Collin F Payne
Biographic Data
| ID | 379758 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Collin F Payne |
| GIVEN NAMES | Collin F |
| FAMILY NAME | Payne |
| SIGNATURE | PAYNE C F |
| AFFILIATIONS | Australian National University |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-3061-1609 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 33 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 81 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 33 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2010 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2026 |
| H-INDEX | 5 |
Changing Dynamics of the Education–Overweight Relationship in Indonesia
In high-income countries, educational attainment is strongly negatively correlated with excess weight, but the education-obesity relationship is less clear in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). The Population Education Transition (PET) theory suggests that at lower levels of development and in early stages of population’s exposure to new obesity-related health risks, education may initially increase obesity risk, but over time, it could be…
Inequalities in Mortality in the Asia-Pacific
Analyzing social gradients in mortality in the Asia-Pacific shows that inequalities, especially wealth-based inequalities, in later-life health are present across the region, and that the magnitude of social gradients in mortality is overall larger in high-income countries as compared to middle-income countries
National Population Growth Rate, Its Components, and Subnational Contributions
A population's current growth rate is determined jointly by changes in fertility, mortality, and migration. This overall growth rate is also the average of age-specific growth rates, which can be decomposed into the result of historical changes in fertility, mortality, and migration. However, doing so requires more than 100 years of historical data, meaning that such analyses are possible only in a select few populations. In this research note, w…
A growing divide
This study examines two decades of change in social inequalities in life and health expectancy among older adults in Australia, one of the few countries that escaped an economic recession during the global financial crisis. We compare adults aged 45+ across three measures of individual socio-economic position-education, occupation, and household wealth-and use multistate life tables to estimate total life expectancy (TLE) and life expectancy free…
Dynamics of Health Expectancy
Many studies have compared individual measures of health expectancy across older populations by time-invariant characteristics. However, very few have included time-varying variables when calculating health expectancy. Even among older adults, socioeconomic and demographic characteristics are likely to change over the life course, and these changes may have substantial implications for health outcomes. This paper proposes a multiple multistate me…
Disability and morbidity among US birth cohorts, 1998–2018
A substantial body of prior research has explored patterns of disability-free and morbidity-free life expectancy among older populations. However, these distinct facets of later-life health are almost always studied in isolation, even though they are very likely to be related. Using data from the US Health and Retirement Study and a multistate life table approach, this paper explores the interactions between disability, morbidity, and mortality b…
Decomposition of Differentials in Health Expectancies From Multistate Life Tables
Multistate modeling is a commonly used method to compute healthy life expectancy. However, there is currently no analytical method to decompose the components of differentials in summary measures calculated from multistate models. In this research note, we propose a derivative-based method to decompose the differentials in population-based health expectancies estimated via a multistate model into two main components: the proportion resulting from…
Expansion, Compression, Neither, Both? Divergent Patterns in Healthy, Disability-Free, and Morbidity-Free Life Expectancy Across U.S. Birth Cohorts, 1998–2016
This article explores how patterns of health, morbidity, and disability have changed across successive generations of older adults in the United States. Using a novel method for comparing state-specific partial life expectancies—that is, total life expectancy (LE), and health expectancies (HEs) in different health states, bounded between two ages—I explore changes in healthy life expectancy across successive birth cohorts of the U.S. population. …
Demography and Covid-19
Gender, intimate partner homicide, and rurality in early-twentieth-century New South Wales
Rural criminological literature on lethal domestic violence and feminist historical research on the patriarchal judgment of women accused of killing male intimate partners (IPs) have developed a dystopic image of the past for nonurban women. This paper questions that impression by asking whether women were more likely than men to be convicted of IP murder, and whether rural women were treated more harshly than urban women. Through quantitative an…
Life Course Socioeconomic Status and Healthy Longevity in China
In 2020, China's population aged 60 or older exceeded 264 million, representing 25% of the global population in that age-group. Older adults in China experienced periods of dramatic political and social unrest in early life, as well as economic transformations leading to drastic improvements in living standards during adulthood and older age. However, the implications of life course socioeconomic status (SES) trajectories for healthy longevity in…
The Components of Change in Population Growth Rates
The demographic balance equation relates the population growth rate with crude rates of fertility, mortality, and net migration. All these rates refer to changes occurring between two time points, say, t and t + h. However, this fundamental balance equation overlooks the contribution of historical fertility, mortality, and migration in explaining these population counts. Because of this, the balance equation only partially explains a change in gr…
Impairment in Activities of Daily Living and Unmet Need for Care Among Older Adults
Prevalence of ADL impairment and unmet need was high in this setting. Variation in impairment across the population highlighted key groups for future interventions. Unmet need for care was highest in middle-aged adults, indicating a gap in care provision
The role of reductions in old-age mortality in old-age population growth
The variable-r model provides demographers with a way to explore the contributions of demographic components (fertility, mortality, migration) to changes in populationsâ age structures. However, traditional variable-r methods require extremely long mortali
Epidemiology of multimorbidity in conditions of extreme poverty
Introduction: Multimorbidity is a health issue of increasing importance worldwide, and is likely to become particularly problematic in low-income countries (LICs) as they undergo economic, demographic and epidemiological transitions. Knowledge of the burden and consequences of multimorbidity in LICs is needed to inform appropriate interventions. Methods: A cross-sectional household survey collected data on morbidities and frailty, disability, qua…
Education and adult mortality in middle-income countries
We find that adult mortality and risk factor gradients in MICs can be much different than the established patterns seen in modern HICs. Our results highlight that adult mortality gradients are not an inevitability and are not found in all populations. Understanding what factors give rise to inequalities in adult mortality and what can be done to minimize gradients while still ensuring continued mortality improvements in MICs is a crucial focus fo…
Life-Course Trauma and Later Life Mental, Physical, and Cognitive Health in a Postapartheid South African Population
Objective: To investigate the relationships between exposure to life-course traumatic events (TEs) and later life mental, physical, and cognitive health outcomes in the older population of a rural South African community. Method: Data were from baseline interviews with 2,473 adults aged ≥40 years in the population-representative Health and Aging in Africa: A Longitudinal Study of an INDEPTH Community in South Africa (HAALSI) study, conducted in 2…
Impairment in Activities of Daily Living, Care Receipt, and Unmet Needs in a Middle-Aged and Older Rural South African Population
Objectives: The objective of this study is to analyze the degree to which care needs are met in an aging rural African population. Method: Using data from the Health and Aging in Africa: Longitudinal Study of an INDEPTH Community (HAALSI) baseline survey, which interviewed 5,059 adults aged older than 40 years in rural South Africa, we assessed the levels of limitations in activities of daily living (ADLs) and in unmet care for these ADLs, and ev…
Expansion of disability across successive Mexican birth cohorts
BACKGROUND: Life expectancy (LE) in Mexico has risen rapidly since the 1950s. In high-income contexts, these increases have coincided with a compression of disability to later ages. However, little evidence on trends in disability-free LE (DFLE) exist from Mexico or elsewhere in Latin America. METHODS: Using data from the Mexican Health and Aging Study, we compare changes in LE and DFLE in ages 50-59, 60-69 and 70-79 using birth-cohort-specific m…
Private Intergenerational Transfers, Family Structure, and Health in a sub-Saharan African Context
During the last two decades, the increase in surveys aimed at quantifying \nmonetary and non-monetary exchanges has fostered remarkable advances \nin measuring, modeling, and assessing the implications of intergenerational \ntransfers at both the micro- and the macro level. This expansion in data \navailability, together with the conceptual development of the National \nTransfer Accounts (NTA) framework (Lee and Mason 2011), has led to a \nflouri…
Tracking progress in mean longevity
Cohort life expectancy is an important but rarely used indicator of mean longevity. In this paper, we show that there are specific advantages in lagging this indicator in time by its own value, an approach termed Lagged Cohort Life Expectancy (LCLE). We discuss the usefulness of LCLE as an indicator for tracking progress in mean longevity and introduce a new interpretation of LCLE as a reference age separating 'early' deaths from 'late' deaths, o…
The Longitudinal Dynamics of Household Composition and Wealth in Rural Malawi
Household living arrangements play a crucial role in survival efforts throughout sub-Saharan Africa. Household living arrangements foster the development of informal insurance that can mitigate economic or filial shocks, and potentially improve the overall well-being of kin. However, scholarship in sub-Saharan African settings has not been able to, or has not attempted, to track how households have changed and the coinciding changes in livelihood…
Cohort Profile
Population ageing is a global phenomenon. The United Nations estimates that the world population aged over 60 will have increased 3-fold from 1950 to 2050, to reach 21% of the population.1 This compositional shift is happening fastest in low- and middle-income countries (LMIC).2 South Africa in particular is undergoing a dramatic demographic and epidemiological transition, and little is known about the socioeconomic determinants or consequences o…
Can healthy checkout end-caps improve targeted fruit and vegetable purchases? Evidence from grocery and SNAP participant purchases
Cognition, Health, and Well-Being in a Rural Sub-Saharan African Population
Childhood deprivation and later-life cognitive function in a population-based study of older rural South Africans
The Demography of Mental Health Among Mature Adults in a Low-Income, High-HIV-Prevalence Context
Very few studies have investigated mental health in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Using data from Malawi, this article provides a first picture of the demography of depression and anxiety (DA) among mature adults (aged 45 or older) in a low-income country with high HIV prevalence. DA are more frequent among women than men, and individuals affected by one are often affected by the other. DA are associated with adverse outcomes, such as poorer nutritio…
Aging in the Americas
Though the older adult population of Latin America and the Caribbean lived many years exposed to poor epidemiological and public health conditions, their functional health in later life is comparable with the older adult population of the United States
Tracking progress in mean longevity
Cohort life expectancy is an important but rarely used indicator of mean longevity. In this paper, we show that there are specific advantages in lagging this indicator in time by its own value, an approach termed Lagged Cohort Life Expectancy (LCLE). We discuss the usefulness of LCLE as an indicator for tracking progress in mean longevity and introduce a new interpretation of LCLE as a reference age separating 'early' deaths from 'late' deaths, o…
Physical Function in an Aging Population in Rural South Africa
As the first HRS sister study undertaken in Africa, HAALSI adds vital information on population aging and health in the region. Continuing waves of HAALSI data will be a key resource for understanding differences in the complex processes of disability across LMIC contexts
The Components of Change in Population Growth Rates
The demographic balance equation relates the population growth rate with crude rates of fertility, mortality, and net migration. All these rates refer to changes occurring between two time points, say, t and t + h. However, this fundamental balance equation overlooks the contribution of historical fertility, mortality, and migration in explaining these population counts. Because of this, the balance equation only partially explains a change in gr…
The role of reductions in old-age mortality in old-age population growth
The variable-r model provides demographers with a way to explore the contributions of demographic components (fertility, mortality, migration) to changes in populationsâ age structures. However, traditional variable-r methods require extremely long mortali
The population-level impact of public-sector antiretroviral therapy rollout on adult mortality in rural Malawi
BACKGROUND: Recent evidence from health and demographic surveillance sites (HDSS) has shown that increasing access to antiretroviral therapy (ART) is reducing mortality rates in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). However, due to limited vital statistics registration in many of the countries most affected by the HIV/AIDS epidemic, there is limited evidence of the magnitude of ART's effect outside of specific HDSS sites. This paper leverages longitudinal ho…
Life-Course Trauma and Later Life Mental, Physical, and Cognitive Health in a Postapartheid South African Population
Objective: To investigate the relationships between exposure to life-course traumatic events (TEs) and later life mental, physical, and cognitive health outcomes in the older population of a rural South African community. Method: Data were from baseline interviews with 2,473 adults aged ≥40 years in the population-representative Health and Aging in Africa: A Longitudinal Study of an INDEPTH Community in South Africa (HAALSI) study, conducted in 2…
The differential impact of mortality of American troops in the Iraq War
This study investigates the disproportionate impact of mortality among United States troops in Iraq on rural communities. We advance scholarly research and popular accounts that suggest a non-metropolitan disadvantage by disaggregating the risk of mortality according to the metropolitan status of their home county and by examining potential sources of variation, including enlistment, rank and race or ethnicity. Results show that troops from non-m…
Impairment in Activities of Daily Living, Care Receipt, and Unmet Needs in a Middle-Aged and Older Rural South African Population
Objectives: The objective of this study is to analyze the degree to which care needs are met in an aging rural African population. Method: Using data from the Health and Aging in Africa: Longitudinal Study of an INDEPTH Community (HAALSI) baseline survey, which interviewed 5,059 adults aged older than 40 years in rural South Africa, we assessed the levels of limitations in activities of daily living (ADLs) and in unmet care for these ADLs, and ev…
Expansion of disability across successive Mexican birth cohorts
BACKGROUND: Life expectancy (LE) in Mexico has risen rapidly since the 1950s. In high-income contexts, these increases have coincided with a compression of disability to later ages. However, little evidence on trends in disability-free LE (DFLE) exist from Mexico or elsewhere in Latin America. METHODS: Using data from the Mexican Health and Aging Study, we compare changes in LE and DFLE in ages 50-59, 60-69 and 70-79 using birth-cohort-specific m…
Inequalities in Mortality in the Asia-Pacific
Analyzing social gradients in mortality in the Asia-Pacific shows that inequalities, especially wealth-based inequalities, in later-life health are present across the region, and that the magnitude of social gradients in mortality is overall larger in high-income countries as compared to middle-income countries
National Population Growth Rate, Its Components, and Subnational Contributions
A population's current growth rate is determined jointly by changes in fertility, mortality, and migration. This overall growth rate is also the average of age-specific growth rates, which can be decomposed into the result of historical changes in fertility, mortality, and migration. However, doing so requires more than 100 years of historical data, meaning that such analyses are possible only in a select few populations. In this research note, w…
A growing divide
This study examines two decades of change in social inequalities in life and health expectancy among older adults in Australia, one of the few countries that escaped an economic recession during the global financial crisis. We compare adults aged 45+ across three measures of individual socio-economic position-education, occupation, and household wealth-and use multistate life tables to estimate total life expectancy (TLE) and life expectancy free…
Decomposition of Differentials in Health Expectancies From Multistate Life Tables
Multistate modeling is a commonly used method to compute healthy life expectancy. However, there is currently no analytical method to decompose the components of differentials in summary measures calculated from multistate models. In this research note, we propose a derivative-based method to decompose the differentials in population-based health expectancies estimated via a multistate model into two main components: the proportion resulting from…
Life Course Socioeconomic Status and Healthy Longevity in China
In 2020, China's population aged 60 or older exceeded 264 million, representing 25% of the global population in that age-group. Older adults in China experienced periods of dramatic political and social unrest in early life, as well as economic transformations leading to drastic improvements in living standards during adulthood and older age. However, the implications of life course socioeconomic status (SES) trajectories for healthy longevity in…
Impairment in Activities of Daily Living and Unmet Need for Care Among Older Adults
Prevalence of ADL impairment and unmet need was high in this setting. Variation in impairment across the population highlighted key groups for future interventions. Unmet need for care was highest in middle-aged adults, indicating a gap in care provision
The Longitudinal Dynamics of Household Composition and Wealth in Rural Malawi
Household living arrangements play a crucial role in survival efforts throughout sub-Saharan Africa. Household living arrangements foster the development of informal insurance that can mitigate economic or filial shocks, and potentially improve the overall well-being of kin. However, scholarship in sub-Saharan African settings has not been able to, or has not attempted, to track how households have changed and the coinciding changes in livelihood…
Can healthy checkout end-caps improve targeted fruit and vegetable purchases? Evidence from grocery and SNAP participant purchases
The differential impact of mortality of American troops in the Iraq War
This study investigates the disproportionate impact of mortality among United States troops in Iraq on rural communities. We advance scholarly research and popular accounts that suggest a non-metropolitan disadvantage by disaggregating the risk of mortality according to the metropolitan status of their home county and by examining potential sources of variation, including enlistment, rank and race or ethnicity. Results show that troops from non-m…
Aging in the Americas
Though the older adult population of Latin America and the Caribbean lived many years exposed to poor epidemiological and public health conditions, their functional health in later life is comparable with the older adult population of the United States
Children's self-reported liking of child-friendly shaped fruit and vegetable snacks. Does shape influence liking
Physical Function in an Aging Population in Rural South Africa
As the first HRS sister study undertaken in Africa, HAALSI adds vital information on population aging and health in the region. Continuing waves of HAALSI data will be a key resource for understanding differences in the complex processes of disability across LMIC contexts
The Demography of Mental Health Among Mature Adults in a Low-Income, High-HIV-Prevalence Context
Very few studies have investigated mental health in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Using data from Malawi, this article provides a first picture of the demography of depression and anxiety (DA) among mature adults (aged 45 or older) in a low-income country with high HIV prevalence. DA are more frequent among women than men, and individuals affected by one are often affected by the other. DA are associated with adverse outcomes, such as poorer nutritio…
Childhood deprivation and later-life cognitive function in a population-based study of older rural South Africans
The population-level impact of public-sector antiretroviral therapy rollout on adult mortality in rural Malawi
BACKGROUND: Recent evidence from health and demographic surveillance sites (HDSS) has shown that increasing access to antiretroviral therapy (ART) is reducing mortality rates in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). However, due to limited vital statistics registration in many of the countries most affected by the HIV/AIDS epidemic, there is limited evidence of the magnitude of ART's effect outside of specific HDSS sites. This paper leverages longitudinal ho…
Cohort Profile
Population ageing is a global phenomenon. The United Nations estimates that the world population aged over 60 will have increased 3-fold from 1950 to 2050, to reach 21% of the population.1 This compositional shift is happening fastest in low- and middle-income countries (LMIC).2 South Africa in particular is undergoing a dramatic demographic and epidemiological transition, and little is known about the socioeconomic determinants or consequences o…
Can healthy checkout end-caps improve targeted fruit and vegetable purchases? Evidence from grocery and SNAP participant purchases
Cognition, Health, and Well-Being in a Rural Sub-Saharan African Population
Cross-sectional relationship between haemoglobin concentration and measures of physical and cognitive function in an older rural South African population
BACKGROUND: Age cohort differences in haemoglobin concentrations and associations with physical and cognitive performance among populations of lower income and middle-income countries have not previously been described. We examined the association between these factors among older men and women in rural South Africa. METHODS: We analysed cross-sectional data from a population-based study of rural South African men and women aged 40 and over (n=44…
Impairment in Activities of Daily Living, Care Receipt, and Unmet Needs in a Middle-Aged and Older Rural South African Population
Objectives: The objective of this study is to analyze the degree to which care needs are met in an aging rural African population. Method: Using data from the Health and Aging in Africa: Longitudinal Study of an INDEPTH Community (HAALSI) baseline survey, which interviewed 5,059 adults aged older than 40 years in rural South Africa, we assessed the levels of limitations in activities of daily living (ADLs) and in unmet care for these ADLs, and ev…
Expansion of disability across successive Mexican birth cohorts
BACKGROUND: Life expectancy (LE) in Mexico has risen rapidly since the 1950s. In high-income contexts, these increases have coincided with a compression of disability to later ages. However, little evidence on trends in disability-free LE (DFLE) exist from Mexico or elsewhere in Latin America. METHODS: Using data from the Mexican Health and Aging Study, we compare changes in LE and DFLE in ages 50-59, 60-69 and 70-79 using birth-cohort-specific m…
Private Intergenerational Transfers, Family Structure, and Health in a sub-Saharan African Context
During the last two decades, the increase in surveys aimed at quantifying \nmonetary and non-monetary exchanges has fostered remarkable advances \nin measuring, modeling, and assessing the implications of intergenerational \ntransfers at both the micro- and the macro level. This expansion in data \navailability, together with the conceptual development of the National \nTransfer Accounts (NTA) framework (Lee and Mason 2011), has led to a \nflouri…
Tracking progress in mean longevity
Cohort life expectancy is an important but rarely used indicator of mean longevity. In this paper, we show that there are specific advantages in lagging this indicator in time by its own value, an approach termed Lagged Cohort Life Expectancy (LCLE). We discuss the usefulness of LCLE as an indicator for tracking progress in mean longevity and introduce a new interpretation of LCLE as a reference age separating 'early' deaths from 'late' deaths, o…
The Longitudinal Dynamics of Household Composition and Wealth in Rural Malawi
Household living arrangements play a crucial role in survival efforts throughout sub-Saharan Africa. Household living arrangements foster the development of informal insurance that can mitigate economic or filial shocks, and potentially improve the overall well-being of kin. However, scholarship in sub-Saharan African settings has not been able to, or has not attempted, to track how households have changed and the coinciding changes in livelihood…
Epidemiology of multimorbidity in conditions of extreme poverty
Introduction: Multimorbidity is a health issue of increasing importance worldwide, and is likely to become particularly problematic in low-income countries (LICs) as they undergo economic, demographic and epidemiological transitions. Knowledge of the burden and consequences of multimorbidity in LICs is needed to inform appropriate interventions. Methods: A cross-sectional household survey collected data on morbidities and frailty, disability, qua…
Education and adult mortality in middle-income countries
We find that adult mortality and risk factor gradients in MICs can be much different than the established patterns seen in modern HICs. Our results highlight that adult mortality gradients are not an inevitability and are not found in all populations. Understanding what factors give rise to inequalities in adult mortality and what can be done to minimize gradients while still ensuring continued mortality improvements in MICs is a crucial focus fo…
Life-Course Trauma and Later Life Mental, Physical, and Cognitive Health in a Postapartheid South African Population
Objective: To investigate the relationships between exposure to life-course traumatic events (TEs) and later life mental, physical, and cognitive health outcomes in the older population of a rural South African community. Method: Data were from baseline interviews with 2,473 adults aged ≥40 years in the population-representative Health and Aging in Africa: A Longitudinal Study of an INDEPTH Community in South Africa (HAALSI) study, conducted in 2…
Impairment in Activities of Daily Living and Unmet Need for Care Among Older Adults
Prevalence of ADL impairment and unmet need was high in this setting. Variation in impairment across the population highlighted key groups for future interventions. Unmet need for care was highest in middle-aged adults, indicating a gap in care provision
The role of reductions in old-age mortality in old-age population growth
The variable-r model provides demographers with a way to explore the contributions of demographic components (fertility, mortality, migration) to changes in populationsâ age structures. However, traditional variable-r methods require extremely long mortali
Expansion, Compression, Neither, Both? Divergent Patterns in Healthy, Disability-Free, and Morbidity-Free Life Expectancy Across U.S. Birth Cohorts, 1998–2016
This article explores how patterns of health, morbidity, and disability have changed across successive generations of older adults in the United States. Using a novel method for comparing state-specific partial life expectancies—that is, total life expectancy (LE), and health expectancies (HEs) in different health states, bounded between two ages—I explore changes in healthy life expectancy across successive birth cohorts of the U.S. population. …
Demography and Covid-19
Gender, intimate partner homicide, and rurality in early-twentieth-century New South Wales
Rural criminological literature on lethal domestic violence and feminist historical research on the patriarchal judgment of women accused of killing male intimate partners (IPs) have developed a dystopic image of the past for nonurban women. This paper questions that impression by asking whether women were more likely than men to be convicted of IP murder, and whether rural women were treated more harshly than urban women. Through quantitative an…
Life Course Socioeconomic Status and Healthy Longevity in China
In 2020, China's population aged 60 or older exceeded 264 million, representing 25% of the global population in that age-group. Older adults in China experienced periods of dramatic political and social unrest in early life, as well as economic transformations leading to drastic improvements in living standards during adulthood and older age. However, the implications of life course socioeconomic status (SES) trajectories for healthy longevity in…
Medicine (23 works) · Population (23 works) · Demography (20 works) · Health disparities and outcomes (20 works) · Sociology (20 works) · Gerontology (19 works) · Geography (16 works) · Global Health Care Issues (15 works) · Psychology (13 works) · Demography (12 works)