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What Goes Up May Not Come Down

Asymmetric Incidence of Value-Added Taxes

Bibliographic Data

ID10178036
AuthorsYoussef Benzarti (National Bureau of Economic Research), Dorian Carloni (0000-0003-1006-8650, Congressional Budget Office), Jarkko Harju (0000-0003-2027-4343, VATT Institute for Economic Research), Tuomas Kosonen (Labour Institute for Economic Research)
Year2020
Volume128
Issue12
Pages4438-4474
Publication date2020-06-29
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Political Economy (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-3808 • E-ISSN: 1537-534X
PublisherUniversity of Chicago Press (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1086/710558
OpenAlexW2759183791
LanguageEN
Citations received12
References cited20

This paper shows that prices respond more to increases than to decreases in Value-Added Taxes (VATs). First, using all VAT reforms from 1996 to 2015 across all European countries we show that prices respond 3 to 4 times more to VAT increases than decreases. Second, using a plausibly exogenous VAT reform, we show that the asymmetry persists over several years. Third, we document several empirical features of this asymmetry that are inconsistent with the standard incidence model. We provide evidence consistent with firm behavior driving the asymmetry. Additionally, according to our empirical results, due to asymmetric pass-through to prices, firms benefit from VAT changes to opposite directions in the form of higher profits

Asymmetry · Economics · European union · International economics · Microeconomics · Monetary economics · Value (mathematics · Corporate Taxation and Avoidance · Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth · Taxation and Compliance Studies

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Unique citing works12
Citations per year2,4
Citation span2021 - 2026 (6)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 12

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