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Is the 1918 Influenza Pandemic Over? Long‐Term Effects of In Utero Influenza Exposure in the Post‐1940 U.S. Population

Bibliographic Data

ID10176168
AuthorsDouglas Almond (0000-0003-1377-1982, National Bureau of Economic Research, corresponding author)
Year2006
Volume114
Issue4
Pages672-712
Publication date2006-08-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Political Economy (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-3808 • E-ISSN: 1537-534X
PublisherUniversity of Chicago Press (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1086/507154
OpenAlexW2123676639
LanguageEN
Citations received364
References cited39

This paper uses the 1918 influenza pandemic as a natural experiment for testing the fetal origins hypothesis. The pandemic arrived unexpectedly in the fall of 1918 and had largely subsided by January 1919, generating sharp predictions for long-term effects. Data from the 1960–80 decennial U.S. Census indicate that cohorts in utero during the pandemic displayed reduced educational attainment, increased rates of physical disability, lower income, lower socioeconomic status, and higher transfer payments compared with other birth cohorts. These results indicate that investments in fetal health can increase human capital

Biology · Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19 · Demographic economics · Disease · Economic growth · Economics · Educational attainment · Environmental health · Fetus · Human capital · In utero · Influenza pandemic · Pandemic · Population · Pregnancy · Socioeconomic status · Sociology · Birth, Development, and Health · Demography · Health disparities and outcomes · Intergenerational and Educational Inequality Studies · Internal Medicine · Medicine

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Citations per year17,33
Citation span2005 - 2026 (22)
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