Priscilla L Southwell
Biographic Data
| ID | 955747 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Priscilla L Southwell |
| GIVEN NAMES | Priscilla L |
| FAMILY NAME | Southwell |
| SIGNATURE | SOUTHWELL P L |
| AFFILIATIONS | University of Oregon |
| VERIFIED | No |
| TOTAL WORKS | 29 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 152 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 29 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1985 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2022 |
| H-INDEX | 8 |
André Blais and Jean-François Daoust. The Motivation to Vote: Explaining Electoral Participation
These authors center on the “paradox of voting.” Blais and Daoust, along with many other political scientists, try to ascertain the motivation to vote, when the personal benefits and the costs of voting would lead a rational person to abstain from voting. They have created a superior primer on voter turnout that succinctly and expertly captures previous research and also provides additional significant research. Blais and Daoust focus on the indi…
Iceland's Pirate Party (Píratar) – In Permanent Opposition
This research examines the rapid growth in popularity of Iceland’s Pirate Party (Piratur) by analyzing recent election results and public opinion polling (2013-17) on the popularity and ideological placement of the Pirate Party. We find that most respondents viewed the Pirate Party as centrist, and the majority of the respondents were neutral in their view of the party, although negative assessments rose by 2017
A Case Study in Left Wing Neo-Populism: The Rise of the Syriza Party in Greece
This research considers three approaches to the study of populism: populism as an ideology, populism as a discourse, and populism as a strategy. We highlight the debates between these different approaches. Next, we take the most significant definition from each of the three approaches and rethink how populism as an ideology should be defined as fundamentally rooted in popular sovereignty. We then ground this discussion by applying each approach t…
The Effect of Electoral Competitiveness on Ideological Voting Patterns in the U . S . House, 2002‐10
This research examines the 2002‐10 U . S . House elections, using cross‐sectional time series analysis to test the relationship between the closeness of elections, district partisanship, and the subsequent ideological stances of winning candidates in Congress. Using the Poole and Rosenthal DW ‐nominate scores, the Cook Partisan Voter Index, and the election results, we find evidence that the more competitive the race, the more moderate is the vot…
How to become a députée – Lean to the left: Party differences and gender parity in the 2012 National Assembly elections
The Rise of Neo-Populist Parties in Scandinavia: A Danish Case Study
This paper is an analysis of “neo-populist” parties in Scandinavia, focusing on the People’s Party in Denmark. Such parties in the countries of Finland, Norway, Sweden, and Denmark have experienced an increase in votes and seats in the most recent parliamentary elections, primarily due to their appeal to Eurosceptism, concerns about multiculturalism, and economic difficulties. Our discriminant analysis of individual-level data suggests that the e…
Gender parity thwarted? The effect of electoral reform on Senate and European Parliamentary elections in France, 1999–2011
Political Alienation: Behavioral Implications of Efficacy and Trust in the 2008 U.S. Presidential Election
This research centers on three dimensions of political alienation – internal efficacy, external efficacy, and political trust. Multivariate analysis of the demographic determinants of political efficacy and trust suggests that females, blacks, and latinos were more like to exhibit feelings of internal and external efficacy, but trust is significantly higher only among the well-educated and strong partisans. We then examined the behavioral implica…
A backroom without the smoke? Superdelegates and the 2008 Democratic nomination process
This article is an examination of the candidate preferences of 2008 superdelegates and of their role in determining the eventual Democratic nominee. Multivariate analysis suggests that female superdelegates were less likely to support Obama than were men; African-Americans, in contrast, were more likely to support his candidacy. A higher percentage of the popular vote received by Obama in the primary or caucus also influenced superdelegates to su…
Letting the Counties Decide: Voter Turnout and the All‐Mail Option in the State of Washington
This research examines county‐level voter turnout in the state of Washington—a state where a majority of its counties have chosen to adopt an all‐mail electoral format over the past decade. Using the nearest neighbor match method to control for demographic and partisan variation among counties, this analysis of turnout in eight general and primary elections from 2004 to 2008 suggests that vote‐by‐mail has resulted in a modest boost in voter turno…
Coming in the Next Issue
A preview of some of the articles that will be published in the April issue
A panacea for Latino and Black voters? Elevated turnout in vote by mail elections
This study analyzes U.S. Census data from citywide elections in Denver, Colorado from 2004 to 2007 in order to determine if a vote by mail format facilitated participation by Latino and Black voters. The multivariate results suggest that both Latino and Black voters participated more often in vote by mail elections, although the Black turnout increase was also affected by the recent change in Colorado's registration policies
The Effect of Nomination Divisiveness on the 2008 Presidential Election
This research examines the effect of disgruntlement among primary and caucus voters who supported U.S. presidential nomination losers—a potentially divisive nomination process. I analyze the general election voting behavior of primary and caucus voters in the 2008 presidential election to determine if differences exist between supporters of the winning nominee in each party and backers of other candidates who also sought the nomination. A multiva…
Analysis of the turnout effects of vote by mail elections, 1980–2007
Proponents of vote by mail elections often argue that this type of election facilitates participation such that elevated levels of turnout occur. The research tests this assumption by analyzing 44 statewide elections (1980–2007) in the state of Oregon—the only state that conducts all of its elections by mail. The results of this analysis suggest that the vote by mail format is a major stimulus to voter participation in special elections in Oregon…
Equality of recruitment: Gender parity in French National Assembly elections
This research centers on the effects of the newly mandated gender parity on French electoral politics. We examine the results from the 2002 National Assembly elections. Our findings suggest that this Parity Law contributed to the modest increase in the number of female deputies elected to the National Assembly, but that the electoral success rate for female candidates declined from the previous elections in 1997. This result appears to have been …
William C. Mitchell
William C. Mitchell died January 2, 2006, at his home in Eugene, Oregon. He had suffered from pulmonary fibrosis. He was 80. His wife since 1959, Joyce Mitchell, died in 1996; he is survived by a brother James W. Mitchell, of Kingsford, Michigan, and two sisters, Jeanine Watt of Iron River, Michigan and Waverly Jarvis of Withee, Wisconsin
Nader voters in the 2000 Presidential Election: What would they have done without him
This research estimates the likely voting behavior of Nader voters if he had not been a candidate in the presidential race. Bivariate analysis of ANES data suggests that Nader voters fit the profile of likely voters and have a distinct preference for Democratic candidates. We utilize multinomial logit analysis to include the possibility of abstention as well as the option of voting for Gore, Bush, or another third-party candidate. The results sug…
The Strategic Use of Referendums: Power, Legitimacy, and Democracy
The Strategic Use of Referendums: Power, Legitimacy, and Democracy. By Mark Clarence Walker. New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2003. 166p. $49.95. This book portrays the referendum as a consequence of elite bargaining. Mark Walker describes this electoral device as one that arises from an executive–legislative struggle where competing groups attempt to gain political legitimacy from the masses, even in nondemocratic states. Political elites thus use …
Five Years Later: A Re-Assessment of Oregon's Vote by Mail Electoral Process
An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. Please use the Get access link above for information on how to access this content
Political Cynicism and the Mobilization of Black Voters
Objective. This article analyzes National Election Study data from the 1996 and 2000 elections in order to explain the increased turnout among blacks in recent presidential elections. Methods. A bivariate analysis of registration and voter turnout across the races is conducted, followed by three probit models of voter turnout, including various demographic and attitudinal variables. Results. Our findings show that more blacks were registered to v…
The Effect of All-mail Elections on Voter Turnout
Proponents of all-mail elections argue that this type of election facilitates participation such that elevated levels of turnout occur. The research tests this assumption by analyzing 48 statewide elections from the state of Oregon. This analysis suggests that the all-mail format is a major stimulus to voter participation, second only to the impact of a presidential contest.
Support for term limits and voting behavior in congressional elections
This research analyzes how public opinion on term limits is linked to voting in Congressional elections. Using data from the 1992 American National Election Survey, probit analysis of vote for House and Senate incumbents suggests that opinion on term limits has only a week effect in races in which the incumbent is a Republican. In these races, individuals favoring term limits were less likely to vote for the Republican incumbent. In all types of …
Survey of Vote-by-Mail Senate Election in the State of Oregon
The special Senate election in Oregon, held during January 1996, was the first time in which a federal election was held using a vote-by-mail format. The purpose of this survey was to address most of the relevant issues and concerns involving vote-by-mail elections and to provide an assessment of this electoral method at a crucial time in the political process
Prenomination preferences and general election voting behavior
This article tests a variation of the “carryover” hypothesis that hotly contested races for the presidential nomination often translate into increased levels of nonvoting and defection in the general election. Probit analysis of data from the 1988 American National Election Study suggests that independents who supported Gore or Robertson were less likely to vote than those who supported Bush or Dukakis. Voter turnout among partisans appears unaff…
Strategic voting in the 1984 democratic presidential primaries
When casting their ballots in primary elections, voters usually vote in a straight-forward manner for the candidate of their preference. But sometimes sophisticated voters vote for a second or third choice who has a better chance of winning in the general election or even cross over to the opposition party to vote for a candidate who will be easier to defeat in the general election. This article assesses the amount and importance of such strategi…
The politics of disgruntlement: Nonvoting and defection among supporters of nomination losers, 1968?1984
The Mobilization Hypothesis and Voter Turnout in Congressional Elections, 1974-1982
Analysis of the turnout effects of vote by mail elections, 1980–2007
Proponents of vote by mail elections often argue that this type of election facilitates participation such that elevated levels of turnout occur. The research tests this assumption by analyzing 44 statewide elections (1980–2007) in the state of Oregon—the only state that conducts all of its elections by mail. The results of this analysis suggest that the vote by mail format is a major stimulus to voter participation in special elections in Oregon…
Five Years Later: A Re-Assessment of Oregon's Vote by Mail Electoral Process
An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. Please use the Get access link above for information on how to access this content
A backroom without the smoke? Superdelegates and the 2008 Democratic nomination process
This article is an examination of the candidate preferences of 2008 superdelegates and of their role in determining the eventual Democratic nominee. Multivariate analysis suggests that female superdelegates were less likely to support Obama than were men; African-Americans, in contrast, were more likely to support his candidacy. A higher percentage of the popular vote received by Obama in the primary or caucus also influenced superdelegates to su…
Political Cynicism and the Mobilization of Black Voters
Objective. This article analyzes National Election Study data from the 1996 and 2000 elections in order to explain the increased turnout among blacks in recent presidential elections. Methods. A bivariate analysis of registration and voter turnout across the races is conducted, followed by three probit models of voter turnout, including various demographic and attitudinal variables. Results. Our findings show that more blacks were registered to v…
Survey of Vote-by-Mail Senate Election in the State of Oregon
The special Senate election in Oregon, held during January 1996, was the first time in which a federal election was held using a vote-by-mail format. The purpose of this survey was to address most of the relevant issues and concerns involving vote-by-mail elections and to provide an assessment of this electoral method at a crucial time in the political process
Political Alienation: Behavioral Implications of Efficacy and Trust in the 2008 U.S. Presidential Election
This research centers on three dimensions of political alienation – internal efficacy, external efficacy, and political trust. Multivariate analysis of the demographic determinants of political efficacy and trust suggests that females, blacks, and latinos were more like to exhibit feelings of internal and external efficacy, but trust is significantly higher only among the well-educated and strong partisans. We then examined the behavioral implica…
Alienation and Nonvoting in the United States: A Refined Operationalization
N EVERY presidential election since 1960, the percentage of eligible Americans who chose to vote has declined from the previous election.1 This decrease in voter turnout has caused the focus of research on participation to shift from the choice between candidates and parties to the choice of whether or not to vote. In the desire to find a satisfactory explanation for why more and more Americans are staying home on election day, research on nonvot…
Gender parity thwarted? The effect of electoral reform on Senate and European Parliamentary elections in France, 1999–2011
The Effect of Nomination Divisiveness on the 2008 Presidential Election
This research examines the effect of disgruntlement among primary and caucus voters who supported U.S. presidential nomination losers—a potentially divisive nomination process. I analyze the general election voting behavior of primary and caucus voters in the 2008 presidential election to determine if differences exist between supporters of the winning nominee in each party and backers of other candidates who also sought the nomination. A multiva…
Nader voters in the 2000 Presidential Election: What would they have done without him
This research estimates the likely voting behavior of Nader voters if he had not been a candidate in the presidential race. Bivariate analysis of ANES data suggests that Nader voters fit the profile of likely voters and have a distinct preference for Democratic candidates. We utilize multinomial logit analysis to include the possibility of abstention as well as the option of voting for Gore, Bush, or another third-party candidate. The results sug…
Equality of recruitment: Gender parity in French National Assembly elections
This research centers on the effects of the newly mandated gender parity on French electoral politics. We examine the results from the 2002 National Assembly elections. Our findings suggest that this Parity Law contributed to the modest increase in the number of female deputies elected to the National Assembly, but that the electoral success rate for female candidates declined from the previous elections in 1997. This result appears to have been …
The Effect of Electoral Competitiveness on Ideological Voting Patterns in the U . S . House, 2002‐10
This research examines the 2002‐10 U . S . House elections, using cross‐sectional time series analysis to test the relationship between the closeness of elections, district partisanship, and the subsequent ideological stances of winning candidates in Congress. Using the Poole and Rosenthal DW ‐nominate scores, the Cook Partisan Voter Index, and the election results, we find evidence that the more competitive the race, the more moderate is the vot…
Support for term limits and voting behavior in congressional elections
This research analyzes how public opinion on term limits is linked to voting in Congressional elections. Using data from the 1992 American National Election Survey, probit analysis of vote for House and Senate incumbents suggests that opinion on term limits has only a week effect in races in which the incumbent is a Republican. In these races, individuals favoring term limits were less likely to vote for the Republican incumbent. In all types of …
Prenomination preferences and general election voting behavior
This article tests a variation of the “carryover” hypothesis that hotly contested races for the presidential nomination often translate into increased levels of nonvoting and defection in the general election. Probit analysis of data from the 1988 American National Election Study suggests that independents who supported Gore or Robertson were less likely to vote than those who supported Bush or Dukakis. Voter turnout among partisans appears unaff…
Strategic voting in the 1984 democratic presidential primaries
When casting their ballots in primary elections, voters usually vote in a straight-forward manner for the candidate of their preference. But sometimes sophisticated voters vote for a second or third choice who has a better chance of winning in the general election or even cross over to the opposition party to vote for a candidate who will be easier to defeat in the general election. This article assesses the amount and importance of such strategi…
The Strategic Use of Referendums: Power, Legitimacy, and Democracy
The Strategic Use of Referendums: Power, Legitimacy, and Democracy. By Mark Clarence Walker. New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2003. 166p. $49.95. This book portrays the referendum as a consequence of elite bargaining. Mark Walker describes this electoral device as one that arises from an executive–legislative struggle where competing groups attempt to gain political legitimacy from the masses, even in nondemocratic states. Political elites thus use …
A Case Study in Left Wing Neo-Populism: The Rise of the Syriza Party in Greece
This research considers three approaches to the study of populism: populism as an ideology, populism as a discourse, and populism as a strategy. We highlight the debates between these different approaches. Next, we take the most significant definition from each of the three approaches and rethink how populism as an ideology should be defined as fundamentally rooted in popular sovereignty. We then ground this discussion by applying each approach t…
The Rise of Neo-Populist Parties in Scandinavia: A Danish Case Study
This paper is an analysis of “neo-populist” parties in Scandinavia, focusing on the People’s Party in Denmark. Such parties in the countries of Finland, Norway, Sweden, and Denmark have experienced an increase in votes and seats in the most recent parliamentary elections, primarily due to their appeal to Eurosceptism, concerns about multiculturalism, and economic difficulties. Our discriminant analysis of individual-level data suggests that the e…
A panacea for Latino and Black voters? Elevated turnout in vote by mail elections
This study analyzes U.S. Census data from citywide elections in Denver, Colorado from 2004 to 2007 in order to determine if a vote by mail format facilitated participation by Latino and Black voters. The multivariate results suggest that both Latino and Black voters participated more often in vote by mail elections, although the Black turnout increase was also affected by the recent change in Colorado's registration policies
Alienation and Nonvoting in the United States: A Refined Operationalization
N EVERY presidential election since 1960, the percentage of eligible Americans who chose to vote has declined from the previous election.1 This decrease in voter turnout has caused the focus of research on participation to shift from the choice between candidates and parties to the choice of whether or not to vote. In the desire to find a satisfactory explanation for why more and more Americans are staying home on election day, research on nonvot…
The politics of disgruntlement: Nonvoting and defection among supporters of nomination losers, 1968?1984
Placing Parties in American Politics. David R. Mayhew
The Mobilization Hypothesis and Voter Turnout in Congressional Elections, 1974-1982
Strategic voting in the 1984 democratic presidential primaries
When casting their ballots in primary elections, voters usually vote in a straight-forward manner for the candidate of their preference. But sometimes sophisticated voters vote for a second or third choice who has a better chance of winning in the general election or even cross over to the opposition party to vote for a candidate who will be easier to defeat in the general election. This article assesses the amount and importance of such strategi…
Prenomination preferences and general election voting behavior
This article tests a variation of the “carryover” hypothesis that hotly contested races for the presidential nomination often translate into increased levels of nonvoting and defection in the general election. Probit analysis of data from the 1988 American National Election Study suggests that independents who supported Gore or Robertson were less likely to vote than those who supported Bush or Dukakis. Voter turnout among partisans appears unaff…
Support for term limits and voting behavior in congressional elections
This research analyzes how public opinion on term limits is linked to voting in Congressional elections. Using data from the 1992 American National Election Survey, probit analysis of vote for House and Senate incumbents suggests that opinion on term limits has only a week effect in races in which the incumbent is a Republican. In these races, individuals favoring term limits were less likely to vote for the Republican incumbent. In all types of …
Survey of Vote-by-Mail Senate Election in the State of Oregon
The special Senate election in Oregon, held during January 1996, was the first time in which a federal election was held using a vote-by-mail format. The purpose of this survey was to address most of the relevant issues and concerns involving vote-by-mail elections and to provide an assessment of this electoral method at a crucial time in the political process
The Effect of All-mail Elections on Voter Turnout
Proponents of all-mail elections argue that this type of election facilitates participation such that elevated levels of turnout occur. The research tests this assumption by analyzing 48 statewide elections from the state of Oregon. This analysis suggests that the all-mail format is a major stimulus to voter participation, second only to the impact of a presidential contest.
Political Cynicism and the Mobilization of Black Voters
Objective. This article analyzes National Election Study data from the 1996 and 2000 elections in order to explain the increased turnout among blacks in recent presidential elections. Methods. A bivariate analysis of registration and voter turnout across the races is conducted, followed by three probit models of voter turnout, including various demographic and attitudinal variables. Results. Our findings show that more blacks were registered to v…
Nader voters in the 2000 Presidential Election: What would they have done without him
This research estimates the likely voting behavior of Nader voters if he had not been a candidate in the presidential race. Bivariate analysis of ANES data suggests that Nader voters fit the profile of likely voters and have a distinct preference for Democratic candidates. We utilize multinomial logit analysis to include the possibility of abstention as well as the option of voting for Gore, Bush, or another third-party candidate. The results sug…
The Strategic Use of Referendums: Power, Legitimacy, and Democracy
The Strategic Use of Referendums: Power, Legitimacy, and Democracy. By Mark Clarence Walker. New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2003. 166p. $49.95. This book portrays the referendum as a consequence of elite bargaining. Mark Walker describes this electoral device as one that arises from an executive–legislative struggle where competing groups attempt to gain political legitimacy from the masses, even in nondemocratic states. Political elites thus use …
Five Years Later: A Re-Assessment of Oregon's Vote by Mail Electoral Process
An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. Please use the Get access link above for information on how to access this content
William C. Mitchell
William C. Mitchell died January 2, 2006, at his home in Eugene, Oregon. He had suffered from pulmonary fibrosis. He was 80. His wife since 1959, Joyce Mitchell, died in 1996; he is survived by a brother James W. Mitchell, of Kingsford, Michigan, and two sisters, Jeanine Watt of Iron River, Michigan and Waverly Jarvis of Withee, Wisconsin
Equality of recruitment: Gender parity in French National Assembly elections
This research centers on the effects of the newly mandated gender parity on French electoral politics. We examine the results from the 2002 National Assembly elections. Our findings suggest that this Parity Law contributed to the modest increase in the number of female deputies elected to the National Assembly, but that the electoral success rate for female candidates declined from the previous elections in 1997. This result appears to have been …
Analysis of the turnout effects of vote by mail elections, 1980–2007
Proponents of vote by mail elections often argue that this type of election facilitates participation such that elevated levels of turnout occur. The research tests this assumption by analyzing 44 statewide elections (1980–2007) in the state of Oregon—the only state that conducts all of its elections by mail. The results of this analysis suggest that the vote by mail format is a major stimulus to voter participation in special elections in Oregon…
Coming in the Next Issue
A preview of some of the articles that will be published in the April issue
A panacea for Latino and Black voters? Elevated turnout in vote by mail elections
This study analyzes U.S. Census data from citywide elections in Denver, Colorado from 2004 to 2007 in order to determine if a vote by mail format facilitated participation by Latino and Black voters. The multivariate results suggest that both Latino and Black voters participated more often in vote by mail elections, although the Black turnout increase was also affected by the recent change in Colorado's registration policies
The Effect of Nomination Divisiveness on the 2008 Presidential Election
This research examines the effect of disgruntlement among primary and caucus voters who supported U.S. presidential nomination losers—a potentially divisive nomination process. I analyze the general election voting behavior of primary and caucus voters in the 2008 presidential election to determine if differences exist between supporters of the winning nominee in each party and backers of other candidates who also sought the nomination. A multiva…
Letting the Counties Decide: Voter Turnout and the All‐Mail Option in the State of Washington
This research examines county‐level voter turnout in the state of Washington—a state where a majority of its counties have chosen to adopt an all‐mail electoral format over the past decade. Using the nearest neighbor match method to control for demographic and partisan variation among counties, this analysis of turnout in eight general and primary elections from 2004 to 2008 suggests that vote‐by‐mail has resulted in a modest boost in voter turno…
Political Alienation: Behavioral Implications of Efficacy and Trust in the 2008 U.S. Presidential Election
This research centers on three dimensions of political alienation – internal efficacy, external efficacy, and political trust. Multivariate analysis of the demographic determinants of political efficacy and trust suggests that females, blacks, and latinos were more like to exhibit feelings of internal and external efficacy, but trust is significantly higher only among the well-educated and strong partisans. We then examined the behavioral implica…
A backroom without the smoke? Superdelegates and the 2008 Democratic nomination process
This article is an examination of the candidate preferences of 2008 superdelegates and of their role in determining the eventual Democratic nominee. Multivariate analysis suggests that female superdelegates were less likely to support Obama than were men; African-Americans, in contrast, were more likely to support his candidacy. A higher percentage of the popular vote received by Obama in the primary or caucus also influenced superdelegates to su…
The Rise of Neo-Populist Parties in Scandinavia: A Danish Case Study
This paper is an analysis of “neo-populist” parties in Scandinavia, focusing on the People’s Party in Denmark. Such parties in the countries of Finland, Norway, Sweden, and Denmark have experienced an increase in votes and seats in the most recent parliamentary elections, primarily due to their appeal to Eurosceptism, concerns about multiculturalism, and economic difficulties. Our discriminant analysis of individual-level data suggests that the e…
Gender parity thwarted? The effect of electoral reform on Senate and European Parliamentary elections in France, 1999–2011
The Effect of Electoral Competitiveness on Ideological Voting Patterns in the U . S . House, 2002‐10
This research examines the 2002‐10 U . S . House elections, using cross‐sectional time series analysis to test the relationship between the closeness of elections, district partisanship, and the subsequent ideological stances of winning candidates in Congress. Using the Poole and Rosenthal DW ‐nominate scores, the Cook Partisan Voter Index, and the election results, we find evidence that the more competitive the race, the more moderate is the vot…
Political science (28 works) · Law (27 works) · Politics (26 works) · Law (20 works) · Electoral Systems and Political Participation (19 works) · Economics (17 works) · Voting (17 works) · Public Administration (13 works) · Political economy (12 works) · Demographic economics (11 works)