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A Vintage Model of Terrorist Organizations

Bibliographic Data

ID10071579
AuthorsJoão Ricardo Faria (MPA Program, University of Texas at El Paso, El Paso, TX, USA), Jo Ão Ricardo Faria (0000-0001-6484-3566, The University of Texas at El Paso), Daniel Arce (0000-0003-1702-4570, Economics Program, University of Texas at Dallas, Richardson, TX, USA)
Year2012
Volume56
Issue4
Pages629-650
Publication date2012-05-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766
PublisherSAGE Publishing (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1177/0022002712438349
OpenAlexW2147006340
LanguageEN
Citations received4
References cited34

A dynamic model of a terrorist organization is presented with the defining feature being that a succession of operatives is recruited at different points in time. Consequently, a government’s counterterror policy must be tailored according to the vintage structure of the terrorist group that it faces. This implies that past history of counterterror policy and attacks matter for the formulation of current and future policy. The authors present the necessary steps to formulate and solve a vintage model, and to deal with the delay differential equations that naturally arise from the vintage structure. The resulting analysis captures the implications of a diverse set of phenomena such as Internet recruiting, training delays for logistically complex plots, age distribution of operatives, and the sensitivity of government impatience/cabinet composition to terrorist events for the inner dynamics of terrorist organizations and counterterror policy. Directions for future research are also suggested

Cabinet (room · Economics · Government (linguistics · Political science · Terrorism · Vintage · Crime, Illicit Activities, and Governance · Engineering · History · Law · Political Conflict and Governance · Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence

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Unique citing works4
Citations per year0,36
Citation span2015 - 2020 (6)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 3

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