Brian Thompson-Collart
Biographic Data
| ID | 4123301 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Brian Thompson-Collart |
| GIVEN NAMES | Brian |
| FAMILY NAME | Thompson-Collart |
| SIGNATURE | THOMPSON-COLLART B |
| AFFILIATIONS | Université Laval |
| ORCID | 0009-0001-1569-1786 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 4 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 1 |
| WORKS AS AUTHOR | 4 |
| WORKS AS EDITOR | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2024 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2025 |
| H-INDEX | 1 |
Citizens’ Electoral Expectations in Imperfect Democracies
Citizens can predict election outcomes well in advance of voting. However, nearly all existing research only examines mature democracies. Therefore, little is known about citizens’ forecasting abilities in other types of political regimes. This article addresses that gap by examining whether citizens in other regimes can form accurate vote expectations. Drawing on a large dataset of nearly 60,000 respondents, we evaluate citizens’ forecasting acc…
Working the Crowd
According to the “miracle of aggregation” principle, in the absence of systematic biases, errors in individual judgments within a population should cancel each other out and lead to a correct decision at the aggregate level. This article explores potential individual- and group-level correlates of the accuracy of citizens’ electoral expectations and investigates how potential markers of political sophistication—namely, educational attainment and …
Can Latin American Voters see the Future
The present study examined whether Argentinian citizens could predict election results at the sub-national level. We targeted Argentinian Twitter users in seven provinces with polls using Twitter Ads. Argentinian Twitter users constitute a high-ability subgroup that possesses several characteristics that enhance citizen forecasting competence. The polls asked citizens to predict what party would win the first round of the upcoming presidential el…
Lessons Learned
Every four years, numerous election-forecasting models attempt to predict the results of the US presidential election. Regardless of the stability of any election system, such as the bipartisan system in the United States, conditions can arise (e.g., candidate resignations) that negatively impact forecasters’ ability to predict electoral outcomes. Citizen forecasting—that is, directly asking respondents who they think will win an election—has a l…
Working the Crowd
According to the “miracle of aggregation” principle, in the absence of systematic biases, errors in individual judgments within a population should cancel each other out and lead to a correct decision at the aggregate level. This article explores potential individual- and group-level correlates of the accuracy of citizens’ electoral expectations and investigates how potential markers of political sophistication—namely, educational attainment and …
Can Latin American Voters see the Future
The present study examined whether Argentinian citizens could predict election results at the sub-national level. We targeted Argentinian Twitter users in seven provinces with polls using Twitter Ads. Argentinian Twitter users constitute a high-ability subgroup that possesses several characteristics that enhance citizen forecasting competence. The polls asked citizens to predict what party would win the first round of the upcoming presidential el…
Lessons Learned
Every four years, numerous election-forecasting models attempt to predict the results of the US presidential election. Regardless of the stability of any election system, such as the bipartisan system in the United States, conditions can arise (e.g., candidate resignations) that negatively impact forecasters’ ability to predict electoral outcomes. Citizen forecasting—that is, directly asking respondents who they think will win an election—has a l…
Citizens’ Electoral Expectations in Imperfect Democracies
Citizens can predict election outcomes well in advance of voting. However, nearly all existing research only examines mature democracies. Therefore, little is known about citizens’ forecasting abilities in other types of political regimes. This article addresses that gap by examining whether citizens in other regimes can form accurate vote expectations. Drawing on a large dataset of nearly 60,000 respondents, we evaluate citizens’ forecasting acc…
Working the Crowd
According to the “miracle of aggregation” principle, in the absence of systematic biases, errors in individual judgments within a population should cancel each other out and lead to a correct decision at the aggregate level. This article explores potential individual- and group-level correlates of the accuracy of citizens’ electoral expectations and investigates how potential markers of political sophistication—namely, educational attainment and …
Electoral Systems and Political Participation (3 works) · Political science (3 works) · Law (2 works) · Politics (2 works) · Politics and Society in Latin America (2 works) · Presidential election (2 works) · Presidential system (2 works) · Sophistication (2 works) · Computer Science (1 work) · Crowd sourcing (1 work)