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Accounting for Multiple Sources of Pureselection Bias in Program Evaluations

Bibliographic Data

ID11684388
AuthorsHaeil Jung (0000-0002-0489-1408, Indiana University Bloomington, corresponding author), Maureen A Pirog (Indiana University Bloomington)
Year2014
Volume33
Issue3
Pages752-777
Publication date2014-04-22
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Policy Analysis and Management (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0276-8739 • E-ISSN: 1520-6688
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1002/pam.21764
OpenAlexW1521964661
LanguageEN
Citations received3
References cited29

Most evaluations are still quasi‐experimental and most recent quasi‐experimental methodological research has focused on various types of propensity score matching to minimize conventional selection bias on observables. Although these methods create better‐matched treatment and comparison groups on observables, the issue of selection on unobservables still looms large. Thus, in the absence of being able to run randomized controlled trials (RCTs) or natural experiments, it is important to understand how well different regression‐based estimators perform in terms of minimizing pure selection bias, that is, selection on unobservables. We examine the relative magnitudes of three sources of pure selection bias: heterogeneous response bias, time‐invariant individual heterogeneity (fixed effects [FEs]), and intertemporal dependence (autoregressive process of order one [AR(1)]). Because the relative magnitude of each source of pure selection bias may vary in different policy contexts, it is important to understand how well different regression‐based estimators handle each source of selection bias. Expanding simulations that have their origins in the work of Heckman, LaLonde, and Smith ( ), we find that difference‐in‐differences (DID) using equidistant pre‐ and postperiods and FEs estimators are less biased and have smaller standard errors in estimating the Treatment on the Treated (TT) than other regression‐based estimators. Our data analysis using the Job Training Partnership Act (JTPA) program replicates our simulation findings in estimating the TT

Autoregressive model · Econometrics · Estimator · Model selection · Propensity score matching · Randomized experiment · Regression · Regression analysis · Selection (genetic algorithm · Selection bias · Statistics · Advanced Causal Inference Techniques · Computer Science · Mathematics · Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference · Statistical Methods and Inference · Artificial Intelligence

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Unique citing works3
Citations per year0,33
Citation span2017 - 2020 (4)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 3

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