Dean Dulay
Biographic Data
| ID | 735910 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Dean Dulay |
| GIVEN NAMES | Dean |
| FAMILY NAME | Dulay |
| SIGNATURE | DULAY D |
| AFFILIATIONS | Singapore Management University |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-4710-5251 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 13 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 25 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 13 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2020 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2026 |
| H-INDEX | 3 |
The Contemporary Filipino Voter: Factionalism, Demographics, and Vote Choice
What cleavages structure voter behaviour in democracies where parties are weak, ideology diffuse, and competition personalistic? We present a data-driven account of the Philippine electorate, revealing the factional and demographic bases of self-reported vote choice in its weakly institutionalised party system. Using nationally representative data collected before the 2025 senatorial elections, we classify voters by support for three major factio…
Partisanship versus principles: A study of voter response to intra-party corruption allegations
Corruption undermines political and economic progress, yet corrupt politicians frequently win elections. While prior research explores voter attributes and institutional factors in corruption voting, the role of party responses remains underexamined, despite the ubiquity of party response “in the real world”. Using a survey experiment of 3,531 U.S. voters, we find that voter sanctioning of corrupt politicians increases significantly when their ow…
The Effect of Historical Analogies on Foreign Policy Attitudes
Narrating the Nation: Colonial Memory and Citizen Attitudes in East and Southeast Asia
The postcolonial world exhibits stark variation in how citizens of formerly colonized states view their former colonizers. Some harbor continuing animosity, while others view former colonizer countries favorably. We argue that this variation can be explained by the type of national narrative postcolonial states construct upon independence. We conduct a comparative historical analysis of three formerly colonized Asian countries—the Philippines und…
Between God and Nation: The Colonial Origins of Democracy Support in British Africa
Popular support is important to the emergence and survival of democracy. In this paper, we study how church-state relations in former British Africa shaped long-run support for democracy. We argue that shared national identity was the basis for incentive alignment, facilitating cooperation over educational policy between church and state and engendering long-run support for democracy. Employing geospatial analyses of historical mission data and c…
Sorry Not Sorry: Presentational strategies and the electoral punishment of corruption
Facilitating Development: Evidence from a National-Level Experiment on Improving Bureaucratic Performance in Myanmar
Despite strong theoretical foundations, randomized evaluations demonstrate that subnational performance assessments have a mixed record in improving governance. We suggest that a key factor influencing this disappointing result has been the omission of facilitation—working with bureaucrats on how to use subnational performance assessments (SPAs) effectively and encouraging collaboration across government agencies. The argument is tested on a nati…
Continuity, History, and Identity: Why Bongbong Marcos Won the 2022 Philippine Presidential Election
In May of 2022, Bongbong Marcos won a commanding 59 percent of the vote to become president of the Philippines. His victory was, on some level, shocking to scholars and analysts of Philippine politics. As a result, a plethora of di erent theories have been proposed, in an attempt to explain why Marcos won. In this paper, we use nationally representative survey data to explore which factors predict (and do not predict) voting intention for Marcos.…
The Persistence of Ethnopopulist Support: The Case of Rodrigo Duterte's Philippines
The past few years have seen an emergence of populist leaders around the world, who have not only accrued but also maintained support despite rampant criticism, governance failures, and the ongoing COVID pandemic. The Philippines’ Rodrigo Duterte is the best illustration of this trend, with approval ratings rarely dipping below 80 percent. What explains his high levels of robust public support? We argue that Duterte is an ethnopopulist who uses e…
How do Filipinos Remember Their History? A Descriptive Account of Filipino Historical Memory
Contemporary Southeast Asia (CSEA) is one of the ISEAS – Yusof Ishak Institute"s flagship publications. Now in its fourth decade of publication, CSEA has succeeded in building up an international reputation as one of Southeast Asia"s premier academic journals. The aim of the peer reviewed journal is to provide subscribers with up to date and in-depth analysis of critical trends and developments in Southeast Asia and the wider Asia-Pacific region.…
The Search for Spices and Souls: Catholic Missions as Colonial State in the Philippines
A growing literature posits that colonial Christian missions brought schooling to the colonies, improving human capital in ways that persist to this day. But in some places, they did much more. This paper argues that colonial Catholic missions in the Philippines functioned as state-builders, establishing law and order and building fiscal and infrastructural capacities in territories they controlled. The mission-as-state was the result of a bargai…
When Running for Office Runs in the Family: Horizontal Dynasties, Policy, and Development in the Philippines
Political dynasties exist in practically every type of democracy, but take different forms in different places. Yet the types of dynastic structures have remained unexplored. We argue that horizontal dynasties—multiple members from the same political family holding different political offices concurrently—affect policymaking by replacing potential political rivals, who may oppose an incumbent’s policy choices, with a member of the family. But in …
Barracks and barricades: How internal security threats affect foreign basing access in the Philippines
This paper presents a theory of foreign military basing as a function of the degree of internal threat facing a host nation. The theory is based on rational choice logic where politicians balance economic and security benefits against sovereignty and legitimacy costs. When internal threat is low a host nation’s political actors value legitimacy and sovereignty and hence reduce base access. When internal threat is high economic and security benefi…
Continuity, History, and Identity: Why Bongbong Marcos Won the 2022 Philippine Presidential Election
In May of 2022, Bongbong Marcos won a commanding 59 percent of the vote to become president of the Philippines. His victory was, on some level, shocking to scholars and analysts of Philippine politics. As a result, a plethora of di erent theories have been proposed, in an attempt to explain why Marcos won. In this paper, we use nationally representative survey data to explore which factors predict (and do not predict) voting intention for Marcos.…
The Search for Spices and Souls: Catholic Missions as Colonial State in the Philippines
A growing literature posits that colonial Christian missions brought schooling to the colonies, improving human capital in ways that persist to this day. But in some places, they did much more. This paper argues that colonial Catholic missions in the Philippines functioned as state-builders, establishing law and order and building fiscal and infrastructural capacities in territories they controlled. The mission-as-state was the result of a bargai…
When Running for Office Runs in the Family: Horizontal Dynasties, Policy, and Development in the Philippines
Political dynasties exist in practically every type of democracy, but take different forms in different places. Yet the types of dynastic structures have remained unexplored. We argue that horizontal dynasties—multiple members from the same political family holding different political offices concurrently—affect policymaking by replacing potential political rivals, who may oppose an incumbent’s policy choices, with a member of the family. But in …
The Persistence of Ethnopopulist Support: The Case of Rodrigo Duterte's Philippines
The past few years have seen an emergence of populist leaders around the world, who have not only accrued but also maintained support despite rampant criticism, governance failures, and the ongoing COVID pandemic. The Philippines’ Rodrigo Duterte is the best illustration of this trend, with approval ratings rarely dipping below 80 percent. What explains his high levels of robust public support? We argue that Duterte is an ethnopopulist who uses e…
Sorry Not Sorry: Presentational strategies and the electoral punishment of corruption
How do Filipinos Remember Their History? A Descriptive Account of Filipino Historical Memory
Contemporary Southeast Asia (CSEA) is one of the ISEAS – Yusof Ishak Institute"s flagship publications. Now in its fourth decade of publication, CSEA has succeeded in building up an international reputation as one of Southeast Asia"s premier academic journals. The aim of the peer reviewed journal is to provide subscribers with up to date and in-depth analysis of critical trends and developments in Southeast Asia and the wider Asia-Pacific region.…
Barracks and barricades: How internal security threats affect foreign basing access in the Philippines
This paper presents a theory of foreign military basing as a function of the degree of internal threat facing a host nation. The theory is based on rational choice logic where politicians balance economic and security benefits against sovereignty and legitimacy costs. When internal threat is low a host nation’s political actors value legitimacy and sovereignty and hence reduce base access. When internal threat is high economic and security benefi…
The Persistence of Ethnopopulist Support: The Case of Rodrigo Duterte's Philippines
The past few years have seen an emergence of populist leaders around the world, who have not only accrued but also maintained support despite rampant criticism, governance failures, and the ongoing COVID pandemic. The Philippines’ Rodrigo Duterte is the best illustration of this trend, with approval ratings rarely dipping below 80 percent. What explains his high levels of robust public support? We argue that Duterte is an ethnopopulist who uses e…
How do Filipinos Remember Their History? A Descriptive Account of Filipino Historical Memory
Contemporary Southeast Asia (CSEA) is one of the ISEAS – Yusof Ishak Institute"s flagship publications. Now in its fourth decade of publication, CSEA has succeeded in building up an international reputation as one of Southeast Asia"s premier academic journals. The aim of the peer reviewed journal is to provide subscribers with up to date and in-depth analysis of critical trends and developments in Southeast Asia and the wider Asia-Pacific region.…
The Search for Spices and Souls: Catholic Missions as Colonial State in the Philippines
A growing literature posits that colonial Christian missions brought schooling to the colonies, improving human capital in ways that persist to this day. But in some places, they did much more. This paper argues that colonial Catholic missions in the Philippines functioned as state-builders, establishing law and order and building fiscal and infrastructural capacities in territories they controlled. The mission-as-state was the result of a bargai…
When Running for Office Runs in the Family: Horizontal Dynasties, Policy, and Development in the Philippines
Political dynasties exist in practically every type of democracy, but take different forms in different places. Yet the types of dynastic structures have remained unexplored. We argue that horizontal dynasties—multiple members from the same political family holding different political offices concurrently—affect policymaking by replacing potential political rivals, who may oppose an incumbent’s policy choices, with a member of the family. But in …
Facilitating Development: Evidence from a National-Level Experiment on Improving Bureaucratic Performance in Myanmar
Despite strong theoretical foundations, randomized evaluations demonstrate that subnational performance assessments have a mixed record in improving governance. We suggest that a key factor influencing this disappointing result has been the omission of facilitation—working with bureaucrats on how to use subnational performance assessments (SPAs) effectively and encouraging collaboration across government agencies. The argument is tested on a nati…
Continuity, History, and Identity: Why Bongbong Marcos Won the 2022 Philippine Presidential Election
In May of 2022, Bongbong Marcos won a commanding 59 percent of the vote to become president of the Philippines. His victory was, on some level, shocking to scholars and analysts of Philippine politics. As a result, a plethora of di erent theories have been proposed, in an attempt to explain why Marcos won. In this paper, we use nationally representative survey data to explore which factors predict (and do not predict) voting intention for Marcos.…
Between God and Nation: The Colonial Origins of Democracy Support in British Africa
Popular support is important to the emergence and survival of democracy. In this paper, we study how church-state relations in former British Africa shaped long-run support for democracy. We argue that shared national identity was the basis for incentive alignment, facilitating cooperation over educational policy between church and state and engendering long-run support for democracy. Employing geospatial analyses of historical mission data and c…
Sorry Not Sorry: Presentational strategies and the electoral punishment of corruption
Partisanship versus principles: A study of voter response to intra-party corruption allegations
Corruption undermines political and economic progress, yet corrupt politicians frequently win elections. While prior research explores voter attributes and institutional factors in corruption voting, the role of party responses remains underexamined, despite the ubiquity of party response “in the real world”. Using a survey experiment of 3,531 U.S. voters, we find that voter sanctioning of corrupt politicians increases significantly when their ow…
The Effect of Historical Analogies on Foreign Policy Attitudes
Narrating the Nation: Colonial Memory and Citizen Attitudes in East and Southeast Asia
The postcolonial world exhibits stark variation in how citizens of formerly colonized states view their former colonizers. Some harbor continuing animosity, while others view former colonizer countries favorably. We argue that this variation can be explained by the type of national narrative postcolonial states construct upon independence. We conduct a comparative historical analysis of three formerly colonized Asian countries—the Philippines und…
The Contemporary Filipino Voter: Factionalism, Demographics, and Vote Choice
What cleavages structure voter behaviour in democracies where parties are weak, ideology diffuse, and competition personalistic? We present a data-driven account of the Philippine electorate, revealing the factional and demographic bases of self-reported vote choice in its weakly institutionalised party system. Using nationally representative data collected before the 2025 senatorial elections, we classify voters by support for three major factio…
Political science (10 works) · Law (9 works) · Law (9 works) · Politics (7 works) · Economics (6 works) · Political economy (6 works) · Sociology (6 works) · Government (linguistics (4 works) · Philippine History and Culture (4 works) · Colonialism (3 works)