David Kellen
Biographic Data
| ID | 5843345 |
|---|---|
| NAME | David Kellen |
| GIVEN NAMES | David |
| FAMILY NAME | Kellen |
| SIGNATURE | KELLEN D |
| AFFILIATIONS | Syracuse University |
| ORCID | 0000-0003-1483-7875 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 13 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 7 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 13 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2012 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2026 |
| H-INDEX | 1 |
Toward the cognitive modeling of dynamic decision making
Although most research into risky decision making has focused on simple scenarios – where isolated choices are made independent of one another – many important decisions in life play out across sequences of interdependent events and actions. Despite the ubiquity and importance of such decision problems, we know relatively little about how people manage the complexities of dynamic, multistage decisions. Our work combines techniques from two resear…
On Bayes factors for hypothesis tests
We develop alternative families of Bayes factors for use in hypothesis tests as alternatives to the popular default Bayes factors. The alternative Bayes factors are derived for the statistical analyses most commonly used in psychological research – one-sample and two-sample t tests, regression, and ANOVA analyses. They possess the same desirable theoretical and practical properties as the default Bayes factors and satisfy additional theoretical d…
Decision making under extinction risk
In everyday life, people routinely make decisions that involve irredeemable risks such as death (e.g., while driving). Even though these decisions under extinction risk are common, practically important, and have different properties compared to the types of decisions typically studied by decision scientists, they have received little research attention. The present work advances the formal understanding of decision making under extinction risk b…
Better Accuracy for Better Science . . . Through Random Conclusions
Conducting research with human subjects can be difficult because of limited sample sizes and small empirical effects. We demonstrate that this problem can yield patterns of results that are practically indistinguishable from flipping a coin to determine the direction of treatment effects. We use this idea of random conclusions to establish a baseline for interpreting effect-size estimates, in turn producing more stringent thresholds for hypothesi…
Retrieving effectively from source memory: Evidence for differentiation and local matching processes
Evaluating the robustness of parameter estimates in cognitive models: A meta-analytic review of multinomial processing tree models across the multiverse of estimation methods
We found that the absolute divergence between estimation methods was small on average (<.04; with MPT parameters ranging between 0 and 1); in some cases, however, divergence amounted to nearly the maximum possible range (.97). Divergence was partly explained by few moderators (e.g., the specific MPT model parameter, uncertainty in parameter estimation), but not by other plausible candidate moderators (e.g., parameter trade-offs, parameter correla…
Convergence of Age Differences in Risk Preference, Impulsivity, and Self-Control: A Multiverse Analysis
Our findings call for conceptual clarification and improved operationalization to capture the putative mechanisms underlying age-related differences in risk preference and related constructs
Collaborative Human Decision Making With Heterogeneous Agents
While there has been extensive work on modeling of human decision-making both for individuals and groups from a cognitive psychology point of view, research on this topic from a signal processing and information fusion perspective is relatively recent. In this work, we consider a distributed detection problem consisting of a number of human local decision makers and a fusion center (FC). Signal detection theory is exploited to answer why promotin…
The repulsion effect in preferential choice and its relation to perceptual choice
People rely on the choice context to guide their decisions, violating fundamental principles of rational choice theory and exhibiting phenomena called context effects. Recent research has uncovered that dominance relationships can both increase or decrease the choice share of the dominating option, marking the two ends of an attraction-repulsion continuum. However, empirical links between the two opposing effects are scarce and theoretical accoun…
The Problem of Coordination and the Pursuit of Structural Constraints in Psychology
Paul Meehl’s famous critique detailed many of the problematic practices and conceptual confusions that stand in the way of meaningful theoretical progress in psychological science. By integrating many of Meehl’s points, we argue that one of the reasons for the slow progress in psychology is the failure to acknowledge the problem of coordination. This problem arises whenever we attempt to measure quantities that are not directly observable but can…
Modeling choice paradoxes under risk: From prospect theories to sampling-based accounts
An Introduction to Mixed Models for Experimental Psychology
This chapter describes a class of statistical model that is able to account for most of the cases of nonindependence that are typically encountered in psychological experiments, linear mixed-effects models, or mixed models for short. It introduces the concepts underlying mixed models and how they allow accounting for different types of nonindependence that can occur in psychological data. The chapter discusses how to set up a mixed model and how …
An Easy Coalition: The Peacecamp Identity and Israeli–Palestinian Track Two Diplomacy
This study presents a systematic transcript-based analysis of the dialogue occurring in a track two workshop attended by Jewish–Israelis and Palestinians. We hypothesized that participants from conflicting groups would form a shared superordinate identity in the course of the workshop. Our findings confirmed this hypothesis. Consistent with self-categorization theory, we demonstrate that the observed Jewish–Israelis and Palestinians mutually iden…
An Easy Coalition: The Peacecamp Identity and Israeli–Palestinian Track Two Diplomacy
This study presents a systematic transcript-based analysis of the dialogue occurring in a track two workshop attended by Jewish–Israelis and Palestinians. We hypothesized that participants from conflicting groups would form a shared superordinate identity in the course of the workshop. Our findings confirmed this hypothesis. Consistent with self-categorization theory, we demonstrate that the observed Jewish–Israelis and Palestinians mutually iden…
An Easy Coalition: The Peacecamp Identity and Israeli–Palestinian Track Two Diplomacy
This study presents a systematic transcript-based analysis of the dialogue occurring in a track two workshop attended by Jewish–Israelis and Palestinians. We hypothesized that participants from conflicting groups would form a shared superordinate identity in the course of the workshop. Our findings confirmed this hypothesis. Consistent with self-categorization theory, we demonstrate that the observed Jewish–Israelis and Palestinians mutually iden…
An Introduction to Mixed Models for Experimental Psychology
This chapter describes a class of statistical model that is able to account for most of the cases of nonindependence that are typically encountered in psychological experiments, linear mixed-effects models, or mixed models for short. It introduces the concepts underlying mixed models and how they allow accounting for different types of nonindependence that can occur in psychological data. The chapter discusses how to set up a mixed model and how …
Modeling choice paradoxes under risk: From prospect theories to sampling-based accounts
The Problem of Coordination and the Pursuit of Structural Constraints in Psychology
Paul Meehl’s famous critique detailed many of the problematic practices and conceptual confusions that stand in the way of meaningful theoretical progress in psychological science. By integrating many of Meehl’s points, we argue that one of the reasons for the slow progress in psychology is the failure to acknowledge the problem of coordination. This problem arises whenever we attempt to measure quantities that are not directly observable but can…
Collaborative Human Decision Making With Heterogeneous Agents
While there has been extensive work on modeling of human decision-making both for individuals and groups from a cognitive psychology point of view, research on this topic from a signal processing and information fusion perspective is relatively recent. In this work, we consider a distributed detection problem consisting of a number of human local decision makers and a fusion center (FC). Signal detection theory is exploited to answer why promotin…
The repulsion effect in preferential choice and its relation to perceptual choice
People rely on the choice context to guide their decisions, violating fundamental principles of rational choice theory and exhibiting phenomena called context effects. Recent research has uncovered that dominance relationships can both increase or decrease the choice share of the dominating option, marking the two ends of an attraction-repulsion continuum. However, empirical links between the two opposing effects are scarce and theoretical accoun…
Better Accuracy for Better Science . . . Through Random Conclusions
Conducting research with human subjects can be difficult because of limited sample sizes and small empirical effects. We demonstrate that this problem can yield patterns of results that are practically indistinguishable from flipping a coin to determine the direction of treatment effects. We use this idea of random conclusions to establish a baseline for interpreting effect-size estimates, in turn producing more stringent thresholds for hypothesi…
Retrieving effectively from source memory: Evidence for differentiation and local matching processes
Evaluating the robustness of parameter estimates in cognitive models: A meta-analytic review of multinomial processing tree models across the multiverse of estimation methods
We found that the absolute divergence between estimation methods was small on average (<.04; with MPT parameters ranging between 0 and 1); in some cases, however, divergence amounted to nearly the maximum possible range (.97). Divergence was partly explained by few moderators (e.g., the specific MPT model parameter, uncertainty in parameter estimation), but not by other plausible candidate moderators (e.g., parameter trade-offs, parameter correla…
Convergence of Age Differences in Risk Preference, Impulsivity, and Self-Control: A Multiverse Analysis
Our findings call for conceptual clarification and improved operationalization to capture the putative mechanisms underlying age-related differences in risk preference and related constructs
On Bayes factors for hypothesis tests
We develop alternative families of Bayes factors for use in hypothesis tests as alternatives to the popular default Bayes factors. The alternative Bayes factors are derived for the statistical analyses most commonly used in psychological research – one-sample and two-sample t tests, regression, and ANOVA analyses. They possess the same desirable theoretical and practical properties as the default Bayes factors and satisfy additional theoretical d…
Decision making under extinction risk
In everyday life, people routinely make decisions that involve irredeemable risks such as death (e.g., while driving). Even though these decisions under extinction risk are common, practically important, and have different properties compared to the types of decisions typically studied by decision scientists, they have received little research attention. The present work advances the formal understanding of decision making under extinction risk b…
Toward the cognitive modeling of dynamic decision making
Although most research into risky decision making has focused on simple scenarios – where isolated choices are made independent of one another – many important decisions in life play out across sequences of interdependent events and actions. Despite the ubiquity and importance of such decision problems, we know relatively little about how people manage the complexities of dynamic, multistage decisions. Our work combines techniques from two resear…
Psychology (10 works) · Computer Science (8 works) · Mathematics (7 works) · Statistics (7 works) · Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics (6 works) · Cognitive psychology (5 works) · Econometrics (5 works) · Cognition (4 works) · Mental Health Research Topics (4 works) · Decision theory (3 works)