Michael Bednarczuk
Biographic Data
| ID | 4122276 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Michael Bednarczuk |
| GIVEN NAMES | Michael |
| FAMILY NAME | Bednarczuk |
| SIGNATURE | BEDNARCZUK M |
| AFFILIATIONS | Austin Peay State University |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-6871-868X |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 11 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 9 |
| WORKS AS AUTHOR | 11 |
| WORKS AS EDITOR | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2012 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2026 |
| H-INDEX | 2 |
Congress on cable
Is there a connection between legislating and media appearances? Mayhew (Citation1974. Congress: The electoral connection. Yale University Press) argued that members of Congress sought re-election using techniques such as position taking and credit claiming, but how these mechanisms operate through media remains an ongoing question. Using data measuring House members’ appearances across CNN, MSNBC, and Fox News from 2009–2020, negative binomial m…
The Strategic Value of Compromise
Reforms among Republicans in the House of Representatives have led to changes in deciding who should become committee chair. While factors such as party unity and campaign contributions have been demonstrated to matter, bipartisanship has yet to be analyzed. Using party cartel theory and information theory, it is hypothesized that those that are higher in bipartisanship will be more likely to become committee chair on non-power committees but wil…
From legislator to leader
Strategic donors and institutional constraints
Lawyers as Lawmakers
Forecasting US Voter Turnout
Voter turnout is a crucial indicator of democratic health, yet forecasting turnout remains an understudied area in political science. This article presents two pioneering models for predicting US presidential election turnout: the national and the state model. The national one, using data from 1868 from 2020, employs lagged turnout as its sole predictor. The state model, covering 1984 to 2020, incorporates demographic and institutional variables …
U.S. against the world
What is the prevalence of authoritarianism among public servants in the United States, and what are its resulting consequences? Several underlying psychological traits are associated with both authoritarianism and a desire to work in the public sector, such as an aversion to ambiguity and a preference for order and security. Scholarship also suggests that those with high authoritarian attributes may see the world through an ‘us versus them’ prism…
Ideology, Vote Choice, and Bureaucracy Across Time
How applicable is the bureau voting model to the United States? Although the literature suggests that government employees are more liberal and vote more Democratic, these findings have recently become inconsistent stateside. In addition, there are strong counterarguments to the premises of the bureau voting model. It is hypothesized that bureaucrats are neither more likely to support Democrats nor more liberal. Using data from the American Natio…
Identity and Vote Overreporting by Bureaucrats
Studies have argued that the higher levels of public service motivation (PSM) found in bureaucrats as compared with others lead to the positive civic and political behaviors seen in government employees. This study extends those findings to see if high PSM could have any negative effects on these same behaviors. Drawing from research on identity theory, it is hypothesized that a salient “public service identity” could contribute to bureaucrats be…
Primary Model Gets It Right and Early
In January of 2012, the Primary Model predicted that Barack Obama would defeat Mitt Romney by a comfortable margin. He did. Obama's popular vote total topped Romney's by more than four million votes. The Primary Model's forecast was by far the earliest of those assembled in the special 2012 PS symposium (45 (4): 614–617). Even so it predicted an Obama victory with greater certainty (almost 90%) than any other one. To put this performance in persp…
History and Primary
Democrat Barack Obama is going to defeat Republican Mitt Romney by a comfortable margin in the 2012 presidential election. This forecast comes from a statistical model that uses the primary performance of the candidates and a cycle in presidential elections to predict the presidential vote. In plain English, Obama has history on his side as well as the fact that he was unchallenged in the primaries. The model, called The Primary Model because of …
Identity and Vote Overreporting by Bureaucrats
Studies have argued that the higher levels of public service motivation (PSM) found in bureaucrats as compared with others lead to the positive civic and political behaviors seen in government employees. This study extends those findings to see if high PSM could have any negative effects on these same behaviors. Drawing from research on identity theory, it is hypothesized that a salient “public service identity” could contribute to bureaucrats be…
Ideology, Vote Choice, and Bureaucracy Across Time
How applicable is the bureau voting model to the United States? Although the literature suggests that government employees are more liberal and vote more Democratic, these findings have recently become inconsistent stateside. In addition, there are strong counterarguments to the premises of the bureau voting model. It is hypothesized that bureaucrats are neither more likely to support Democrats nor more liberal. Using data from the American Natio…
History and Primary
Democrat Barack Obama is going to defeat Republican Mitt Romney by a comfortable margin in the 2012 presidential election. This forecast comes from a statistical model that uses the primary performance of the candidates and a cycle in presidential elections to predict the presidential vote. In plain English, Obama has history on his side as well as the fact that he was unchallenged in the primaries. The model, called The Primary Model because of …
History and Primary
Democrat Barack Obama is going to defeat Republican Mitt Romney by a comfortable margin in the 2012 presidential election. This forecast comes from a statistical model that uses the primary performance of the candidates and a cycle in presidential elections to predict the presidential vote. In plain English, Obama has history on his side as well as the fact that he was unchallenged in the primaries. The model, called The Primary Model because of …
Primary Model Gets It Right and Early
In January of 2012, the Primary Model predicted that Barack Obama would defeat Mitt Romney by a comfortable margin. He did. Obama's popular vote total topped Romney's by more than four million votes. The Primary Model's forecast was by far the earliest of those assembled in the special 2012 PS symposium (45 (4): 614–617). Even so it predicted an Obama victory with greater certainty (almost 90%) than any other one. To put this performance in persp…
Identity and Vote Overreporting by Bureaucrats
Studies have argued that the higher levels of public service motivation (PSM) found in bureaucrats as compared with others lead to the positive civic and political behaviors seen in government employees. This study extends those findings to see if high PSM could have any negative effects on these same behaviors. Drawing from research on identity theory, it is hypothesized that a salient “public service identity” could contribute to bureaucrats be…
Ideology, Vote Choice, and Bureaucracy Across Time
How applicable is the bureau voting model to the United States? Although the literature suggests that government employees are more liberal and vote more Democratic, these findings have recently become inconsistent stateside. In addition, there are strong counterarguments to the premises of the bureau voting model. It is hypothesized that bureaucrats are neither more likely to support Democrats nor more liberal. Using data from the American Natio…
Forecasting US Voter Turnout
Voter turnout is a crucial indicator of democratic health, yet forecasting turnout remains an understudied area in political science. This article presents two pioneering models for predicting US presidential election turnout: the national and the state model. The national one, using data from 1868 from 2020, employs lagged turnout as its sole predictor. The state model, covering 1984 to 2020, incorporates demographic and institutional variables …
U.S. against the world
What is the prevalence of authoritarianism among public servants in the United States, and what are its resulting consequences? Several underlying psychological traits are associated with both authoritarianism and a desire to work in the public sector, such as an aversion to ambiguity and a preference for order and security. Scholarship also suggests that those with high authoritarian attributes may see the world through an ‘us versus them’ prism…
Strategic donors and institutional constraints
Lawyers as Lawmakers
Congress on cable
Is there a connection between legislating and media appearances? Mayhew (Citation1974. Congress: The electoral connection. Yale University Press) argued that members of Congress sought re-election using techniques such as position taking and credit claiming, but how these mechanisms operate through media remains an ongoing question. Using data measuring House members’ appearances across CNN, MSNBC, and Fox News from 2009–2020, negative binomial m…
The Strategic Value of Compromise
Reforms among Republicans in the House of Representatives have led to changes in deciding who should become committee chair. While factors such as party unity and campaign contributions have been demonstrated to matter, bipartisanship has yet to be analyzed. Using party cartel theory and information theory, it is hypothesized that those that are higher in bipartisanship will be more likely to become committee chair on non-power committees but wil…
From legislator to leader
Electoral Systems and Political Participation (6 works) · Law (6 works) · Political science (6 works) · Politics (6 works) · Law (5 works) · Economics (4 works) · Government (linguistics (4 works) · Public Administration (3 works) · Public Administration (3 works) · Computer Science (2 works)