Population Momentum for Gradual Demographic Transitions
An Alternative Approach
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 10969780 |
|---|---|
| Authors | J R Goldstein (0000-0002-5936-5464, Princeton University, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2002 |
| Volume | 39 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 65 |
| Publication date | 2002-02-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Demography (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0070-3370 • E-ISSN: 1533-7790 |
| Publisher | Duke University Press (PUBLISHER • US) |
| DOI | 10.2307/3088364 |
| OpenAlex | W4248963219 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 1 |
| References cited | 8 |
In this article, I derive a simple formula for approximating the ultimate size of a population that undergoes a gradual transition to replacement fertility. I model the fertility transition by specifying a linear frontier on the Lexis surface across which a change in fertility is instantaneous. Gradual transitions result from variations in the slope of this frontier. This framework can be used to reproduce and understand previous studies of population momentum and gradual transitions
Birth rate · Demographic transition · Econometrics · Economics · Fertility · Financial economics · Frontier · Geography · Momentum (technical analysis · Momentum (technical analysis) · Physics · Population · Population momentum · Simple (philosophy · Simple (philosophy) · Sociology · Statistical physics · Birth, Development, and Health · demographic modeling and climate adaptation · Demography · Ecosystem dynamics and resilience · Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
Influence of instantaneous fertility decline to replacement level on population growth
On the momentum of population growth
Birth trajectory under changing fertility conditions
Longer Life and Population Growth
Population momentum for gradual demographic transitions
Momentum Under a Gradual Approach to Zero Growth
| Unique citing works | 1 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,05 |
| Citation span | 2005 - 2005 (1) |
| Citation velocity | historical |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 1 |