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Seasonal Fluctuations and the Life Cycle-Permanent Income Model of Consumption

Bibliographic Data

ID10180906
AuthorsJeffrey A Miron (Harvard University, corresponding author)
Year1986
Volume94
Issue6
Pages1258-1279
Publication date1986-12-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Political Economy (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-3808 • E-ISSN: 1537-534X
PublisherUniversity of Chicago Press (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1086/261432
OpenAlexW2016916572
LanguageEN
Citations received3
References cited6

This paper examines a new possible explanation for the recent rejections of the life cycle-permanent income model of consumption: the treatment of seasonal fluctuations. The paper shows that when the seasonal fluctuations in consumption purchases are included in an analysis of the life cycle-permanent income model, there is no evidence in the aggregate data against the model. The estimates of the parameters of agents' utility functions obtained with seasonally unadjusted data are plausible, and the unadjusted data do not reject the overidentifying restrictions on the model

Aggregate (composite · Business cycle · Consumption (sociology · Consumption function · Econometrics · Economics · Life-cycle hypothesis · Macroeconomics · Permanent income hypothesis · Production (economics · Economic theories and models · Financial Literacy, Pension, Retirement Analysis · Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth

  • Effects of Transitory Consumption and Temporal Aggregation on the Permanent Income Hypothesis

    Luigi Ermini•The Review of Economics and…•1993

  • Are Our Data Relevant to the Theory? The Case of Aggregate Consumption

    Daniel T Slesnick•Journal of Business and Economic…•1998

  • Estimating Models With Intertemporal Substitution Using Aggregate Time Series Data

    Martin Eichenbaum, Lars Peter Hansen•Journal of Business and Economic…•1990

  • Generalized Instrumental Variables Estimation of Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models

    Lars Peter Hansen, Kenneth J Singleton•Econometrica•1982

  • Large Sample Properties of Generalized Method of Moments Estimators

    Lars Peter Hansen•Econometrica•1982

  • Theory of the Consumption Function

    Milton Friedman•Theory of the Consumption Function•1957

  • The Adjustment of Consumption to Changing Expectations About Future Income

    Marjorie Flavin, Marjorie A Flavin•Journal of Political Economy•1981

  • A New Approach to Consumer Theory

    Kelvin Lancaster, Kelvin J Lancaster•Journal of Political Economy•1966

  • The Permanent Income Hypothesis

    Fumio Hayashi•Journal of Political Economy•1982

Unique citing works3
Citations per year0,08
Citation span1990 - 1998 (9)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 3

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