Skip to main content

ETHNOS_APP

Home • Search • Journals • List 0

Health Equity and the Fallacy of Treating Causes of Population Health as if They Sum to 100

Bibliographic Data

ID11032209
AuthorsNancy Krieger (0000-0002-4815-5947, Nancy Krieger is with the Department of Social and Behavioral Sciences, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA., corresponding author)
Year2017
Volume107
Issue4
Pages541-549
Publication date2017-04-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueAmerican Journal of Public Health (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0090-0036 • E-ISSN: 1541-0048
PublisherAmerican Public Health Association (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.2105/ajph.2017.303655
PMID28272952
OpenAlexW2594014117
LanguageEN
Citations received16
References cited33

Numerous examples exist in population health of work that erroneously forces the causes of health to sum to 100%. This is surprising. Clear refutations of this error extend back 80 years. Because public health analysis, action, and allocation of resources are ill served by faulty methods, I consider why this error persists. I first review several high-profile examples, including Doll and Peto’s 1981 opus on the causes of cancer and its current interpretations; a 2015 high-publicity article in Science claiming that two thirds of cancer is attributable to chance; and the influential Web site “County Health Rankings & Roadmaps: Building a Culture of Health, County by County,” whose model sums causes of health to equal 100%: physical environment (10%), social and economic factors (40%), clinical care (20%), and health behaviors (30%). Critical analysis of these works and earlier historical debates reveals that underlying the error of forcing causes of health to sum to 100% is the still dominant but deeply flawed view that causation can be parsed as nature versus nurture. Better approaches exist for tallying risk and monitoring efforts to reach health equity

Actuarial science · Causation · Economics · Environmental health · Epistemology · Equity (law) · Fallacy · Health care · Health equity · Political science · Population · Population health · Public health · Publicity · Social determinants of health · Climate Change and Health Impacts · Healthcare cost, quality, practices · Law · Medicine · Public Health Policies and Education

  • Art, Anti-Racism and Health Equity

    Derek M Griffith, Andrea R Semlow•Ethnicity & Disease•2020

  • Contrasted life trajectories

    Open Access•Mathieu Nacher, Célia Basurko et al.•Frontiers in Public Health•2024

  • Precision public health alliances as a model and method for community engagement

    Open Access•Margaret Mcgladrey, Margaret L McGladrey et al.•Frontiers in Public Health•2025

  • Trends in health equity in mortality in the United States, 1969–2019

    Open Access•Nathaniel Anderson, Frederick J Zimmerman•SSM - Population Health•2021

  • The Dynamics of Public Health Responsibility

    Sean A Valle•International Journal of Feminist…•2020

  • Qualitative modelling of social determinants of health using group model building

    Open Access•Laurens Reumers, Marleen Bekker et al.•International Journal for Equity…•2022

  • The human cost of exploitation

    Open Access•Kinwai Lau, Karen Lau et al.•SSM - Qualitative Research in…•2026

  • How the Social Environment Gets Under the Skin

    Open Access•Rosalind Berkowitz King, Regina M Bures•Population Research and Policy…•2017

  • The 2022 State of Ohio Families

    Open Access•Jacqueline Kirby Wilkins, James S Bates et al.•Marriage & Family Review•2023

  • Krieger Responds

    Nancy Krieger•American Journal of Public Health•2017

  • Equity as a Pragmatic Application of Ethics

    Rachel Gur-Arie•American Journal of Public Health•2025

  • Growing Economic Inequality Sustains Health Disparities

    William A Vega, William M Sribney•American Journal of Public Health•2017

  • All Models Are Wrong; Some Are Useful

    Patrick L Remington, Patrick Remington•American Journal of Public Health•2017

  • A pluralistic and socially responsible philosophy of epidemiology field should actively engage with social determinants of health and health disparities

    Open Access•Sean A Valle•Synthese•2021

  • Social determinants of health in the Big Data mode of population health risk calculation

    Open Access•R Rowe•Big Data & Society•2021

  • Incorporating Social Determinants of Health into Modelling of Covid-19 and other Infectious Diseases

    Open Access•Giorgos Galanis, Adam Hanieh•Social Science & Medicine•2021

  • Epidemiology and the People’s Health

    Nancy Krieger•Epidemiology and the people's…•2011

  • The Mirage of a Space between Nature and Nurture

    Evelyn Fox Keller•Mirage of a Space Between Nature…•2010

  • English men of science

    Francis Galton•1874

  • The Case For More Active Policy Attention To Health Promotion

    J Michael McGinnis, Pamela Williams-Russo et al.•Health Affairs•2002

  • Evidence-Based Public Health

    Ross C Brownson, Jonathan E Fielding et al.•Annual Review of Public Health•2009

  • Systems Science Methods in Public Health

    Douglas A Luke, Katherine A Stamatakis•Annual Review of Public Health•2012

  • The County Health Rankings

    Open Access•Patrick L Remington, Patrick Remington et al.•Population Health Metrics•2015

  • The Causes of Cancer

    Richard Doll, Richard Peto•CancerSpectrum Knowledge…•1981

  • Sick individuals and sick populations

    Geoffrey Rose•International Journal of…•2001

  • County Health Rankings

    Open Access•Carlyn M Hood, Keith P Gennuso et al.•American Journal of Preventive…•2016

  • People and other Animals

    Marjorie Grene•Understanding of Nature•1974

  • Advancing Efforts to Achieve Health Equity

    Open Access•Jonathan Heller, Marjory L Givens et al.•International Journal of…•2014

  • Mapping and Measuring Social Disparities in Premature Mortality

    Open Access•Jarvis T Chen, D H Rehkopf et al.•Journal of Urban Health•2006

  • The Dominant View of Popularization

    Open Access•Stephen Hilgartner•Social Studies of Science•1990

  • Sick Individuals and Sick Populations

    Geoffrey Rose•International Journal of…•1985

  • Estimated Deaths Attributable to Social Factors in the United States

    Sandro Galea, Melissa Tracy et al.•American Journal of Public Health•2011

  • Use and misuse of population attributable fractions

    Beverly Rockhill, Beth Newman et al.•American Journal of Public Health•1998

  • Who and What Is a "Population"? Historical Debates, Current Controversies, and Implications for Understanding "Population Health" and Rectifying Health Inequities

    Open Access•Nancy Krieger•Milbank Quarterly•2012

Citations per year1.78
Citation span2017 - 2026 (10)
Highly citedNo

Tools

Open DOISci-HubOpen Access
Ethnos_APP • Open Source Project • MIT License • Frontend v2.0.0 • Privacy and Cookies • API Documentation: api.ethnos.app/docs • API Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17049435 • Frontend Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17050053 • cruz.rio.br • Expectantes Misericordiae