Decelerating Atlantic meridional overturning circulation main cause of future west European summer atmospheric circulation changes
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 15546312 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Rein Haarsma (0000-0001-7171-2687, Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, corresponding author), Reindert J Haarsma, Frank Selten (0009-0007-2917-6519, Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute), Frank M Selten, Sybren Drijfhout (0000-0001-5325-7350, Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute), Sybren S Drijfhout |
| Year | 2015 |
| Volume | 10 |
| Issue | 9 |
| Pages | 094007-094007 |
| Publication date | 2015-09-01 |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Environmental Research Letters (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326 |
| Publisher | IOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/10/9/094007 |
| OpenAlex | W2245428403 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 3 |
| References cited | 32 |
We use state-of-the-art global climate models and observations to show that the projected higher pressures over the British Isles due to global warming are part of an atmospheric response to the decelerating Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) causing a reduction in the associated northward heat transport, keeping the North Atlantic relatively cool. However, considerable inter-model differences in the projected weakening of the AMOC lead to a large spread in the projected wind changes. Hence, the uncertainty in the projected reduction of oceanic heat transport is a main source of uncertainty in projections of Western European climate change. Better-constrained projections of European summer climate thus rely heavily on a more realistic representation of ocean processes in climate models
Atmospheric Circulation · Circulation (fluid dynamics · Climate change · Climate model · Climatology · General Circulation Model · Lead (geology · North Atlantic Deep Water · Ocean current · Shutdown of thermohaline circulation · Thermohaline circulation · Zonal and meridional · Climate variability and models · Environmental Science · Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations · Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes · Geology · Oceanography
| Citations per year | 0.5 |
|---|---|
| Citation span | 2020 - 2023 (4) |
| Highly cited | No |