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Arctic Shock

Utilizing Climate Change to Test a Theory of Resource Competition

Bibliographic Data

ID10071803
AuthorsJonathan N Markowitz (0000-0001-7429-8397, University of Southern California, corresponding author)
Year2023
Volume67
Issue10
Pages1845-1872
Publication date2023-02-08
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766
PublisherSAGE Publishing (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1177/00220027231153577
OpenAlexW4319599837
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited25

Why do some states project military force to seek control of resources, while others do not? Conventional wisdom asserts that resource-scarce states should have the strongest interest in securing control over resources. Counter-intuitively, I argue that, under existing conditions, the opposite is true. It is not resource-scarce states that will be more interested in militarily seeking additional resources, but rather states that are resource-abundant and dependent on income from extracting those resources. I test this proposition by leveraging a natural experiment that analyzes how states reacted to an exogenous shock that exposed resources in the Arctic in 2007. I employ original data that measures the change in states’ Arctic military presence before and after the shock. I find that dependence, not scarcity, explains how states responded to the shock. The findings enhance our understanding of the causes of resource competition and the geopolitical implications of climate change

Arctic · Climate change · Competition (biology · Economics · Geopolitics · Microeconomics · Natural resource · Natural resource economics · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Resource (disambiguation · Scarcity · Shock (circulatory · Test (biology · Arctic and Russian Policy Studies · Computer Science · Ecology · Island Studies and Pacific Affairs · Law · Natural Resources and Economic Development

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Unique citing works1
Citations per year1
Citation span2026 - 2026 (1)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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