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A backroom without the smoke? Superdelegates and the 2008 Democratic nomination process

Bibliographic Data

ID6314725
AuthorsPriscilla L Southwell (University of Oregon, corresponding author)
Year2012
Volume18
Issue2
Pages267-283
Publication date2012-03-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueParty Politics (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1354-0688 • E-ISSN: 1460-3683
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/1354068810376782
OpenAlexW2112215185
LanguageEN
Citations received9
References cited12

This article is an examination of the candidate preferences of 2008 superdelegates and of their role in determining the eventual Democratic nominee. Multivariate analysis suggests that female superdelegates were less likely to support Obama than were men; African-Americans, in contrast, were more likely to support his candidacy. A higher percentage of the popular vote received by Obama in the primary or caucus also influenced superdelegates to support him. The effect of contributions from Obama to superdelegates appeared to boost his support, but Clinton contributions had little impact. Also examined is the effect that superdelegates had on the nomination outcome. Analysis suggests that the impact of unpledged superdelegates on the 2008 Democratic nomination was significant. A substantial number of superdelegates continue to follow their own preferences, especially in states where Clinton was victorious, and this asymmetry made a difference in the nomination outcome. The race for the nomination could have been quite different without the presence of these unpledged superdelegates, or under alternative rules for delegation selection

Candidacy · Caucus · Democracy · Economics · Nomination · Outcome (game theory · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Sociology · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Public Administration · School Choice and Performance

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Unique citing works9
Citations per year0,64
Citation span2012 - 2025 (14)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 9

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