Jeffrey A Miron
Biographic Data
| ID | 813488 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Jeffrey A Miron |
| GIVEN NAMES | Jeffrey A |
| FAMILY NAME | Miron |
| SIGNATURE | MIRON J A |
| AFFILIATIONS | Boston University |
| VERIFIED | No |
| TOTAL WORKS | 13 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 103 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 13 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1986 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2004 |
| H-INDEX | 5 |
Drug War Crimes: The Consequences of Prohibition
Publisher description: An analysis of the true costs, benefits, and consequences of enforcing drug prohibition is presented in this book. Miron argues that prohibition's effects on drug use have been modest and that prohibition has numerous side effects, most of them highly undesirable. In particular, prohibition is shown to directly increase violent crime, even in cases where it deters drug use. Miron's analysis leads to a disturbing finding-the…
The Effect of Drug Prohibition on Drug Prices: Evidence from the Markets for Cocaine and Heroin
This paper examines the effect of drug prohibition on the black market prices of cocaine and heroin. The paper examines the ratio of retail to farmgate price for cocaine, heroin, and several legal goods, and it compares legal versus black market prices for cocaine and heroin. The results suggest that cocaine and heroin are substantially more expensive than they would be in a legalized market, but to a lesser degree than suggested in previous rese…
Sherlock Holmes Advocates Free Trade
Improving the Accessibility of the NBER's Historical Data
During its early years, the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) assembled an extensive dataset on the pre-World War II economy. In 1978, the Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social Research transferred the data from the NBER's handwritten sheets to a machine-readable format. Modern econometric software cannot easily read this format, however, and the data-keying process produced several errors. We have converted the machine-r…
What Have Macroeconomists Learned about Business Cycles from the Study of Seasonal Cycles
Jeffrey A. Miron, J. Joseph Beaulieu, What Have Macroeconomists Learned about Business Cycles from the Study of Seasonal Cycles?, The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 78, No. 1 (Feb., 1996), pp. 54-66
The effects of temperature on human fertility
Monthly birth and temperature data for a variety of states and countries are used to estimate the effect of short-run temperature fluctuations on fertility. Regressions of monthly births on a flexible specification of lagged monthly temperature show that temperature has quantitatively important effects on both seasonal and nonseasonal variation in births. Summer temperature extremes reduce conceptions in the southern United States, explaining a s…
The Economic Case Against Drug Prohibition
This paper discusses the costs and benefits of drug prohibition. It offers a detailed outline of the economic consequences of drug prohibition and a systematic analysis of the relevant empirical evidence. The bottom line is that a relatively free market in drugs is likely to be vastly superior to the current policy of prohibition
Modeling Seasonality in Fecundability, Conceptions, and Births
This paper develops a model of seasonal fluctuations in fecundability, conceptions, and births. We begin with a model of individual fecundability that combines behavioral and biological components, with particular attention to the roles of coital frequency, sperm concentration, fetal loss, and contraception. The individual-level model is then expanded into a model of seasonal fluctuations in births at the population level, which accounts explicit…
A Cross Country Comparison of Seasonal Cycles and Business Cycles
Journal Article A Cross Country Comparison of Seasonal Cycles and Business Cycles Get access J. Joseph Beaulieu, J. Joseph Beaulieu Massachusetts Institute of Technology Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Jeffrey A. Miron Jeffrey A. Miron Boston University and NBER Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar The Economic Journal, Volume 102, Issue 413, 1 July 1992, Pages 772–788, …
Seasonality of births in human populations
Seasonal fluctuations in births have been observed in virtually all human populations. In this paper we re-examine the seasonality of births with two main objectives in mind. The first is to provide an overview of the basic facts about the seasonality of births, presenting new estimates of the seasonal patterns. Seasonality is an important if not dominant source of nontrend variation in births in virtually all populations, but there are dramatic …
A New Monthly Index of Industrial Production, 1884–1940
The article derives a new monthly index of industrial production for the United States for 1884 to 1940. This index improves upon existing measures of industrial production by excluding indirect proxies for industrial activity, using only component series that are consistent over time, and not making ad hoc adjustments to the data. Analysis of the new index shows that it has more within-year volatility than conventional indexes, has relatively un…
The Seasonal Cycle and the Business Cycle
Almost all recent research on macroeconomic fluctuations has worked with seasonally-adjusted or annual data. This paper takes a different approach by examining the seasonal movements themselves. The authors' results show that seasonal fluctuations are an important source of variation in all macroeconomic quantity variables, but are small or absent in price variables. The paper also demonstrates that at seasonal frequencies, as well as at business…
Seasonal Fluctuations and the Life Cycle-Permanent Income Model of Consumption
This paper examines a new possible explanation for the recent rejections of the life cycle-permanent income model of consumption: the treatment of seasonal fluctuations. The paper shows that when the seasonal fluctuations in consumption purchases are included in an analysis of the life cycle-permanent income model, there is no evidence in the aggregate data against the model. The estimates of the parameters of agents' utility functions obtained w…
The effects of temperature on human fertility
Monthly birth and temperature data for a variety of states and countries are used to estimate the effect of short-run temperature fluctuations on fertility. Regressions of monthly births on a flexible specification of lagged monthly temperature show that temperature has quantitatively important effects on both seasonal and nonseasonal variation in births. Summer temperature extremes reduce conceptions in the southern United States, explaining a s…
Modeling Seasonality in Fecundability, Conceptions, and Births
This paper develops a model of seasonal fluctuations in fecundability, conceptions, and births. We begin with a model of individual fecundability that combines behavioral and biological components, with particular attention to the roles of coital frequency, sperm concentration, fetal loss, and contraception. The individual-level model is then expanded into a model of seasonal fluctuations in births at the population level, which accounts explicit…
A New Monthly Index of Industrial Production, 1884–1940
The article derives a new monthly index of industrial production for the United States for 1884 to 1940. This index improves upon existing measures of industrial production by excluding indirect proxies for industrial activity, using only component series that are consistent over time, and not making ad hoc adjustments to the data. Analysis of the new index shows that it has more within-year volatility than conventional indexes, has relatively un…
The Seasonal Cycle and the Business Cycle
Almost all recent research on macroeconomic fluctuations has worked with seasonally-adjusted or annual data. This paper takes a different approach by examining the seasonal movements themselves. The authors' results show that seasonal fluctuations are an important source of variation in all macroeconomic quantity variables, but are small or absent in price variables. The paper also demonstrates that at seasonal frequencies, as well as at business…
The Economic Case Against Drug Prohibition
This paper discusses the costs and benefits of drug prohibition. It offers a detailed outline of the economic consequences of drug prohibition and a systematic analysis of the relevant empirical evidence. The bottom line is that a relatively free market in drugs is likely to be vastly superior to the current policy of prohibition
Seasonality of births in human populations
Seasonal fluctuations in births have been observed in virtually all human populations. In this paper we re-examine the seasonality of births with two main objectives in mind. The first is to provide an overview of the basic facts about the seasonality of births, presenting new estimates of the seasonal patterns. Seasonality is an important if not dominant source of nontrend variation in births in virtually all populations, but there are dramatic …
A Cross Country Comparison of Seasonal Cycles and Business Cycles
Journal Article A Cross Country Comparison of Seasonal Cycles and Business Cycles Get access J. Joseph Beaulieu, J. Joseph Beaulieu Massachusetts Institute of Technology Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Jeffrey A. Miron Jeffrey A. Miron Boston University and NBER Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar The Economic Journal, Volume 102, Issue 413, 1 July 1992, Pages 772–788, …
Seasonal Fluctuations and the Life Cycle-Permanent Income Model of Consumption
This paper examines a new possible explanation for the recent rejections of the life cycle-permanent income model of consumption: the treatment of seasonal fluctuations. The paper shows that when the seasonal fluctuations in consumption purchases are included in an analysis of the life cycle-permanent income model, there is no evidence in the aggregate data against the model. The estimates of the parameters of agents' utility functions obtained w…
Seasonal Fluctuations and the Life Cycle-Permanent Income Model of Consumption
This paper examines a new possible explanation for the recent rejections of the life cycle-permanent income model of consumption: the treatment of seasonal fluctuations. The paper shows that when the seasonal fluctuations in consumption purchases are included in an analysis of the life cycle-permanent income model, there is no evidence in the aggregate data against the model. The estimates of the parameters of agents' utility functions obtained w…
The Seasonal Cycle and the Business Cycle
Almost all recent research on macroeconomic fluctuations has worked with seasonally-adjusted or annual data. This paper takes a different approach by examining the seasonal movements themselves. The authors' results show that seasonal fluctuations are an important source of variation in all macroeconomic quantity variables, but are small or absent in price variables. The paper also demonstrates that at seasonal frequencies, as well as at business…
A New Monthly Index of Industrial Production, 1884–1940
The article derives a new monthly index of industrial production for the United States for 1884 to 1940. This index improves upon existing measures of industrial production by excluding indirect proxies for industrial activity, using only component series that are consistent over time, and not making ad hoc adjustments to the data. Analysis of the new index shows that it has more within-year volatility than conventional indexes, has relatively un…
Seasonality of births in human populations
Seasonal fluctuations in births have been observed in virtually all human populations. In this paper we re-examine the seasonality of births with two main objectives in mind. The first is to provide an overview of the basic facts about the seasonality of births, presenting new estimates of the seasonal patterns. Seasonality is an important if not dominant source of nontrend variation in births in virtually all populations, but there are dramatic …
A Cross Country Comparison of Seasonal Cycles and Business Cycles
Journal Article A Cross Country Comparison of Seasonal Cycles and Business Cycles Get access J. Joseph Beaulieu, J. Joseph Beaulieu Massachusetts Institute of Technology Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Jeffrey A. Miron Jeffrey A. Miron Boston University and NBER Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar The Economic Journal, Volume 102, Issue 413, 1 July 1992, Pages 772–788, …
Modeling Seasonality in Fecundability, Conceptions, and Births
This paper develops a model of seasonal fluctuations in fecundability, conceptions, and births. We begin with a model of individual fecundability that combines behavioral and biological components, with particular attention to the roles of coital frequency, sperm concentration, fetal loss, and contraception. The individual-level model is then expanded into a model of seasonal fluctuations in births at the population level, which accounts explicit…
The Economic Case Against Drug Prohibition
This paper discusses the costs and benefits of drug prohibition. It offers a detailed outline of the economic consequences of drug prohibition and a systematic analysis of the relevant empirical evidence. The bottom line is that a relatively free market in drugs is likely to be vastly superior to the current policy of prohibition
What Have Macroeconomists Learned about Business Cycles from the Study of Seasonal Cycles
Jeffrey A. Miron, J. Joseph Beaulieu, What Have Macroeconomists Learned about Business Cycles from the Study of Seasonal Cycles?, The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 78, No. 1 (Feb., 1996), pp. 54-66
The effects of temperature on human fertility
Monthly birth and temperature data for a variety of states and countries are used to estimate the effect of short-run temperature fluctuations on fertility. Regressions of monthly births on a flexible specification of lagged monthly temperature show that temperature has quantitatively important effects on both seasonal and nonseasonal variation in births. Summer temperature extremes reduce conceptions in the southern United States, explaining a s…
Improving the Accessibility of the NBER's Historical Data
During its early years, the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) assembled an extensive dataset on the pre-World War II economy. In 1978, the Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social Research transferred the data from the NBER's handwritten sheets to a machine-readable format. Modern econometric software cannot easily read this format, however, and the data-keying process produced several errors. We have converted the machine-r…
The Effect of Drug Prohibition on Drug Prices: Evidence from the Markets for Cocaine and Heroin
This paper examines the effect of drug prohibition on the black market prices of cocaine and heroin. The paper examines the ratio of retail to farmgate price for cocaine, heroin, and several legal goods, and it compares legal versus black market prices for cocaine and heroin. The results suggest that cocaine and heroin are substantially more expensive than they would be in a legalized market, but to a lesser degree than suggested in previous rese…
Sherlock Holmes Advocates Free Trade
Drug War Crimes: The Consequences of Prohibition
Publisher description: An analysis of the true costs, benefits, and consequences of enforcing drug prohibition is presented in this book. Miron argues that prohibition's effects on drug use have been modest and that prohibition has numerous side effects, most of them highly undesirable. In particular, prohibition is shown to directly increase violent crime, even in cases where it deters drug use. Miron's analysis leads to a disturbing finding-the…
Economics (9 works) · Econometrics (5 works) · Mathematics (5 works) · Statistics (5 works) · Business cycle (4 works) · Computer Science (4 works) · Geography (4 works) · Seasonality (4 works) · Demography (3 works) · Economic theories and models (3 works)