D Vignoli
Biographic Data
| ID | 71379 |
|---|---|
| NAME | D Vignoli |
| GIVEN NAMES | D |
| FAMILY NAME | Vignoli |
| SIGNATURE | VIGNOLI D |
| AFFILIATIONS | University of Florence |
| ORCID | 0000-0003-1227-5880 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 81 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 914 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 77 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 4 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2006 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2026 |
| H-INDEX | 17 |
Value Change and the New Wave of Fertility Postponement in Western Europe
Since 2010, Western Europe has experienced a renewed wave of fertility postponement, contributing to declining fertility rates and rising childlessness. Although multiple explanations have been proposed, the role of ideational factors remains underexplored. This study examines whether broad changes in values help explain contemporary fertility postponement, drawing on the framework of the Second Demographic Transition (SDT). We apply Schwartz's t…
Positive effects of his and her income on first births: Couple-level evidence from longitudinal tax data in Italy
This study adopts a couple-level approach to assess whether higher-income women (men) experience lower (higher) fertility due to opportunity costs and conventional gender norms or whether income pooling within couples facilitates parenthood. We test the well-established gendered relationship between income and fertility in Italy, a country historically known for its division of family roles along traditional gender lines. Utilizing longitudinal t…
Which indicator best measures cultural engagement? A comparative analysis
Culture plays a central role in society. It supports inclusion, identity, and civic participation, while also contributing to economic activity and political engagement. Therefore, using appropriate tools to measure Cultural Engagement (CE) is crucial. In this paper, a set of composite indicators to measure cultural participation is developed, starting from individual participation in a range of cultural activities. Traditional methods—such as we…
Intergenerational transmission of home-leaving patterns
Exploiting intergenerationally linked data from the Survey of Health, Ageing, and Retirement in Europe, we examine the association between the home-leaving ages of parents and those of their daughters and sons. We propose a framework in which intergenerational associations between nest-leaving patterns of successive generations might stem from three channels of transmission, and we rely on detailed information on three generations of individuals …
Do Media Narratives of the Economy Affect Childbearing? Findings From Multi-media News Coverage in Germany
The present study posits that economic narratives conveyed by media news outlets shape childbearing, over and above the influence of objective economic constraints. We further advance that this relationship is channeled by individual perceptions of the economy. To test these arguments, we used the amount of negative and positive economic news reported by various German media sources, in combination with microdata from the German Socio-Economic Pa…
Job loss and births. A couple-level study of Norwegian plant closures
In dual-earner settings, whether fertility responses to job loss reflect gendered mechanisms is not theoretically unambiguous. This paper examines how job loss due to plant closures – a plausibly exogenous employment shock – affects couples' fertility in Norway. Using Norwegian register data (2005-2017) linked to private-sector employment records (2005-2014), we estimate discrete-time event history models of first- and second-birth transitions wi…
The European Parenting Leave Policies (EPLP) dataset: Leave duration entitlements for 21 countries from 1970 to 2024
BACKGROUNDParenting leave policies shape how caregiving and paid work can be reconciled around the time of childbirth.They have important implications for fertility, employment, and gender equality.Still, there are limited quantitative cross-country data capturing longterm policy changes that impact how long parents can temporarily be away from work to care for their children, and how leave can be shared between them. OBJECTIVEThe European Parent…
Single Parents’ Subjective Well-being in Europe: A Multilevel Analysis
This study investigates how single parenthood is associated with subjective well-being across European countries, with a particular focus on financial satisfaction, social connectedness, and welfare policy. Moving beyond the traditional dichotomy between single and coupled parents, we introduce a four-category typology that distinguishes between parents who are single or in a couple, and whether they have experienced a divorce. Using multilevel d…
The End of an Era: The Vanishing Negative Effect of Women's Employment on Fertility
This paper examines whether women's employment in the 21st century remains a barrier to family formation, as it was in the 1980s and 1990s, or—similar to men's—it has become a prerequisite for childbearing. We address this question through a systematic quantitative review (meta‐analysis) of empirical studies conducted in Europe, North America, and Australia. We selected 94 studies published between 1990 and 2023 ( N = 572 effect sizes). Our analy…
Gender Division of Unpaid Work and Relationship Satisfaction: Covid ‐19 as an Engine of Family Reshuffling in Italy
Frontiers of self-realisation. How (un)certainty and imaginaries shape fertility intentions in Italy and Norway
The prevalence of uncertainty and post-materialist values appears to contribute to the emergence of low-fertility patterns or even the prevalence of childlessness. This article casts doubt on this linear explanation, which seems to remove children from personal plans and aspirations. Drawing on a survey encompassing both open and closed questions to 837 heterosexual respondents from Norway and Italy, this study investigates both the enabling and …
Housing Expenditure and Births in Italy
Housing is a fundamental determinant of individual and household well‐being. In fertility research, its role has traditionally been examined through homeownership, yet the impact of housing expenditure—including mortgage payments, rent, bills, and maintenance expenses—remains underexplored. This study extends the literature by analyzing the relationship between housing expenditure and childbearing in Italy. Using data from the Bank of Italy's Sur…
Aging well in an aging society: Italy at the forefront of global aging and the Age-It Research Program
Leveraging Italy's unique demographic profile and internal heterogeneity, Age-It promotes sustainable aging by harnessing the opportunities embedded in demographic change. The program ranges from the biology of aging to mental and physical health prevention, long-term care, labor market dynamics, and social participation-ultimately aiming to reshape how aging is perceived and managed in aging societies
Aging in aging societies: The transformation of life courses and how we study them
The increase in longevity is not merely stretching life but fundamentally redefining it. Growing old in an aging society becomes both a new individual experience and a collective transformation that challenges the adequacy of traditional life course categories. The Age-It findings call for conceptual renewal to better capture new stages, shifting chronologies, and reconfigured solidarities. Population aging also reshapes the research agenda of ge…
Education and learning for active aging: Promising practices and findings from the Age-It Research Program
This exploratory study outlines the richness of the mapped activities, as well as limited exchange and collaboration among the involved actors, the absence of a shared framework to assess the quality of practices addressed to older adults' learning and participation, and the need for research and evaluation. Furthermore, national policies for active and healthy aging should allocate specific resources for learning and education to support older a…
An index of intergenerational justice: Main concepts and preliminary evidence from the Age-It Research Program
The Intergenerational Justice Index provides a valuable tool for assessing fairness across age groups. By highlighting disparities, it can inform and support public policies aimed at fostering more equitable relationships between generations
Positive demography: Changing the perspective on population aging from the Age-It Research Program
A positive demography agenda extends beyond addressing aging-related needs; it requires investments in younger generations to help them prepare for long and fulfilling lives. Achieving this vision necessitates interdisciplinary collaboration, innovation in data collection, and a methodological shift from forecasting to backcasting-identifying present actions necessary to shape a desirable demographic future
Leveraging human–robot interaction and virtual reality for digital biomarkers in diagnostics and rehabilitation: A review from the Age-It Research Program
Despite promising results, several improvements are needed. Robotic solutions offer versatility in terms of applications but have low readiness. Similarly, thermodynamic models require strict conditions for reliability. Virtual reality-based cognitive assessment lacks temporal data for better discrimination, and VR-based cognitive rehabilitation is limited by a lack of multimodal stimulation. Future research should address these limitations effec…
Participatory approach, dissemination, and implementation of research on aging: The Age-It experience
By integrating participatory research principles with implementation science frameworks, Age-It demonstrates how structured collaboration and knowledge mobilization can support evidence-based policies and practices. However, challenges remain, including uneven stakeholder engagement, time constraints, and the difficulty of translating complex scientific insights into actionable formats. We conclude that dissemination and participatory approaches …
Improving our understanding of the biology of aging: Findings from the Age-It Research Program
Understanding the biological underpinnings of aging will enhance our ability to predict and potentially modify aging trajectories. By identifying reliable biomarkers and actionable pathways, this research may contribute to the development of targeted interventions to promote healthy aging. The Age-It initiative represents a collaborative effort to translate these findings into practical applications for aging research and health care policy
Can Family Policies Enhance Fertility? An Ex Ante Evaluation Through Factorial Survey Experiments
This article explores the family policies–fertility nexus by assessing the potential impact of parental leaves, childcare services, and child benefits on fertility through a factorial survey experiment (FSE). We focus on Italy, where persistently low fertility rates are often linked to limited welfare support for families. We surveyed 4,022 respondents aged 20–44 and exposed them to various scenarios characterized by different family policy packa…
Partners' health and silver splits in Europe: A gendered pattern
Objective Building on the Theory of Dyadic Illness Management, this paper addresses the correlates of silver splits—voluntary union dissolutions after age 50—among mixed‐gender couples in Europe focusing on the role of partners' health status. Background Family diversity at older ages is growing in wealthy countries, with late union dissolutions increasingly occurring through separation and divorce rather than widowhood. Nonetheless, the correlat…
Socio-economic differences in ART treatment success: Evidence from Italy
Unstable employment careers and (quasi-)completed fertility: Evidence from the labour market deregulation in Italy
Most research on the fertility consequences of labour market instability has focussed on the transition to parenthood, ignoring potential 'catching up' effects and, thus, the more encompassing view on cohort fertility. This work extends on this point by analysing the consequences of employment instability on (quasi-)completed fertility for men and women in Italy. From a cohort perspective, we look at fertility outcomes at age 41 among those who e…
The changing educational and social class gradients in union dissolution: Evidence from a latecomer of the Second Demographic Transition
Most studies on the changing socioeconomic gradient of divorce have operationalized individuals’ socioeconomic status (SES) through education, often neglecting social class differences. Education may proxy cultural and cognitive skills, whereas social class could more accurately capture economic means. Additionally, existing research has predominantly focused on women and marital dissolutions. This study addresses these oversights by analyzing th…
Fertility and Women’s Employment: A Meta-analysis
Employment Instability and Fertility in Europe: A Meta-Analysis
The relationship between employment instability and fertility is a major topic in demographic research, with a proliferation of published papers on this matter, especially since the Great Recession. Employment instability, which most often manifests in unemployment or time-limited employment, is usually deemed to have a negative effect on fertility, although different fertility reactions are hypothesized by sociological theories, and micro-level …
Whose job instability affects the likelihood of becoming a parent in Italy? A tale of two partners
We examine the likelihood of becoming a parent in Italy taking into account the employment (in)stability of both partners in a couple. We use data from four waves of the Italian section of the EU-SILC (Statistics on Income and Living Condition), 2004-2
Gender Equality and Fertility: Which Equality Matters
The educational gradient in marital disruption: A meta-analysis of European research findings
Towards a new understanding of cohabitation: Insights from focus group research across Europe and Australia
Across the industrialized world, more couples are living together without marrying. Although researchers have compared cohabitation cross-nationally using quantitative data, few have compared union formation using qualitative data
A Home to Plan the First Child? Fertility Intentions and Housing Conditions in Italy
In Italy, the existing literature on the link between low fertility and people's socio‐economic status has been surprisingly silent about the potential role of housing. This study aimed at filling this gap. Are Italians who are better off in terms of housing security more likely to plan to have a first child in the short run? Our results suggest that there is a clear positive gradient between the fertility intentions of couples and the degree to …
Fertility Intentions and Obstacles to their Realization in France and Italy
Cet article confronte intentions de fécondité et réalisation en France (2005-2008) et en Italie (2003-2007), pays où les modèles de fécondité sont contrastés, en s’appuyant sur des données comparables issues du programme d’enquête longitudinale Generations and Gender Survey (GGS). Quatre principaux résultats ressortent. Le fort pouvoir prédictif des intentions négatives de fécondité et, à l’inverse, le fait que les intentions positives surestimen…
The Great Recession and Fertility in Europe: A Sub-national Analysis
This study investigates how the changes in labour market conditions and economic growth were associated with fertility before and during the Great Recession in Europe in 2002–2014. In contrast to previous studies, which largely concentrated at the country level, we use data for 251 European regions in 28 European Union (EU) member states prior to the withdrawal of the United Kingdom in January 2020. We apply three-level growth-curve model which a…
Uncertain lives: Insights into the role of job precariousness in union formation in Italy
Growing economic uncertainty has become an intrinsic characteristic of contemporary globalized societies in which an increasing number of people are moving in and out of jobs that may give little meaning to their lives. Among other things, economic uncerta
Partners’ Educational Pairings and Fertility Across Europe
We provide new evidence on the education-fertility relationship by using EU-SILC panel data on 24 European countries to investigate how couples’ educational pairings predict their childbearing behavior. We focus on differences in first-, second-, and third-birth rates among couples with varying combinations of partners’ education. Our results show important differences in how education relates to parity progressions depending on the education of …
Persistent joblessness and fertility intentions
The vast majority of demographic studies have approached and operationalised the notion of economic uncertainty using snapshot indicators. Hence, the complexity and diversity of individualsâ employment careers were largely hidden. We posit that the persist
Diverse Effects of Women’s Employment on Fertility: Insights From Italy and Poland
In this paper, we look into how country-specific factors shape the interrelationship between childbearing and women's labor supply. To this end, we compare Italy and Poland, two low-fertility countries where the country-specific obstacles to work and family reconciliation are similarly strong but which differ in the history of women's labor supply and the extent to which couples' material aspirations are satisfied by men's earnings. Our findings …
Rising marital disruption in Italy and its correlates
Most of our knowledge on divorce pertains to the USA and northern Europe, while demographic studies from southern Europe are relatively scarce. Our study looks at this knowledge gap through an analysis of the correlates of marital instability in Italy
Religion and union formation in Italy: Catholic precepts, social pressure, and tradition
Italy is customarily viewed as a traditional Catholic country. At the same time, couples are increasingly living together without marrying. Establishing links between religion and family formation is a complex issue and little is known about specific mecha
Marriage and cohabitation under uncertainty: The role of narratives of the future during the Covid-19 pandemic
This paper addresses the impact of COVID-19-induced uncertainty on union formation intentions in Italy. We acknowledge that decisions made in uncertain conditions rely on personal narratives of the future, that is socially-constructed contingent plans for achieving a personal imaginary. The data come from an on-line survey experiment carried out during the final week of lockdown in Italy on a sample of 1,846 individuals in a romantic relationship…
Employment uncertainty and fertility intentions: Stability or resilience
The role of employment uncertainty as a fertility driver has previously been studied with a limited set of constructs, leading to inconclusive results. We address this oversight by considering perceived stability of employment and perceived resilience to potential job loss as two key dimensions of employment uncertainty in relation to fertility decision-making. The present study relies on the 2017 Italian Trustlab survey and its employment uncert…
Spreading Uncertainty, Shrinking Birth Rates: A Natural Experiment for Italy
Many previous studies have documented the procyclicality of fertility to business cycles or labour market indicators in Western countries. However, part of the recent fertility decline witnessed since the Great Recession has been left unexplained by traditional measures. The present study advances the notion that birth postponement might have accelerated in response to rising uncertainty, which fuelled negative expectations and declining levels o…
Intentions de fécondité et obstacles à leur réalisation en France et en Italie: Intentions de fécondité et obstacles à leur réalisation en France et en Italie
Cet article confronte intentions de fécondité et réalisation en France (2005-2008) et en Italie (2003-2007), pays où les modèles de fécondité sont contrastés, en s'appuyant sur des données comparables issues du programme d'enquête longitudinale Generations and Gender Survey (GGS). Quatre principaux résultats ressortent. Le fort pouvoir prédictif des intentions négatives de fécondité et, à l'inverse, le fait que les intentions positives surestimen…
Narratives of the Future Affect Fertility: Evidence from a Laboratory Experiment
In recent years, fertility rates have declined in most wealthy countries. This phenomenon has largely been explained by focusing on the rise of economic uncertainty. We contribute to this debate by arguing that, under uncertain conditions, narratives of the future —i.e., socially conveyed imagined futures—impact individuals’ decision-making about childbearing. To assess this impact, we conducted (for the first time in fertility intention research…
Why are marriage and family formation increasingly disconnected across Europe? A multilevel perspective on existing theories
Childbearing outside of marriage has increased drastically in recent decades. However, the existing explanations for this development are not coherent. Proponents of the Second Demographic Transition framework view the rise in nonmarital childbearing as part of a pattern of progress driven by processes such as emancipation from traditional social norms, whereas other scholars perceive this trend in the context of a “pattern of disadvantage,” as n…
Changes in the Satisfaction of Cohabitors Relative to Spouses Over Time
Family scholars have noted a gap in the subjective well-being of cohabitors relative to spouses and have hypothesized that the size of this "cohabitation gap" varies depending on how far cohabitation has diffused in a society. For the first time we test this hypothesis across time in a single country, Italy, by analyzing 20 cross-sectional, nationally representative surveys collected from 1993 to 2013 by the Italian Institute of Statistics (N = 2…
Union formation under conditions of uncertainty: The objective and subjective sides of employment uncertainty
The link between economic forces and family dynamics has received renewed attention in the present era of heightened uncertainty. Economic uncertainty has usually been linked to unfavorable labor market circumstances, such as unemployment and short-term co
Things change: Women's and men's marital disruption dynamics in Italy during a time of social transformations, 1970-2003
We study womenâ s and menâ s marital disruption in Italy between 1970 and 2003. By applying an event-history analysis to the 2003 Italian variant of the Generations and Gender Survey we found that the spread of marital disruption started among middle-hig
The Changing Association Between Homeownership and the Transition to Parenthood
The literature suggests a positive link between homeownership and the transition to parenthood. However, in recent decades, couples' preference for becoming homeowners before having their first child has been undermined by rising housing unaffordability and housing uncertainty. An archetypal example is Britain, where homeownership rates among young adults have fallen substantially as a result of low wages, unemployment, reductions in the availabi…
Fertility change in Egypt: From second to third birth
This work focuses on Egypt, a country that notwithstanding its advanced stage of socio-demographic transition has shown near stagnation in the reduction of fertility levels in the last decade. The progression from second to third birth is a crucial com
Fertility and Women’s Employment: A Meta-analysis
Rising marital disruption in Italy and its correlates
Most of our knowledge on divorce pertains to the USA and northern Europe, while demographic studies from southern Europe are relatively scarce. Our study looks at this knowledge gap through an analysis of the correlates of marital instability in Italy
Individual and Contextual Correlates of Economic Difficulties in Old Age in Europe
Fertility Intentions and Obstacles to their Realization in France and Italy
Cet article confronte intentions de fécondité et réalisation en France (2005-2008) et en Italie (2003-2007), pays où les modèles de fécondité sont contrastés, en s’appuyant sur des données comparables issues du programme d’enquête longitudinale Generations and Gender Survey (GGS). Quatre principaux résultats ressortent. Le fort pouvoir prédictif des intentions négatives de fécondité et, à l’inverse, le fait que les intentions positives surestimen…
Intentions de fécondité et obstacles à leur réalisation en France et en Italie: Intentions de fécondité et obstacles à leur réalisation en France et en Italie
Cet article confronte intentions de fécondité et réalisation en France (2005-2008) et en Italie (2003-2007), pays où les modèles de fécondité sont contrastés, en s'appuyant sur des données comparables issues du programme d'enquête longitudinale Generations and Gender Survey (GGS). Quatre principaux résultats ressortent. Le fort pouvoir prédictif des intentions négatives de fécondité et, à l'inverse, le fait que les intentions positives surestimen…
Things change: Women's and men's marital disruption dynamics in Italy during a time of social transformations, 1970-2003
We study womenâ s and menâ s marital disruption in Italy between 1970 and 2003. By applying an event-history analysis to the 2003 Italian variant of the Generations and Gender Survey we found that the spread of marital disruption started among middle-hig
A Home to Plan the First Child? Fertility Intentions and Housing Conditions in Italy
In Italy, the existing literature on the link between low fertility and people's socio‐economic status has been surprisingly silent about the potential role of housing. This study aimed at filling this gap. Are Italians who are better off in terms of housing security more likely to plan to have a first child in the short run? Our results suggest that there is a clear positive gradient between the fertility intentions of couples and the degree to …
Whose job instability affects the likelihood of becoming a parent in Italy? A tale of two partners
We examine the likelihood of becoming a parent in Italy taking into account the employment (in)stability of both partners in a couple. We use data from four waves of the Italian section of the EU-SILC (Statistics on Income and Living Condition), 2004-2
Diverse Effects of Women’s Employment on Fertility: Insights From Italy and Poland
In this paper, we look into how country-specific factors shape the interrelationship between childbearing and women's labor supply. To this end, we compare Italy and Poland, two low-fertility countries where the country-specific obstacles to work and family reconciliation are similarly strong but which differ in the history of women's labor supply and the extent to which couples' material aspirations are satisfied by men's earnings. Our findings …
Gender Equality and Fertility: Which Equality Matters
Family Constellations and Life Satisfaction in Europe
The educational gradient in marital disruption: A meta-analysis of European research findings
Religion and union formation in Italy: Catholic precepts, social pressure, and tradition
Italy is customarily viewed as a traditional Catholic country. At the same time, couples are increasingly living together without marrying. Establishing links between religion and family formation is a complex issue and little is known about specific mecha
Towards a new understanding of cohabitation: Insights from focus group research across Europe and Australia
Across the industrialized world, more couples are living together without marrying. Although researchers have compared cohabitation cross-nationally using quantitative data, few have compared union formation using qualitative data
A Period Total Fertility Rate with Covariates for Short-Panel Data
Hoem et Mure?an ont récemment montré que l’indicateur agrégé de fécondité le plus largement utilisé, l’indice synthétique de fécondité, peut être compatible avec des estimations de fécondité tirées de l’application de l’analyse biographique à des données individuelles. Cette note de recherche a pour objectif d’étendre leurs propositions en montrant qu’elles peuvent être utilement appliquées à des panels courts où les mêmes personnes sont interrog…
Environmental aspects of internal migration in Tanzania
Sandra Hubert: The Impact of Religiosity on Fertility. A Comparative Analysis of France, Hungary, Norway, and Germany
Work–Family Conflict Moderates the Relationship Between Childbearing and Subjective Well-Being
Uncertain lives: Insights into the role of job precariousness in union formation in Italy
Growing economic uncertainty has become an intrinsic characteristic of contemporary globalized societies in which an increasing number of people are moving in and out of jobs that may give little meaning to their lives. Among other things, economic uncerta
Changes in the Satisfaction of Cohabitors Relative to Spouses Over Time
Family scholars have noted a gap in the subjective well-being of cohabitors relative to spouses and have hypothesized that the size of this "cohabitation gap" varies depending on how far cohabitation has diffused in a society. For the first time we test this hypothesis across time in a single country, Italy, by analyzing 20 cross-sectional, nationally representative surveys collected from 1993 to 2013 by the Italian Institute of Statistics (N = 2…
Why are marriage and family formation increasingly disconnected across Europe? A multilevel perspective on existing theories
Childbearing outside of marriage has increased drastically in recent decades. However, the existing explanations for this development are not coherent. Proponents of the Second Demographic Transition framework view the rise in nonmarital childbearing as part of a pattern of progress driven by processes such as emancipation from traditional social norms, whereas other scholars perceive this trend in the context of a “pattern of disadvantage,” as n…
The diverse nature of living apart together relationships: An Italy–France comparison
Partners’ Educational Pairings and Fertility Across Europe
We provide new evidence on the education-fertility relationship by using EU-SILC panel data on 24 European countries to investigate how couples’ educational pairings predict their childbearing behavior. We focus on differences in first-, second-, and third-birth rates among couples with varying combinations of partners’ education. Our results show important differences in how education relates to parity progressions depending on the education of …
The positive impact of women's employment on divorce: Context, selection, or anticipation
Empirical findings regarding the impact of womenâ s employment on divorce are mixed. One explanation is that the effects are moderated by the country context. Another is that previous studies have failed to account for unobserved factors that introduce bias
Family Dynamics and Relationships (45 works) · Economics (43 works) · Sociology (42 works) · Demography (37 works) · Demographic economics (35 works) · Intergenerational Family Dynamics and Caregiving (33 works) · Population (32 works) · Fertility (29 works) · Psychology (26 works) · Demography (23 works)