You Can’t Win If You Don’t Fight

The Role of Regime Type in Counterinsurgency Outbreaks and Outcomes

Dados Bibliográficos

ID6284145
AutoresAnna Getmansky (0000-0002-0978-7095, Carnegie Mellon University, autor correspondente)
Ano2013
Volume57
Fascículo4
Páginas709-734
Data de publicação2013-08-01
Peer ReviewedSim
Open AccessSim
TipoARTICLE
PeriódicoJournal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL)
Identificadores do periódicoISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766
EditoraSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/0022002712449326
OpenAlexW2121678485
IdiomaEN
Citações recebidas14
Referências citadas61

What effect, if any, does democracy have on outcomes of counterinsurgency wars? Previous studies have provided inconclusive answers mainly because of the challenges involved in testing the question empirically: First, insurgencies are not accidental and the anticipated outcomes also affect whether they break out in the first place. Second, regimes are non-random and their determinants can also affect insurgency incidence and its outcomes. Moreover, different aspects of democracy can have opposite effects on the government's chances of winning. I address these challenges by conducting a critical test to distinguish between different causal mechanisms. I find that domestic institutions that are associated with public goods provision make insurgency onsets less likely. I also show that once we control for this selection effect, domestic political institutions do not influence insurgency outcomes

Affect (linguistics · Democracy · Development economics · Economics · Government (linguistics · Insurgency · Microeconomics · Outcome (game theory · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Public good · Defense, Military, and Policy Studies · Law · Political Conflict and Governance · Politics and Conflicts in Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Middle East · Psychology · Social Psychology