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Pitfalls in the Estimation of the Yield on British Consols, 1850–1914

Bibliographic Data

ID10100537
AuthorsJan Tore Klovland (Norwegian School of Economics, corresponding author)
Year1994
Volume54
Issue1
Pages164-187
Publication date1994-03-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe Journal of Economic History (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-0507 • E-ISSN: 1471-6372
PublisherCambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1017/s0022050700014030
OpenAlexW1872936201
LanguageEN
Citations received13
References cited8

Five pitfalls commonly encountered in estimating the yield on British Consols are identified and discussed herein. The most difficult question is whether Consol prices in the later 1890s reflected expectations of a conversion of the Consol stock in 1923. This is equivalent to asking whether security markets in the 1890s regarded the then extremely low interest rates to be a temporary or permanent phenomenon. Predictions from estimated equations for the yield spread between other high-class investments and Consols are used to determine this question. A corrected monthly series of the yield on Consols between 1850 and 1914 is presented

Econometrics · Economics · Estimation · Management · Physics · Yield (engineering · Metallurgical Processes and Thermodynamics

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Unique citing works13
Citations per year0,43
Citation span1996 - 2024 (29)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 13

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