Sven Willner

Biographic Data

ID6456489
NAMESven Willner
GIVEN NAMESSven
FAMILY NAMEWillner
SIGNATUREWILLNER S
AFFILIATIONSPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
ORCID0000-0001-6798-6247
VERIFIEDYes
TOTAL WORKS10
TOTAL CITATIONS1
AUTHOR COUNT10
EDITOR COUNT0
FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR2017
LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR2024
H-INDEX1

  • Global economic impact of weather variability on the rich and the poor

    Open AccessLennart Quante, Sven Willner et al.ARTICLENature Sustainability2024References: 9

    Temperature and precipitation variability and extremes impact production globally. These production disruptions will change with future warming, impacting consumers locally as well as remotely through supply chains. Due to a potentially nonlinear economic response, trade impacts are difficult to quantify; empirical assessments rather focus on the direct inequality impacts of weather extremes. Here, simulating global economic interactions of profi…

  • Stressed economies respond more strongly to climate extremes

    Open AccessRobin Middelanis, Sven Willner et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2023

    Economies experience stress for various reasons such as the global Covid-19 pandemic beginning in 2020. The associated lock-downs caused local economic losses and the disruption of international supply chains. In addition, such stress alters the effects of short-term shocks as caused by climate extremes, especially their propagation through the economic network and the resulting repercussions. Here we show that adverse indirect impacts of tropica…

  • Economic losses from hurricanes cannot be nationally offset under unabated warming

    Open AccessRobin Middelanis, Sven Willner et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2022

    Tropical cyclones range among the costliest of all meteorological events worldwide and planetary scale warming provides more energy and moisture to these storms. Modelling the national and global economic repercussions of 2017’s Hurricane Harvey, we find a qualitative change in the global economic response in an increasingly warmer world. While the United States were able to balance regional production failures by the original 2017 hurricane, thi…

  • Intergenerational inequities in exposure to climate extremes

    Open AccessWim Thiery, Stefan Lange et al.ARTICLEScience2021

    Young generations are severely threatened by climate change

  • Wave-like global economic ripple response to Hurricane Sandy

    Open AccessRobin Middelanis, Sven Willner et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2021

    Tropical cyclones range among the costliest disasters on Earth. Their economic repercussions along the supply and trade network also affect remote economies that are not directly affected. We here simulate possible global repercussions on consumption for the example case of Hurricane Sandy in the US (2012) using the shock-propagation model Acclimate . The modeled shock yields a global three-phase ripple: an initial production demand reduction and…

  • Global warming and population change both heighten future risk of human displacement due to river floods

    Open AccessPui Man Kam, Gabriela Aznar–Siguán et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2021

    Every year, millions of people around the world are being displaced from their homes due to climate-related disasters. River flooding is responsible for a large part of this displacement. Previous studies have shown that river flood risk is expected to change as a result of global warming and its effects on the hydrological cycle. At the same time, future scenarios of socio-economic development imply substantial population increases in many of th…

  • Evaluation of river flood extent simulated with multiple global hydrological models and climate forcings

    Open AccessBenedikt Mester, Sven Willner et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2021

    Global flood models (GFMs) are increasingly being used to estimate global-scale societal and economic risks of river flooding. Recent validation studies have highlighted substantial differences in performance between GFMs and between validation sites. However, it has not been systematically quantified to what extent the choice of the underlying climate forcing and global hydrological model (GHM) influence flood model performance. Here, we investi…

  • Ripple resonance amplifies economic welfare loss from weather extremes

    Open AccessKilian Kuhla, Sven Willner et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2021

    The most complex but potentially most severe impacts of climate change are caused by extreme weather events. In a globally connected economy, damages can cause remote perturbations and cascading consequences-a ripple effect along supply chains. Here we show an economic ripple resonance that amplifies losses when consecutive or overlapping weather extremes and their repercussions interact. This amounts to an average amplification of 21% for climat…

  • Long-term impacts of tropical cyclones and fluvial floods on economic growth – Empirical evidence on transmission channels at different levels of development

    Open AccessH A Krichene, H Krichene et al.ARTICLEWorld Development2021Cited by: 1References: 7

  • The critical role of the routing scheme in simulating peak river discharge in global hydrological models

    Open AccessFang Zhao, Ted Veldkamp et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2017

    Global hydrological models (GHMs) have been applied to assess global flood hazards, but their capacity to capture the timing and amplitude of peak river discharge—which is crucial in flood simulations—has traditionally not been the focus of examination. Here we evaluate to what degree the choice of river routing scheme affects simulations of peak discharge and may help to provide better agreement with observations. To this end we use runoff and d…