Steven T Turnock

Biographic Data

ID6821639
NAMESteven T Turnock
GIVEN NAMESSteven T
FAMILY NAMETurnock
SIGNATURETURNOCK S T
AFFILIATIONSMet Office
ORCID0000-0002-0036-4627
VERIFIEDYes
TOTAL WORKS9
TOTAL CITATIONS0
WORKS AS AUTHOR9
WORKS AS EDITOR0
FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR2016
LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR2024
H-INDEX0

  • Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022–2050

    Open AccessStein Emil Vollset, Hazim S Ababneh et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2024

    BACKGROUND: Future trends in disease burden and drivers of health are of great interest to policy makers and the public at large. This information can be used for policy and long-term health investment, planning, and prioritisation. We have expanded and improved upon previous forecasts produced as part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) and provide a reference forecast (the most likely future), and alternativ…

  • Strong increase in mortality attributable to ozone pollution under a climate change and demographic scenario

    Open AccessDimitris Akritidis, Sara Bacer et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2024

    Long-term exposure to ambient ozone (O 3 ) is associated with excess respiratory mortality. Pollution emissions, demographic, and climate changes are expected to drive future ozone-related mortality. Here, we assess global mortality attributable to ozone according to an Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenario applied in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) models, projecting a …

  • The contribution of emission sources to the future air pollution disease burden in China

    Open AccessLuke Conibear, Carly Reddington et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2022

    Air pollution exposure is a leading public health problem in China. Despite recent air quality improvements, fine particulate matter (PM 2.5 ) exposure remains large, the associated disease burden is substantial, and population ageing is projected to increase the susceptibility to disease. Here, we used emulators of a regional chemical transport model to quantify the impacts of future emission scenarios on air pollution exposure in China. We esti…

  • Climate change penalty and benefit on surface ozone

    Open AccessProdromos Zanis, Dimitris Akritidis et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2022

    This work presents an analysis of the effect of climate change on surface ozone discussing the related penalties and benefits around the globe from the global modelling perspective based on simulations with five CMIP6 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6) Earth System Models. As part of AerChemMIP (Aerosol Chemistry Model Intercomparison Project) all models conducted simulation experiments considering future climate (ssp370SST) and pres…

  • Significant climate benefits from near-term climate forcer mitigation in spite of aerosol reductions

    Open AccessRobert J Allen, Larry W Horowitz et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2021

    Near-term climate forcers (NTCFs), including aerosols and chemically reactive gases such as tropospheric ozone and methane, offer a potential way to mitigate climate change and improve air quality-so called 'win-win' mitigation policies. Prior studies support improved air quality under NTCF mitigation, but with conflicting climate impacts that range from a significant reduction in the rate of global warming to only a modest impact. Here, we use s…

  • Regional Features of Long-Term Exposure to PM2.5 Air Quality over Asia under SSP Scenarios Based on CMIP6 Models

    Open AccessSungbo Shim, Hyun Min Sung et al.ARTICLEInternational Journal of…2021

    This study investigates changes in fine particulate matter (PM 2.5 ) concentration and air-quality index (AQI) in Asia using nine different Coupled Model Inter-Comparison Project 6 (CMIP6) climate model ensembles from historical and future scenarios under shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs). The results indicated that the estimated present-day PM 2.5 concentrations were comparable to satellite-derived data. Overall, the PM 2.5 concentrations of …

  • The impact of climate mitigation measures on near term climate forcers

    Open AccessSteven T Turnock, Steven J Smith et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2019

    Here we quantify the regional co-benefits to future air quality on annual to daily mean timescales from implementing mitigation measures to stabilise future climate. Two consistent future emissions pathways are used within the composition-climate model HadGEM3-UKCA: one is a reference pathway of future economic growth and development (REF), whilst the Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 (RCP4.5) assumes the same development pathway but stabi…

  • Global and regional trends in particulate air pollution and attributable health burden over the past 50 years

    Open AccessEdward Butt, E W Butt et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2017

    Long-term exposure to ambient particulate matter (PM2.5, mass of particles with an aerodynamic dry diameter of < 2.5 μm) is a major risk factor to the global burden of disease. Previous studies have focussed on present day or future health burdens attributed to ambient PM2.5. Few studies have estimated changes in PM2.5 and attributable health burdens over the last few decades, a period where air quality has changed rapidly. Here we used the HadGE…

  • The impact of European legislative and technology measures to reduce air pollutants on air quality, human health and climate

    Open AccessSteven T Turnock, Edward Butt et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2016

    European air quality legislation has reduced emissions of air pollutants across Europe since the 1970s, affecting air quality, human health and regional climate. We used a coupled composition-climate model to simulate the impacts of European air quality legislation and technology measures implemented between 1970 and 2010. We contrast simulations using two emission scenarios; one with actual emissions in 2010 and the other with emissions that wou…