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On Accuracy and Coherence with Infinite Opinion Sets

Bibliographic Data

ID10707902
AuthorsM Kelley (0000-0001-5131-0525, Stanford University, corresponding author)
Year2023
Volume90
Issue1
Pages92-128
Publication date2023-01-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenuePhilosophy of Science (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0031-8248 • E-ISSN: 1539-767X
PublisherCambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1017/psa.2021.37
OpenAlexW3045792508
LanguageEN
Citations received4
References cited12

There is a well-known equivalence between avoiding accuracy dominance and having probabilistically coherent credences (see, e.g., de Finetti 1974; Joyce 2009; Predd et al. 2009; Pettigrew 2016). However, this equivalence has been established only when the set of propositions on which credence functions are defined is finite. In this article, I establish connections between accuracy dominance and coherence when credence functions are defined on an infinite set of propositions. In particular, I establish the necessary results to extend the classic accuracy argument for probabilism to certain classes of infinite sets of propositions, including countably infinite partitions

Coherence (philosophical gambling strategy) · Credence · Discrete mathematics · Dominance (genetics) · Equivalence (formal languages) · Mathematical economics · Set (abstract data type) · Statistics · Adversarial Robustness in Machine Learning · Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference · Computer Science · Epistemology, Ethics, and Metaphysics · Mathematics

  • A Contextual Accuracy Dominance Argument for Probabilism

    Open Access•M Kelley•Philosophy and Phenomenological…•2026

  • Accuracy and infinity

    Open Access•M Kelley, Sven Neth•Synthese•2022

  • Accuracy, probabilism and Bayesian update in infinite domains

    Open Access•Alexander R Pru•Synthese•2022

  • Bayes Is Back

    Alexander Meehan, Snow Zhang•The Philosophical Review•2025

  • Accuracy and the Laws of Credence

    Richard Pettigrew•Accuracy and the Laws of Credence•2016

  • Justifying Conditionalization

    Hilary Greaves, David Wallace•Mind•2006

  • Accuracy and Coherence

    Open Access•James M Joyce•Degrees of Belief•2009

  • Elicitation of Personal Probabilities and Expectations

    Leonard J Savage•Journal of the American…•1971

  • Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation

    Tilmann Gneiting, Adrian E Raftery•Journal of the American…•2007

  • Accuracy-First Epistemology Without Additivity

    Open Access•Richard Pettigrew•Philosophy of Science•2022

  • A Nonpragmatic Vindication of Probabilism

    Open Access•James M Joyce•Philosophy of Science•1998

  • An Objective Justification of Bayesianism I

    Open Access•Hannes Leitgeb, Richard Pettigrew•Philosophy of Science•2010

  • Expected Accuracy Supports Conditionalization—and Conglomerability and Reflection

    Open Access•Kenny Easwaran•Philosophy of Science•2013

  • An Objective Justification of Bayesianism II

    Open Access•Hannes Leitgeb, Richard Pettigrew•Philosophy of Science•2010

  • Joyce's Argument for Probabilism

    Open Access•Patrick Maher•Philosophy of Science•2002

  • Probability and evidence

    Paul Horwich•Probability and evidence•2016

Citations per year1
Citation span2022 - 2026 (5)
Highly citedNo

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