What Do Transnational Terrorists Target? Has It Changed? Are We Safer

Dados Bibliográficos

ID6283523
AutoresPatrick T Brandt (0000-0002-7261-7056, School of Economic, Political and Policy Sciences, University of Texas at Dallas, Richardson, TX,), Tod Sandler (0000-0001-9077-5915, School of Economic, Political and Policy Sciences, University of Texas at Dallas, Richardson, TX)
Ano2010
Volume54
Fascículo2
Páginas214-236
Data de publicação2010-04-01
Peer ReviewedSim
Open AccessSim
TipoARTICLE
PeriódicoJournal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL)
Identificadores do periódicoISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766
EditoraSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/0022002709355437
OpenAlexW2134120521
IdiomaEN
Citações recebidas48
Referências citadas18

This article utilizes Bayesian Poisson changepoint regression models to demonstrate how transnational terrorists adjusted their target choices in response to target hardening. In addition, changes in the collective tastes of terrorists and their sponsorship have played a role in target selection over time. For each of four target types— officials, military, business, and private parties—the authors identify the number of regimes and the probable predictors of the events. Regime changes are tied to the rise of modern transnational terrorism, the deployment of technological barriers, the start of state sponsorship, and the dominance of the fundamentalists. The authors also include two sets of covariates—logistical outcome and victim’s nature—to better explain the dynamics. As other targets have been fortified and terrorists have sought greater carnage, private parties have become the preferred target type. In recent years, terrorists have increasingly favored people over property for all target types. Moreover, authorities have been more successful at stopping attacks against officials and the military, thereby motivating terrorists to attack business targets and private parties

Business · Computer security · Dominance (genetics · Political science · SAFER · Terrorism · Computer Science · Economic Sanctions and International Relations · Law · Political Conflict and Governance · Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence