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The two‐child limit and fertility decision making

When policy narratives and lived experiences collide

Bibliographic Data

ID11197644
AuthorsRuth Patrick (0000-0002-3284-6313, Department of Social Policy and Social Work University of York York England), Kate Andersen (0000-0002-8354-4796, Department of Social Policy and Social Work University of York York England, corresponding author)
Year2023
Volume57
Issue5
Pages580-595
Publication date2023-09-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueSocial Policy and Administration (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0144-5596 • E-ISSN: 1467-9515
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/spol.12877
OpenAlexW4310118270
LanguageEN
Citations received9
References cited19

The UK's two‐child limit restricts the child element in Universal Credit and Tax Credits to two children in a household. Given that the policy aims to influence the fertility decision making of parents in (or at risk of) poverty, it is important to explore the impact it has here. This article contrasts the policy rationale for the two‐child limit with everyday realities of fertility decision making. We share new empirical findings from qualitative longitudinal research with parents directly affected by the two‐child limit, contrasting these with the assumptions found in government speeches and statements on the policy. This exploration reveals a series of mismatches, which help explain the relative absence of fertility effects, which has been uncovered in previous quantitative analysis. We show how a government narrative of “choice” over fertility decisions is contradicted by situated realities, where choice is often absent or unresponsive to changes in financial incentives. We also find low levels of awareness of the two‐child limit, militating against it affecting fertility decision making. Our findings demonstrate the importance of better and more sustained engagement with qualitative evidence in the design and review of policies, essential if we are to prevent harms like those witnessed as a result of the two‐child limit

Child poverty · Economic growth · Economics · Fertility · Government (linguistics · Incentive · Microeconomics · Narrative · Political science · Population · Positive economics · Poverty · Public economics · Sociology · Demographic Trends and Gender Preferences · Demography · Family Dynamics and Relationships · Intergenerational Family Dynamics and Caregiving

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Citations per year4.5
Citation span2024 - 2025 (2)
Highly citedNo

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