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Predicting the Population Health Impacts of Community Interventions

The Case of Alcohol Outlets and Binge Drinking

Bibliographic Data

ID11034342
AuthorsJohn Ahern (0000-0002-3853-9760, Boston University), Jennifer Ahern (Jennifer Ahern and K. Ellicott Colson are with the Division of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley. Claire Margerison-Zilko is with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, College of Human Medicine, Michigan State University, East Lansing. Alan Hubbard is with the Division of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley. Sandro Galea is with the School of Public Health, Boston University, Boston, MA.), K Ellicott Colson (Jennifer Ahern and K. Ellicott Colson are with the Division of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley. Claire Margerison-Zilko is with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, College of Human Medicine, Michigan State University, East Lansing. Alan Hubbard is with the Division of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley. Sandro Galea is with the School of Public Health, Boston University, Boston, MA.), Claire Margerson-Zilko (Jennifer Ahern and K. Ellicott Colson are with the Division of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley. Claire Margerison-Zilko is with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, College of Human Medicine, Michigan State University, East Lansing. Alan Hubbard is with the Division of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley. Sandro Galea is with the School of Public Health, Boston University, Boston, MA.), Anne Hubbard (0000-0002-3769-0127, Boston University), Alan Hubbard (Jennifer Ahern and K. Ellicott Colson are with the Division of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley. Claire Margerison-Zilko is with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, College of Human Medicine, Michigan State University, East Lansing. Alan Hubbard is with the Division of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley. Sandro Galea is with the School of Public Health, Boston University, Boston, MA.), Sandro Galea (0000-0002-7534-0945, Jennifer Ahern and K. Ellicott Colson are with the Division of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley. Claire Margerison-Zilko is with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, College of Human Medicine, Michigan State University, East Lansing. Alan Hubbard is with the Division of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley. Sandro Galea is with the School of Public Health, Boston University, Boston, MA.)
Year2016
Volume106
Issue11
Pages1938-1943
Publication date2016-11-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueAmerican Journal of Public Health (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0090-0036 • E-ISSN: 1541-0048
PublisherAmerican Public Health Association (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.2105/ajph.2016.303425
PMID27631757
OpenAlexW2518720480
LanguageEN
Citations received7
References cited34

A substitution estimator can be used to predict how shifts in population exposures might change health. We illustrated this method by estimating how an upper limit on alcohol outlet density might alter binge drinking in the New York Social Environment Study (n = 4000), and provided statistical code and sample data. The largest differences in binge drinking were for an upper limit of 70 outlets per square mile; there was a −0.7% difference in binge drinking prevalence for New York City overall (95% confidence interval [CI] = −0.2%, −1.3%) and a −2.4% difference in binge drinking prevalence for the subset of communities the intervention modified (95% CI = −0.5%, −4.0%). A substitution estimator is a flexible tool for estimating population intervention parameters and improving the translation of public health research results to practitioners

Binge drinking · Confidence interval · Environmental health · Injury prevention · Poison control · Population · Psychiatry · Psychological intervention · Public health · Sociology · Statistics · Demography · Health disparities and outcomes · Mathematics · Medicine · Smoking Behavior and Cessation · Substance Abuse Treatment and Outcomes · Gerontology

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Unique citing works7
Citations per year0,7
Citation span2016 - 2024 (9)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 7

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