Victor Brovkin

Biographic Data

ID6370477
NAMEVictor Brovkin
GIVEN NAMESVictor
FAMILY NAMEBrovkin
SIGNATUREBROVKIN V
AFFILIATIONSMax Planck Institute for Meteorology
ORCID0000-0001-6420-3198
VERIFIEDYes
TOTAL WORKS21
TOTAL CITATIONS34
AUTHOR COUNT21
EDITOR COUNT0
FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR2001
LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR2026
H-INDEX2

  • Attribution of observed pan-Arctic extreme fire events to anthropogenic forcings

    Open AccessLukas Fiedler, Armineh Barkhordarian et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2026

    Over the past two decades, the pan-Arctic has experienced rapid climatic change, accompanied by an unprecedented rise in extreme wildfire activity. However, a systematic and regionally comprehensive assessment of the recent extreme fire events in the pan-Arctic and the role played by human emissions is still pending. In this study, we apply a probability-based extreme event attribution framework to evaluate the role of anthropogenic forcings in e…

  • Effects of land surface model resolution on fluxes and soil state in the Arctic

    Open AccessMeike Schickhoff, Philipp de Vrese et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2024

    Arctic land is characterized by a high surface and subsurface heterogeneity on different scales. However, the effects of land surface model resolution on fluxes and soil state variables in the Arctic have never been systematically studied, even though smaller scale heterogeneities are resolved in high-resolution land boundary condition datasets. Here, we compare 210 km and 5 km setups of the land surface model JSBACH3 for an idealized case study …

  • The drivers and impacts of Amazon forest degradation

    Open AccessDavid M Lapola, Patricia Pinho et al.ARTICLEScience2023

    Approximately 2.5 × 10 6 square kilometers of the Amazon forest are currently degraded by fire, edge effects, timber extraction, and/or extreme drought, representing 38% of all remaining forests in the region. Carbon emissions from this degradation total up to 0.2 petagrams of carbon per year (Pg C year −1 ), which is equivalent to, if not greater than, the emissions from Amazon deforestation (0.06 to 0.21 Pg C year −1 ). Amazon forest degradatio…

  • A strong mitigation scenario maintains climate neutrality of northern peatlands

    Open AccessChunjing Qiu, Philippe Ciais et al.ARTICLEOne Earth2022

  • Uncertainty in land carbon budget simulated by terrestrial biosphere models: The role of atmospheric forcing

    Open AccessLucas Hardouin, Christine Delire et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2022

    Global estimates of the land carbon sink are often based on simulations by terrestrial biosphere models (TBMs). The use of a large number of models that differ in their underlying hypotheses, structure and parameters is one way to assess the uncertainty in the historical land carbon sink. Here we show that the atmospheric forcing datasets used to drive these TBMs represent a significant source of uncertainty that is currently not systematically a…

  • Evaluation of soil carbon dynamics after forest cover change in CMIP6 land models using chronosequences

    Open AccessLena Boysen, Victor Brovkin et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2021

    Land surface models are used to provide global estimates of soil organic carbon (SOC) changes after past and future change land use change (LUC), in particular re-/deforestation. To evaluate how well the models capture decadal-scale changes in SOC after LUC, we provide the first consistent comparison of simulated time series of LUC by six land models all of which participated in the coupled model intercomparison project phase 6 (CMIP6) with soil …

  • Atmospheric methane underestimated in future climate projections

    Open AccessThomas Kleinen, Sergey S Gromov et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2021

    Methane (CH 4 ) is the second most important naturally occurring greenhouse gas (GHG) after carbon dioxide (Myhre G et al 2013 Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press) pp 659–740). For both GHGs, the present-day budget is dominated by anthropogenic emissions (Friedlingstein P et al 2019 Ea…

  • Soil carbon sequestration simulated in CMIP6-Lumip models: Implications for climatic mitigation

    Open AccessAkihiko Ito, Tomohiro Hajima et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2020

    Land-use change affects both the quality and quantity of soil organic carbon (SOC) and leads to changes in ecosystem functions such as productivity and environmental regulation. Future changes in SOC are, however, highly uncertain owing to its heterogeneity and complexity. In this study, we analyzed the outputs of simulations of SOC stock by Earth system models (ESMs), most of which are participants in the Land-Use Model Intercomparison Project. …

  • China and India lead in greening of the world through land-use management

    Open AccessChi Chen, Taejin Park et al.ARTICLENature Sustainability2019Cited by: 31References: 5

  • Pathway-dependent fate of permafrost region carbon

    Open AccessThomas Kleinen, Victor BrovkinARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2018

    Permafrost soils in the high northern latitudes contain a substantial amount of carbon which is not decomposed due to frozen conditions. Climate change will lead to a thawing of at least part of the permafrost, implying that the stored carbon will become accessible to decomposition and be released to the atmosphere. We use a land surface model to quantify the amount of carbon released up until 2300 and determine the net carbon balance of the nort…

  • Global wetland contribution to 2000–2012 atmospheric methane growth rate dynamics

    Open AccessBenjamin Poulter, Philippe Bousquet et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2017

    Increasing atmospheric methane (CH 4 ) concentrations have contributed to approximately 20% of anthropogenic climate change. Despite the importance of CH 4 as a greenhouse gas, its atmospheric growth rate and dynamics over the past two decades, which include a stabilization period (1999–2006), followed by renewed growth starting in 2007, remain poorly understood. We provide an updated estimate of CH 4 emissions from wetlands, the largest natural …

  • Input-driven versus turnover-driven controls of simulated changes in soil carbon due to land-use change

    Open AccessSylvia S Nyawira, Julia E M S Nabel et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2017

    Historical changes in soil carbon associated with land-use change (LUC) result mainly from the changes in the quantity of litter inputs to the soil and the turnover of carbon in soils. We use a factor separation technique to assess how the input-driven and turnover-driven controls, as well as their synergies, have contributed to historical changes in soil carbon associated with LUC. We apply this approach to equilibrium simulations of present-day…

  • Changes in growing season duration and productivity of northern vegetation inferred from long-term remote sensing data

    Open AccessTaejin Park, Sangram Ganguly et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2016

    Monitoring and understanding climate-induced changes in the boreal and arctic vegetation is critical \nto aid in prognosticating their future.Weused a 33 year (1982–2014) long record of satellite \nobservations to robustly assess changes in metrics of growing season (onset: SOS, end: EOS and length: \nLOS) and seasonal total gross primary productivity. Particular attention was paid to evaluating the \naccuracy of these metrics by comparing them t…

  • The climate and vegetation of Marine Isotope Stage 11 – Model results and proxy-based reconstructions at global and regional scale

    Open AccessThomas Kleinen, Steffi Hildebrandt et al.ARTICLEQuaternary International2014

    The climate of Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 11, the interglacial roughly 400,000 years ago, is investigated for four time slices, 416, 410, 400, and 396 ka. We compare results from two climate models, the earth system model of intermediate complexity CLIMBER2-LPJ and the general circulation model CCSM3, to reconstructions of MIS 11 temperature, precipitation and vegetation, mainly from terrestrial records. The overall picture is that MIS 11 was a r…

  • Carbon dioxide and climate impulse response functions for the computation of greenhouse gas metrics: A multi-model analysis

    Open AccessFortunat Joos, R Roth et al.ARTICLEAtmospheric Chemistry and Physics2013

    The responses of carbon dioxide (CO2) and other climate variables to an emission pulse of CO2 into the atmosphere are often used to compute the Global Warming Potential (GWP) and Global Temperature change Potential (GTP), to characterize the response timescales of Earth System models, and to build reduced-form models. In this carbon cycle-climate model intercomparison project, which spans the full model hierarchy, we quantify responses to emissio…

  • Glacial CO2 cycle as a succession of key physical and biogeochemical processes

    Open AccessVictor BrovkinARTICLEQuaternary International2012

  • Comparison of modeled and reconstructed changes in forest cover through the past 8000 years: Eurasian perspective

    Open AccessThomas Kleinen, Pavel E Tarasov et al.ARTICLEThe Holocene2011Cited by: 3References: 12

    Reproducing the tree cover changes throughout the Holocene is a challenge for land surface–atmosphere models. Here, results of a transient Holocene simulation of the coupled climate–carbon cycle model, CLIMBER2-LPJ, driven by changes in orbital forcing, are compared with pollen data and pollen-based reconstructions for several regions of Eurasia in terms of changes in tree fraction. The decline in tree fraction in the high latitudes suggested by …

  • Early-warning signals for critical transitions

    Open AccessMarten Scheffer, Jordi Bascompte et al.ARTICLENature2009

  • Atmospheric Lifetime of Fossil Fuel Carbon Dioxide

    Dane Archer, David Archer et al.ARTICLEAnnual Review of Earth and…2009

    CO 2 released from combustion of fossil fuels equilibrates among the various carbon reservoirs of the atmosphere, the ocean, and the terrestrial biosphere on timescales of a few centuries. However, a sizeable fraction of the CO 2 remains in the atmosphere, awaiting a return to the solid earth by much slower weathering processes and deposition of CaCO 3 . Common measures of the atmospheric lifetime of CO 2 , including the e-folding time scale, dis…

  • Climate–Carbon Cycle Feedback Analysis: Results from the C4MIP Model Intercomparison

    Pierre Friedlingstein, Peter M Cox et al.ARTICLEJournal of Climate2006

    Eleven coupled climate–carbon cycle models used a common protocol to study the coupling between climate change and the carbon cycle. The models were forced by historical emissions and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A2 anthropogenic emissions of CO2 for the 1850–2100 time period. For each model, two simulations were performed in order to isolate the impact of climate change on the …

  • Global response of terrestrial ecosystem structure and function to CO 2 and climate change: Results from six dynamic global vegetation models

    Open AccessWolfgang Cramer, Alberte Bondeau et al.ARTICLEGlobal Change Biology2001

    The possible responses of ecosystem processes to rising atmospheric CO 2 concentration and climate change are illustrated using six dynamic global vegetation models that explicitly represent the interactions of ecosystem carbon and water exchanges with vegetation dynamics. The models are driven by the IPCC IS92a scenario of rising CO 2 ( Wigley et al . 1991 ), and by climate changes resulting from effective CO 2 concentrations corresponding to IS…