Michael Magura
Biographic Data
| ID | 5454129 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Michael Magura |
| GIVEN NAMES | Michael |
| FAMILY NAME | Magura |
| SIGNATURE | MAGURA M |
| AFFILIATIONS | University of Toledo |
| VERIFIED | No |
| TOTAL WORKS | 5 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 2 |
| WORKS AS AUTHOR | 5 |
| WORKS AS EDITOR | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1977 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1992 |
| H-INDEX | 1 |
A Mixture-Model Approach to Combining Forecasts
A multiprocess mixture-model approach to combining forecasts from alternative sources is proposed. This approach extends the Granger–Ramanathan method by allowing the weights used in producing the combination forecast to vary over time. In addition, the procedure discounts outlying data points that arise during time periods when all of the competing forecasts miss the mark. An empirical comparison with traditional and more recently proposed combi…
Using Bayesian Techniques for Data Pooling in Regional Payroll Forecasting
This article adapts to the regional level a multicountry technique recently used by Garcia-Ferrer, Highfield, Palm, and Zellner (1987) and extended by Zellner and Hong (1987) to forecast the growth rates in gross national product across nine countries. This forecasting methodology is applied to the regional level by modeling payroll formation in seven Ohio metropolitan areas. We compare the forecasting performance of these procedures with that of…
The Use of Input‐output Fables in Specieying Interindustry and Interregional Labor Market Linkages
The Black Dropout Rate and the Black Youth Unemployment Rate
The high unemployment rate of black high school graduates can create the perception that a diploma is of little value and encourage dropping-out of school. Black youth who do drop out are less employable and further push up the black youth unemployment rate. This raises a question: Is the high dropout rate of black youth due to their high unemployment rate or is their high unemployment rate due to their high dropout rate? A study of this question…
A Price Index for University Budgetary Decisions
In order to make rational budgetary decisions, higher educational institutions require information on the impact of inflation on their operations. Relying on national price indices for such information can be misleading because the sample of goods used in the construction of these indices generally will not coincide with the bundle of goods actually purchased by particular institutions. This paper develops a simple and easily maintainable model f…
A Price Index for University Budgetary Decisions
In order to make rational budgetary decisions, higher educational institutions require information on the impact of inflation on their operations. Relying on national price indices for such information can be misleading because the sample of goods used in the construction of these indices generally will not coincide with the bundle of goods actually purchased by particular institutions. This paper develops a simple and easily maintainable model f…
The Use of Input‐output Fables in Specieying Interindustry and Interregional Labor Market Linkages
The Black Dropout Rate and the Black Youth Unemployment Rate
The high unemployment rate of black high school graduates can create the perception that a diploma is of little value and encourage dropping-out of school. Black youth who do drop out are less employable and further push up the black youth unemployment rate. This raises a question: Is the high dropout rate of black youth due to their high unemployment rate or is their high unemployment rate due to their high dropout rate? A study of this question…
Using Bayesian Techniques for Data Pooling in Regional Payroll Forecasting
This article adapts to the regional level a multicountry technique recently used by Garcia-Ferrer, Highfield, Palm, and Zellner (1987) and extended by Zellner and Hong (1987) to forecast the growth rates in gross national product across nine countries. This forecasting methodology is applied to the regional level by modeling payroll formation in seven Ohio metropolitan areas. We compare the forecasting performance of these procedures with that of…
A Mixture-Model Approach to Combining Forecasts
A multiprocess mixture-model approach to combining forecasts from alternative sources is proposed. This approach extends the Granger–Ramanathan method by allowing the weights used in producing the combination forecast to vary over time. In addition, the procedure discounts outlying data points that arise during time periods when all of the competing forecasts miss the mark. An empirical comparison with traditional and more recently proposed combi…
Computer Science (4 works) · Econometrics (4 works) · Economics (4 works) · Advanced Statistical Methods and Models (2 works) · Artificial Intelligence (2 works) · Macroeconomics (2 works) · Mathematics (2 works) · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact (2 works) · Statistics (2 works) · Accounting Education and Careers (1 work)