Continuity, History, and Identity
Why Bongbong Marcos Won the 2022 Philippine Presidential Election
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 2854598 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Dean Dulay (0000-0002-4710-5251, Singapore Management University), Allen Hicken (0000-0002-3995-953X, Department of Political Science at the University of Michigan), Ajit Menon (0000-0001-8857-003X, Klarman Postdoctoral Fellow in the Government Department at Cornell University, Ithaca, USA), Anil Menon (0000-0002-6886-3553), Ronald Holmes (0000-0002-4056-2310, Department of Political Science and Development Studies at De La Salle University-Manila and President of Pulse Asia Research Inc, the Philippines) |
| Year | 2023 |
| Volume | 96 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 85-104 |
| Publication date | 2023-03-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Pacific Affairs (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0030-851X • E-ISSN: 1715-3379 |
| Publisher | Pacific Affairs (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.5509/202396185 |
| OpenAlex | W4321788742 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 14 |
| References cited | 3 |
In May of 2022, Bongbong Marcos won a commanding 59 percent of the vote to become president of the Philippines. His victory was, on some level, shocking to scholars and analysts of Philippine politics. As a result, a plethora of di erent theories have been proposed, in an attempt to explain why Marcos won. In this paper, we use nationally representative survey data to explore which factors predict (and do not predict) voting intention for Marcos. We find that, a) support for former President Rodrigo Duterte, b) positive perceptions of the late President Ferdinand Marcos and martial law, and c) ethnic (linguistic) identity are strong predictors of voting for Bongbong Marcos. On the other hand, age, education, and income are not. Consequently, theories based on continuity, coalition, history, and identity provide the most leverage on the question of why Bongbong Marcos won the election
Art · Identity (music · Leverage (statistics · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Presidential election · Presidential system · Sociology · Victory · Voting · Computer Science · Hong Kong and Taiwan Politics · Law · Philippine History and Culture · Populism, Right-Wing Movements
Landscaping gender, sexuality, and hope in the 2022 Philippine presidential elections
The Contemporary Filipino Voter
The DDS, Kakampinks, and Loyalists
Securitisation, Scapegoat, Identity Politics
Collective Memory, Democratic Ambivalence, and Authoritarian Notions of Democracy
Complacent Democrats
Bowed, Bent, & Broken
Winners always cheat? Regional identity and the myth of a rigged 2022 Philippine presidential election
A Thousand Years of Corruption
Coattailing for Regime Continuity
Mnemonic politics among Philippine voters
When rebels lose
Third Time's the Charm
Continuity, History, and Identity
| Unique citing works | 14 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 4,67 |
| Citation span | 2023 - 2026 (4) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 14 |