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Jan Oliver Schwarz

Biographic Data

ID4424971
NAMEJan Oliver Schwarz
GIVEN NAMESJan Oliver
FAMILY NAMESchwarz
SIGNATURESCHWARZ J O
AFFILIATIONSTechnische Hochschule Ingolstadt
ORCID0000-0002-2995-5308
VERIFIEDYes
TOTAL WORKS12
TOTAL CITATIONS39
WORKS AS AUTHOR12
WORKS AS EDITOR0
FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR2008
LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR2026
H-INDEX4
  • Customer foresight

    Open Access•Laura Bechthold, Jan Oliver Schwarz et al.•ARTICLE•Technological Forecasting and…•2026

    Foresight Academy combines Trend Receiver interviews with 13,000-consumer surveys to identify emerging trends. • Qualitative Trend Receiver insights are translated into Quantified Customer Foresight to strengthen the sensing phase. • Quantifying weak signals improves decision-maker accessibility and enables assessment of their developmental stage

  • Science fiction and innovation

    Open Access•Sven Schimpf, Michael Lauster et al.•ARTICLE•Futures•2026•References: 58

    In the development of innovations over the past decades, data-driven methods have become commonplace. Alongside advantages in effectiveness and efficiency comes the danger of relying on data describing past rather than future developments which can result in a loss of imagination and creativity. In parallel, a growing awareness of the interface between innovation and science fiction can be observed in academia and among practitioners. This awaren…

  • Personas in scenario building

    Open Access•Lisa A Pace, Carmen Bruno et al.•ARTICLE•Futures•2025•Cited by: 2•References: 15

  • Do internal foresight activities add value to decision-making? Insights from an empirical investigation

    Open Access•Jan Oliver Schwarz, Theresa Constanze Schropp et al.•ARTICLE•Futures•2025•Cited by: 1•References: 4

  • The interplay of future making and foresight

    Open Access•Elena Zehnder, Jan Oliver Schwarz•ARTICLE•Futures•2025•References: 11

  • The state of foresight in small and medium enterprises

    Open Access•Ulrike-Sabine Dörr, Gerhard Schönhofer et al.•ARTICLE•European Journal of Futures…•2024•References: 9

    Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are the backbone of many economies. In today's world of VUCA (Volatility, Uncertainty, Complexity, Ambiguity), SMEs face diverse challenges to survive and stay competitive. SMEs must prepare themselves for these challenges by practicing foresight. However, foresight, and especially corporate foresight, has been conceptualized and researched in the context of large corporations. Applying foresight in SMEs …

  • How to anchor design thinking in the future

    Open Access•Jan Oliver Schwarz, Bernhard Wach et al.•ARTICLE•Futures•2023•Cited by: 2•References: 61

    Many organizations use design thinking (DT) to develop future products and services. DT is often used for its ability to serve as a common “language” and platform to enable market-facing departments and technology-oriented units to cocreate innovations. DT has been shown to be a powerful tool for helping to identify and connect the needs of average customers (personas) with technical solutions that form the basis for winning products. In this pap…

  • Combining scenario planning and business wargaming to better anticipate future competitive dynamics

    Open Access•Jan Oliver Schwarz, Camelia Ram et al.•ARTICLE•Futures•2019•Cited by: 4•References: 46

    The deliberate exploration of how the future competitive landscape may evolve is critical to uncovering threats and opportunities for firms that seek to improve their core businesses and advance to a superior position in the markets of the future. While techniques such as business wargaming can effectively support this process, such techniques can benefit from placing competitive considerations within a broader future landscape shaped by geopolit…

  • Business wargaming for teaching strategy making

    Jan Oliver Schwarz•ARTICLE•Futures•2013•Cited by: 5•References: 32

  • Cultural products and their implications for business models

    Jan Oliver Schwarz, Franz Liebl•ARTICLE•Futures•2013•Cited by: 3•References: 16

  • Perceiving megatrends as empty signifiers

    Open Access•Victoria von Groddeck, Jan Oliver Schwarz•ARTICLE•Futures•2013•Cited by: 11•References: 32

  • Assessing the future of futures studies in management

    Open Access•Jan Oliver Schwarz•ARTICLE•Futures•2008•Cited by: 11•References: 16

  • Perceiving megatrends as empty signifiers

    Open Access•Victoria von Groddeck, Jan Oliver Schwarz•ARTICLE•Futures•2013•Cited by: 11•References: 32

  • Assessing the future of futures studies in management

    Open Access•Jan Oliver Schwarz•ARTICLE•Futures•2008•Cited by: 11•References: 16

  • Business wargaming for teaching strategy making

    Jan Oliver Schwarz•ARTICLE•Futures•2013•Cited by: 5•References: 32

  • Combining scenario planning and business wargaming to better anticipate future competitive dynamics

    Open Access•Jan Oliver Schwarz, Camelia Ram et al.•ARTICLE•Futures•2019•Cited by: 4•References: 46

    The deliberate exploration of how the future competitive landscape may evolve is critical to uncovering threats and opportunities for firms that seek to improve their core businesses and advance to a superior position in the markets of the future. While techniques such as business wargaming can effectively support this process, such techniques can benefit from placing competitive considerations within a broader future landscape shaped by geopolit…

  • Cultural products and their implications for business models

    Jan Oliver Schwarz, Franz Liebl•ARTICLE•Futures•2013•Cited by: 3•References: 16

  • Personas in scenario building

    Open Access•Lisa A Pace, Carmen Bruno et al.•ARTICLE•Futures•2025•Cited by: 2•References: 15

  • How to anchor design thinking in the future

    Open Access•Jan Oliver Schwarz, Bernhard Wach et al.•ARTICLE•Futures•2023•Cited by: 2•References: 61

    Many organizations use design thinking (DT) to develop future products and services. DT is often used for its ability to serve as a common “language” and platform to enable market-facing departments and technology-oriented units to cocreate innovations. DT has been shown to be a powerful tool for helping to identify and connect the needs of average customers (personas) with technical solutions that form the basis for winning products. In this pap…

  • Do internal foresight activities add value to decision-making? Insights from an empirical investigation

    Open Access•Jan Oliver Schwarz, Theresa Constanze Schropp et al.•ARTICLE•Futures•2025•Cited by: 1•References: 4

  • Assessing the future of futures studies in management

    Open Access•Jan Oliver Schwarz•ARTICLE•Futures•2008•Cited by: 11•References: 16

  • Business wargaming for teaching strategy making

    Jan Oliver Schwarz•ARTICLE•Futures•2013•Cited by: 5•References: 32

  • Cultural products and their implications for business models

    Jan Oliver Schwarz, Franz Liebl•ARTICLE•Futures•2013•Cited by: 3•References: 16

  • Perceiving megatrends as empty signifiers

    Open Access•Victoria von Groddeck, Jan Oliver Schwarz•ARTICLE•Futures•2013•Cited by: 11•References: 32

  • Combining scenario planning and business wargaming to better anticipate future competitive dynamics

    Open Access•Jan Oliver Schwarz, Camelia Ram et al.•ARTICLE•Futures•2019•Cited by: 4•References: 46

    The deliberate exploration of how the future competitive landscape may evolve is critical to uncovering threats and opportunities for firms that seek to improve their core businesses and advance to a superior position in the markets of the future. While techniques such as business wargaming can effectively support this process, such techniques can benefit from placing competitive considerations within a broader future landscape shaped by geopolit…

  • How to anchor design thinking in the future

    Open Access•Jan Oliver Schwarz, Bernhard Wach et al.•ARTICLE•Futures•2023•Cited by: 2•References: 61

    Many organizations use design thinking (DT) to develop future products and services. DT is often used for its ability to serve as a common “language” and platform to enable market-facing departments and technology-oriented units to cocreate innovations. DT has been shown to be a powerful tool for helping to identify and connect the needs of average customers (personas) with technical solutions that form the basis for winning products. In this pap…

  • The state of foresight in small and medium enterprises

    Open Access•Ulrike-Sabine Dörr, Gerhard Schönhofer et al.•ARTICLE•European Journal of Futures…•2024•References: 9

    Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are the backbone of many economies. In today's world of VUCA (Volatility, Uncertainty, Complexity, Ambiguity), SMEs face diverse challenges to survive and stay competitive. SMEs must prepare themselves for these challenges by practicing foresight. However, foresight, and especially corporate foresight, has been conceptualized and researched in the context of large corporations. Applying foresight in SMEs …

  • Personas in scenario building

    Open Access•Lisa A Pace, Carmen Bruno et al.•ARTICLE•Futures•2025•Cited by: 2•References: 15

  • Do internal foresight activities add value to decision-making? Insights from an empirical investigation

    Open Access•Jan Oliver Schwarz, Theresa Constanze Schropp et al.•ARTICLE•Futures•2025•Cited by: 1•References: 4

  • The interplay of future making and foresight

    Open Access•Elena Zehnder, Jan Oliver Schwarz•ARTICLE•Futures•2025•References: 11

  • Customer foresight

    Open Access•Laura Bechthold, Jan Oliver Schwarz et al.•ARTICLE•Technological Forecasting and…•2026

    Foresight Academy combines Trend Receiver interviews with 13,000-consumer surveys to identify emerging trends. • Qualitative Trend Receiver insights are translated into Quantified Customer Foresight to strengthen the sensing phase. • Quantifying weak signals improves decision-maker accessibility and enables assessment of their developmental stage

  • Science fiction and innovation

    Open Access•Sven Schimpf, Michael Lauster et al.•ARTICLE•Futures•2026•References: 58

    In the development of innovations over the past decades, data-driven methods have become commonplace. Alongside advantages in effectiveness and efficiency comes the danger of relying on data describing past rather than future developments which can result in a loss of imagination and creativity. In parallel, a growing awareness of the interface between innovation and science fiction can be observed in academia and among practitioners. This awaren…

Computer Science (9 works) · Futures studies (8 works) · Business (5 works) · Management science (5 works) · Sociology (5 works) · Innovation and Knowledge Management (4 works) · Knowledge management (4 works) · Artificial Intelligence (3 works) · Artificial Intelligence (3 works) · Economics (3 works)

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