Sybren Drijfhout

Biographic Data

ID6371126
NAMESybren Drijfhout
GIVEN NAMESSybren
FAMILY NAMEDrijfhout
SIGNATUREDRIJFHOUT S
AFFILIATIONSRoyal Netherlands Meteorological Institute
ORCID0000-0001-5325-7350
VERIFIEDYes
TOTAL WORKS9
TOTAL CITATIONS0
WORKS AS AUTHOR9
WORKS AS EDITOR0
FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR2013
LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR2026
H-INDEX0

  • Multi‐Stability of the Present‐Day Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation

    Open AccessHenk A Dijkstra, René M van Westen et al.ARTICLEWiley Interdisciplinary Reviews…2026

    The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) plays a key role in the climate system, especially in the global meridional heat transport. Historical reconstructions indicate that the AMOC has weakened by about 15% since the mid‐20th century. Paleoclimate records, ocean theory, as well as a hierarchy of climate models suggest that the AMOC is a tipping element, sensitive to changes in buoyancy fluxes at the air‐sea interface, and could tr…

  • Shutdown of northern Atlantic overturning after 2100 following deep mixing collapse in CMIP6 projections

    Open AccessSybren Drijfhout, Joran Angevaare et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2025

    Several, more recent global warming projections in the coupled model intercomparison project 6 contain extensions beyond year 2100–2300/2500. The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) in these projections shows transitions to extremely weak overturning below the surface mixed layer (<6 Sv; 1 Sv = 10 6 m 3 s −1 ) in all models forced by a high-emission (SSP585) scenario and sometimes also forced by an intermediate- (SSP245) and low-em…

  • Processes explaining increased ocean dynamic sea level in the North Sea in CMIP6

    Open AccessFranka Jesse, Dewi Le Bars et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2024

    Ocean dynamic sea level (ODSL) is expected to be one of the major contributors to sea level rise in the North Sea during the 21st century. This component is defined as the spatial sea level anomaly due to ocean currents, wind stresses and local thermosteric and halosteric effects. Climate models from CMIP5 and CMIP6 show a large spread, as well as an increase between CMIP5 and CMIP6 North Sea ODSL projections. In this study, we apply linear regre…

  • Past long-term summer warming over western Europe in new generation climate models

    Open AccessJulien Boé, Laurent Terray et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2020

    Past studies have concluded that climate models of previous generations tended to underestimate the large warming trend that has been observed in summer over western Europe in the last few decades. The causes of this systematic error are still not clear. Here, we investigate this issue with a new generation of climate models and systematically explore the role of large-scale circulation in that context. As an ensemble, climate models in this stud…

  • Ocean and atmosphere influence on the 2015 European heatwave

    Open AccessJennifer Mecking, Sybren Drijfhout et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2019

    During the summer of 2015, central Europe experienced a major heatwave that was preceded by anomalously cold sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the northern North Atlantic. Recent observation-based studies found a correlation between North Atlantic SST in spring and European summer temperatures, suggesting potential for predictability. Here we show, by using a high-resolution climate model, that ocean temperature anomalies, in combination with ma…

  • A high-end sea level rise probabilistic projection including rapid Antarctic ice sheet mass loss

    Open AccessDewi Le Bars, Sybren Drijfhout et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2017

    The potential for break-up of Antarctic ice shelves by hydrofracturing and following ice cliff instability might be important for future ice dynamics. One recent study suggests that the Antarctic ice sheet could lose a lot more mass during the 21st century than previously thought. This increased mass-loss is found to strongly depend on the emission scenario and thereby on global temperature change. We investigate the impact of this new informatio…

  • Decelerating Atlantic meridional overturning circulation main cause of future west European summer atmospheric circulation changes

    Open AccessRein Haarsma, Reindert J Haarsma et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2015

    We use state-of-the-art global climate models and observations to show that the projected higher pressures over the British Isles due to global warming are part of an atmospheric response to the decelerating Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) causing a reduction in the associated northward heat transport, keeping the North Atlantic relatively cool. However, considerable inter-model differences in the projected weakening of the AMO…

  • Constructing scenarios of regional sea level change using global temperature pathways

    Open AccessHylke de Vries, Caroline Katsman et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2014

    The effects of sea level change become increasingly relevant for the Dutch coast. Therefore we construct two scenarios for regional sea-level change in the 21st century. They are designed to follow two temperature pathways, in which global mean temperature rises moderately ('G', +1.5 K in 2085) or more substantially ('W', +3.5 K in 2085). Contributions from all major processes leading to sea level rise are included (ocean expansion, glacier melt,…

  • Reliability of regional climate model trends

    Open AccessGeert Jan van Oldenborgh, Francisco J Doblas‐Reyes et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2013

    A necessary condition for a good probabilistic forecast is that the forecast system is shown to be reliable: forecast probabilities should equal observed probabilities verified over a large number of cases. As climate change trends are now emerging from the natural variability, we can apply this concept to climate predictions and compute the reliability of simulated local and regional temperature and precipitation trends (1950–2011) in a recent m…