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John Chin

Biographic Data

ID4371131
NAMEJohn Chin
GIVEN NAMESJohn
FAMILY NAMEChin
SIGNATURECHIN J
AFFILIATIONSCarnegie Mellon University
ORCID0000-0001-5318-6062
VERIFIEDYes
TOTAL WORKS11
TOTAL CITATIONS116
AUTHOR COUNT11
EDITOR COUNT0
FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR2003
LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR2025
H-INDEX6
  • Should the U.S. promote (illiberal) democracy in the Middle East

    Open Access•John J Chin, John Chin•ARTICLE•Frontiers in Political Science•2025

    This article reviews Shadi Hamid’s book The Problem of Democracy: America, the Middle East, and the Rise and Fall of an Idea . It interrogates three key assumptions behind the author’s call for abandoning a “stability first” strategy for a “democracy first” strategy in the Middle East. These include the claim that (1) liberalism and democracy are diverging, (2) Arab dictatorships are brittle, and (3) there is a stark tradeoff between prioritizing…

  • Taiwan

    Open Access•John Chin, Staten Rector•ARTICLE•Frontiers in Political Science•2025•References: 16

    Taiwan is not just a victim-in-waiting, damsel in distress, or pawn in a new Cold War. Taiwan stands as an exemplar: the world’s first “Chinese democracy” and a democratic David in the shadow of an autocratic Goliath. Taiwan’s success in deepening democracy and resisting Chinese sharp power may hold lessons on how to counter the rising global tide of authoritarianism. To elucidate these lessons, we review Taiwan’s democratic history and ongoing e…

  • African coups in the Covid-19 era

    Open Access•John Chin, Jessica A Kirkpatrick•ARTICLE•Frontiers in Political Science•2023•Cited by: 4•References: 28

    What explains the explosion of coup activity in Africa over the last few years? To answer this question, this article presents narrative summaries—a current history—of all eleven coups attempts in Africa between August 2020 and November 2022. We then discuss the most relevant causal explanations for the observed increase in coup frequency in Africa in this period. Though we find relatively little evidence of direct coup diffusion or democratic ba…

  • The Rush to Personalize

    Open Access•Joan C Timoneda, Abel Escribà‐folch et al.•ARTICLE•British Journal of Political…•2023•Cited by: 12•References: 78

    How do failed coups influence power personalization in dictatorships? While scholars have studied the mechanisms of personalism in dictatorships in detail, little attention has been paid to the timing and determinants of surges in personalism levels. In this article, we propose that personalism can evolve non-linearly, and show that large, quite rapid increases in personalization by dictators occur after a failed coup attempt. The logic is that f…

  • Personalization of Power and Mass Uprisings in Dictatorships

    Open Access•John Chin, Wonjun Song et al.•ARTICLE•British Journal of Political…•2023•Cited by: 16•References: 69

    Most major nonviolent civil resistance campaigns target autocratic regimes. Yet, most dictators are toppled by their close supporters, not civilian protesters. Building on theories of strategic interactions between leaders, security agents, and protesters, we make three core claims: first, protesters are relatively less likely to mount a major nonviolent uprising against dictatorships with personalized security forces; secondly, personalized secu…

  • Reshaping the Threat Environment

    Open Access•John Chin, Abel Escribà-Folch et al.•ARTICLE•Comparative Political Studies•2022•Cited by: 18•References: 67

    Dictators shape regime structures to counter the threats they face. Personalization entails the progressive accumulation of power in the hands of the dictator to minimize internal threats from organized elites in the military and party. However, elites have incentives to resist the personalization to avoid being marginalized by personalist strongmen. We argue that as personalism increases, rival elites, less able to coordinate coup attempts, turn…

  • Activists Against Autocrats

    Open Access•Jonathan Pinckney, John Chin•ARTICLE•Frontiers in Political Science•2021•References: 58

    Do transnational social movement organizations (TSMOs) promote the international diffusion of democracy? If so, how? Scholars of democratization have studied a plethora of international factors in the spread of democracy, including geographic or regional proximity, colonial history, trade and alliance networks, and joint inter-governmental organization (IGO) memberships. Few have studied the role of TSMO networks in democratic diffusion. We theor…

  • The Varieties of Coups D’état

    Open Access•John J Chin, John Chin et al.•ARTICLE•International Studies Quarterly•2021•Cited by: 35•References: 22

    Interest in authoritarian politics and democratic breakdown has fueled a revival in scholarship on coups d'état. However, this research is held back by the fact that no global coup dataset captures theoretically salient information on the identity of coup-makers, their goals, and the relationship between the coup leaders and the ruling regime. We introduce the Colpus dataset, new global data on coup types and characteristics in the post–World War…

  • The Longest March

    Open Access•John J Chin, John Chin•ARTICLE•Journal of Chinese Political…•2018•References: 38

  • Neighborhood-Level Correlates of Consistent Condom Use among Men Who have Sex with Men

    Open Access•Victoria Frye, Beryl A Koblin et al.•ARTICLE•AIDS and Behavior•2008•Cited by: 24•References: 8

  • What Front‐Line CBO Staff Can Tell Us About Culturally Anchored Theories of Behavior Change in HIV Prevention for Asian/Pacific Islanders

    Open Access•Hirokazu Yoshikawa, Patrick A Wilson et al.•ARTICLE•American Journal of Community…•2003•Cited by: 7

    Few rigorously tested primary prevention programs have been developed to prevent HIV infection among immigrant communities in the United States. This is in part because of the lack of culturally specific behavioral theories that can inform HIV prevention for immigrant communities in the United States. This article aims to develop such theories for a population—Asian/Pacific Islanders (A/PIs) immigrant communities—who have been overlooked in theor…

  • The Varieties of Coups D’état

    Open Access•John J Chin, John Chin et al.•ARTICLE•International Studies Quarterly•2021•Cited by: 35•References: 22

    Interest in authoritarian politics and democratic breakdown has fueled a revival in scholarship on coups d'état. However, this research is held back by the fact that no global coup dataset captures theoretically salient information on the identity of coup-makers, their goals, and the relationship between the coup leaders and the ruling regime. We introduce the Colpus dataset, new global data on coup types and characteristics in the post–World War…

  • Neighborhood-Level Correlates of Consistent Condom Use among Men Who have Sex with Men

    Open Access•Victoria Frye, Beryl A Koblin et al.•ARTICLE•AIDS and Behavior•2008•Cited by: 24•References: 8

  • Reshaping the Threat Environment

    Open Access•John Chin, Abel Escribà-Folch et al.•ARTICLE•Comparative Political Studies•2022•Cited by: 18•References: 67

    Dictators shape regime structures to counter the threats they face. Personalization entails the progressive accumulation of power in the hands of the dictator to minimize internal threats from organized elites in the military and party. However, elites have incentives to resist the personalization to avoid being marginalized by personalist strongmen. We argue that as personalism increases, rival elites, less able to coordinate coup attempts, turn…

  • Personalization of Power and Mass Uprisings in Dictatorships

    Open Access•John Chin, Wonjun Song et al.•ARTICLE•British Journal of Political…•2023•Cited by: 16•References: 69

    Most major nonviolent civil resistance campaigns target autocratic regimes. Yet, most dictators are toppled by their close supporters, not civilian protesters. Building on theories of strategic interactions between leaders, security agents, and protesters, we make three core claims: first, protesters are relatively less likely to mount a major nonviolent uprising against dictatorships with personalized security forces; secondly, personalized secu…

  • The Rush to Personalize

    Open Access•Joan C Timoneda, Abel Escribà‐folch et al.•ARTICLE•British Journal of Political…•2023•Cited by: 12•References: 78

    How do failed coups influence power personalization in dictatorships? While scholars have studied the mechanisms of personalism in dictatorships in detail, little attention has been paid to the timing and determinants of surges in personalism levels. In this article, we propose that personalism can evolve non-linearly, and show that large, quite rapid increases in personalization by dictators occur after a failed coup attempt. The logic is that f…

  • What Front‐Line CBO Staff Can Tell Us About Culturally Anchored Theories of Behavior Change in HIV Prevention for Asian/Pacific Islanders

    Open Access•Hirokazu Yoshikawa, Patrick A Wilson et al.•ARTICLE•American Journal of Community…•2003•Cited by: 7

    Few rigorously tested primary prevention programs have been developed to prevent HIV infection among immigrant communities in the United States. This is in part because of the lack of culturally specific behavioral theories that can inform HIV prevention for immigrant communities in the United States. This article aims to develop such theories for a population—Asian/Pacific Islanders (A/PIs) immigrant communities—who have been overlooked in theor…

  • African coups in the Covid-19 era

    Open Access•John Chin, Jessica A Kirkpatrick•ARTICLE•Frontiers in Political Science•2023•Cited by: 4•References: 28

    What explains the explosion of coup activity in Africa over the last few years? To answer this question, this article presents narrative summaries—a current history—of all eleven coups attempts in Africa between August 2020 and November 2022. We then discuss the most relevant causal explanations for the observed increase in coup frequency in Africa in this period. Though we find relatively little evidence of direct coup diffusion or democratic ba…

  • What Front‐Line CBO Staff Can Tell Us About Culturally Anchored Theories of Behavior Change in HIV Prevention for Asian/Pacific Islanders

    Open Access•Hirokazu Yoshikawa, Patrick A Wilson et al.•ARTICLE•American Journal of Community…•2003•Cited by: 7

    Few rigorously tested primary prevention programs have been developed to prevent HIV infection among immigrant communities in the United States. This is in part because of the lack of culturally specific behavioral theories that can inform HIV prevention for immigrant communities in the United States. This article aims to develop such theories for a population—Asian/Pacific Islanders (A/PIs) immigrant communities—who have been overlooked in theor…

  • Neighborhood-Level Correlates of Consistent Condom Use among Men Who have Sex with Men

    Open Access•Victoria Frye, Beryl A Koblin et al.•ARTICLE•AIDS and Behavior•2008•Cited by: 24•References: 8

  • The Longest March

    Open Access•John J Chin, John Chin•ARTICLE•Journal of Chinese Political…•2018•References: 38

  • Activists Against Autocrats

    Open Access•Jonathan Pinckney, John Chin•ARTICLE•Frontiers in Political Science•2021•References: 58

    Do transnational social movement organizations (TSMOs) promote the international diffusion of democracy? If so, how? Scholars of democratization have studied a plethora of international factors in the spread of democracy, including geographic or regional proximity, colonial history, trade and alliance networks, and joint inter-governmental organization (IGO) memberships. Few have studied the role of TSMO networks in democratic diffusion. We theor…

  • The Varieties of Coups D’état

    Open Access•John J Chin, John Chin et al.•ARTICLE•International Studies Quarterly•2021•Cited by: 35•References: 22

    Interest in authoritarian politics and democratic breakdown has fueled a revival in scholarship on coups d'état. However, this research is held back by the fact that no global coup dataset captures theoretically salient information on the identity of coup-makers, their goals, and the relationship between the coup leaders and the ruling regime. We introduce the Colpus dataset, new global data on coup types and characteristics in the post–World War…

  • Reshaping the Threat Environment

    Open Access•John Chin, Abel Escribà-Folch et al.•ARTICLE•Comparative Political Studies•2022•Cited by: 18•References: 67

    Dictators shape regime structures to counter the threats they face. Personalization entails the progressive accumulation of power in the hands of the dictator to minimize internal threats from organized elites in the military and party. However, elites have incentives to resist the personalization to avoid being marginalized by personalist strongmen. We argue that as personalism increases, rival elites, less able to coordinate coup attempts, turn…

  • African coups in the Covid-19 era

    Open Access•John Chin, Jessica A Kirkpatrick•ARTICLE•Frontiers in Political Science•2023•Cited by: 4•References: 28

    What explains the explosion of coup activity in Africa over the last few years? To answer this question, this article presents narrative summaries—a current history—of all eleven coups attempts in Africa between August 2020 and November 2022. We then discuss the most relevant causal explanations for the observed increase in coup frequency in Africa in this period. Though we find relatively little evidence of direct coup diffusion or democratic ba…

  • The Rush to Personalize

    Open Access•Joan C Timoneda, Abel Escribà‐folch et al.•ARTICLE•British Journal of Political…•2023•Cited by: 12•References: 78

    How do failed coups influence power personalization in dictatorships? While scholars have studied the mechanisms of personalism in dictatorships in detail, little attention has been paid to the timing and determinants of surges in personalism levels. In this article, we propose that personalism can evolve non-linearly, and show that large, quite rapid increases in personalization by dictators occur after a failed coup attempt. The logic is that f…

  • Personalization of Power and Mass Uprisings in Dictatorships

    Open Access•John Chin, Wonjun Song et al.•ARTICLE•British Journal of Political…•2023•Cited by: 16•References: 69

    Most major nonviolent civil resistance campaigns target autocratic regimes. Yet, most dictators are toppled by their close supporters, not civilian protesters. Building on theories of strategic interactions between leaders, security agents, and protesters, we make three core claims: first, protesters are relatively less likely to mount a major nonviolent uprising against dictatorships with personalized security forces; secondly, personalized secu…

  • Should the U.S. promote (illiberal) democracy in the Middle East

    Open Access•John J Chin, John Chin•ARTICLE•Frontiers in Political Science•2025

    This article reviews Shadi Hamid’s book The Problem of Democracy: America, the Middle East, and the Rise and Fall of an Idea . It interrogates three key assumptions behind the author’s call for abandoning a “stability first” strategy for a “democracy first” strategy in the Middle East. These include the claim that (1) liberalism and democracy are diverging, (2) Arab dictatorships are brittle, and (3) there is a stark tradeoff between prioritizing…

  • Taiwan

    Open Access•John Chin, Staten Rector•ARTICLE•Frontiers in Political Science•2025•References: 16

    Taiwan is not just a victim-in-waiting, damsel in distress, or pawn in a new Cold War. Taiwan stands as an exemplar: the world’s first “Chinese democracy” and a democratic David in the shadow of an autocratic Goliath. Taiwan’s success in deepening democracy and resisting Chinese sharp power may hold lessons on how to counter the rising global tide of authoritarianism. To elucidate these lessons, we review Taiwan’s democratic history and ongoing e…

Democracy (9 works) · Political science (9 works) · Law (8 works) · Political economy (8 works) · Politics (8 works) · Sociology (8 works) · Political Conflict and Governance (7 works) · Law (6 works) · Economics (5 works) · Autocracy (3 works)

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