Grigory Nikulin
Biographic Data
| ID | 7993416 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Grigory Nikulin |
| GIVEN NAMES | Grigory |
| FAMILY NAME | Nikulin |
| SIGNATURE | NIKULIN G |
| AFFILIATIONS | Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-4226-8713 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 10 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 0 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 10 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2014 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2020 |
| H-INDEX | 0 |
A tale of two futures: Contrasting scenarios of future precipitation for West Africa from an ensemble of regional climate models
ensemble of regional climate models
On the need for regional climate information over Africa under varying levels of global warming
The Paris Agreement of COP21 set a goal of holding global average temperature increases to below 2 C above pre-industrial levels and to pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5 C. This is particularly relevant for the African context where temperatures are likely to warm faster than the global average and where the magnitude of change will be regionally heterogeneous. Additionally, many biogeophysical and socioeconomic systems are …
The southern African climate under 1.5 °C and 2 °C of global warming as simulated by Cordex regional climate models
Results from an 25 regional climate model simulations from the Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment Africa initiative are used to assess the projected changes in temperature and precipitation over southern Africa at two global warming levels (GWLs), namely 1.5 C and 2.0 C, relative to pre-industrial values, under the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5. The results show a robust increase in temperature compared to the control period r…
The effects of 1.5 and 2 degrees of global warming on Africa in the Cordex ensemble
There is a general lack of information about the potential effects of 1.5, 2 or more degrees of global warming on the regional climates within Africa, and most studies that address this use data from coarse resolution global models. Using a large ensemble of CORDEX Africa simulations, we present a pan-African overview of the effects of 1.5 and 2 C global warming levels (GWLs) on the African climate. The CORDEX simulations, consistent with their d…
Potential impact of 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming on consecutive dry and wet days over West Africa
We examine the impact of +1.5 C and +2 C global warming levels above pre-industrial levels on consecutive dry days (CDD) and consecutive wet days (CWD), two key indicators for extreme precipitation and seasonal drought. This is done using climate projections from a multi-model ensemble of 25 regional climate model (RCM) simulations. The RCMs take boundary conditions from ten global climate models (GCMs) under the RCP8.5 scenario. We define CDD as…
Consequences of 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming levels for temperature and precipitation changes over Central Africa
Discriminating climate impacts between 1.5 C and 2 C warming levels is particularly important for Central Africa, a vulnerable region where multiple biophysical, political, and socioeconomic stresses interact to constrain the region's adaptive capacity. This study uses an ensemble of 25 transient Regional Climate Model (RCM) simulations from the CORDEX initiative, forced with the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5, to investigate the …
Projected climate over the Greater Horn of Africa under 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming
We analyze the potential effect of global warming levels (GWLs) of 1.5 C and 2 C above pre-industrial levels (1861-1890) on mean temperature and precipitation as well as intra-seasonal precipitation extremes over the Greater Horn of Africa. We used a large, 25-member regional climate model ensemble from the Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment and show that, compared to the control period of 1971-2000, annual mean near-surface temperature …
Climate change impacts on the power generation potential of a European mid-century wind farms scenario
Wind energy resource is subject to changes in climate. To investigate the impacts of climate change on future European wind power generation potential, we analyze a multi-model ensemble of the most recent EURO-CORDEX regional climate simulations at the 12 km grid resolution. We developed a mid-century wind power plant scenario to focus the impact assessment on relevant locations for future wind power industry. We found that, under two greenhouse …
Euro-Cordex: New high-resolution climate change projections for European impact research
A new high-resolution regional climate change ensemble has been established for Europe within the World Climate Research Program Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (EURO-CORDEX) initiative. The first set of simulations with a horizontal resolution of 12.5 km was completed for the new emission scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 with more simulations expected to follow. The aim of this paper is to present this data set to the different communitie…
The European climate under a 2 °C global warming
A global warming of 2 C relative to pre-industrial climate has been considered as a threshold which society should endeavor to remain below, in order to limit the dangerous effects of anthropogenic climate change. The possible changes in regional climate under this target level of global warming have so far not been investigated in detail. Using an ensemble of 15 regional climate simulations downscaling six transient global climate simulations, w…
No prominent works on this page.
Euro-Cordex: New high-resolution climate change projections for European impact research
A new high-resolution regional climate change ensemble has been established for Europe within the World Climate Research Program Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (EURO-CORDEX) initiative. The first set of simulations with a horizontal resolution of 12.5 km was completed for the new emission scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 with more simulations expected to follow. The aim of this paper is to present this data set to the different communitie…
The European climate under a 2 °C global warming
A global warming of 2 C relative to pre-industrial climate has been considered as a threshold which society should endeavor to remain below, in order to limit the dangerous effects of anthropogenic climate change. The possible changes in regional climate under this target level of global warming have so far not been investigated in detail. Using an ensemble of 15 regional climate simulations downscaling six transient global climate simulations, w…
Climate change impacts on the power generation potential of a European mid-century wind farms scenario
Wind energy resource is subject to changes in climate. To investigate the impacts of climate change on future European wind power generation potential, we analyze a multi-model ensemble of the most recent EURO-CORDEX regional climate simulations at the 12 km grid resolution. We developed a mid-century wind power plant scenario to focus the impact assessment on relevant locations for future wind power industry. We found that, under two greenhouse …
On the need for regional climate information over Africa under varying levels of global warming
The Paris Agreement of COP21 set a goal of holding global average temperature increases to below 2 C above pre-industrial levels and to pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5 C. This is particularly relevant for the African context where temperatures are likely to warm faster than the global average and where the magnitude of change will be regionally heterogeneous. Additionally, many biogeophysical and socioeconomic systems are …
The southern African climate under 1.5 °C and 2 °C of global warming as simulated by Cordex regional climate models
Results from an 25 regional climate model simulations from the Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment Africa initiative are used to assess the projected changes in temperature and precipitation over southern Africa at two global warming levels (GWLs), namely 1.5 C and 2.0 C, relative to pre-industrial values, under the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5. The results show a robust increase in temperature compared to the control period r…
The effects of 1.5 and 2 degrees of global warming on Africa in the Cordex ensemble
There is a general lack of information about the potential effects of 1.5, 2 or more degrees of global warming on the regional climates within Africa, and most studies that address this use data from coarse resolution global models. Using a large ensemble of CORDEX Africa simulations, we present a pan-African overview of the effects of 1.5 and 2 C global warming levels (GWLs) on the African climate. The CORDEX simulations, consistent with their d…
Potential impact of 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming on consecutive dry and wet days over West Africa
We examine the impact of +1.5 C and +2 C global warming levels above pre-industrial levels on consecutive dry days (CDD) and consecutive wet days (CWD), two key indicators for extreme precipitation and seasonal drought. This is done using climate projections from a multi-model ensemble of 25 regional climate model (RCM) simulations. The RCMs take boundary conditions from ten global climate models (GCMs) under the RCP8.5 scenario. We define CDD as…
Consequences of 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming levels for temperature and precipitation changes over Central Africa
Discriminating climate impacts between 1.5 C and 2 C warming levels is particularly important for Central Africa, a vulnerable region where multiple biophysical, political, and socioeconomic stresses interact to constrain the region's adaptive capacity. This study uses an ensemble of 25 transient Regional Climate Model (RCM) simulations from the CORDEX initiative, forced with the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5, to investigate the …
Projected climate over the Greater Horn of Africa under 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming
We analyze the potential effect of global warming levels (GWLs) of 1.5 C and 2 C above pre-industrial levels (1861-1890) on mean temperature and precipitation as well as intra-seasonal precipitation extremes over the Greater Horn of Africa. We used a large, 25-member regional climate model ensemble from the Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment and show that, compared to the control period of 1971-2000, annual mean near-surface temperature …
A tale of two futures: Contrasting scenarios of future precipitation for West Africa from an ensemble of regional climate models
ensemble of regional climate models
Climate change (10 works) · Climate variability and models (10 works) · Climatology (10 works) · Environmental Science (10 works) · Geography (10 works) · Meteorology (9 works) · Precipitation (9 works) · Climate model (8 works) · Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations (8 works) · Global warming (7 works)