Systematic and chance components in fertility measurement

A Monte Carlo simulation model of fertility is developed to incorporate a decline in fecundability with age of women as well as a variation between women, and a family planning strategy in which couples prefer certain sizes of families and seek to lengthen the last planned birth interval. In the simulation of family planning and non-family planning populations, segmental parity tables are computed. These are tables in which the numbers of women in the columns representing the completed family sizes are sub-divided by rows representing the sizes of the families for shorter durations of marriage. The couples' success in their plans, under various conditions, and the rapidity with which family sizes stabilize, are among the results obtained from the simulation. The application of the tables to the estimation of family size preferences from observed family size distributions is also discussed

Family planning · Fertility · Monte Carlo method · Parity (physics) · Physics · Population · Research methodology · Sociology · Statistics · Demography · Family Dynamics and Relationships · Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management · Mathematics

• Measures of family size preferences

  Open Access•John C Barrett•Journal of Biosocial Science•1986

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• Indirect measurements of family size preferences and of abortion

  Open Access•J C Barret, Jon Barret•Journal of Biosocial Science•1977

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• Current Bibliography of Urban History

  Open Access•Diana Dixon, Anthony Sutcliffe•Urban History•1981

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• The evolution of family planning in an African city

  John C Caldwell, Helen Ware•Population Studies•1977

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• An estimate of the natural fecundability ratio curve

  Jean‐Pierre Bendel, Chang-I Hua et al.•Social Biology•1978

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• Measuring potential fertility through null segments

  Robert G Potter, Charles J Mode et al.•Social Biology•1979

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• Effects of various factors on selection for family planning status and natural fecundability

  Open Access•John C Barrett•Demography•1978

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• Age, biological factors, and socioeconomic determinants of fertility

  Open Access•Bryan L Boulier, Bryan Boulier et al.•Demography•1978

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• Cohort parity analysis

  Open Access•Paul A David, Thomas A Mroz et al.•Demography•1988

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• Interruption of breastfeeding by child death and pregnancy

  Barry Edmonston•Social Biology•1990

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• An investigation of the timing pattern of childbearing

  Lee E Edlefsen•Population Studies•1981

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• Postamenorrheic versus postpartum strategies of contraception

  Open Access•Robert G Potter, George S Masnick et al.•Demography•1973

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• Use of a fertility simulation model to refine measurement techniques

  Open Access•John C Barrett•Demography•1971

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• A Monte Carlo model for the study of human fertility under varying fecundability

  K Venkatacharya•Social Biology•1971

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• Contraceptive effectiveness as a function of desired family size

  Philip C Sagi, Robert G Potter et al.•Population Studies•1962

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• An analytic simulation model of human reproduction with demographic and biological components

  Jeanne Clare Ridley, Mindel C Sheps•Population Studies•1966

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• La reproduction humaine en régime malthusien. Un modèle de simulation par la méthode de Monte-Carlo

  Open Access•Albert Jacquard•Population•1967

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