | Brunel University of London |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-5532-3742 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 10 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 2 |
| WORKS AS AUTHOR | 10 |
| WORKS AS EDITOR | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2010 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2026 |
| H-INDEX | 1 |
Leveraging data science to investigate intelligence failures
This article challenges the conventional assumption underpinning the ‘First Law of Intelligence Failure’ – that warning signs are always available, but ignored, prior to intelligence breakdowns. Employing advanced natural language processing and machine learning techniques, the authors analyse declassified US State Department cables from the 1970s, focusing on two case studies often deemed intelligence failures: the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan…
Teaching Structured Analytic Techniques across Nations
The implementation and evolution of structured analytic techniques (SATs) steadily advanced across several North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) Intelligence Communities (ICs) post–11 September 2001, with an aim to enhance analytic rigor to prevent intelligence failures. Despite SATs’ widespread adoption, there remains a lack of consensus and uniformity in their application across nations and agencies, resulting in varied teaching and impleme…
Intelligence warning in the Ukraine war, Autumn 2021 – Summer 2022
Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 is a unique case study of the use of warning intelligence.The article shows that whilst Russia's invasion has sparked a wave of interest on aspects of intelligence, including the use of open source and 'prebuttal', the fundamentals of warning intelligencethe forewarning of major threats in a timely manner so policymakers and officials can respond -remain the same as they have always have.The article a…
Intelligence success and failure
Since being pioneered by Roberta Wohlstetter in the 1960s, intelligence failure has taken up a significant share of intelligence studies. Scholars and practitioners of no little pedigree have tried to answer the question of ‘why intelligence fails’, and the closely related, but not identical, one of ‘why we are sometimes surprised’. It is a rich literature, but on a big topic, with room for development. Uri Bar-Joseph and Rose McDermott's contrib…
Intelligence and military doctrine
This article examines the evolution of the current British military joint intelligence doctrine. We argue that military intelligence doctrine is dogged by an intrinsic tension between the ethos and expectations of military doctrine and those of the professional practice of intelligence. We further argue not only that prior iterations of UK joint intelligence doctrine failed to effectively deal with this intelligence doctrine dilemma, but also tha…
The Bush War to Save the Rhino
The rhino is going extinct due to poaching at a rate which far outstrips current law enforcement or conservation efforts to halt their decline. A critical aspect of counter-poaching failures to date is an inaccurate view of the nature of poaching as a crime. Rather than demand-side efforts, attacking elusive smuggling networks or expensive technical solutions like drones, this article notes how a quasi-military tactical approach of ‘combat tracki…
Exchange
January 01 2012 Exchange: Debating U.S. Involvement in Chile in the 1970s Lubna Qureshi, Lubna Qureshi Search for other works by this author on: This Site Google Scholar Kristian Gustafson Kristian Gustafson Search for other works by this author on: This Site Google Scholar Author and Article Information Lubna Qureshi Kristian Gustafson Online ISSN: 1531-3298 Print ISSN: 1520-3972 © 2012 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Mas…
Allende's Chile and the inter-American Cold War
Fidel Castro described Salvador Allende's democratic election as president of Chile in 1970 as the most important revolutionary triumph in Latin America after the Cuban revolution. Yet celebrations were short lived. In Washington, the Nixon administration vowed to destroy Allende's left-wing government while Chilean opposition forces mobilized against him. The result was a battle for Chile that ended in 1973 with a right-wing military coup and a …
Early stages in the evolution of covert action governance in the United States, 1951–1961
The U.S. government started to establish a formalised covert action capability only in the late 1940s and early 1950s, in response to the perceived Soviet threat. The difficult process of establishing the first inter-agency management organisation for this new activity, the Psychological Strategy Board, and its successor, the Operational Coordination Board, serves to highlight the peculiar characteristics of covert action and its management. Very…
Lubna Z. Qureshi, Nixon, Kissinger and Allende
July 01 2010 Lubna Z. Qureshi, Nixon, Kissinger and Allende: US Involvement in the 1973 Coup in Chile Kristian C. Gustafson Kristian C. Gustafson Search for other works by this author on: This Site Google Scholar Author and Article Information Kristian C. Gustafson Online ISSN: 1531-3298 Print ISSN: 1520-3972 © 2010 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology2010 Journal of Cold War Studies (2010)…
Intelligence and military doctrine
This article examines the evolution of the current British military joint intelligence doctrine. We argue that military intelligence doctrine is dogged by an intrinsic tension between the ethos and expectations of military doctrine and those of the professional practice of intelligence. We further argue not only that prior iterations of UK joint intelligence doctrine failed to effectively deal with this intelligence doctrine dilemma, but also tha…
The Bush War to Save the Rhino
The rhino is going extinct due to poaching at a rate which far outstrips current law enforcement or conservation efforts to halt their decline. A critical aspect of counter-poaching failures to date is an inaccurate view of the nature of poaching as a crime. Rather than demand-side efforts, attacking elusive smuggling networks or expensive technical solutions like drones, this article notes how a quasi-military tactical approach of ‘combat tracki…
Lubna Z. Qureshi, Nixon, Kissinger and Allende
July 01 2010 Lubna Z. Qureshi, Nixon, Kissinger and Allende: US Involvement in the 1973 Coup in Chile Kristian C. Gustafson Kristian C. Gustafson Search for other works by this author on: This Site Google Scholar Author and Article Information Kristian C. Gustafson Online ISSN: 1531-3298 Print ISSN: 1520-3972 © 2010 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology2010 Journal of Cold War Studies (2010)…
Exchange
January 01 2012 Exchange: Debating U.S. Involvement in Chile in the 1970s Lubna Qureshi, Lubna Qureshi Search for other works by this author on: This Site Google Scholar Kristian Gustafson Kristian Gustafson Search for other works by this author on: This Site Google Scholar Author and Article Information Lubna Qureshi Kristian Gustafson Online ISSN: 1531-3298 Print ISSN: 1520-3972 © 2012 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Mas…
Allende's Chile and the inter-American Cold War
Fidel Castro described Salvador Allende's democratic election as president of Chile in 1970 as the most important revolutionary triumph in Latin America after the Cuban revolution. Yet celebrations were short lived. In Washington, the Nixon administration vowed to destroy Allende's left-wing government while Chilean opposition forces mobilized against him. The result was a battle for Chile that ended in 1973 with a right-wing military coup and a …
Early stages in the evolution of covert action governance in the United States, 1951–1961
The U.S. government started to establish a formalised covert action capability only in the late 1940s and early 1950s, in response to the perceived Soviet threat. The difficult process of establishing the first inter-agency management organisation for this new activity, the Psychological Strategy Board, and its successor, the Operational Coordination Board, serves to highlight the peculiar characteristics of covert action and its management. Very…
Intelligence and military doctrine
This article examines the evolution of the current British military joint intelligence doctrine. We argue that military intelligence doctrine is dogged by an intrinsic tension between the ethos and expectations of military doctrine and those of the professional practice of intelligence. We further argue not only that prior iterations of UK joint intelligence doctrine failed to effectively deal with this intelligence doctrine dilemma, but also tha…
The Bush War to Save the Rhino
The rhino is going extinct due to poaching at a rate which far outstrips current law enforcement or conservation efforts to halt their decline. A critical aspect of counter-poaching failures to date is an inaccurate view of the nature of poaching as a crime. Rather than demand-side efforts, attacking elusive smuggling networks or expensive technical solutions like drones, this article notes how a quasi-military tactical approach of ‘combat tracki…
Intelligence success and failure
Since being pioneered by Roberta Wohlstetter in the 1960s, intelligence failure has taken up a significant share of intelligence studies. Scholars and practitioners of no little pedigree have tried to answer the question of ‘why intelligence fails’, and the closely related, but not identical, one of ‘why we are sometimes surprised’. It is a rich literature, but on a big topic, with room for development. Uri Bar-Joseph and Rose McDermott's contrib…
Intelligence warning in the Ukraine war, Autumn 2021 – Summer 2022
Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 is a unique case study of the use of warning intelligence.The article shows that whilst Russia's invasion has sparked a wave of interest on aspects of intelligence, including the use of open source and 'prebuttal', the fundamentals of warning intelligencethe forewarning of major threats in a timely manner so policymakers and officials can respond -remain the same as they have always have.The article a…
Teaching Structured Analytic Techniques across Nations
The implementation and evolution of structured analytic techniques (SATs) steadily advanced across several North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) Intelligence Communities (ICs) post–11 September 2001, with an aim to enhance analytic rigor to prevent intelligence failures. Despite SATs’ widespread adoption, there remains a lack of consensus and uniformity in their application across nations and agencies, resulting in varied teaching and impleme…
Leveraging data science to investigate intelligence failures
This article challenges the conventional assumption underpinning the ‘First Law of Intelligence Failure’ – that warning signs are always available, but ignored, prior to intelligence breakdowns. Employing advanced natural language processing and machine learning techniques, the authors analyse declassified US State Department cables from the 1970s, focusing on two case studies often deemed intelligence failures: the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan…
Political science (7 works) · Intelligence, Security, War Strategy (5 works) · Law (5 works) · Computer Science (4 works) · Law (4 works) · Sociology (4 works) · Political and Social Dynamics in Chile and Latin America (3 works) · Allende meteorite (2 works) · Citation (2 works) · Communism, Protests, Social Movements (2 works)